Archives: Articles

IssueM Articles

Hungarians protest end of state-sponsored DC plan

Hungary’s experiment with mandatory, privately managed individual retirement accounts, which began back in the bullish days of the late 1990s, appears to be almost over, IPE.com reported.

Under a bill submitted to the Hungarian Parliament, the government will shut down the four remaining funds in the mostly-dismantled “second-pillar” system unless they can prove that at least 70% of their 60,000-odd members have paid regular fees for at least two months over a six-month period. Membership peaked at three million in 2010.

On November 25, several thousand people, rallied by postings on Facebook, marched in protest from the Ministry of National Economy to the Parliament building in Budapest.

If passed, the law could go into effect as early as January 2015. The four funds still in operation are the Budapest Magánnyugdíjpénztár, Horizont Magánnyugdíjpénztár, MKB Nyugdíjpénztár and Szövetség Magánnyugdíjpénztár. Economic minister Mihaly Varga submitted the legislation.

Due to a lack of inflows, the second pillar funds haven’t been able to generate enough retirement income for members, who would be better off forwarding all their contributions to the country’s basic pay-as-you-go, earnings-related Social Security-style state pension, according to Varga.

In a 2011 paper, “The Mandatory Private Pension Pillar in Hungary: An Obituary” Andras Simonovitz, Institute of Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, wrote:

In 1998, the left-of-center government of Hungary carved out a second pillar mandatory private pension system from the original mono-pillar public system. Participation in the mixed system was optional for those who were already working, but mandatory for new entrants to the workforce. About 50% of the workforce joined voluntarily and another 25% were mandated to do so by law between 1999 and 2010.

The private system has not produced miracles: either in terms of the financial stability of the social security system, or greatly improved social security in old age. Moreover, the international financial and economic crisis has highlighted the transition costs of pre-funding. Rather than rationalizing the system, the current conservative government de facto ‘nationalized’ the second pillar in 2011 and is to use part of the released capital to compensate for tax reductions.

Leaders of the four pension funds warned that a diversion of contributions back to the state pension would lead to the dissolution of the funds. If they were dissolved, the Hungarian government would acquire some HUF200bn (€651m) in assets, although this has not apparently been factored into the 2015 Budget.

Prime minister Viktor Orbán’s government first took aim at the mandatory pension funds in 1998 by freezing contributions. In 2001, membership of the system became voluntary. On his return to power in 2010, he threatened those who refused to opt back into the state system with the loss of their state pension. Although that move turned out to be unconstitutional, Hungarians began abandoning the funds.

According to data from the National Bank of Hungary, some €12bn of assets were transferred to the state, while the number of members shrank to some 100,600 in 2011 from more than three million in 2010. As of the end of September 2014, membership stood at 61,523 and assets at HUF205.4bn.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Genworth introduces FIA with income rider

Genworth has introduced SecureLiving Growth+ with IncomeChoice, new fixed index annuity with a lifetime income rider for consumers “as young as 45” who want to build a source of retirement income that offers downside protection and growth potential. 

According to a release from from Lou Hensley, Genworth’s president of Life Insurance and Annuities, SecureLiving Growth+ with IncomeChoice offers:  

  • The potential for contract owners to double their income for up to five consecutive years when they are confined to a medical care facility.  
  • Access to “caregiver support advocates” who can help answer care-related questions, access care and help identify potential care facilities.
  • An IncomeChoice rider that provides a guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefit, which offers a choice, at retirement, of increasing or level income options for a 1.10% annual charge.
  • 50% credit enhancements before income begins and while the rider is in effect.
  • Four index crediting strategies based on the S&P 500 Index, including a “new patent-pending two-year trigger crediting strategy”.
  • “Bailout renewal protection” that enables the contract owner to make full or partial withdrawals from their contract without surrender charge or market value adjustment.
  • A pro-rated reduction in the rider charge if, during the surrender charge period, the renewal cap for the annual cap strategy is below the bailout rate.
  • The ability to start income distributions anytime after the first contract year without being restricted by the contract anniversary window.
  • Competitive caps and rates.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Income options in DC plans still rare: PSCA

Fewer than 10% of the 613 profit-sharing and 401(k) plans surveyed by the Plan Sponsor Council of America (formerly the Profit-Sharing Council of America) offer a lifetime income option to their participants, according to the PSCA’s 57th Annual Survey of Profit Sharing and 401(k) Plans.

Regarding the use of target-date funds, the report showed that about two-thirds of the plans offered TDFs and that 16.7% of the assets in those plans was invested in those funds. The approximately eight million participants in PSCA plans held about $832 billion of the estimated $6.6 trillion in defined contribution plans in the U.S. in the second quarter of 2014. 

Key findings in the PSCA’s latest report includes data in four areas:

Participant Contributions

  • 21.8 % of companies suggest a rate to employees.
  • 18.8% suggest 6% and 46.5% suggest a rate higher than 6%.
  • Account balances increased by 18.2%.
  • 88.6% of eligible participants have an account balance.
  • 80.3% of eligible participants contributed to the plan.
  • 60% of plans offer a Roth 401(k) option to participants, up from 53.8% in 2012.

Company Contributions

  • Companies contributed an average of 4.7% of pay to the plan in 2013 (up from 4.5% in 2012 and 4.1% five years ago).
  • 80% of plans make a match on employee contributions and 98 % of those plans made the match in 2013.

Investments

  • Plans offer an average of 19 funds, the same as in 2011 and 2012.
  • 66% of plans offer a target-date fund (TDF) to employees with an average of 16.7% of assets invested in them.
  • 37.2% of plans offer an emerging markets fund.
  • Fewer than 10% of plans offer a lifetime income option to participants.

Automatic Enrollment

  • 50.2% of all plans have an automatic enrollment feature (up from 47.2% in 2012) and 44% of all plans have an auto-escalation feature.
  • 40% of plans that don’t offer auto-enrollment state that they are satisfied with their participation rates and a third (32.5%) cite “corporate philosophy” as the reason they don’t use it.
  • Plans with an auto-enroll feature have participation rates 10 percentage points higher than plans that do not.

Education

  • 16.7% of plans offer a comprehensive financial wellness program.
  • 80% of plans evaluate whether their plan is successful.
  • One-third of plans made changes to their plan in 2013 – including almost half of large plans.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

How Jackson National uses iPads to compete

Jackson National Life has begun offering free apps that advisors with iPads can use to access information about Jackson products (the Jackson app) and educational materials about retirement (Retirement Hub). Both apps can be downloaded at the Apple iTunes App store, according to a Jackson release.

The digital tools are part of a new Jackson educational campaign for advisers and clients. The company wants to make it easy for advisors to download Jackson product information and general investing information to tablet computers for presentations.

