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Eight core ideas for retirement planning: Wade Pfau

In an article published this week in Advisor Perspectives, Wade Pfau, Ph.D., the director of the doctoral program in Financial and Retirement Planning at The American College in Bryn Mawr, Pa., describes what he calls “eight core ideas” to guide retirement income planning.

Here are those eight ideas, along with summaries of the explanations Pfau gave in his article:

Play the long game. Strategies that emphasize long-term planning over short-term expediencies include delaying the start of Social Security benefits, purchasing a single-premium immediate annuity (SPIA), paying a bit more taxes today to enjoy lower taxes in the future, making home renovations that support aging in place, setting up a plan that accounts for the risk of cognitive decline and opening a line of credit on a reverse mortgage.

Don’t leave money on the table. The holy grail of retirement income planning includes strategies that enhance retirement efficiency. If one strategy allows for more lifetime spending and/or a greater legacy than another strategy, then it is more efficient.

Use reasonable expectations for portfolio returns. You should not expect to earn the average historical market returns for your portfolio. Half the time returns will be more than average and half the time they’ll be less.

Avoid plans that assume high market returns. Stocks potentially offer a higher return than bonds as a reward for their additional risk. But this ”risk premium” is not guaranteed and may not materialize.

Build an integrated strategy to manage various retirement risks. Retirement risks include unpredictable longevity and an unknown planning horizon, market volatility and macroeconomic risks, inflation and spending shocks. Each of these risks must be managed by combining different income tools with different relative strengths and weaknesses.

Approach retirement income tools with an agnostic view. The most efficient retirement strategies require an integration of both investments and insurance.

Start with the household balance sheet. A retirement plan involves more than just financial assets. This has been a fundamental lesson from various retirement frameworks, such as Jason Branning and M. Ray Grubbs’ Modern Retirement Theory, Russell Investments’ Funded Ratio approach and the Household Balance Sheet view of the Retirement Income Industry Association.

Distinguish between “technical” and true liquidity. In a sense, an investment portfolio is a liquid asset, but some of its liquidity may be only an illusion. Assets must be matched to liabilities. Some, or even all, of the investment portfolio may be earmarked to meet future lifestyle spending goals, and is therefore less than fully liquid.

 © 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

RetireUp can now illustrate Allianz Life and Great American annuities

RetireUp – Create A Retirement Plan in Minutes from Learn RetireUp on Vimeo.


RetireUp, maker of a web-based platform that advisors can use to demonstrate retirement planning scenarios in real time, announced this week that its platform can now illustrate fixed index annuities (FIAs) from Allianz Life Insurance Company of North America and Great American Life.

Advisors and producers can use RetireUp to incorporate the Allianz 222 and Allianz Core Income 7, as well as Great American’s American Legend III FIA with the IncomeSecure rider, in RetireUp’s Retirement Income Models.

The centerpiece of the RetireUp platform is its “Retirement Income Story,” which allows advisors to provide clients and prospects with real-time, web-mediated visual presentations of retirement income strategies that include Social Security, pensions and specific annuity contracts.

“No other planning software can take a product from an Allianz Life or a Great American Life and show the client how it will work in their personal retirement plan in real time. We designed it all around the client meeting,” RetireUp CEO Dan Santner told RIJ in a phone interview. “Usually if a client brings up something new in a meeting, you have to go back to the home office to see how it will affect the annuities in the plan. With this, you just tap a button.”

RetireUp is used by registered reps at broker-dealers, by producers associated with insurance marketing organizations, by independent financial advisors and by RIAs. The flat subscription fee ($99/month or $999/year) includes unlimited support from RetireUp coaches. Advisors who already use planning software like eMoneyAdvisor or MoneyGuidePro can use RetireUp to interface with clients. 

“Our software is used for prospecting as well as client meetings. You can create a robust plan right in the first meeting, using a feature called ‘Solve It.’ Or you can gather information before the meeting,” said Michael Roth, partner and executive vice president for business development at the software firm. RetireUp was founded in 2014 and is based in Mundelein, Illinois, a northern suburb of Chicago.   

The ability to run hypotheticals with specific products is a key feature of the software. In cooperation with annuity issuers, RetireUp duplicates the pricing mechanics of a given annuity product within its own system so that it can instantly generate new quotes as the client or advisor introduces new variables. “We do exactly on our side what the carrier does on the actuarial side,” Roth said.

The service is positioned as a way for traditional intermediaries to create the kind of direct web-mediated interfaces with prospects and clients that robo-advisors offer, but with the addition of personal guidance from a human advisor.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Hybrid robo-advisors will eclipse pure robo: Swiss report

After the strong growth of the robo-advisory approach in recent years, promoted by numerous start-ups worldwide and adopted by a sizeable number of wealth managers, a new ‘sub-species’ has emerged: the hybrid robo/personal contact service, which adds a new software component to the client advisory process.

This is a key finding of a new report, “Hybrid Robos: how combining human and automated wealth advice delivers superior results and gains market share,”  from the Swiss research company MyPrivateBanking Research.

MyPrivateBanking Research estimates that assets managed by hybrid robo services will grow to $3.7 trillion assets worldwide by 2020 and to $16.3 trillion by 2025, or just over 10% of the world’s investable wealth. By comparison, “pure” robo-advisors (completely automated without personal service added on) will have an estimated market share of only 1.6% of the total global wealth at that point.

“Several major players have announced that they will reveal their hybrid offerings [during 2016] and many more wealth managers are currently working through the issues of hybrid robo adoption,” said Francis Groves, senior analyst of MyPrivateBanking Research, in a release.

Fueling the hybrid-robo trend, aside from the interest generated by the first-wave robo-advisors, will be “the launch of a substantial range of new B2B technology providers, some focused only on the banking and wealth management industries and others with a broader scope,” the report said.

“In the analysts’ view, the next 12 to 18 months will provide numerous demonstrations of the impact of the new (white label) technology providers and robo/conventional partnering on wealth management,” the release said. MyPrivateBanking Research also expects to see a surge in “quasi-wealth management services” from pension providers, fund managers and retail banks not usually involved in wealth management.

“The robo model of investment portfolio management will be good enough in the eyes of a larger proportion of investors than the wealth management industry itself yet seems ready to recognize,” Groves said in a statement. ”Hybrid robo-advisory services will increase the efficiency of advisors, in terms of numbers of clients served per professional, and the increasing numbers of hybrid solutions will also have a significant downwards effect on the client charges the market will bear.”

The report recommends 20 different steps wealth managers can take to prepare for the hybrid revolution, including:

  • Wealth managers should be wary of assuming that one or more robo-advisory elements can be just ‘added on’ to an existing service.
  • Especially in the retail and affluent segments, ties with non-financial retail services of various kinds will be of increasing importance for the success of robo-advisory client recruitment.
  • For most wealth managers the path to a hybrid solution will have several stages; but clients’ awareness of the capabilities of automation will be increasing rapidly in the next few years.
  • In the higher wealth segments, wealth managers who automate ‘behind the scenes’ processes will be in the best position to introduce client-facing robo elements when they’ve established their client-base is ready.

The report shows how various robo-advisor developments can be combined with personal contact from professionals. It offers five case studies of hybrid robo innovators, each showing a different pathway to a hybrid solution. The report also projects the growth of hybrid robo advice over the next nine years with a breakdown between North America and the rest of the world and between client wealth segments.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

‘No time for complacency,’ A.M. Best warns annuity issuers

Although most U.S. life and annuity insurance companies will face challenges in 2016 like the ones they faced in 2015, there’s a “heightened sense of urgency” for owners, shareholders and policyholders to ensure companies are not “continually increasing risks,” according to the 2016 Review & Preview Best’s Special Report.

The report, titled “Challenges Look Similar for U.S. Life & Annuity Industry But No Time for Complacency,” cites such familiar problems as historically low interest rates, marginal to declining premium growth and regulatory uncertainty.

The report notes that, in addition, life and annuity companies will face the aggregation of longevity exposure from increasing life expectancy trends, the rise of cyber risk as a life “catastrophic” event and increasing investment risk from traditional and non-traditional asset classes.

A.M. Best’s 2016 outlook for the life and annuity industry for 2016 remains stable. Most insurers have “ample levels” of risk-based capital, improved underlying financial results, improved asset/liability management capabilities and modest product features with few signs of a renewed “arms race” among competitors.

“The economy continues to pressure not only investment portfolio returns, but the profitability of many products, both spread-based and those with underlying long-term interest rate assumptions,” said an A.M. Best release.

“In addition, although the industry maintains minimal investment exposure to equities, such products with equity components are either less popular or are increasingly costly to hedge, especially in light of increased market volatility. For many legacy blocks to improve, most need either a significant return to higher rates and/or continued improvement in equity performance to support past underwriting mispricing.”

A.M. Best expects the U.S. economy to grow modestly in 2016, driven largely by domestic demand in contrast with many emerging and mature economies.

Non-traditional, or alternative capital, “patiently stands by waiting for a possible entry into the space,” the release said. “On the merger and acquisition front, the pace in 2016 should remain similar to that seen in 2015; however, while 2015 saw increased activity from foreign insurers entering the market, primarily Japanese life insurers, 2016 may be more represented by nontraditional players entering the space.”

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Insurance U. Becomes Retirement U.

Elite colleges and universities are easy to find in the leafy suburbs of Philadelphia. There’s Villanova, of hoops fame, and the Quaker trinity of Swarthmore, Haverford and Bryn Mawr. Then there’s The American College, a kind of grad school where adults study taxation and insurance and add credentials like the CFP and CLU to their business cards.     

The American College of Financial Services, to use its full name, is fast becoming known for another acronym: RICP. Since 2013, more than 10,000 advisors have enrolled in its Retirement Income Certified Professional designation program and some 2,000 have graduated. The RCIP recently passed the CLU (Chartered Life Underwriter) as the college’s biggest revenue source.

