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Average IRA balances at Fidelity reach five-year high of $81,100

The average balance of seven million IRAs custodied at Fidelity Investments reached a five-year high of $81,100 at the end of tax year 2012, according to the Boston-based fund giant. The figure was 53% higher than the five-year low, registered in 2008

Total contributions to Fidelity IRAs have increased 7.5% from tax year 2008 to 2012, with the average IRA contribution reaching $3,920 in tax year 2012. Roth IRA conversion activity also jumped at the end of 2012 as tax law changes were debated, contributing to a 12% year-over-year increase.

The findings from Fidelity, the largest IRA custodian, highlight positive balance trends across all age groups despite even contribution levels (at right):

Fidelity average IRA balance 2012Total contributions to IRAs have increased every year since 2008, with a 3.1% increase over last year and a 7.5% increase over 2008. At the same time, the average contribution held strong at $3,920 for tax year 2012 (vs. $3,930 for tax year 2011).

Investors in their 60s continue to save the most in their traditional and Roth IRAs. For tax year 2012, these investors contributed on average $4,910 to Traditional IRAs and $4,840 to Roth IRAs. Full contribution rates with age breaks are as follows (below):

Fidelity average IRA contributions 2012As tax law changes were debated, Roth IRA conversions conducted by investors increased in 2012. In fact, there was a 12% year-over-year increase in Roth IRA conversions, and a 52% year-over-year surge for the month of December. Overall, Fidelity conducted more than 101,000 Roth IRA conversions with investors in 2012.  

 

 

 

 

© RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

MetLife not ‘too big to fail’: CEO Steven Kandarian

MetLife, Inc. chairman, president and CEO Steven A. Kandarian issued the following statement this week after the company was notified by the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) that it had reached “Stage 3” in the process to determine whether MetLife would be named a non-bank Systemically Important Financial Institution or SIFI:

“We look forward to working with FSOC on the best way to fulfill its obligation to mitigate systemic risk.

“I do not believe that MetLife is a systemically important financial institution. The Dodd-Frank Act defines a SIFI as a company whose failure ‘could pose a threat to the financial stability of the United States.’ Not only does exposure to MetLife not threaten the financial system, but I cannot think of a single firm that would be threatened by its exposure to MetLife.

“The life insurance industry is a source of financial stability. Even during periods of financial stress, the long-term nature of our liabilities insulates us against bank-like ‘runs’ and the need to sell off assets.

“To be clear, I support prudent regulation of the life insurance industry. After all, we are financially liable for insolvencies through the state-based guaranty funds. What I do not support is a regulatory system that creates an unlevel playing field.

“If only a handful of large life insurers are named SIFIs and subjected to capital rules designed for banks, our ability to issue guarantees would be constrained. We would have to raise the price of the products we offer, reduce the amount of risk we take on, or stop offering certain products altogether.

“We look forward to working with FSOC on the best way to fulfill its obligation to mitigate systemic risk.”

MetLife, Inc. provides insurance, annuities and employee benefit programs to about 90 million customers in the United States, Japan, Latin America, Asia, Europe and the Middle East.   

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

NEST shifts assets to U.S., absorbs €1.6 m fraud

Britain’s National Employment Savings Trust (NEST) has lowered its exposure to UK investments markedly in the last year, with domestic holdings now only 30% of assets, down from nearly 50% last March. Publishing its annual report for the financial year 2012-13, the “public option” defined contribution plan said its default investment options, retirement date funds, performed as expected.

The fund also said NEST Corporation, the entity responsible for the day-to-day running of the fund, had been the victim of a $2.1 million fraud. Chairman Lawrence Churchill said the plans defenses had been strengthened since the £1.4m (€1.6m) payment had been uncovered. He added that, despite the money not coming straight from members’ pots, if the scheme were unable to recover the money, it might increase running costs.

“They have delivered above-inflation returns within our given risk budgets while protecting members from excessive volatility in uncertain conditions,” the report said. The 2021, 2040 and 2055 retirement date funds all saw double-digit returns. A member retiring in eight years saw investments grow by 12.2% over the year and by 10% since the fund was launched in August 2010. A member retiring in 27 years saw returns of 13.6% over the year.

Members with a greater risk appetite invested in the NEST Higher Risk Fund saw returns of 15.6%, only 1.1 percentage points above the Sharia-compliant fund. Those who opted for the lower-risk fund only saw returns of 0.4%, in line with the option’s benchmark return both last year and since the fund’s inception.

