December 14, 2011, Guest Column
Passive Equity Strategies Are Still Valid
A true passive strategy, history shows, was never meant to be limited to the S&P 500 or to any other single asset class, writes the owner of Strategic Distribution Institute LLC.
The great debate goes on… and on and on. “Active management wins!” “No—passive management wins!” The market behavior of the past two decades could support either argument. Or perhaps we need to redefine our terms. 3D Asset Management of East Hartford, Conn., for instance, has created a hybrid strategy that poses an interesting twist on the definitions of both passive and active. (More about 3D in a moment.)
Once upon a time, active equity investing meant trading stocks and passive investing meant buying and holding stocks. Starting in the 1990’s, when S&P 500 Index funds returned 17% or more a year, active and passive management came to mean trading or holding an entire asset class or index. An investment of $100,000 in the S&P 500 Index on January 1, 1990 would have grown to nearly $500,000 by December 31, 1999. Financial publications touted S&P 500 index funds as the only investment anyone could ever need.
Unfortunately, this type of passive strategy failed during the following decade, producing a 1% annual compounded loss. An investment of $100,000 in the S&P 500 Index on January 1, 2000 would have been worth just $90,000 at the end of the decade. Retirees who were drawing income from that type of account were devastated. By early 2010, passive strategies were being called “old school” methods that were obsolete in the “New Normal.”
Did this poor performance invalidate passive equity investing? Not at all. We have been so focused on the rise and fall of the S&P 500 that we have forgotten the true definition of passive investing. A true passive strategy, history shows, was never meant to be limited to the S&P 500 or to any other single asset class.
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