The American College wasn’t the first to market a retirement income-focused designation. InFRE’s Certified Retirement Counselor (CRC) and the Retirement Income Industry Association’s Retirement Management Analyst (RMA) preceded it. But the College’s reputation and resources, along with some strategic staffing, are making the RICP the most popular ornament for advisors who want to position themselves as retirement experts.

Far from the din of the DOL rule, these programs are fomenting a modest revolution in financial advice. Most advisors still specialize either in investments or insurance, but these programs are predicated on the idea that a combination of the two product types can give retirees the best financial results—and the most fiduciary results. The revolution is taking longer than some people hoped and expected, but not for lack of effort by these designation-shops. 

The main courses

The RICP program is self-directed and based on distance-learning. It provides what David Littell, J.D., ChFC, the 1988 Olympic fencer who teaches taxation and holds the Joseph E. Boettner Chair in Research at the College, calls an “asynchronous experience.” Enrollees in New York, California, Colorado or Florida, for example, can study remotely and on their own schedules. 

The curriculum consists of three learning objectives, each covered by a single course. “The first course is about process,” Littell told RIJ during a recent interview at the college. “That’s where we identify the elements of the retirement income planning process. In courses 2 and 3 we go deeper into specifics. The second course covers Social Security claiming strategies, flooring with annuities or investments, and other portfolio building issues.

“The third course looks at reverse mortgages. We use Harold Evensky’s strategy for tapping home equity conversion mortgage lines of credit (HECM LOCs) for current income instead of selling depressed assets, and then paying them down later. We also look at long-term care insurance and Medicare choices. It ends with retirement income portfolios.”RICP Sidebar

These courses are delivered via the Internet, using reading material, recorded videos and the Blackboard interface between school and student. “There’s an online lecture and a Power-Point presentation for each course. For each course we have a detailed outline and practice questions. The outline is like a book; it has all the points that are in the lecture,” Littell said.

Open architecture

The RICP videos are produced in the College’s own video production center. The talent in these televised presentations, interviews and roundtable discussions is provided either by members of the College faculty or by a growing pool of retirement experts who make guest appearances.

The faculty who appear in the videos include, besides Littell, Wade Pfau, Ph.D., and Jamie Hopkins, J.D.. Pfau is a professor of Retirement Income at the College and one of the country’s most widely-published retirement authorities. Hopkins teaches taxation and serves as co-director of The American College New York Life Center for Retirement Income.

Dozens of other videos feature a growing list of retirement experts who make cameo appearances as presenters or interviewees. “So far it’s grown to include 40 experts. [In terms of investment philosophy], they range from Michael Kitces and Jonathan Guyton, who don’t like annuities, to Tom Hegan,” the ex-Marine, pro-annuity motivational speaker and author of Paychecks and Playchecks (Acanthus 2012), Littell said.

Other experts include, for example, Curtis Cloke, the Burlington, Iowa, advisor who created the THRIVE system of optimizing the tax benefits of combing investments and insurance products, Brent Burns (co-author of Asset Dedication, McGraw-Hill 2004), who advocates bond laddering for income flooring, and journalist Mary Beth Franklin, an expert on Social Security claiming strategies. 

The cost of the each of the three required courses is $950. The combined cost is $2,450 when all three are purchased at once. There are no requirements or prerequisites for enrolling in the program. Many candidates are making the RICP their first designation—something that The American College had not expected, Littell said.

As an added benefit, students earn continuing education credits while studying for the RICP. “If you take the quizzes at the end of each course you can get insurance or CFP continuing-education courses,” Littell told RIJ. “That adds to the value of the designation and it saves money. Getting CE credit from us means one less conference they have to travel to.”

The college draws its students from the ranks of independent advisors as well as from broker-dealers. “We have approval from Merrill Lynch, and we just got approval of the designation from Raymond James. There are now about 40 distribution firms where the designation is approved for use on the advisors’ business cards,” Littell said.

Studiously agnostic

Founded in 1927 as The American College of Life Underwriters by Solomon Huebner, the first insurance professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, the school later added training for the Certified Financial Professional and Chartered Financial Consultant designations, as well as programs leading to masters of science degrees in Financial Services and in Management. The doctoral program in Financial and Retirement Planning was started in 2012 with a $5 million grant from New York Life.

In 2008, The American College started its New York Life Center for Retirement Income with a $2 million grant from the mutual insurance giant. Today, Littell and Jamie Hopkins are co-directors of the center. The center has a video library, accessible to the public on the college’s website, with some 60 videos on different topics within the field of retirement income. 

“New York Life told us at the time that the coming business would be huge, and that they wanted to improve the field. Since then we’ve started the video project and the website. Eventually we asked ourselves, ‘Won’t it make sense for this to become credentialized?’

“Early on, we talked to Francois Gadenne (founder of RIIA) about combining forces behind RIIA’s designation—the Retirement Management Analyst—and I even took the course myself. But ultimately we couldn’t see how it would work. They had the ‘flooring’ approach, but we wanted our designation to be broader than that, to include long-term care insurance and housing wealth. We didn’t think that the right designation existed yet.”

Less than two weeks ago, the College further cemented its claim to thought-leadership in retirement planning when it hired Michael Finke, Ph.D. to be its dean and Chief Academic Officer, starting this summer. Finke has been Director of Retirement Planning and Living at Texas Tech University. Like Pfau, he’s a well-known and widely published expert on retirement income planning. (Before Pfau was hired by The American College in 2013, he served as volunteer curriculum director for RIIA’s RMA designation.)

The RICP program tries to be ideologically agnostic, promoting neither one type of financial product over another or one business model—commission, fee-based, fee-only, or hourly—over another. One of the principal problems in financial advice today, arguably, is the tendency of advisors to use products and processes that fit their business models—and to ignore others, even if they might suit the client as well or better.    

The American College made a strategic decision to remain above that fray. “We intentionally have no commitment to any particular philosophy, Littell said. “We think that’s attractive to advisors. On the issue of business models, that’s been a concern of ours from the beginning.We decided just to teach people the right ways to do [retirement income planning] it and assume that there’s no bias in their business models one way or the other. Our answer is to just keep telling them how to do it right.”

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Advisors: How to Outsmart the Smartphone

Digital disruption has human voices, and I am listening to one.

“My firm has lost three clients to Vanguard’s financial planning service this year,” said the successful, Wharton-educated registered investment advisor sitting next to me, with just a trace of bitterness. “But Vanguard isn’t telling the truth about its service. That’s not real financial planning. It’s just asset allocation.”

But Vanguard may be feeling the heat too. Its programmers are probably coding as fast as they can.

The RIA and I both attended the “T3” advisor conference in Fort Lauderdale this week, where 500 or so RIAs gathered in a beachside Marriott to learn why the latest in direct-to-consumer financial technology, or fintech, is a must-have for them and not a nice-to-have.

The news at the conference, organized for the eleventh consecutive year by fintech analyst Joel Bruckenstein, is that the future is not coming, it’s already here. Even for advisors, financial services is increasingly customer services. [Editor’s note: I’m in a beachfront Starbucks, and at every table a 75-year-old is on a smartphone or tablet.]

RIAs are already using technology in their back offices and middle offices, to outsource or automate whatever chores can be outsourced or automated. But they were told at T3 that they need much better client-facing interactive technology, especially if they hope to inherit their current clients’ tech-savvy Millennial children.

The 79 tech companies with exhibits at the conference were there to fill that need. Companies like Morningstar, Fidelity, eMoneyAdvisor, MoneyGuidePro and Redtail, as well as Oranj, Riskalyze and Intelliflo pitched, demonstrated or announced the arrival of their newest software or platforms or mobile apps. There are enough options to make even a computer-literate advisor’s head spin—but nobody wants to end up as a Yellow Cab in an Über-driven world.

Morningstar, the robo

Morningstar, Inc., a sponsor of T3, is determined to be a leader of the fintech parade. The Chicago-based fund-rating juggernaut, has been building and buying software and robo-advice firms. Morningstar serves institutions, advisory firms and even individuals, and relies on technology to distribute its vast storehouse of investment data.

Morningstar bought robo-advisor HelloWallet, for instance, in mid-2014, and plans to expand its reach beyond 401(k) plans. “HelloWallet was mainly a workplace product,” said Tricia Rothschild, Morningstar’s head of global advisory solutions and a speaker at the conference. “But we’ll be bringing it out of the workplace and into the broader retail market in the next year or so.”

In 2014, Morningstar also acquired account aggregation tool, ByAllAccounts. Last fall, 2015, it bought Sheryl Rowling’s tax-rebalancing software, Total Rebalance Expert (tRx). Rothschild said Morningstar will be partnering a ByAllAccounts partner, WealthAccess, which provides digital client interfaces. Morningstar also has a relationship with Sustainalytics, a Europe-based firm that which assigns ratings to funds on the basis of their sensitivity to the environmental, social and governance issues.

Rothschild described the next-gen RIA’s role as more data-hub for clients than investment guru. “It’s not your data or my data; it’s the client’s data, and the client has a right to data that’s current, portable, secure, and rich with insight,” she said. “Job One is to make sure the data flows and meets the client’s needs. Job Two is to create an open information ecosystem that’s not vertically integrated.” Within this framework, she said, the advisor’s proper role is to “provide context, overcome emotional hurdles, and to motivate clients to act when necessary.”    

Amazon as financial planner?

Bob Curtis, founder of MoneyGuidePro, appeared at the conference to introduce a forthcoming version of his product, G4, and to emphasize the low-friction “on-boarding” strategies that robo-advisors learned from firms like Netflix and Airbnb and transferred to the financial services game.

“The most important contribution of the robo-advisors is that they created a technology bridge to the client,” Curtis said. More than 70% of consumers are afraid to go to a financial advisor, he said, in part because they don’t want to share confidential data. With the robo-advisors, they like the ability to control how much they reveal.

Upstart robo-advisors are not advisors’ biggest threats, in his opinion. The threat to RIAs is more likely to come from big fund companies or banks, he said which already have millions of customers.