NEST has also significantly rebalanced its asset allocation away from the UK; instead, it increased investment in North America to 35.9%, its single largest regional exposure. A greater emphasis was also placed on Continental Europe, up nearly 3 percentage points to account for 18.4% of investments. Latin and South America remained the smallest identified region, with investments in the area nonetheless rising over the 12 months from 0.4% to 1.9% of total assets.

In other matters, NEST justified its decision to allocate 20% of its assets in growth-oriented funds to real estate as “reasonable” and essential to its mandate to offer above-inflation returns.  NEST appointed Legal & General Investment Management to a “property mandate,” thus helping NEST invest in UK property and a global real estate investment trust (REIT) index.

NEST CIO Mark Fawcett described the allocation as hedge against investment risk. “There is this strategic question as to how much we should have in real assets, and then there is this risk management question [on] relative attractiveness of other assets in the shorter term,” he told IPE.com. “About one-fifth in real assets – almost whichever way we run the models and crunch the numbers – that seems to be a reasonable position.” He explained that, in NEST’s view, real assets are a “good way of hedging some of that inflation risk” – with the fund seeking to outperform the UK consumer prices index (CPI).

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Aria enhances its RetireOne contingent deferred annuity

Aria Retirement Solutions has announced an enhanced version of its contingent deferred annuity (CDA) product, RetireOne Transamerica II solution. A registration statement for the product was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission May 15.

The product is designed for use by registered investment advisors (RIAs) and their clients who want to add longevity protection to a portfolio of mutual funds or exchange-traded funds without purchasing a variable annuity contract. A CDA—once known as a stand-alone living benefit, or SALB—lets RIAs add lifetime income rider insurance to clients’ portfolios without changing the tax treatment of the underlying investments. There’s no surrender fee for letting the coverage lapse.

Aria Retirement Solutions provides the technology platform for the product, Transamerica Advisors Life provides the lifetime income guarantee and a variety of low-cost fund managers provide the investments.

Like a lifetime income benefit in a variable annuity, a CDA guarantees an income for life by putting a floor under the amount of assets on which the client can base an annual income for life. The income amount is also determined by the client’s age (age 60 or later) when he or she initiates the guaranteed income stream.

 In Aria’s CDA, the income amount also depends on the 10-year Treasury rate. For instance, at today’s rates, a 65-year-old single client could take 4% of the guaranteed benefit base per year for life. At a rate of 7% or more, the client could take 5.5% per year for life.

Like variable annuities with living benefits, retail CDAs aren’t necessarily cheap. Counting the RIA management fee (1% to 1.5%), the management fees on the underlying funds and ETFs, and the insurance fees, the total drag on the insured investments can exceed 3% a year, depending on the risk of the investments being wrapped.

Aria CEO David Stone told RIJ that the CDA fees aren’t comparable to VA fees, because the client would be paying the RIA management fee anyway and the funds and the ETFs in the CDA are ultra-low cost. A typical retail variable annuity will charge about 2%-2.5% for the base annuity and the living benefit rider.  Throw in the fund fees and the all-in cost is frequently 3%-3.5%,” Stone said in an email.

“With our CDA, we just offer the insurance component, which can be as low as 65 bps after all breakpoints,” he continued. “If we combine the insurance with a portfolio of low cost ETFs, the all-in investment related costs can be 90-95 bps. So, essentially for the cost of an actively managed mutual fund, a consumer can get guaranteed income for life.  

“Of course, the fees can go up for portfolios with greater risk or higher fees or if the advisor wants to use the account to deduct their fees. But we believe the majority of advisors will look to keep the all-in cost (before the RIA fees) to between 90-150 bps.  Also note, we work with advisors who just assess a flat fee or charge much less than 1-1.5%.”

So far, Aria may be the only firm that markets CDAs to retail investors and their advisors. So far, market penetration of the still-novel product category has been slow. The product is not available in all states. 

RIAs can’t wrap Aria’s longevity protection around just any investment portfolio they like. They must choose from among products in the 16 asset categories available under the Aria contract. There’s a different cap on portfolio allocations for each asset class. The caps are as low as 5% for emerging market small equities or alternative assets and as high as 100% for balanced funds and investment grade bond funds.

Eligible investments are listed on Aria’s website, www.retireone.com. They include funds and ETFs from Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA), iShares, Schwab, Vanguard, and others. The program offers nine investment “Profiles” or “Strategies.” Their risk levels vary and the fees correspond to the risks.  