An app is more than just a shortcut from an iPad to a website; it allows for downloadable content that can be used when there’s no internet connection. And that’s apparently a significant difference.

“There’s definite value to having the publication reside on the iPad versus having to rely on WIFI,” Luis Gomez, vice president of Marketing Strategy for Jackson National Life Distributors, told RIJ. “You can’t always rely on the WIFI. If you’re in the middle of a presentation, you don’t want skips. You want reliability.” Once an app is built, he added, it’s easy to change the content or add animation without going through the process of building an entirely new app.

Not all advisors are equally adept with tablet computers, but Jackson’s own adoption of iPads has evidently sparked advisor usage. “At the beginning of this year we started giving our wholesalers iPads instead of laptops,” Gomez said. “As they visited advisors and went through their stories on the iPads, the advisors started asking, ‘Is that available for me?’

“So we started making the apps available to advisors. From a marketing perspective, it helps reduce time to market. We can update materials and launch in real time, instead of having to go to print. We look at this as a competitive advantage. Other industries already have this, but the financial services industry overall is still playing catch-up. We’re trying to stay ahead of the competition.”

According to a release, Jackson is making the information in the apps “easily digestible” and tailoring it to each client’s “specific knowledge level” and “unique investment goals.”

The Retirement Hub will be refreshed with new educational content each quarter, the release said. The first installment will cover bonds and interest rates, and how bond investors can adapt to rising interest rates. This quarter, the Retirement Hub will also explain portfolio volatility, and the role of correlations between asset types in controlling volatility.

Jackson also recently launched a redesign of the Performance Center on Jackson.com, where users can find current data from Morningstar, Inc. on the performance of the subaccounts in Jackson’s variable annuities.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

The Bucket

New York Life acquires ETF company

New York Life Investment Management, the third party global asset management business of New York Life, announced this week that it had agreed to buy IndexIQ, a specialist in the liquid alternative exchange-traded fund (ETF) industry. Terms were not disclosed.

IndexIQ, which will be marketed through New York Life’s MainStay Investments platform, will add an estimated $1.5 billion to MainStay’s $101 billion in assets under management.

Among its 12 fund offerings, IndexIQ is best known for IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETF (QAI), introduced almost six years ago. It tries to “replicate the risk-adjusted return characteristics of hedge funds using strategies that include long/short equity, global macro, market neutral, event-driven, fixed income arbitrage, emerging markets and other strategies commonly used by hedge fund managers,” according to a release.

IndexIQ also offers a mutual fund version of QAI (Ticker: IQHIX/IQHOX) and is a leading “ETF Strategist” offering ETF Models and Separately Managed Accounts.

The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2015.  

Fidelity partners with LearnVest and Betterment

Fidelity Institutional, the division of Fidelity Investments, that provides clearing, custody and investment management products to registered investment advisors (RIAs), retirement recordkeepers, broker-dealers, family offices and banks, has announced a new collaboration with LearnVest, as well as providing additional resources to help advisors explore options to digitize their practices.

New Fidelity research confirms a need for advisors to begin integrating digital strategies: 55% plan to target emerging and mass affluent investors1 in the next five years, a segment of investors who are comfortable transacting online and craving more clarity and simplicity in their finances. This is a shift for many advisors, considering that seven in 10 firms report that investors over the age of 49 or with more than $1 million in assets drive their current strategy. 

 “The relationship with LearnVest will help advisors offer clients access to an educational ‘financial wellness’ microsite powered by LearnVest’s original content, as well as preferred pricing to LearnVest’s technology-enabled financial planning program,” according to a Fidelity release.

“The collaboration will be particularly useful for advisors consulting on workplace retirement plans. It adds to Fidelity Institutional Wealth Services’ collaboration with Betterment Institutional, through which RIAs may consider adding a client-facing digital platform to engage growing investor segments, like the emerging affluent, while still delivering the advice for which they are highly valued.”

Fidelity is also launching a new report on the digital landscape in addition to the collaborations with LearnVest and Betterment Institutional. 

Northwestern Mutual completes sale of Russell Investments

Northwestern Mutual has completed the $2.7 billion sale of its subsidiary Frank Russell Company (Russell Investments) to the London Stock Exchange Group plc. Proceeds from the sale, which closed today, will further boost the 2014 financial results of the Milwaukee-based mutual company.

“Russell has been a good investment for us,” said John Schlifske, chairman and CEO of Northwestern Mutual. “Russell’s operating results have made significant contributions to our financial results over the years. When you look at this sale price and the income produced for us since we bought Russell in 1999, you get a rate of return well in excess of equity indices over that period.”

Northwestern Mutual manages more than $184 billion (YE 2013) in invested assets as part of its general account investment portfolio, which backs its insurance and annuity products.

Goldman, Sachs & Co. and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC acted as financial advisors to Northwestern Mutual on this transaction.

Aviva buys Friends Life to become Britain’s biggest insurer 

The life insurance industry continues to consolidate.

In a deal that will create the largest life insurer in Britain, Aviva has agreed to buy rival Friends Life for about $8.8 billion in stock, according to an Aviva release. The resulting insurance and asset management business will be worth about £20.7 billion ($32.4 billion) and manage over £300 billion. 

Under the agreement, 0.74 shares of Aviva were swapped for each share of Friends Life. Friends Life shareholders would also receive a dividend of 24.1 pence a share, for a full-year dividend of 31.15 pence a share. They would own about 26% percent of the combined company, which would have around 16 million customers.

The offer price, with the dividend, represented a 27% premium over the average trading price of Friends Life shares for the three months that ended Nov. 20. At Monday’s closing prices, including the additional dividend, Friends Life was worth about £3.94 a share or about £5.6 billion in total.

The transaction requires shareholder and regulatory approval, and it is expected to close in the second quarter. Aviva sold Aviva USA, its life insurance and annuities business in the U.S., for $2.6 billion in 2013. 

Aviva’s stock has risen about 37% since Mark Wilson joined as chief executive at the beginning of 2013, and its profit has improved. For the first half of 2014, operating profit rose four percent to £1.05 billion. On Tuesday, investors sent shares of Friends Life up 1.9% to £3.73 in early trading in London, while shares of Aviva were up less than on percent to £4.99. The combined company is expected to continue to list its shares in London after the deal.

The deal is expected to result in about £225 million of annual cost savings by the end of 2017, the companies said. After the transaction, Andy Briggs, the chief executive of Friends Life, would become chief of Aviva’s life insurance business in Britain and would join the combined company’s board as an executive director.  

Illinois House passes statewide retirement savings program bill

State lawmakers passed another mandate on businesses Tuesday. Employers with more than 25 employees would have to enroll employees in a retirement savings program, the Illinois News Network reported this week. Employees would be given the option to voluntarily opt-out.