“Vanguard is a much bigger competitor for you than the other robo-advisors,” he told the RIAs. Vanguard, traditionally a minimalist with a do-it-yourself client base, now offers more phone assistance from certified financial planners than in the past, in addition to assistance from trained call center operators.

“And what happens if the banks get good at planning?” he asked. “It’s starting. They see the stress on their business models. Big firms are coming to us for new products, and now your clients have the banks pursuing them.” [At this point, a small, buzzing propeller-driven drone hovered toward Curtis, who retrieved a paper scroll that was attached to it.] “It’s a message from Amazon,” he joked. “Amazon isn’t doing financial advice yet, but there’s nothing stopping them. The idea of Amazon and the big banks getting into financial planning keeps me up at night.”   

Coming to a screen near you

The general consensus on the future of financial planning at T3 seemed to be something like this: Clients will want to access all of their financial information on the screens of their smartphones. Advisors will ask some clients to input essential information about themselves through these portals. They will be able to upload images of important documents to a lockbox via their portals, which will be as personalized and almost as image-rich as a Facebook page. And, to an unprecedented extent, they will build their own plans.

“You can let the client do the plan entirely on their own, and then review it for them,” said Kevin Krull, president of MoneyGuidePro.

An ability to scale is becoming essential, he said, because the typical advisor will need four times as more customers than they now have to earn the same income. Unprecedented fee compression is coming, thanks to the anticipated DOL fiduciary rule and competition from large institutions. Advisors will need to shift their attention from numbers to clients, and to adopt goal-based instead of performance-based planning styles. Metrics will highlight progress toward client goals, not just performance.

That may not be easy, because the two are hard to separate. One of the speakers noted that when markets go down and clients need to spend less, advisors usually tell them to eliminate goals on their ‘wish list,’ and to leave items on their ‘necessity’ list alone. That’s apparently a mistake. “Don’t cut the wishes first,” Krull said. “Clients want you to show them how they can still get their wishes.” Good luck with that.

© 2016  RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

What’s Holding Back the World Economy?

Seven years after the global financial crisis erupted in 2008, the world economy continued to stumble in 2015. According to the United Nations’ report World Economic Situation and Prospects 2016, average growth rate in developed economies has declined by more than 54% since the crisis. An estimated 44 million people are unemployed in developed countries, about 12 million more than in 2007, while inflation has reached its lowest level since the crisis.

More worryingly, advanced countries’ growth rates have also become more volatile. This is surprising, because, as developed economies with fully open capital accounts, they should have benefited from the free flow of capital and international risk sharing – and thus experienced little macroeconomic volatility. Furthermore, social transfers, including unemployment benefits, should have allowed households to stabilize their consumption.

But the dominant policies during the post-crisis period – fiscal retrenchment and quantitative easing (QE) by major central banks – have offered little support to stimulate household consumption, investment, and growth. On the contrary, they have tended to make matters worse.

In the US, quantitative easing did not boost consumption and investment partly because most of the additional liquidity returned to central banks’ coffers in the form of excess reserves. The Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act of 2006, which authorized the Federal Reserve to pay interest on required and excess reserves, thus undermined the key objective of QE.

Indeed, with the US financial sector on the brink of collapse, the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 moved up the effective date for offering interest on reserves by three years, to October 1, 2008. As a result, excess reserves held at the Fed soared, from an average of $200 billion during 2000-2008 to $1.6 trillion during 2009-2015. Financial institutions chose to keep their money with the Fed instead of lending to the real economy, earning nearly $30 billion – completely risk-free – during the last five years.

This amounts to a generous – and largely hidden – subsidy from the Fed to the financial sector. And, as a consequence of the Fed’s interest-rate hike last month, the subsidy will increase by $13 billion this year.

Perverse incentives are only one reason that many of the hoped-for benefits of low interest rates did not materialize. Given that QE managed to sustain near-zero interest rates for almost seven years, it should have encouraged governments in developed countries to borrow and invest in infrastructure, education, and social sectors. Increasing social transfers during the post-crisis period would have boosted aggregate demand and smoothed out consumption patterns.

Moreover, the UN report clearly shows that, throughout the developed world, private investment did not grow as one might have expected, given ultra-low interest rates. In 17 of the 20 largest developed economies, investment growth remained lower during the post-2008 period than in the years prior to the crisis; five experienced a decline in investment during 2010-2015.

Globally, debt securities issued by non-financial corporations – which are supposed to undertake fixed investments – increased significantly during the same period. Consistent with other evidence, this implies that many non-financial corporations borrowed, taking advantage of the low interest rates. But, rather than investing, they used the borrowed money to buy back their own equities or purchase other financial assets. QE thus stimulated sharp increases in leverage, market capitalization, and financial-sector profitability.

But, again, none of this was of much help to the real economy. Clearly, keeping interest rates at the near zero level does not necessarily lead to higher levels of credit or investment. When banks are given the freedom to choose, they choose riskless profit or even financial speculation over lending that would support the broader objective of economic growth.

By contrast, when the World Bank or the International Monetary Fund lends cheap money to developing countries, it imposes conditions on what they can do with it. To have the desired effect, QE should have been accompanied not only by official efforts to restore impaired lending channels (especially those directed at small- and medium-size enterprises), but also by specific lending targets for banks. Instead of effectively encouraging banks not to lend, the Fed should have been penalizing banks for holding excess reserves.

While ultra-low interest rates yielded few benefits for developed countries, they imposed significant costs on developing and emerging-market economies. An unintended, but not unexpected, consequence of monetary easing has been sharp increases in cross-border capital flows. Total capital inflows to developing countries increased from about $20 billion in 2008 to over $600 billion in 2010.

At the time, many emerging markets had a hard time managing the sudden surge of capital flows. Very little of it went to fixed investment. In fact, investment growth in developing countries slowed significantly during the post crisis period. This year, developing countries, taken together, are expected to record their first net capital outflow – totaling $615 billion – since 2006.

Neither monetary policy nor the financial sector is doing what it’s supposed to do. It appears that the flood of liquidity has disproportionately gone toward creating financial wealth and inflating asset bubbles, rather than strengthening the real economy. Despite sharp declines in equity prices worldwide, market capitalization as a share of world GDP remains high. The risk of another financial crisis cannot be ignored.

There are other policies that hold out the promise of restoring sustainable and inclusive growth. These begin with rewriting the rules of the market economy to ensure greater equality, more long-term thinking, and reining in the financial market with effective regulation and appropriate incentive structures.

But large increases in public investment in infrastructure, education, and technology will also be needed. These will have to be financed, at least in part, by the imposition of environmental taxes, including carbon taxes, and taxes on the monopoly and other rents that have become pervasive in the market economy – and contribute enormously to inequality and slow growth.

© 2016 Project-Syndicate.  

The Prodigal Daughter (and the Annuity)

Would it make sense to use a life annuity to protect an old woman’s income and prevent her feckless daughter and granddaughter from consuming her $2 million estate—and endangering a son’s inheritance?  

As we hiked along a snow-and-ice encrusted trail through a state park last week, an advisor-friend told me about a dilemma that one of his clients faced. She was 88 years old, in relatively good health, and had recently paid $500,000 for a sunny unit in an assisted living facility in Florida. (At her death, the facility would buy back the unit from her heirs for the same price). The facility charged an additional $6,000 a month for meals, housekeeping and support.

The widow of a successful attorney, the woman was fairly well fixed. There was $250,000 in an IRA and roughly $1.5 million in a revocable trust. The trust’s primary beneficiaries were her 56-year-old son and 51-year-old daughter. Her son served as trustee. The money was invested in a diverse mix of domestic and international equity ETFs and bond funds.

There was just one problem. To put it bluntly, the daughter was spending her mother’s money at an alarming rate.  Divorced from a man who had had a nervous breakdown and lost his business, the daughter depended on her mother for income. In addition, her daughter, a 23-year-old unable to work because of an autoimmune disease of unknown origin, was receiving $3,000 a month to cover her living expenses. 

The mother was unable to say no to her daughter’s requests for money, and the son had been disbursing the money from the trust accordingly. But now the son was worried. If his mother lived long enough and if his sister and niece continued to spend at their current rate, his inheritance might be paltry. 

“Sounds messy, but not uncommon,” I said. He had called me because he thought he might solve their problem by recommending an immediate income annuity for the mother. The annuity would protect the income she required for life. For a $500,000 premium, he said, he could buy a life-only contract paying $83,000 a year. Did that make sense? [The quote is from memory, so please don’t hold me to it.]

The purchase of an annuity often calls for a serious family decision. Here was a case where a serious family decision seemed to call for an annuity. As the advisor saw it, the $250,000 IRA and $250,000 from the trust could go into the annuity. Then, after an additional $250,000 was set aside for the mother’s unexpected needs, a fair one-time payment of $500,000 could be made to the daughter, giving her responsibility for managing the money for herself and the ailing granddaughter. The son would receive the remaining $500,000, and the two siblings would share the reimbursement of the $500,000 from the assisted living facility equally.

This was his plan, but it was still fluid. My advisor friend, who charges by the hour, would gain nothing from an annuity purchase nor lose any fees from “annuicide.” So compensation was not an issue. But he found himself a bit bewildered by all the contract options, and needed my help sorting them out.

We debated the pros and cons of various strategies for an hour or two. Would a life annuity make more or less sense than a period certain contract with a cash refund? What if the elderly woman were hit by a jitney while crossing Collins Avenue in Miami Beach? But wouldn’t the son be drawn to the larger rate of implied return offered by the life-only annuity? (The woman’s life expectancy was about five years.)

I could see that analysis paralysis, a common side effect of the annuity purchase process, was eroding his original enthusiasm for the guaranteed solution. I tried to think of something concrete, some sort of heuristic, to prevent him from retreating into the comfort zone of a balanced investment solution. It was like seeing someone bitten by a viper and trying to think of an antidote in time to save his life.

