If jobs were more flexible, seniors would work longer: NBER

About 40% of retirees would work at a job that had the same wages and total hours as their last job, but a higher percentage--60%-- would be willing to return to work at a job with a flexible schedule, according to a survey of Vanguard clients.

There is a large, untapped pool of older Americans who have a strong desire to keep working, sometimes at wages significantly lower than the ones they earned previously, but only if they could have flexible work schedules.

That finding was expressed in “Older Americans Would Work Longer if Jobs Were Flexible,” an NBER Working Paper by John Ameriks, Joseph S. Briggs, Andrew Caplin, Minjoon Lee, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Christopher Tonetti. “About 40% of retirees surveyed were willing to return to work in a job like their previous one, but 60% would return if the schedule were flexible,” an NBER summary of the paper said.

The researchers’ primary data source was the Vanguard Research Initiative, a linked survey-administrative data panel drawn from account holders at The Vanguard Group, Inc. The researchers used the sample of 3,000 respondents who completed a survey related to later-in-life labor market activities. The survey focused on labor market participation and retirement, including a detailed history of employment, job search behavior, retirement paths, and employment in post-career “bridge” jobs. 

About 40% of retirees—33% of those who did not have a bridge job and 44% of those who did—said they were willing to work if all the conditions were the same as in their last job, including wages and total hours, but 60% would be willing to return to work with a flexible schedule.

In addition, 20% of retirees would be willing to take an hourly wage reduction of 20% or more in return for more flexible hours. 
Among those who had not held a post-career “bridge” job, the researchers found that only 11% had searched for a job opportunity after leaving their career job, but a third of them would be willing to work again in a job that had characteristics similar to their previous one.

The researchers concluded that demand-side factors play an important role in explaining later-life labor market behavior, writing that “older Americans’ labor force participation near and after normal retirement ages is limited more by a lack of acceptable job opportunities or low expectations about finding them, in particular jobs with part-time or flexible schedules, than by unwillingness to work longer.”

The share of Americans over 65 is projected to hit 40% by 2050, up from 20% in 2007. As the percentage of older Americans rises, concern is growing about the financial strains associated with a larger number of retirees being supported by each active worker. There’s also worry that some employers may face labor shortages, the paper’s authors found.

A possible response would be to enact or encourage policies that would allow older Americans to work beyond traditional retirement ages. Determining what sort of policies would encourage longer working lives is challenging because it is difficult to disentangle the roles of labor supply and labor demand in determining existing patterns of later-life labor market behavior, the NBER summary said.

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