Employers are mandated to participate unless they already provide employees a savings option. Chief sponsor in the house, Barbara Flynn Currie, says employers are already required to withhold things like income taxes and child support from employee’s paychecks. “This is very little different,” she said.

Representative Ron Sandack said the issue should have more investigation before another mandate is levied against small business.

“Yes, people aren’t saving up for retirement, yes we ought to do more to incentivize that,” he said. “No, we shouldn’t mandate a program that we don’t know a thing about. We shouldn’t mandate small business and encumber small business, yet again, with an expense and a burden that we really don’t know anything about.

After having passed the Senate in April, the measure passed the House Tuesday 67-45.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved. 

 

Fidelity & Guaranty Life’s FIA sales doubled in fiscal 2014

The holding company Harbinger Group Inc. has announced its consolidated results for the fourth quarter and full year of fiscal 2014 ended last Sept. 30, including results for Fidelity & Guaranty Life, which issues fixed indexed annuities.

FGL more than doubled its annuity sales in both the quarter and the year, and continues to increased its GAAP book value by 45% over the year, according to the Harbinger end-of-year report. The insurance segment, which includes Front Street Re Inc., had about $18.8 billion of assets under management as of Sept. 30. 

Harbinger also announced that its CEO and chairman, Philip Falcone, will resign from both positions, effective this Monday, Dec. 1, 2014, to focus on HC2 Holdings Inc. and Harbinger Capital Partners. Falcone will receive a bonus of $20.5 million at departure. Harbinger’s market capitalization grew from $140 million in 2009 to today’s $2.6 billion.  

Fiscal year results

Annuity sales increased 114% in fiscal 2014, to $2.16 billion. Additionally, during the fiscal 2014 quarter, FGL grew fixed indexed annuities by 91% over the fiscal 2013 quarter and 20% on a sequential basis.  The increase in annuity sales and fixed indexed annuities in both periods is attributable to ongoing marketing initiatives with existing distribution partners as well as the launch of new products.

But the insurance segment’s revenues fell 12.3%, to $283.0 million from $322.8 million, in the fiscal 2014 quarter due to lower net investment gains driven by the segment’s portfolio repositioning activity in fiscal 2013. FGL implemented a tax planning strategy to use certain net operating losses, which resulted in certain non-recurring capital gains.

Operating income for the insurance segment in the fiscal 2014 quarter decreased by $103.4 million, or 61.5%, to $64.6 million from $168.0 million for the fiscal 2013 quarter due to the same factors that affected revenue, the release said. The segment’s adjusted operating income fell 65%, decreased to $31.3 million from $89.3 million in income for the fiscal 2013 quarter.

The insurance segment recorded annuity sales, which are recorded as deposit liabilities (i.e. contract holder funds) in accordance with generally accepted U.S. accounting principles, of $501.6 million for the fiscal 2014 Quarter as compared to $246.9 million in the fiscal 2013 quarter, an increase of $254.9 million, or 103%. 

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Competitiveness of U.S. public equity markets called ‘weak’

Despite the record-breaking initial public offering of the Alibaba Group, U.S. capital market competitiveness showed continued historical weakness through the third quarter of 2014, according to the Committee on Capital Markets Regulation, a 35-member group directed by Hal Scott of Harvard.

“While the U.S. capital markets have strengthened in terms of domestic IPOs, the overall competitive landscape internationally continues to disappoint,” said Scott, the Nomura Professor and director of the Program on International Financial Systems at Harvard Law School. “Putting aside Alibaba, the competitiveness of our public markets is significantly worse.”

According to the CCMR release, “Alibaba’s choice of New York over Hong Kong was driven primarily by a desire for a dual share class structure, which could not be achieved in Hong Kong, rather than a judgment about the appeal of the U.S. regulatory framework and liability rules, i.e. securities class actions. Moreover, ‘bonding’ to a lower standard of governance is not the way to restore the competitiveness of the public market. Excluding Alibaba’s historic listing, a number of additional key measures of market competitiveness showed continued weakness.” They included:

  • U.S. share of global IPOs by foreign companies sits at 9.0%, continuing the trend of foreign companies avoiding U.S. equity markets.  This measure remains far below the historical average of 26.8% (1996-2007).
  • Foreign companies that did raise equity capital in the United States through the third quarter of 2014 did so overwhelmingly via private rather than public markets. Approximately 84% of initial offerings of foreign equity in the United States were conducted through private Rule 144A offerings rather than public offerings. This measure of aversion to U.S. public equity markets stands significantly higher than the historical average of 66.1% (1996-2007).
  • Cross-listing activity in the U.S. by foreign companies for non-capital raising purposes remained low. Activity through the third quarter of 2014 suggests only 3 foreign companies will cross-list in the U.S. this year for purposes other than capital raising (such as bonding to U.S. standards), fewer than in any year since 2008, and well below the historical average of 17 cross-listings per year.

The CCMR believes that the policy recommendations in its 2006 Interim Report remain essential to the restoration of U.S. competitiveness. “In addition, we urge regulators implementing the provisions of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act to minimize the adverse competitive effects of new regulations, particularly in areas where the U.S. regulatory approach differs significantly from competitor markets,” said Scott, in a release.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. 

A VA with a little bit of everything, from Principal

The Principal Financial Group has introduced a series of Swiss Army-knife type of variable annuity that allows investors to accumulate through traditional and alternative investments and decumulate through a no-cost deferred income rider option.

The series is called Principal Pivot, and the name refers to ability of contract owners to “pivot” from accumulation to income. The contract owner can make periodic transfers from the mutual fund sleeve to an income sleeve ($5,000 minimum for first transfer, $1,000 each thereafter), and to set income to begin at a future date (by age 70½ for qualified contracts and age 95 for non-qualified).

The product has a current mortality and expense risk fee of 1%. Fund expense ratios range from a low of 0.65% to a high of 2.63%. There’s a return of premium death benefit rider available for an extra 20 basis points and an annual step-up death benefit rider for 35 basis points. A Liquidity Max rider exempts the contract owner from paying surrender fees. It currently costs 25 basis points. There’s also a 15-basis point administrative fee and a $30 annual fee.

Fund families offered under the contract include American Century, American, Calvert, Deutsche, Fidelity, Franklin Templeton, Goldman Sachs, Guggenheim Partners, Invesco, Janus, MFS, PIMCO, Principal, Rydex and Van Eck. Contract owners can get exposure to alternative assets like commodities and real estate, along with long/short strategies, hedge funds and managed volatility funds.

As an all-in-one package, the Pivot also includes built-in investment guidance systems. According to a press release, it offers clients “three investment approaches. There’s a personalized strategy for clients who prefer to create a fully-customizable investment portfolio based on their investment objectives; a guided strategy for those who want guidance on which investments to choose that meet their risk profile and investment objectives; and an asset allocation strategy for those who want a managed approach to investing and diversification that includes a mix of stocks, bonds and other investment options.”