Finally, I suggested that, instead of picking a target premium and comparing payouts from different types of contracts, it might be more useful to pick a target payout and then compare the prices of different types of contracts. He and his client could eyeball the prices and—using the common sense that most people use when weighing the purchases of vacation insurance or appliance insurance—decide if the peace of mind of a refund seemed worth the higher price.

That notion didn’t seem to galvanize him, so I tried something else. “Look,” I said. “Don’t agonize about a difference of a few tens of thousands of dollars. A person should buy an annuity to solve a problem, not to make a financial bet. You buy an annuity to take certain kinds of risk off the table. And this annuity can stop the family from drifting and bring some clarity to the situation. Isn’t that what they want?” He didn’t reply, but after we had scraped the mud off our shoes, climbed into his Subaru, and started driving back toward the city, I thought I could see the serum working.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.    

New fintech solutions from ASI, BondView and Envestnet

A new white-label robo-advisory platform, ASI Digital Advisor, was introduced this week by Advisor Software Inc., which said advisors can use the platform “to quickly enter the automated digital advice marketplace.”

In a release, ASI described its Digital Advisor as “a complete solution for on-boarding and managing investment advice clients” that includes a lead-generation component (deployable from the advisory firm’s existing website) and a “mobile-responsive investor portal” accessible from any web-enabled device. 

The new tool is built on the ASI Wealth Management Cloud platform. ASI used APIs to build it in “modular fashion” for flexibility and scalability. APIs, or Application Program Interfaces, are replacing EDI (Electronic Data Interface) for real-time data transfer between devices.  

Advisory firms that use ASI Digital Advisor can customize the interface with their own brands, their own investment options, and either a goal-based or risk-based approach to model selection.

In a goal-based configuration, clients can create multiple financial goals, track goal progress, and run Monte Carlo simulations on their portfolios. ASI Digital Advisor’s administrative features allow firms to create any number of model portfolios and to monitor and rebalance any number of accounts. 

Advisors can also customize client-profiling questionnaires and scoring rules, and use their own capital market assumptions. ASI Digital Advisor’s integration with DocuSign enables clients and advisors to e-sign account-opening paperwork.

“With this release, we believe we have set new standards for usability, scalability and flexibility in the digital advice space,” said Andrew Rudd, Chairman and CEO of Advisor Software Inc.

Advisor Software, Inc. (ASI) provides wealth management cloud platforms for financial advisors and institutions. ASI’s products address advisors’ functional needs, including Planning, Proposal Generation, Portfolio Construction, Rebalancing, and Investment Analytics. The company’s solutions serve asset management firms, broker-dealers, banks, insurance companies, online brokerages, custodians and other providers of investment services and products.  

BondView

BondView, a provider of municipal bond information and analytics, today launched the first fintech platform that analyzes municipal bond funds and their underlying bond holdings within one application.

“Now it’s easy to drill down into the details of every municipal bond fund and access previously unavailable data,” said a BondView release. The firm’s platform tracks

more than 2,000 municipal bond funds and two million individual municipal bonds from over 50,000 issuers.

Municipal bond fund managers and investors will be able to use the service to identify funds “that could outperform their peers and avoid those with troubled holdings,” according to BondView CEO Robert Kane.

BondView’s suite of applications allows:

  • Real-time trading data on the holdings of 2,000+ municipal bond funds
  • Peer group evaluation tools to compare funds with members of their peer groups at the holdings, income, liquidity and volatility levels.
  • Stress testing, monitoring and other analytics on funds and individual holdings.
  • Alerts to fund portfolio changes and investment trends.
  • The ability to cross-reference fund ownership with the universe of muni bonds.
  • Institutional ownership on individual muni bonds.
  • Detailed fund maturity schedule on all bond holdings and alerts for when new cash is available.
  • Analysis of fund holdings overlap to assess diversification and concentration across portfolios.

To access BondView Fund product free beta release, go to https://bondview.com/bond-funds

BondView offers real-time data, including estimated prices, alerts, ratings, financial filings, rich/cheap analysis, stress-testing and trade history on more than two million municipal bonds from more than 50,000 issuers.

Envestnet and TDAmeritrade

Envestnet | Tamarac has implemented the first phase of integration between its web-based Advisor Xi suite for independent RIAs and TD Ameritrade Institutional’s the Veo custodial platform.

The integration allows advisors to obtain real-time account and cash balances, addresses, beneficiaries, contacts, account alerts, trade warnings, and cost basis data for realized gains from TD Ameritrade Institutional, according to Stuart DePina, Group President of Envestnet | Tamarac.   

Later this year, Tamarac expects to complete additional integrations with the Veo platform to facilitate the straight-through processing of trades within the Advisor Rebalancing application. That will enable advisors to use TD Ameritrade Institutional as their data source for Holdings, Unrealized Gains/Losses, and Transactions reports in Advisor View.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

New York City eyes public savings plan for private sector workers

Noting that fewer than half of New Yorkers have access to a retirement savings plan, New York Mayor Bill de Blasio proposed a city-sponsored retirement savings program for private-sector workers in his State of the City address on February 4.

The mayor said that he, New York City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito and Public Advocate Letitia James will draft legislation that would enable any New Yorker working at a business with 10 or more employees to automatically enroll in an employee-funded retirement plan.

Contributions would be made exclusively by employees and their accounts would be portable from job to job. The city would create a board to oversee and manage the program.

“This proposal places New York at the vanguard of the many cities, counties, and states that are working to secure a brighter retirement for their citizens,” said Hank Kim, Esq., executive director and counsel of NCPERS.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved. 

401(k) and IRA balances reflect market volatility: Fidelity

Fidelity Investments reported this week that released its clients’ overall 401(k) and Individual Retirement Account (IRA) 401(k) and IRA account balances increased in Q4 2015, but were down year over year. After decreasing in Q3 2015 due to market volatility, average retirement account balances recovered in Q4 2015, but were still below the averages from Q4 2014.

The average IRA contribution was $1,500 in Q4 2015, up from $1,260 in Q3 but down from $1,660 in Q4 2014. The average total 401(k) contribution, which includes both employee and employer contributions, was $2,540 in Q4 2015, down slightly from $2,610 in Q3 but up from $2,440 in Q4 2014. During 2015, employers contributed an average of $3,610 to 401(k) accounts through profit sharing or company match.

As of the end of Q4 2015, 25% of total 401(k) assets on Fidelity’s platform were held in target date funds, and 67% of Fidelity 401(k) account holders had at least some of their savings in a target date fund. Among Millennials, 63% had all of their retirement assets in a target date fund at the end of Q4. The use of Fidelity’s professionally managed account portfolios continued to increase in 2015, growing by 19% since 2014.

In early January, Fidelity responded to six million customer contacts in a single day, one of the busiest days on record. Shareholder anxiety related to market volatility generated the high call volume, Fidelity said in a release.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

‘American Savings Account’ proposed

Legislation that would create for certain private sector workers a portable retirement savings arrangement to be known as the “American Savings Account” (ASA) has been introduced by Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR). 

The “American Savings Account Act of 2016” calls for arrangements similar to IRA-based plans and to the federal Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) for governmental employees. 

The bill is aimed at employees of businesses that offer no retirement plan and at self-employed individuals. It has provisions similar in some ways to automatic IRA programs that have been proposed at the federal level, and—owing to the absence of congressional action—are now being pursued by a number of states.

Following is a brief summary of the ASA Act provisions:

  • Part-time and full-time workers of firms not offering a defined contribution retirement plan would be automatically enrolled.
  • The self-employed could affirmatively choose to enroll.
  • Independent contractors could request that those who employ them withhold and remit ASA contributions on their behalf.
  • Church employers could optionally elect to enroll their employees, but would not be required to.
  • Employees covered by a collective bargaining agreement (union employees) would not be covered as “qualified employees.”
  • Contributions would begin at 3%, and can be maintained, increased, reduced, or halted.
  • Amounts automatically withheld could be recovered as permissible withdrawals, up to the employee’s tax filing deadline.
  • Maximum annual contributions, which would be excludable from taxable income, would equal the deferral limit that applies to 401(k), 403(b), governmental 457(b), and TSP plans (currently $18,000).
  • Annual automatic increases of 0.5% of compensation would apply to employees with affirmative deferral rates less than 5 percent, and employee can opt out.
  • Contributions would be made to a Traditional IRA (similar in concept to SEP or SAR-SEP contributions made to Traditional IRAs), and would be eligible for conversion to Roth IRAs.
  • The contribution deadline would be no less frequent than monthly and no later than 30 days after the end of a pay period.
  • ASAs could accept rollovers of any amount eligible to be rolled over to a Traditional or (if converted) a Roth IRA.
  • Distributions from ASAs would not be aggregated with the taxpayer’s Traditional or Roth IRAs for purposes of basis recovery or ordering rules.
  • Investments offered would mirror those of the federal TSP program (the default investment being an age-appropriate target date fund).
  • A participant’s spouse would be the account beneficiary in the absence of a spousal waiver.
  • States sponsoring certain retirement plans for private sector workers could prohibit their state employers’ participation in the ASA program.
  • ASA contributions would be authorized as of January 1 of the third calendar year following the year of enactment.
  • An ASA Board of Directors would establish policies for the investment and management of the fund to which contributions would be made.

The bill’s introduction coincided with the Senate Finance Committee hearing on enhancing access to retirement saving options, and with retirement initiatives in President Obama’s 2017 fiscal year budget proposal.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Road to “ruin” should be less traveled: Milevsky

In a forthcoming “Viewpoint” column in the Financial Analysts Journal, Moshe Milvesky reconsiders his former positions on using probabilities of ruin to evaluate a retirement income strategy and offers a more direct way for retirement advisors to talk to clients about reducing the risk of ever running out of money.

In the opinion piece, “It’s Time to Retire Ruin (Probabilities),” the York University finance professor and well-known author revisits and questions the belief, now embedded in the algorithms of numerous retirement planning software products, that it’s possible to establish a precise probability that someone will run out of money in retirement, or that any investment plan in retirement that minimizes that number must be good.