The contract offers some flexibility around start dates and liquidity. Once contract owners moves money from the separate account to the deferred income account, they can’t move it back or access it in any way other than the annuity payment method they’ve chosen. But they can move their income start date once, and they can get accelerated lump sum payments (up to six months’ worth at a time) up to four times during the income period. If the start date is accelerated or delayed, the annuity payments decrease or increase accordingly.

Principal Pivot VA bears a resemblance to the two-sleeve VAs of the past, such as the Hartford Personal Retirement Manager. That product allowed contract owners to gradually move money from a separate account to a fixed-return account destined for income. The Pivot isn’t as flexible; the Hartford product allowed contract owners to reverse their contributions to the fixed account, subject to a market value adjustment. With the Pivot, contributions to the income account are irrevocable after the 10-day free look period.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved. 

Vanguard continues to dominate fund in-flows

Fixed income is the focus of the November issue of The Cerulli Edge – U.S. Monthly Product Trends. Its Monthly Spotlight feature takes a close look at product development in the area of managed volatility strategies.

The strong flow of assets into Vanguard funds, driven by the appeal of low-cost passive investing, was again reflected in the report. As of October, Vanguard has almost $2.2 trillion in mutual fund assets, an 18.5% market share. With 10.4% and 9.9% market shares, Fidelity and American Funds run a distant second and third, respectively.

Vanguard funds saw inflows of $17.45 billion in October and $165.4 billion for the first ten months of 2014. YTD, Dimensional Fund Advisors was second with $24.4 billion. PIMCO shed $43.8 billion in October and $109 billion through October 2014.

Among the top-ten fund families for equity fund flows in the first ten months of 2014, Vanguard occupied the top four spots, with its Total Stock Market Index, Five Hundred Index, Mid-Cap Index and Small Cap Index Funds. Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund had the highest in-flows among international equity mutual funds for October and for 2014.

The mutual fund with the highest inflows in October 2014, however, was the Metropolitan West Total Return Bond Fund, with $6.7 billion. This intermediate-term, actively managed bond fund has returned 5.63% through November 25. It holds as much as 20% of its assets in below-investment grade securities, has more than 35% of assets in mortgage-backed securities and holds just 32.7% in U.S. government issues. The expense ratio of its non-institutional share class is 68 basis points.

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund, by contrast, has 64% U.S. government securities and holds no bonds with a rating under Baa. The expense ratio of its Investor Shares is 20 basis points and for its Admiral Shares ($10,000 minimum) is eight basis points. It has also had a good year, with a return of 5.34% through November 25.

Other highlights from this month’s report included:

  • Total mutual fund flows were negative (-$6.7 billion) for the second month in a row. The taxable bond mutual fund asset class experienced redemptions for a second straight month. International equity mutual funds garnered the most flows in October ($3.4 billion).
  • ETF assets grew 2.9% in October, bringing total assets closer to $2 trillion. ETF flows reached their highest level thus far in 2014, reaping $29.9 billion in October.
  • Investors are increasingly considering unconstrained or absolute return fixed-income strategies. Asset managers feel compelled to position clients against volatility and future rate tightening.
  • Retail investors’ appetite for income and reduced tax exposure will persist as Baby Boomers shift into retirement. Most financial advisors (78%) surveyed currently use municipal bond funds, and generally have sufficient understanding of their role in a portfolio.  

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved. 

The staid world of Dutch pensions is evolving: ABP

Life expectancy in Europe could eventually break through the “120-year ceiling,” and Dutch pension plans must be prepared for it, according to a report by the €334bn Dutch pension fund ABP, which covers government, education and public employees. ABP’s findings were summarized at IPE.com.

“Pension funds must look at ways of spreading the effects of longevity evenly across the generations,” the report said.

ABP, which has 2.8 million participants in a country of less than 17 million, pointed to pension trends in the Netherlands that may sound familiar to American plan sponsors: The need among participants for “clear and tailor-made” information, downward pressure on asset management fees, and demand for greater transparency.

“Pension funds are already divesting from high-cost asset classes, such as hedge funds and private equity,” low-cost pension vehicles are emerging, and pension arrangements are likely to be simpler and more uniform, the report said.

Increasing “individualization” in Dutch society, combined with an aging population, is apparently putting pressure on the traditions of collectivity and solidarity that underpin defined benefit pensions. Partly because Europeans are changing jobs more often and more are self-employed, and participants are demanding more flexibility in managing their own retirement accounts, the report said.

In defense of the collective retirement system, ABP argued that “a thorough explanation of the material advantages of collectivity and solidarity could help reverse this trend, and that improved management of individuals’ data could help produce tailor-made pension products.”

ABP said it expected the government to “decrease tax-facilitated pensions accrual” in defined benefit plans, causing Dutch workers to look for other ways to save for retirement. This, in turn, will accelerate the development of defined contribution products, it said.

ABP said population aging would require an increasingly defensive investment mix, with lower expected returns, and warned that the growing mobility of capital would weaken the benefits of diversification.

Consolidation among Dutch pension funds will also continue, particularly among employer-sponsored plans, while cost-cutting on pension arrangements and the increase in the official retirement age will increase the “uniformity” of pension plans, ABP said, predicting that “there could be no more than 100 pension funds left in 2020.”

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Canadians feel as insecure about retirement as we do

Nearly a third of Canadians aged 55 to 70 don’t know when they will retire, according to a survey by the LIMRA Security Retirement Institute. The oldest members of the survey group (ages 65 to 70) are the most undecided; about one in 10 don’t expect to retire all.

The report, Ready, Set, Retire? Not So Fast!… Revisited: A Canadian Consumer Retirement Study, is a follow-up to two previous studies that LIMRA conducted in Canada, one in 2010 and the other, 2012.

As in 2012, the majority of Canadian pre-retirees acknowledge a need for more guaranteed lifetime income in retirement than they’ll get from their government pension plans. Among the survey results:

  • More than a fifth of those surveyed say having guaranteed income for life is the most important feature when selecting products to create income in retirement.
  • Three in 10 pre-retirees do not have primary financial advisors to reach their financial goals.
  • Among those pre-retirees who have financial advisors, six in 10 consider the advice they receive to be very valuable.

LIMRA conducted the study in late 2013. The sample included 1,800 respondents polled by research vendor Greenwich Associates.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

QLACs: The ‘Greek yogurt’ of Retirement Products?

Broccoli is just cabbage with a college education, Mark Twain said. And for those of you who believe that deferred income annuities (DIAs) are just fancy immediate annuities and that qualifying longevity annuity contracts are just fancy DIAs—and that they’re all boring—then you’ve probably ignored QLACs altogether.