After apologizing for helping popularize that belief, Milevsky points out that “this approach can get out of hand and is subject to abuse.” One problem is that, if many different investment strategies can produce the same probability of ruin—and they may—how does an advisor or a client choose among those strategies?

Assigning a probability of ruin at all, Milevsky says (in one of the metaphors that are trademarks of both his popular and scholarly writing), assumes that clients won’t take measures to avoid it, but “continue driving blindly at the same speed until they run out of gas in the middle of the desert.”

That can happen, but Milevsky doesn’t expect it to be the norm. “The presumption that a client will adhere to a deterministic spending schedule, wake up one morning, go to an ATM, and discover that the ‘money process’ has reached zero is silly and naïve,” writes the author of The Calculus of Retirement, Are You a Stock or a Bond?, and the recent King William’s Tontine: Why the Retirement Annuity of the Future Should Resemble its Past (Cambridge, 2015).   

Milevsky’s articles typically cite colorful anecdotes or legends from financial history, and this one is true to form. To illustrate the point that our planning tools themselves can be biased, he describes the Harvard professor whose students threw dice thousands of times and found that the numbers five and six came up surprisingly often. Instead of heading for the craps tables in Las Vegas, they wisely examined the dice and found that the extra dimples on those sides had skewed the distribution. They had neglected to use professional-grade dice.

Instead of relying on high probabilities of ruin to jolt clients into an awareness of longevity risk (or relying on low probabilities of ruin to lull them into complacency), Milevsky suggests using an equation, populated with numbers that the clients themselves provide, “to introduce the idea of longevity of the portfolio (his italics).” 

The equation was created by Leonardo Fibonacci (1170-1250). It can be used to show how many years a sum of money will last if subjected to a constant rate of withdrawal and a constant rate of growth. Advisors can plug in best-estimates of a client’s withdrawal amount (not percentage), his or her estimated number of years of life expectancy (based on health and average life expectancy at retirement), current savings, and estimated future real investment returns, after fees, taxes and inflation. 

The equation generates the number of years that the client’s savings can be expected to last. If it’s less than the expected life expectancy, the client hopefully hears a wake-up call. “It’s a conversation starter,” Milevsky writes. “The doctor gave you 20 years of longevity, and your portfolio has only 14 years of longevity. There is a mismatch. Tell your client to do something about it.”

In short, Why beat around the bush with probabilities? They are always questionable and can easily be massaged into any shape that makes the client or advisor happy. Better to bring clients face to face with their dilemmas, and show them why they need to consider strategies—working longer, delaying Social Security, reducing expenses, buying annuities or getting a reverse mortgage—that will help their savings last longer.

Of course, not all advisors will prefer this “tough love” approach to retirement planning. Those who have predetermined goals (either self-imposed or externally-imposed) may continue to embrace the use of probabilities. A low probability of ruin can help justify almost any strategy.   

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.           

Born to be vetoed: Two more House bills target DOL proposal

While the Office of Management and Budget reviews the budgetary implications of the Department of Labor’s forthcoming “fiduciary rule,” the Republican-led House Committee on Education and the Workforce approved two bills on Feb. 2, 2016  that would nullify the DOL’s proposed rule.

The two similar bills, which would likely be vetoed by President Obama if they reached his desk, are:

  • The “Affordable Retirement Advice Protection Act” (HR 4293) introduced by Rep. Phil Roe (R-Tenn.) addresses ERISA jurisdiction;  
  • The “Strengthening Access to Valuable Education and Retirement Support (SAVERS) Act” (HR 4293) introduced by Rep. Peter Roskam (R-Ill.) would amend the Internal Revenue Code. 

The two bills are written in the customary congressional style, which makes interpretation by a layperson nearly impossible. But they seem intended to maintain the status quo in provision of financial advice to 401(k) participants and IRA owners.

In the status quo, the line between “advice” and sales and marketing is blurred (with respect to IRAs (and any other assets). The advisor’s only obligation to clients is to disclose that he is a salesperson and not a trustworthy advisory conflicts of interests; most clients don’t read or  understand the disclosures.   

The DOL proposal would resolve this ambiguity by requiring sellers of financial products to IRA owners to act solely in the interests of the client. But, in making it illegal for sales to masquerade as advice, the DOL threatens to eliminate a vast amount of sales activity virtually overnight.

Financial services companies could adapt, but it would require fundamental, expensive changes to business models and processes. Hence the partisan effort, through legislation, to stop or emasculate the proposed rule. It’s still possible that the final version of the rule will be softer than the proposal, but no one’s counting on that. 

The second bill, also similar to one introduced in December, uses similar language to amend the Internal Revenue Code. (The IRS would enforce the new DOL rule.) Both of the new bills require congressional approval of the DOL’s final rule before it goes into effect and, if Congress did not approval the final rule, Congress would offer “alternative fiduciary protection for consumers.”   

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Human asset transfers: Finke to American College, Webb to New School

Michael Finke, Ph.D., a professor and Director of Retirement Planning and Living in the Department of Personal Financial Planning at Texas Tech University, has been named Dean and Chief Academic Officer at The American College of Financial Services in Bryn Mawr, PA. will assume his new duties this summer.

Finke has published more than 50 peer-reviewed articles since joining the Texas Tech faculty. His research questioning the 4% rule in the Journal of Financial Planning with The American College professor, Dr. Wade Pfau, won the 2014 Montgomery Warschauer Award for the most influential article in the Journal of Financial Planning

In addition to conducting research and advising students, Dr. Finke writes the monthly “Finke on Finance” column for Research Magazine in which he uses research to help professionals understand timely industry topics.  He has also worked on white paper research projects for companies including Northwestern Mutual, OneAmerica, MetLife, the Society of Actuaries, and TIAA-CREF.

Dr. Finke received a doctorate in consumer economics from The Ohio State University in 1998 and in finance from the University of Missouri in 2011. He also served as the director of graduate studies at the University of Missouri. Since 2006, Dr. Finke has directed the Ph.D. program at the Texas Tech University Department of Personal Financial Planning.

Anthony (Tony) Webb, Ph.D. is moving to the Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA) in the economics department of the New School in New York. He will serve as Research Director of SCEPA’s Retirement Equity Lab (ReLab), effective March 1, 2016.

Webb is moving to the New School from his current position as senior research economist at the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. He has also served as a senior research analyst at the International Longevity Center.

At SCEPA, Webb will manage the ReLab research team, produce original research on the retirement crisis, and oversee ReLab’s support of retirement reform at the local, state, and federal levels.

Webb holds a doctorate in economics from the University of California, San Diego. He has studied the impact of pension type on the retirement age, the financing of long-term care, and the management of the asset decumulation process, with a focus on quantifying the magnitude of the retirement savings crisis and to “refute the claims of the retirement crisis deniers.” 

ReLab, led by economist and retirement expert Teresa Ghilarducci, researches the causes and consequences of the downward mobility in retirement that millions of Americans will face. The Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA) is an economic policy think tank.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Mothers, Don’t Let Your Babies Grow Up to Be… Student Debtors

How will young people be able to pay off more than $1 trllion in student loans and still be able to buy homes, educate their children, save for retirement?  

The answer will have implications not just for younger people. Boomers will be counting on the savings of Millennials, and of Gen X and Gen Y, to provide liquidity when they go to sell their securities and their homes. 

That question is examined in a research brief circulated this week by Alicia Munnell and Tony Webb of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. If all current retirees had today’s levels of college debt, the CRR’s National Retirement Risk Index (NRRI) would be 56.2% instead of 51.6%, they calculate. If student debt were eliminated, the NRRI would be 49.2%.

The household impact of student debt depends on the size of the debt, of course. But, overall, CRR found 60.1% of households with student debt were at risk for not maintaining their current level of consumption in retirement, compared to 49.2% for those without student debt.

In the pace of just 12 years, the volume of student debt in the US skyrocketed. “Student loan debt was $1.2 trillion in 2015, compared to just $0.2 trillion in 2003. It now accounts for more than 30% of total household non-mortgage debt, having surpassed credit card debt in 2011,” Webb and Munnell write. “The average student debt level for recent college students in 2013 was $31,000. The question is whether starting out $31,000 in the hole could have a big impact on households’ retirement preparedness.”

The researchers showed that the burden of student debt probably hinders the accumulation of home equity, a key source of wealth for middle-class retirees and the basis for reverse mortgage annuities or lines of credit. “Homeownership among households ages 30-39 declined from 58% to 53% between 2001 and 2013,” the CRR Brief said. “Households with student debt are 6.7% less likely to own a home and that the homes they do own will have a 5.4% lower value… Those with student debt may also delay buying a house.”

Parents often co-sign for student debt, so that it is “not just an issue for younger people, but also for their parents,” the authors wrote. It’s not just an issue for those with lower incomes either. “Middle- and high-income households are more likely to have student debt than those in the bottom third of the income distribution,” the report said.

Students who borrow money for college but don’t graduate will be the one’s most at risk for retirement shortfalls. “Those with student loans who have completed college have only a slightly higher percentage at risk than those without student debt (52.9% versus 49.2%),” the authors wrote, “but for households with student loans that did not complete college the difference is enormous (67.1% versus 49.2%).”

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Honorable Mention

Robo-watch: New product enhances digital advice channel

Wealthbox CRM, web-based client relationship management application for financial advisors, released the Wealthbox API for technology partners in the fintech space. Developers can use it to create custom applications and data widgets for advisors using the Wealthbox CRM platform to integrate with their online services.

The Wealthbox API is REST-based and is part of a new version upgrade called Wealthbox 2.0, said Dan Ferranti, CTO of Starburst Labs, Inc., the makers of Wealthbox.

Wealthbox CRM for Gmail was also announced today. Available through a Google Chrome extension, the integration allows financial advisors using Gmail to view Wealthbox CRM activity in Gmail and add new contacts to Wealthbox, lookup contact details from Gmail, review and add client notes to Wealthbox, deep link to a contact record page from Gmail, and “send and save” emails to Wealthbox from Gmail in one click.