That might be doubly true if you’d never sell or even recommend an insurance product to a Boomer. Or if you don’t work at one of the mutual insurance companies, where most of the slow but steady SPIA/DIA/QLAC sales action inevitably takes place.

But for income wonks—you know who you are—who love to combine investment and insurance products (for tranquility and more freedom to get frisky with the rest of the retirement portfolio) then you probably thrill to QLACs the way a health nut thrills to cruciferous vegetables like broccoli or kale.

A little exposition: QLACs—Qualifying Longevity Annuity Contracts—are average-size (up to $125,000) DIAs, by definition purchased with pre-tax savings, from which income doesn’t have to flow until age 85. That’s well past the usual age 70½ commencement date for taxable distributions from qualified accounts. Importantly, a QLAC has tax-reducing potential, because during the deferral period the premium can be excluded from the calculation of required minimum taxable distributions from qualified accounts.

The long-awaited Treasury announcements about QLACs in July and October have triggered some interesting new discussions about longevity annuities. The Brookings Institute hosted a forum on QLACs in Washington on November 6. This week, New York Life sponsored a QLAC webinar, hosted by the Retirement Income Industry Association.

Three sales opportunities

The beauty part of the RIIA/New York Life webinar came, I thought, when Scott Bredikis, director, Guaranteed Income Annuities, at New York Life, described QLAC business opportunities. New York Life, of course, owns about half the small but rapidly growing DIA market, with over $1 billion a year in sales. More than three-quarters of DIAs are purchased with qualified money, he said. Almost all are purchased with a cash or installment refund at death.

QLACs potentially create three types of sales opportunities to three types of pre-retirees or retirees, New York Life believes. One scenario involves a person who buys a QLAC as pure longevity insurance, paying up to $125,000 (or 25% of qualified savings, if less) at age 65 for income at age 85.

A second anticipated scenario involves a 60-year-old who anticipates working part-time for another ten or 15 years, and who wants to set up a guaranteed income stream of $18,508 (at current rates) that starts at age 75, while reducing some of his RMD. He makes an initial purchase premium of $60,000 at age 60, and then makes partial payments of $6,500 a year for 10 years.

In the third scenario, a person would use a QLAC to fund a personal defined benefit pension. He or she might start contributing $5,000 a year for 20 years starting at age 50, to create an income stream of $36,558 a year at age 80. 

Asked which of the three scenarios is likely to generate the most sales, Bredikis picked the second one. That made sense. Give the public’s resentment of RMDs, the QLACs’ ability to put a small dent in them is expected to enhance their appeal. Also, current DIA sales patterns do not suggest a widespread desire to use longevity annuities as DIY pensions or as pure longevity insurance.

All of the New York Life scenarios involved a single purchaser. Ron Mizrachi, a New York Life tax attorney, said that the QLAC regulations don’t, for instance, allow couples to pool their IRA savings to fund one joint-life QLAC. Either spouse could buy a joint-life QLAC, but the purchase premium would have to come from a single IRA. 

QLACs as the next ‘Greek yogurt’

At the well-attended discussion at the Brooking Institution, the prominent liberal think tank in Washington, D.C., it was suggested that QLACs might create a spike in demand for income annuities, just as Greek yogurt created a surprise spike in demand for yogurt.

That comment marked one of the lighter moments of the two-hour meeting. At one of the more serious moments, the discussion turned to the issue of whether variable annuities or fixed indexed annuities with living benefits will ever be considered as QLACs.

Greek yogurt image

Under the new QLAC rules, deferred income annuities are the only types of annuities where the RMD rules are suspended during the deferral period. But manufacturers of other types of annuities would love to have the same market-expanding privilege. Kim O’Brien, president of the National Association for Fixed Annuities (NAFA), told RIJ recently that she’s leading a contingent to Washington in December to make a case for her products.

At the Brookings meeting, Don Fuerst, an actuary, argued in favor of including variable and indexed annuities as QLACs because their exposure to equities or equities indices offers protection against inflation risk in retirement, which he suggested is as big a danger as longevity risk.

“It’s not really a predictable source of income you need, it’s purchasing power that you need,” he said. “If you have a predictable source of income and inflation is two percent over 20 years, you’re going to lose a third of your purchasing power. And if it happens to be three percent you’re going to lose almost half your purchasing power.

“Now if you can invest in a diversified portfolio you have a potential for exceeding those fixed income rate and having the income be higher. So we think that providing that kind of flexibility in what we might call a variable income annuity or an investment indexed annuity would protect people against another risk, and that’s the inflation risk. It’s not a guarantee, but a guarantee is—I’d like to make the point—are very expensive.”  

J. Mark Iwry, the Treasury official responsible for shaping the QLAC tax benefits from which VAs and FIAs are at least temporarily excluded, responded by saying that longevity annuities were the right place to start, given their simplicity. He also noted that inflation-adjusted longevity annuities are allowed by the new regulations. In addition, he said that the growth potential of the non-annuitized assets in their retirement accounts offers the upside potential that fixed-rate longevity annuities don’t provide.  

But he didn’t rule out the use of VAs and FIAs as QLACs. “We did very much leave the door open to other approaches that could be permitted in the lifetime income longevity annuity space,” he said. “… This is a final reg, but this is not a final step in this whole process of regulation. In no way is this intended to suggest that variable products or indexed annuities don’t have a potentially important and very constructive place to play, nor to suggest that they would not be part of similar guidance that’s issued in the future.”

Certainly, some policy wonks [though not all; some think Social Security reform is a bigger priority] hope that if enough people talk long enough and loudly enough about longevity annuities, America will embrace both DIAs and QLACs. It was Ben Harris, co-director of Brookings’ Retirement Security Project, who compared QLACs to Greek yogurt.   

“People’s attitudes can change,” he said. “Right while I was sitting here I was trying to think of an example of something that went from being unpopular to being very popular: Greek yogurt. Overnight we decided as a country that we loved Greek yogurt. The sales of Greek yogurt went up 2500% in five years.

“I can see a tipping point where once you’ve become more familiar with the product, and once your neighbors start buying longevity annuities, and once your employer sort of implicitly endorses it by offering them in their [retirement plan]… once you get all these sort of implicit endorsements, [you’ll ask,] Is it at least worth considering? You might see an uptake in the consumer behavior.”

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Going Dutch, with a DB-DC Hybrid

A new plan for reforming the Dutch pension system would combine the best features of individual accounts and collective risk-sharing methods or “buffers,” according to Pensioen Pro, an affiliate of IPE.com.

The plan would take advantage of a new freedom that Dutch pension architects enjoy. They no longer have to adhere to a nominal funding rate, so they can create custom solutions that match the needs of their participants.

The plan reflected a compromise among pension experts who don’t normally agree: academics, a political activist, regulators and representatives of APG and PGGM, two giant Dutch workplace pensions.