New Wealthbox API integrations are coming soon, from complementary fintech products to enabling services like Zapier.

The Wealthbox CRM for Gmail feature follows the recent Wealthbox+Slack integration. Said Alan Moore, co-founder of the XY Planning Network, “With the Wealthbox API and the new Gmail feature Starburst Labs continues to solidify itself as a forward-thinking technology company that has developed a CRM that advisors actually want to use. This is why the XY Planning Network provides Wealthbox CRM to all of its members.”

Wealthbox CRM is produced by Starburst Labs, Inc. (formerly Gotham Tech Labs) in New York. Starburst Labs’ suite of online products, including Wealthbase and InvestorSay, connect financial advisors with investors.  

Planning pays off: LIMRA

A new LIMRA Secure Retirement Institute study finds that pre-retirees and retirees (ages 55-75 with financial assets of $100,000+) who have a formal written retirement plan are more likely to feel more confident they are saving enough for retirement and more than twice as likely to feel very prepared for retirement than those without one.

The study, The Benefits of Retirement Planning, revealed significant differences between those with and without a formal written plan:   

  • Half of pre-retirees and retirees with formal written plan say they feel very prepared for retirement, compared with just 17% of those without one.
  • 80% of those with a formal written plan have estimated how many years their assets will last into retirement, nearly double of those who don’t have a formal written plan (42%).
  • 78% of those with a formal written plan have developed a specific plan for generating income from savings; only 38% of those without a formal written plan have done so.

The Institute found that pre-retirees and retirees who have formal written retirement plans are more likely to roll over and consolidate their assets within two years.  They are also more likely to convert a portion of their assets into an annuity within two years:

  • Pre-retirees with formal written plans are twice as likely to convert a portion of their assets into guaranteed income (22% vs. 11%).
  • Retirees with formal written plans are three times as likely to convert a portion of their assets into guaranteed income (25% vs. 8%).

T. Rowe Price mobilizes retirement readiness effort

T. Rowe Price has officially launched a redesigned Workplace Retirement site for its nearly 2 million plan participants. With the implementation of the new design, which provides optimal browsing on mobile devices, the firm has seen:

  • 13% increase in enrollment completion rates over the past year.
  • Creation of personalized Confidence Numbers by more than 50,000 participants (a way to measure the likelihood that users will meet their retirement savings targets, on a scale from 0-100).
  • 57% more mobile traffic versus the old site.

Other key features of the newly redesigned site include:

  • The ability for participants to create their own personalized Confidence Number
  • Full integration with the T. Rowe Price FuturePath® planning tool
  • The ability to aggregate and view balances, including outside assets
  • Larger, more interactive charts
  • A new account dashboard with the balance features used most by participants
  • Tools, educational content, and videos to help participants make more informed decisions when they are considering taking a loan from their retirement plan
  • The ability to initiate and complete a loan request entirely online, on any device
  • A Loan Status Tracker that shows where the loan is in the process and when the participant can expect to receive the funds.

Sumitomo Life completes purchase of Symetra

Symetra Financial Corporation announced the completion of the acquisition of Symetra by Sumitomo Life Insurance Company in accordance with the terms of the previously announced Agreement and Plan of Merger, dated Aug. 11, 2015. As a result of the merger, each outstanding share of common stock of Symetra was converted into the right to receive $32.00 per share in cash, without interest, less any applicable withholding taxes, and Symetra has become a wholly owned subsidiary of Sumitomo Life. Shares of Symetra common stock will no longer be listed for trading on the New York Stock Exchange.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

DFA and S&P Collaborate on STRIDE Index

For years, economist Robert Merton has tried to commercialize his solution to an alchemical challenge: How to transmute the piles of tax-deferred paper wealth that Americans accumulate in tax-deferred plans into the actual consumption of food, clothing, transportation and shelter over a 25-year span of retirement.

Merton has long believed that, given the drawbacks of annuities, building a nest egg mainly out of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) can best meet that challenge. So far three firms, SmartNest, Trinsum Group, and Dimensional Fund Advisors have tried to monetize his vision, but without much success.

The latest vehicle for bringing the Nobelist’s patented idea (Merton shared the 1997 prize in economic sciences with Fischer Black and Myron Scholes for their options pricing model) to market was introduced last week when Standard & Poor’s announced the debut of a news series of indices called STRIDE.

“Our mission is to help validate Merton’s idea, and to help create a new space in the asset management industry,” said Philip Murphy, vice president at S&P Dow Jones Indices told RIJ last week. “We see the index as an appropriate benchmark for transition from wealth accumulation to income.” 

STRIDE stands for Shift To Retirement Income and DEcumulation. As the name suggests, it carries Merton’s belief (and he is hardly alone in thinking so) that defined contribution plan participants need to change their current focus on asset growth and concentrate on funding their post-retirement liabilities by adopting a less risky LDI (liability-driven investing) strategy.STRIDE GlidePath

The STRIDE Index is designed to map that shift and provide a tool for implementing it. As a retirement readiness metric, it bridges the path from accumulation to decumulation by periodically calculating (based on current interest rates) the present cost of $1 of lifetime income from age 65 until age 95. Applying that to participants’ current account balances, the index can show whether they are on track to fund their future income liability.

STRIDE is also a template for a new series of target-date funds for defined contribution plans. Each fund’s glide path would start at age 25 with a 95% allocation to global equities and 5% to global bonds. At age 45 it would start gliding toward TIPS, reaching a 75% TIPS allocation at age 65. By age 90, the fund would hold 95% TIPS and 5% global equities. 

There’s one more aspect to STRIDE: In the post-retirement stage, the program calculates an annual sustainable monthly payout. “Starting in January each year, the strategy determines the amount of TIPS assets for the year to divest (rebalance out of the Index) in order to provide hypothetical income streams for the cohorts currently in the decumulation phase,” a research brief from S&P Dow Jones Indices said.

When you’re trying to interest asset managers in a new investment idea, it always helps to provide a metric for it, and an index does exactly that, Murphy said. “The culture within the asset management industry is sensitive to performance measures,” he told RIJ. “For any subcategory of investments you typically have one single benchmark that’s most popular.

Although DFA has its own TDFs, with their own specific holdings, the STRIDE Index is meant to allow other asset managers to build their own TDFs along the same lines, but with their own investment choices.  “The underlying strategies behind the index and Dimensional’s TDFs are similar but distinct. The benchmark is run independently of DFA funds. We are creating a space where other asset managers can apply their funds to the strategy,” said Murphy (at left).

Philip MurphyIf the Index becomes popular, DFA and S&P both earn licensing fees. “There’s nothing exclusive about the relationship, we’re not pushing any particular products,” he added. “We consider it to be a revenue sharing relationship. We will both benefit from it. They suggested it but we think it’s a good idea. We’re very excited about it.”

The Dimensional 2015 TDF (for those retiring last year) currently holds 75% TIPS and 25% global equities, including shares of almost 1,000 different companies, none of which represents more than 0.45% of the total. The top 10 companies are Apple, Microsoft, Exxon Mobil, Amazon, Johnson & Johnson, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase, General Electric, Berkshire Hathaway and AT&T.  

STRIDE resembles another existing product: BlackRock’s CoRI Retirement Index. It too calculates the fluctuating price of $1 of lifetime income. People saving for retirement can use that number, plus their desired income in retirement, to see how close or far they are from having enough savings to retire on. They can also invest in BlackRock’s CoRI Funds, which track the index.

According to the CoRI website, “The CoRI Retirement Indexes (“CoRI Indexes”) are a series of real-time, age-based indexes designed to help Americans measure retirement readiness and plan for future income goals. Each CoRI Index provides a daily ‘level’ that can be used to estimate, as early as 10 years before retirement, how much annual lifetime retirement income your current retirement savings could generate.”

The CoRI 2015 Fund, which has a 58% allocation to U.S. Treasuries, isn’t quite as conservative as the Dimensional 2015 Fund. Its major stock holdings (Verizon, JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, General Electric, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and AT&T) appear to weight financial stocks more than DFA does.

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Comment: Oracle and Others Sued by Schlichter

In this post, we will address all of the recent lawsuits filed by Schlichter, Bogard & Denton, the 800-pound Gorilla in this space. The most recent was filed last week against Oracle. The case against Anthem has received a lot of attention. But one that has slipped through the cracks a bit is against Reliance Trust and one its clients.

This case may the first of its kind on this scale to go after an outsourced fiduciary who is not related to the plan sponsor. Finally, the case against BB&T will be familiar to readers as involving claims of a provider’s own in-house plan.

Troudt v. Oracle Corp.

On January 22, 2016, an excessive fee lawsuit was filed against Oracle Corp., a Fortune 100 company based in Redwood City, California. Troudt v. Oracle Corp. was filed in the District of Colorado and alleges that the plan’s fiduciaries allowed excessive recordkeeping fees to be paid to Fidelity.

The complaint alleges that Oracle allowed Fidelity to be paid between $68 to $140 per participant rather than a reasonable per head fee of $25. The plan’s participant count increased from 38,000 in 2009 to about 60,000 today. Over that same time period, the plan’s assets increased from $3.6 billion to over $11 billion.

The complaint also alleges that the following funds underperformed and should not have been selected:

  • The Artisan Small Cap Value Fund
  • PIMCO Inflation Response Multi-Asset Fund
  • TCM Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund

This is not the first time a major client of Fidelity has been sued, which includes cases such as Tussey v. ABB and previously dismissed lawsuits against John Deere, Exelon, and Unisys. Notably missing from the lawsuit are allegations that cheaper share classes were available but not used, as is alleged in the lawsuit below.

Bell v. Anthem

On December 29, 2015, an ERISA lawsuit was filed against Anthem Inc. in the Southern District of Indiana federal court.  This is the first time, to our knowledge, that a plan sponsor has been sued on this scale where Vanguard has been the recordkeeper and their funds have made up the lion’s share of the core options available.