Netspar, the pension think tank, had encouraged the experts to work on a compromise. Their proposal will become part of a ‘national pensions dialogue’ organized by the Dutch Department of Social Affairs and Labor.

Under the proposal, the guarantees that are typical of defined benefit arrangements are replaced by transparent information regarding the pension benefits that participants might expect—but without the guarantees.

Individual retirement accounts would show each individual’s savings, including contributions and investment returns. The individual accounts would also reflect any insurance premiums paid, such as disability insurance.

Collective capital buffers would offer protection from market shocks. The buffers would be funded during times of high investment returns, while participants would receive payments from the collective during times of negative investment returns.

Participants would replenish depleted buffers over time through ‘recovery contributions,’ allowing shocks to be spread over generations. Other collective features would be retained, including shared investment and benefits administration. Each pension fund would be able to decide which risks participants should share.

Macro longevity risks and inflation risks might be shared, for instance, and, in extraordinary circumstances, pension fund trustee boards may be given the authority to effect a wealth transfer. The use of individual retirement accounts, meanwhile, would show each participant exactly how much these forms of solidarity would cost.

Contribution levels would remain constant throughout a participant’s lifetime, while investments would be tailored according to lifecycle principles, with the important option to continue allocating to risk-bearing investments after retirement.

Other specifics of the proposal include:

  • Investments would be organized collectively for benefits of scale, but allowing for some individual choice, particularly concerning risk profile.
  • Because pension funds are no longer bound by the need to maintain a set nominal funding rate, schemes would be able to cater to their participants’ investment needs.
  • Plans would work toward a target benefit level.
  • Premium contribution levels would consider expected returns.
  • Participants would be offered a choice in terms of benefits – receiving higher benefits initially and then tapering off, for instance.
  • During the payout phase, participants may buy annuities from the fund, while the fund itself invests to fund these annuities.
  • As the scheme remains invested in equities, the risk level will be a bit higher, so annuities are not 100% guaranteed.
  • Alternatively, participants may choose to pay out their own benefits from their individual account.
  • If they should die prematurely, their savings account will be absorbed by the collective, which uses the money to fund benefits for those who live longer than expected.

The academics have published their proposal ahead of a nationwide review of the existing pensions system.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Indexed and deferred income annuity sales shine in 3Q2014: LIMRA

Total U.S. annuity sales reached $58.2 billion in the third quarter of 2014, off 2% from the same period in 2013. In the first nine months of 2014, total U.S. annuity sales rose 6%, compared with 2013, to reach $177.7 billion.

“The 50 basis-point drop in interest rates since the start of the year has dampened interest in fixed products, pulling down third quarter sales,” explained Todd Giesing senior analyst, LIMRA Secure Retirement Institute Annuity Research, in a release.

But indexed annuities and deferred income annuities have done well.

Index annuity sales grew 15% in the third quarter, to $11.7 billion.  YTD, indexed annuity sales grew 31%, totaling $36 billion. The indexed annuity guaranteed living benefits (GLBs) election rate was 69% (when available) in the third quarter 2014.

2014 Third quarter annuity sales LIMRA

Deferred income annuity (DIA) sales reached $670 million in the third quarter, 21% higher than the prior year. In the first nine months of 2014, DIA salesjumped 35%, totaling $2.0 billion. The top three writers continue to drive most of the DIA sales, accounting for 75% of third quarter DIA sales. They are New York Life, MassMutual, and Northwestern Mutual Life.

Total fixed annuity sales were $22.7 billion in the third quarter, down five percent versus prior year. Year-to-date (YTD), fixed annuity sales reached $71.8 billion, a 21% increase from 2013.

Sales of fixed-rate deferred annuities (Book Value and MVA) fell 32% in the third quarter, compared with prior year. Fixed-rate deferred annuities reached $22.4 billion in the first nine months, an 8% increase compared to last year.

Single premium immediate annuity sales were up 10% in the third quarter to reach $2.3 billion. YTD, SPIA sales jumped 30% to reach $7.4 billion. LIMRA Secure Retirement Institute predicts SPIA sales will exceed current annual sales records. 

Variable annuity (VA) sales fell 1% in the third quarter, to $35.5 billion. YTD, VAs reached $105.9 billion, a 3% drop from 2013. LIMRA Secure Retirement Institute researchers noted many of the top VA sellers are focusing on diversification of their VA GLB business. In the second quarter, a few of the top companies entered the market with accumulation-focused product without a GLB rider. Election rates for VA GLB riders, when available, were 76% in the third quarter of 2014.

The third quarter Annuities Industry Estimates can be found in the updated LIMRA Data Bank. To view variable, fixed and total annuity sales over the past 10 years, please visit Annuity Sales 2004-2013LIMRA Secure Retirement Institute’s second quarter U.S. Individual Annuities Sales Survey represents data from 94% of the market.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Life/annuity stocks struggle as low interest rates persist: A.M. Best

The major publicly traded life and annuity stocks underperformed the broad-based S&P 500 index during the third quarter of 2014—posting a 1.3% loss versus a 1.1% gain—according to a new Best’s Special Report from A.M. Best.  

Of the 24 stocks reviewed in the report, eight had positive performance during the third quarter, while 16 declined. A big part of the reason: the expected rise in interest rates did not materialize, and earnings guidance and outlooks moved toward a more tempered interest rate forecast for an extended period.

“Previous quarters had been positive as companies strengthened their balance sheets, and combined with consolidations through mergers and acquisitions, this positioned them to take advantage of the anticipated rising rate environment,” A.M. Best said in a release.

With an appreciation of 7.6%, Voya Financial, Inc. was the best performing of the stocks in the third quarter of 2014. With solid second quarter results, Voya “continues to be well capitalized, and management has decided to increase the company’s stock repurchase program by USD 500 million, which investors viewed favorably,” the release said.

With a share price decline of 24.7%, GenworthFinancial, Inc. was the worst-performing stock in the third quarter. “Despite its promising mortgage insurance business, Genworth continues to struggle in its long-term care segment with elevated and persistent claims,” the release said.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

MetLife, Fidelity partner on new VA with return-of-premium guarantee

MetLife and Fidelity Investments have launched a new deferred variable annuity product that provides investors with growth potential through Fidelity funds and protection against loss by MetLife if held for a minimum of 10 years. The product, called the MetLife Accumulation Annuity is distributed only through Fidelity.

The product’s Preservation and Growth Rider resembles what used to be called “guaranteed minimum account balance” rider, or GMAB. The guarantee is designed to give investors the confidence to wait out market downturns with the knowledge that, assuming they don’t take withdrawals for ten years, they’ll get at least their original investment back.