The allegations in the complaint included:

  • The plan’s fiduciaries caused Vanguard to be paid excessive recordkeeping fees. Not until 2013 were more expensive share classes of the plan’s funds replaced with cheaper alternatives. This reduced the recordkeeping fees paid to Vanguard through the revenue sharing generated from the funds.
  • Cheaper share classes were available much earlier than selected, even as far back as the late 1990s. This failure caused $18 million in losses to the plan.
  • Artisan Mid Cap Value Fund and the Touchstone Sands Capital Growth Fund were imprudently included in the plan because they were excessively prices as compared to similar Vanguard funds, in addition to more expensive share classes being used until 2013.
  • Failed to use separate accounts for these two funds and collective trusts for the Vanguard target date funds in the plan instead of mutual funds and that this changes would have resulted in less fees paid by participants.

The excessive recordkeeping fees alleged by plaintiffs was between $80 and $94 per participant until 2013 when Anthem negotiated a flat per head fee of $42. This is based on a plan that had between $3.3 and $5.1 billion during the time period in question in the lawsuit.

The plaintiffs also allege that the $42 is too much and was excessive by at least 40%. Finally, the complaint alleges that the plan should have included a stable value fund instead of a money market fund.

Pledger v. Reliance Trust

On December 22, 2015, Pledger v. Reliance Trust Company was filed in the Northern District of Georgia federal court. The issues raised in this complaint are unique to this case and should be carefully studied by any service provider offering outsourced 3(21), 3(38), or 3(16) services.

The lawsuit was filed by participants in a plan sponsored by Insperity Inc., a professional employer organization (“PEO”). As a PEO, Insperity provides outsourced human resources and business solutions to small and medium sizes businesses. Typically, these outsourced employees are co-employed by Insperity as well as the client business. They become part of a 401(k) plan sponsored and administered by Insperity rather than the client company.

The plaintiffs claim that:

  • Insperity used the plan’s asset to seed a 401(k) recordkeeping business it started to supplement its core business functions. Previously the plan was with another industry recordkeeper. After Insperity started its recordkeeping division, the plaintiffs claim the plan was moved to it without a competitive bidding process.
  • The plan’s $1.9 billion in assets represented 95% of Insperity’s recordkeeping assets. It is also worth noting that Insperity had a different plan for its corporate workforce and that it was also recordkept by Insperity.
  • Insperity derived excessive compensation from the recordkeeping activities and that Reliance Trust Company, also a defendant, was part of the scheme. It alleges that Reliance was hired as the plan’s 3(38) fiduciary investment manager as well as a discretionary trustee.
  • Insperity received between $119 and $142 per participant per year in recordkeeping fees.
  • The more expensive share classes of the Reliance collectives were selected to generate additional revenue sharing to benefit Insperity. They also claim the target date funds had terrible performance that caused losses to the plan of between $41 million and $56 million.
  • Reliance selected “untested” and “newly-established” target date funds it managed as collective trusts. Plaintiffs claim that Reliance was charged a sliding scale for managing these assets.

Essentially, the plaintiffs accuse Insperity and Reliance of a quid pro quo that allowed Reliance to pick its own investments for the plan, such as the target date funds selected, which then allowed Reliance to select funds that generated excessive revenue sharing that went to Insperity. 

It’s unclear from the complaint if Insperity selected the collective trusts and simply hired Reliance as an investment manager or whether all investment decisions were outsourced to Reliance and it then selected its own products for inclusion. The plaintiffs claim it is the latter.

In what may be the most troublesome allegation in the complaint, plaintiffs claim that the Insperity corporate plan, which had only $208 million in assets, had the same investment lineup but used cheaper share classes than the $2 billion plan in six instances. They also claim that the corporate plan was offered a stable value fund where the plan for the outsourced employees was not, in violation of ERISA.

Smith v. BB&T

On October 8, 2015, current and former employees of BB&T Corporation filed a lawsuit in the Middle District of North Carolina federal court alleging self-dealing by BB&T with regard to its own in-house 401(k) plan.

Plaintiffs allege that BB&T has benefited at the expense of plan participants by using BB&T’s own funds which also include those managed by its wholly owned subsidiary Sterling Capital Management. The plan is alleged to currently have about $2.93 billion in plan assets.

According to plaintiffs, until 2009, the plan only had BB&T mutual funds, but since then non-proprietary funds have been added. BB&T has also been the plan’s recordkeeper in addition to the primary asset manager of the plan.

Plaintiffs allege that through this setup, BB&T profited at the expense of the plan’s participants by allowing the plan to generate excessive revenue sharing which went to BB&T and not engaging in an arm’s length RFP process to find a different recordkeeper.

Like other lawsuits filed by the Schlichter firm, they claim these funds are also imprudent when compared to a lineup of Vanguard fund or if separate account or collective trusts had been used rather than mutual funds.

The complaint also alleges that many of the BB&T funds in the plan were poorly performing, including Sterling Capital International Fund. It also attacks the use of a BB&T money market type product rather than a stable value fund, as well as the unitized structure of the BB&T company stock fund in the plan, an issue that has been litigated in previous cases.

A separate lawsuit has been filed against BB&T by a different plaintiffs firm. That suit, Bowers v BB&T, will be litigated along with Smith v. BB&T.

Our thoughts

The cases against Oracle and Anthem do not involve allegations of self-dealing under ERISA. Such allegations have been the linchpin of trial decisions and settlements in the recent successes by the plaintiff’s ERISA bar. Instead, the claims attack the process and substance of the fiduciary decision-making by the defendants.

The cases against Reliance/Insperity and BB&T both involve allegations of self-dealing. The case against BB&T has a familiar pattern and is similar to ones previously filed against Ameriprise and Fidelity.

Pledger v. Reliance Trust may be the first case to address the common practice of outsourced investment managers using their own products/solutions as substitutes for more mainstream target date funds. This is become a more common thing to see in the form of model portfolios and collective trusts.

It will be important to pay close attention to the way in which the relationship was established by Reliance and Insperity, as there is definitely a right way to do it and a wrong way.  

Having an outsourced fiduciary provider in most instances will not stop a plan sponsor from also being sued. In Pledger v. Reliance Trust, the complaint states that Reliance was selected as the outsourced investment manager and discretionary trustee.

Yet Insperity was still sued and it is alleged that they are as much responsible for the claims involving investments as is Reliance, the outsourced fiduciary. While I understand that Insperity has its own independent claims against it, it is worth emphasizing that Insperity as the plan sponsor still needs to fight its way out of this lawsuit, like any other plan sponsor who might get sued would.

While a plan sponsor in another situation, or Insperity here, may be able to show that all responsibility over investments was that of the outsourced fiduciary, the time and expense of defending a lawsuit is very real and many times may be more or as much as the ultimate damages that a court could find against them.

The ultimate conclusion here is that, for a plan sponsor, outsourcing a fiduciary role to a service provider is not a total insulation from risk. And this lawsuit provides a nice example of that. Instead, there should be other valid reasons (of which there are many) for outsourcing fiduciary roles to service providers.

© 2016 FRAplantools.com 

Legal Defenses

The Department of Labor’s proposed fiduciary rule is well-intended: the government wants to protect the millions of inexperienced investors who are rolling money from 401(k) plans to IRAs from exploitation by self-interested brokers and agents.

But, unless amended, the rule would also expose brokers and their firms to new legal liabilities, in the form of tougher arbitration hearings or perhaps an expensive wave of litigation in federal courts.    

It’s not clear if the DOL intended to terrorize broker-dealers with its proposal. But by explicitly granting investors new rights to sue advisors, it has. Greater legal liability isn’t the only possible consequence of the rule that worries advisors—they also fear costly IT overhauls and a chill on sales of commissioned products—but it’s high on the list.

Their fears are not unrealistic. Broker-dealers have seen what happened in the 401(k) space, where St. Louis plaintiffs’ attorney Jerry Schlichter has won a series of big-ticket damage awards against 401(k) plan providers and sponsors for breaching their fiduciary duties to plan participants. The same, they fear, could happen to them and their businesses.

Here’s the twist that really bugs the industry: The DOL will rely on plaintiffs’ attorneys to enforce the rule by using it in federal class action suits against broker-dealers. Labor can regulate 401(k) and IRA advice, but it can’t enforce the rules it issues (only the IRS can).

Efforts to derail the rule so far haven’t worked. Bills filed by industry-friendly legislators (two more were marked up this week by the House Committee on Education and the Workforce) have gotten nowhere, and face a sure presidential veto if they did. A Trump or Cruz victory in November would certainly kill the rule, but no one seems to bank on it. The DOL itself might yet soften the wording of rule and make it less disruptive for the industry. But hopes for that are waning.

One defensive option is left: Sue the DOL and ask the U.S. District Court of Appeals to block the rule. This strategy worked when the indexed annuity industry sued the SEC and got Rule 151A annulled in 2010, and some think it could work again. (“Remember, 151A was a promulgated rule before we defeated it,” boasted the fixed indexed group, Americans for Annuity Protection, in a January 11 e-mail blast.) 

To learn more about a possible lawsuit, RIJ consulted several pension and securities law attorneys: Bruce Ashton of Drinker Biddle & Reath, Mercer Bullard of the University of Mississippi School of Law and PlanCorp, Tom Clark of Wagner Law Group, and Steve Saxon of Groom Law Group. Here are our questions and their answers.

A legal challenge? On what grounds?

There are hints that a financial industry trade group might file a lawsuit against the DOL this year if, as expected, the final rule still contains the Best Interest Contract Exemption. The BIC or BICE requires advisors to IRA owners to promise to act solely in their client’s best interests. It’s the same “fiduciary” standard that advisors to pensions and defined contribution plans have to meet.   

Steve Saxon of the Groom Law Group in Washington, D.C., which represents industry clients, described a lawsuit as possible. “Generally speaking, and focusing just on various segments of the retirement services industry, there’s a possibility that litigation will be brought. That’s an arrow in the quiver that people are considering.”