But the overall product is expensive. A contract owner would pay 2.68% per year for the fund and the insurance wrapper, according to the product prospectus. The annual mortality and expense risk charge for the product is 0.70% and the rider fee is 1.15%. The contract owners also pay 0.83% per year for the underlying Fidelity fund. If the contract owner takes advantage of a step-up to a higher guaranteed account value, the rider fees may go up. 

In other words, on a $100,000 investment in the product, the contract owner would pay more than $25,000 over 10 years in fees for protection against the chance that a relatively low-risk portfolio will be worth less in a decade than it is today.

According to Fidelity’s website, the underlying investment is the Fidelity VIP FundsManager 60% portfolio, which aims for a 42% allocation to domestic equities, and 18% allocation to international equities, 35% bonds and five percent cash.

The investor is guaranteed at least a return of the initial investment at the end of a ten-year period, with proportionate adjustment for any withdrawals. That is, if the account value starts at $100,000 and goes down to $80,000, a $5,000 withdrawal would reduce the guaranteed amount not to $95,000 but to $93,750. 

If the account is worth more than the initial investment on any contract anniversary, the contract owner can step up the floor amount to the new higher amount, but a new 10-year guarantee period will begin.

Fidelity already offers several MetLife annuity products, including the MetLife Growth and Incomedeferred variable annuity and the MetLife Guaranteed Income Builder fixed deferred income annuity.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Wink reports on 3Q2014 indexed annuity, indexed life sales

Total third quarter sales of fixed indexed annuities were $11.4 billion, according to the 69th edition of Wink’s Sales & Market Report, which includes 47 issuers representing 99.8% of indexed annuity production, according to Wink president and CEO Sheryl Moore.

FIA sales were down 8.58% compared to the previous quarter, but up 14.28% when compared with the third quarter in 2013. Year-to-date 2014 sales were $34,942. Full-year sales in 2013 were $38,660.

“Third quarter year-to-date sales of indexed annuities are greater than they have been in any full year with the exception of 2013’s record-setting sales,” Moore said in a release.

Allianz Life led FIA sales with a market share of 26.80%, followed by American Equity Companies, Security Benefit Life, Great American Insurance Group, and Athene USA. Allianz Life’s Allianz 222 Annuity was the top-selling FIA for the quarter.

For indexed life sales, 47 insurance carriers participated in Wink’s Sales & Market Report, representing 95.2% of production. Third quarter sales were $3.72.8 million. Results were up 4.46% when compared with the previous quarter, and up 18.73% when compared to the same period last year.

Pacific Life Companies maintained their lead in indexed life sales, with an 11.61% market share, followed by Aegon, National Life Group, Minnesota Life, and Zurich American Life. Western Reserve Life Assurance Company of Ohio’s WRL Financial Foundation was top-selling indexed life insurance product for the third consecutive quarter. The average indexed UL target premium reported for the quarter was $7,119, an increase of nearly 12% from the prior quarter.

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

The Bucket

Private equity’s thrust into insurance will slow: Fitch

US private equity firms and their funds have grown investments in the life insurance sector over the past several years. However, that growth is expected to moderate as the high-value opportunities in the sector that manifested themselves the aftermath of the financial crisis have largely dried up, says Fitch Ratings. Heightened scrutiny by state insurance regulators will also be a headwind on private equity’s further penetration in the life sector, at least over the short term.

Private equity’s expansion into the life sector has helped certain European and Canadian insurers in their efforts to exit or pull back from the US life insurance and fixed-annuity market. Transactions completed over the past year include the acquisition of British insurer Aviva’s US life and annuity business by Apollo’s (Apollo, IDR ‘A-‘, Stable Outlook) insurance-focused affiliate, Athene Holding Ltd. (Athene), and Guggenheim’s acquisition of Canadian insurer Sun Life’s US life and annuity business. Other private equity firms that have completed acquisitions in the life sector include Harbinger, Global Atlantic and Resolution Life.

Apollo’s Athene has demonstrated an added rationale for private equity’s investment in the life space—the potential to manage acquired businesses’ investment holdings. Apollo earns a 40 bps fee on Athene’s overall investment portfolio, totaling $60.1 billion of AUM, and also earns fund-level private equity fees on the $11.8 billion of sub-advised assets invested across Apollo’s funds.

Regulatory risk has long been a curb on private equity’s interest in the insurance sector, as individual state regulators must approve matters such as changes in ownership and special dividends.

State insurance regulators’ concerns about private equity control typically center on the private equity’s potential prioritization of short-term profits over the long-term health of the insurance company and its policyholders. Fitch sees this concern as especially important when a fund purchases the insurance company, given the limited fund life and need for an exit strategy.

Recent tightening in state regulators’ powers is exemplified by the New York Department of Financial Services proposing amendments to its regulations that would require insurance company acquirers to file additional information (and, potentially, establish keepwell trusts in the event capital is needed) in an attempt to address their concerns related to private equity ownership. The need to establish keepwell trusts would be considered by Fitch as a contingent obligation of the private equity fund and/or manager.

U.S. household investments grow 11%, to $33.5 trillion: Cerulli

New research from global analytics firm Cerulli Associates shows that at the end of 2013, U.S. households controlled $33.5 trillion in investable assets – up from $29.9 trillion in 2012.

“Thanks to another strong year in the stock market, U.S. household wealth was lifted significantly on an aggregate basis,” Roger Stamper, senior analyst explains. “The mass-affluent market has the highest concentration of total financial assets.”

Cerulli’s latest report, U.S. Retail Investor Advice Relationships 2014: Evolving Roles in Client Relationships, provides perspective on the relationship between financial providers and retail investors. It covers the provider-client relationship from end to end, starting with client acquisition, progressing through advice delivery, investment management, pricing, and client retention strategies.

“Among the 122 million U.S. households that reached $33.5 trillion in 2013, 27 million are occupied by individuals under the age of 40 with investable assets of less than $100,000,” Stamper continues. “These households have years of accumulation ahead of them, not to mention the expected wealth transfer from their Baby Boomer parents in the years to come.” 

Managed volatility funds surpass $350 billion in assets: Strategic Insight

As asset managers and investors realize the usefulness of managed volatility strategies, assets continue to rise according to Strategic Insight’s newest in-depth research report, “Managed Volatility: Shifts in a Growing Market.”  Strategic Insight reports a rise in assets from $30.9 billion at the end of 2006 to $360.9 billion in June 2014, an annualized growth rate of 36%.

With $260.8 billion in Q2’14, variable annuity (VA) assets constituted 72% of managed volatility funds. Mutual funds amounted to $100.1 billion, or 28%. By contrast, there are many more mutual funds, a total of 293, compared with 200 VA funds. The widespread use of managed volatility funds in association with VA guarantees accounts for their rapid growth there, but the trend is also catching on in the mutual fund space.