He’s not alone. “The going thought is that a lawsuit is a long shot, but certain people are gung ho about it,” said Tom Clark of the Boston-based Wagner Law Group and a blogger at Fraplantools.com.

Financial services firms might feel they have nothing to lose by creating a drawn-out legal battle, Clark said. “The industry might see the upside to a quagmire,” he said, “and file even though they can’t win it.” Bruce Ashton (right) of Drinker Biddle & Reath agreed that “a challenge of the DOL’s authority with respect to ‘regulating’ IRAs seems fairly likely.”Bruce Ashton

What would be the grounds for such a lawsuit? Clark thinks that industry lawyers might accuse the DOL of violating protocol—in effect, to try to win on a technicality. They would question not what the DOL did, but how it did it. 

“If there’s a lawsuit, it would be a challenge that the DOL overstepped their regulatory bounds and messed up the rulemaking,” he told RIJ. “They can’t do it on substance; that would involve a bigger uphill battle than a challenge on procedure.”

Saxon speculated that a suit might charge that the DOL made the definition of “an investment advice fiduciary” too broad. “It would allege that the department went too far and that their definition of a fiduciary is not supported by the statute or any other authority,” he said.

“Secondly, it would say that the BIC exemption is an application of Title 1 of ERISA—in the fiduciary duty rules under Section 404—to IRAs,” he added. “Congress made a decision, when it enacted ERISA [in 1974], not to do that. But the way in which the conditions of the BIC exemption work, that’s where we end up. You could add that having the remedy [to a violation of the rule] be a class action lawsuit is problematic as well.”

Says Bullard: “The first thing they did was to change the definition of a fiduciary. They are making more people subject to the prohibited transaction rules, and they are also extending the duty of loyalty to IRAs, which wasn’t true before. That will be the primary focus of legal challenges to the rule, because Congress decided not to apply that duty, which is just a basic prudence standard, to IRAs.

Concerns about the “Best Interest Contract”  

Neither 401(k) plans or IRAs—let alone the possibility that the rollover IRA would become the largest single repository of retirement savings in the U.S., as they are today—were contemplated when ERISA was enacted.

Section 404 of Title I of ERISA gives the DOL authority over advisor conduct in employer-sponsored retirement plans like 401(k)s. But, as Saxon noted, the law says nothing about DOL jurisdiction over advisor conduct with respect to individual IRAs.  

The “Best Interest Contract Exemption” would span the gap. It enables the DOL to exercising authority over IRA advisors without amending ERISA. If advisors want to sell products to IRA owners and receive third-party commissions from product manufacturers, they will commit a “prohibited transaction”—a punishable offense—unless they and their clients have signed the BIC and they have sworn to act in the sole interest of their clients, just as pension advisors do.

This puts brokers (or at least those brokers who mix the role of advisor with the role of sales agent) in an untenable position. They cannot safely take that oath, because, in the normal course of their jobs, they sometimes act in their own best interests. On the other hand, if they don’t sign BIC contracts, they will commit a crime every time they sell a product and accept a third-party commission.  

Steve Saxon“Right now, IRAs are not subject to Title I of ERISA,” Saxon explained. “An IRA holder can’t sue a financial institution for imprudence under ERISA. This is what this whole BIC exemption is all about. If an IRA provider is a fiduciary, and if it is were found to have failed to meet what amounts to Section 404 under ERISA—as delineated in the BIC standard, which is based on Section 404—then, if that standard isn’t satisfied, there’s no exemption and you have a prohibited transaction. It’s not actionable under ERISA, because they didn’t change [ERISA].”

That’s another twist in this tale. Even if the DOL can regulate advisor conduct with respect to IRAs, ERISA doesn’t give it the power to enforce those rules. So the proposal specifies that IRA owners who feel wronged by their advisors have recourse to the federal courts, through private class action suits. They can’t be limited to pursuing claims of misconduct in arbitration hearings, where brokers traditionally enjoy a kind of home-field advantage.

“The Department of Labor made it easier for class action lawsuits to be filed,” Saxon said. “They’ve paved the way for plaintiffs attorneys to act as substitutes for DOL. It’s a clever alternative, based on the application of a Title I-type standard of conduct to an IRA sales transaction. You broaden the definition of fiduciary to capture the advice-giver as a fiduciary, then apply Section 404 to the sales transaction. My view is that [the BIC standard] went beyond 404 and created some problems. That’s a key point in evaluating where we end up.”   

Ashton told RIJ: “The BICE is structured as it is to create a private right of action for IRA holders that doesn’t now exist, since there really isn’t an effective enforcement mechanism. The prohibition against interfering with the right to participate in a class action is in there for the same reason.”

“On the one hand, ERISA has the ‘duty of loyalty’ provision,” noted Bullard. “It applies only to advisors to retirement plans. On the other hand there is a set of ‘prohibited transaction’ rules that apply to advisors to IRAs and to retirement plans. The latter apply to IRAs and retirement funds, but the duty of loyalty applies only to retirement plans. “[The BIC] is a clever way to apply that duty to IRAs,” he added. Mercer Bullard

“They not only applied the [duty of prudence and loyalty] standard, which becomes actionable by government, they also made it privately actionable. There’s no private access under ERISA, but the contract will give you private right of action through breach of contract.”

As Clark put it, “For the rule to have teeth, [it requires the participation of the plaintiff’s bar]. That’s the linchpin.” Of course, teeth for one adversary is a bite for the other.

If challenged, would the rule be stayed?

“It’s complicated,” Saxon said. “Is there a federal judge who would be willing to stay the implementation of the effective date of the regulations? Or would the federal courts say that the US Department of Labor has the right to move forward with the finalization of the regulation and the exemptions?”

If the case went to the US Supreme Court, Saxon said, “The question would be ‘How long would that take and, in the meantime, would those of us in the retirement services space have to comply and deal with the terms of the regulation and the exemption’?

Bullard doesn’t think the case is likely to go to the US Supreme Court, which hears only a small percentage of cases. While there is a lower federal court in Washington, “This will be decided by the US District Court of Appeals, DC circuit, and the three-judge panel would probably stay the rule,” he said. “If you got a Republican panel, it would definitely be stayed. That’s because the rule would revolutionize the way [the broker-dealer systems work]. So, if there’s any risk of it not being legal, the smart thing would be not to go down that road in the first place. Once the industry implemented the necessary changes, it would be too expensive to go back.”

But that wouldn’t necessarily kill the rule, Bullard added. The DOL would likely appeal the initial panel’s decision to all 11 judges of the DC circuit, where there’s currently a seven-to-four Democratic majority, which would be more likely to uphold the rule. “But if a Republican gets elected president in the November, the rule is dead,” Bullard told RIJ.

The future

Without a Republican victory next fall, the lawyers who spoke with RIJ were doubtful that the brokerage industry could defeat the fiduciary rule.

Tom Clark“Based on the law challenging an agency’s ability to make rules, the law creates an uphill battle for challengers. Against that backdrop, it’s fair to say they will have an uphill battle,” said Clark (left).

“I’d be very surprised if a lawsuit in this area would get very far,” Ashton said. “The DOL clearly has the authority to grant class exemptions and to structure the conditions for those exemptions that deal with both plans and IRAs. I also suspect that courts will find that they have the authority to regulate rollovers, since the assets are plan assets before they are rolled over. My suspicion is that DOL has vetted their legal authority pretty well. There will likely be lawsuits but I doubt very much whether they will be successful.”

There’s still a possibility that the DOL will change the language of the rule to make it less disruptive of the current brokerage business model, which relies on the flow of commissions from product manufacturers to advisors and allows advisors to manage their acknowledged conflicts-of-interest as they see fit.

For instance, the DOL could delete the section of the proposal that forces commission-paid sellers of variable annuities—but not other annuities—to take the BIC oath. Under current law, so-called “Prohibited Transaction Exemption 84-24” allows all annuity sellers to take commissions when selling to people with retirement accounts.

“The DOL could keep Prohibited Transaction Exemption 84-24 the way it is now. They could move all annuity transactions to PTE 84-24, or they could move all of them to the BIC. But no one really knows what might happen next,” Saxon said.

“If anyone is telling you that they know what’s been happening at the Department of Labor since September 24, when the last comment period ended, that would not be reliable,” he said. “Even inside the government, things are still fluid, and they will be fluid until the regulation is finalized. In the meantime, they are not meeting with us or discussing anything with us.”

Assuming that the final rule won’t be different from the proposal, Bullard believes its biggest impact will be to empower clients in arbitration disputes with advisors, not to trigger a hail of class action suits against deep-pocketed brokerages. “There aren’t going to be class action suits,” he told RIJ. “No one believes there is significant class action exposure here.

“The single biggest effect will be an increased liability risk in arbitration,” he added. “Plaintiffs will be able to put the BIC contract in front of an arbitration panel and show that the advisors were fiduciaries. This will mean that you can make a fiduciary breach claim in arbitration. The plaintiff will still face the hurdle of having to prove that the advisor failed to do what a fiduciary should do. But there will be a real increase of liability risk for advisors, and basic changes to [advisor] compensation.”

Beyond that, the brokers will need to adapt their computer systems to new compensation regimes, compliance protocols and reporting requirements. “The costliest part for the financial firms will be changing all their systems. This will mean a total overhaul, Bullard said.”

The broader view

There’s a simple explanation for the complexity of all this. Gaps in the law engender ambiguities, and ambiguities get resolved in court. ERISA has big gaps. Its authors didn’t envision IRAs or 401(k)s. The line between advisors and brokers and agents has blurred over the years. Most importantly, rollover IRAs are inherently ambiguous: they are private retail accounts and government-subsidized mini-pension funds at the same time.

Such ambiguities provide plenty of grist for the legal mills. But it’s important to remember that the legal battle is just a sideshow to the main issue. At stake here is the $7 trillion rollover IRA market. The question is whether broker-dealers and other intermediaries will be able to serve—or exploit, in the Obama administration’s skeptical view—that rich market in the manner to which they are accustomed.   

© 2016 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.