“We attribute the growth of managed volatility to the effects of the financial crisis” said Tamiko Toland, Managing Director of Retirement Income Solutions at Strategic Insight. “However, given the strength of asset growth and the breadth and depth of offerings, managed volatility is evolving into an important investment category.”

Strategic Insight splits managed volatility into two categories: tail risk managed and low volatility. The former includes a population of 258 funds and $265.4 billion in assets and the latter has 235 funds and $95.5 billion in assets. Generally speaking, tail risk managed funds are strongly represented among VA funds—in both assets and number of funds, while mutual funds have a great presence with low volatility funds.

Managed Volatility funds from Canada, Australia and Europe are also featured in the study. Exhibits track managed volatility assets by country/region and provide lists of managed volatility funds from each country/region.

The new research from Strategic Insight has identified almost 500 funds from over 100 different advisors. With so many players, there are a wide variety of approaches, all classified and identified within the report. “This report presents unique analysis of the managed volatility opportunity, from managers to investment styles,” Toland commented. “Because the trend is both new and fast spreading, we’ve also seen a lot of interest from mutual fund boards for data.”

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Will a Robo-Advisor Eat Your Lunch?

Computers, software and the Internet are modern-day Trojan horses. You welcome them into your office and admire their economies. Then, one day, you find an algorithm sitting at your desk, downing the chicken-on-chibatta that you ordered (online, perhaps) for lunch. 

Which raises the subject of robo-advisors.

They’re eager to eat the lunches of overpaid investment managers and wealth management consultants. And they will. If your job as an advisor is mainly to meet clients, gather their personal data and present them with a computer-generated asset allocation plan, you might want to read What Color Is My Parachute. It’s available on Amazon.

Automation isn’t fair. It never has been. And the robos do have unfair advantages. Unlike established players, they’re not married to legacy IT systems or distribution partners or Wall Street analysts. Heck, many of the young Next-Gens and Millennials who run robo-advice firms aren’t married at all.   

Still, you’ve got to give them credit. When the 2008 crisis exposed the costs of financial products and services, they recognized that distribution (i.e., sales) accounted for much of the expense. By using web-based platforms instead of salespeople and exchange-traded funds, they’ve been able to under-price established asset managers by 50-100 basis points or more a year.

A search for the best mousetrap            

It’s difficult to generalize about robo-advice and its impact on the financial services industry. So much of financial services has already been automated that no bright line exists between, say, a web-driven direct provider like Vanguard and a robo-adviser. Some robos seem built for do-it-yourself investors, while others cater to do-it-for-me investors.

The two dozen or so robo-companies (see Data Connection on today’s RIJ homepage) have a wide range of specialties. Some aggregate and others allocate. Some advise and some auto-rebalance. Others auto-tax-harvest. To bring the evolution of advice full-circle, some now even offer live phone support. Some, like Betterment, offer a nearly full-service package.

“We are able to control the entire experience,” a Betterment project manager told RIJ. “We are the broker dealer, the investment adviser, and for IRAs we provide the custodian. We create statements, tax forms—we want to own all of that. Vertical integration allows us to let you sign up and open an account in minutes with zero paperwork. It’s literally two clicks.”

There are certain tasks robo-advisors can’t do well or may simple choose not to do, however. Building highly customized retirement income plans out of a combination of investment (for upside potential) and insurance products (for downside protection against longevity risk and health risk).

While researching today’s cover story (“Two Robo-Advisors, Two Income Strategies”), I talked with people who’ve been watching the growth of the robo-advisor phenomenon. One of them was Jack Waymire, who runs a website, iwd.paladinregistry.com.  It’s an iconoclastic platform where prospective clients can meet advisors whom he has evaluated and blessed.

Waymire doesn’t think the retirement market will ever get a lot of attention from robo-advisors. “If you’re a robo-adviser, what do you care about trying to crack that market? It might sound good to the venture capitalists that are backing you, but I doubt that Boomers are going to put billions of dollars of retirement money on their platform. It’s not a big threat anytime soon,” he told RIJ.

At the same time, Waymire suggested, the robo-advisors may be inherently weak in the area of product sales, where much of retirement income planning takes place. “The robo-advisers are limited to the RIA side of the business,” he said. “If they were to try to approach financial services from a broker-dealer or insurance point of view”—i.e., if they were selling complex products—“they’d have to ask themselves, ‘Do I really want to be registered in 50 different states?’ or ‘Do I want oversight from FINRA?’ The complexity of operating on the b/d or insurance side, just from a compliance standpoint, would be huge.” Betterment is a broker-dealer, but it may be the exception among robo-advisors.

Bob Lonier, a retirement income-focused advisor who has created software for like-minded advisors (rmap-planner.com), gave a darkly humorous presentation about robo-advisors at the Retirement Income Industry Conference in Charlotte, NC, in October. He believes that robo-advisors could automate retirement income, but probably won’t.

That’s because building a floor income out of safe or guaranteed products and adding risky investments for growth—his understanding of retirement income planning—simply isn’t all that popular to begin with. It flies underneath the robos’ radar, so to speak.

“It would take about a year to develop a sophisticated income solution based on the flooring and upside approach—if the founder of the company and the technology guy and perhaps the marketing person are even aware that such an approach exists. I would be that they are not,” Lonier told RIJ.  

“There are lots of finance people who are entrenched in this business and have important jobs who know nothing about retirement income generation other than risk tolerance questionnaires and 60-40 portfolios,” he added. “They think everything beyond that involves an annuity contract. But if the robo-advisers don’t understand that, then they won’t be developing any tools around it.”

Celent, a global research unit of Oliver Wyman, has done a couple of studies of the robo-advisor phenomenon. One of the authors, Will Trout, notes that Betterment has already entered the retirement space with a systematic withdrawal method, and expects others to follow that path.

“The robo-advisers’ client-set, because it’s young, and mass-affluent, is not to a great degree focused on retirement income distribution yet, so the robos have focused more on planning for retirement, more than retirement distribution per se,” he said in an interview. “Betterment has a retirement solution that focuses on a systematic withdrawal plan, but as far as focusing on income distribution specifically and on any customized level, that’s not happening right now. But I think it will eventually happen.”

Waymire, whose earns his bread from the personal advisor business, thinks that the robo-advisors’ main competitive advantage—low cost—may not be decisive in the end. Their arrival may signal the beginning of the end for load funds and high managed-account fees, but a close relationship with a thoughtful planner will always have value. 

 “On the one hand you have the robo-advisors, and on the other hand you have the local advisers,” he said. “And there are multiple shades of grey between. Everyone is trying to come up with the best mousetrap. Faced with each option, consumers will have to ask, ‘What will I get from this service? What will it cost me?’ It comes down to this: ‘How much personalized service am I willing to give up to save 75 basis points a year?’”

© 2014 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.