According to the SEC filing, each eligible investment has a “Fund Factor,” which Aria defines as “the factor derived from the use of a proprietary algorithm that attempts to assess the relative risk associated with each Eligible Fund. The algorithm factors criteria such as market data, historical volatility and other measures of exposure.”

There are several fee options for advisors to choose from, depending on whether they want the insurance fee and the advisor’s fee to be taken from the guaranteed benefit base or from a separate cash account, and whether the RIA charges a management fee of 1% or 1.5% per year.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing.

Where to Get Old Variable Annuities Appraised

When variable annuities with living benefits had lavish payouts and low prices relative to their guarantees, Mark Cortazzo of MACRO Consulting Group in Parsippany, N.J., sold about half a billion dollars worth of them to his clients. Along the way, he and his staff assembled a huge database identifying the jewels and the clawbacks that were buried in hundreds of VA prospectuses.

Six years later, VA benefits are far less dazzling, and Cortazzo doesn’t guide as much of his client’s money into them. But the high-profile 40-something advisor, whose paneled conference room walls are studded with the framed covers of national magazines that have lionized him, isn’t letting that huge database go to waste. He’s used it to launch a new business venture called Annuity Review

At first glance, Annuity Review is a VA issuers’ worst nightmare. Its purpose is to prevent VA contract owners (and their advisors) from mistakenly surrendering contracts that they think might be worthless “swampland,” as he put it, but are actually hiding “oil reserves.” At a time when some VA issuers pray for high lapse rates so they can stop reserving and hedging for their rich old benefits, that’s not good news.

But Cortazzo (below), a New Jersey high school pole vault champion who still competes in the Masters division, insists that he’s not trying to do to VA issuers what hedge fund manager John Paulson did to mortgage-backed securities in 2008 or what financier George Soros did to the Thai baht in 1997.

Mark CortazzoHe says he merely wants to help contract owners realize the value of what they own. And he insists that, by helping VA contract owners get the most value from their contracts—through proper structuring and asset allocation—he’s actually helping the VA issuers.

The sad fact is that thousands of variable annuity contracts with complex riders were sold for large sums by intermediaries who didn’t understand them to investors who didn’t understand them. Many of those investors are now being advised on how to dispose of their contracts by fee-only advisors who don’t understand them either. Cortazzo sees a chance to do good and do well, and he’s offering his services for just $199.

“I think there’s a misconception about what we’re trying to do,” Cortazzo told RIJ recently. “We spend half of our time talking to clients about the basic structure of what they own. People come to us with joint riders where the spouse isn’t the primary beneficiary.

“Insurers think we’ll talk to contract owners and tell them to jack up the risk and maximize the protection. But we’re not trying to game the contracts. If I put a VA contract owner in emerging markets equities and the asset class goes down 50%, my client isn’t high-fiving me for maximizing the guarantee. He’s saying, ‘I just lost half my money!’”

In any case, he said, Annuity Review is just a flea on the back of the VA elephant; in-force VAs represent $1.7 trillion in assets (Morningstar, March 31, 2013).

Hidden assets

Annuity Review provides VA contract analysis services either directly to individual contract owners or to the financial advisors of contract owners. The basic charge is $199 for the first three contracts and $49 for each additional contract. He has provisions for free initial consultations and volume discounts for financial advisors with whom he has ongoing relationships. If he becomes the representative of record on the contract, he may also receive a trail commission from the issuer.

When working with fee-only advisors, Cortazzo can become the registered representative on the contract. He also signs non-compete agreements to assure financial advisors that he’s not going to steal their clients. “Our approach has been to focus on the RIA [registered investment advisor] community,” he said.

The fee-only or fee-based advisors who call Cortazzo are, as a rule, not the intermediaries who originally sold the VA contracts to their clients. Typically, a registered representative of a regional broker-dealer or wirehouse sold the contract to the client.  

A not unusual scenario is for an investor to have bought one or more VA contracts before the financial crisis. Post-crisis, the contract owner may have panicked and re-allocated to bonds within the contract. He or she might also have fired the rep who sold the contract and hired a fee-only advisor.

Unfortunately for the clients, Cortazzo said, the investor’s new fee-only advisor, not being familiar or even comfortable with insurance contracts, was likely to advise the client to surrender the contract (as soon as the surrender period expired) and perhaps roll the assets into a Roth IRA, paying taxes that further diminish the remaining VA account value.

Ignorance and inertia

“A half-dozen times, while reviewing a contract with a client and a fee-only advisor, I’ve heard an advisor say, ‘I have a number of other clients with the same product and I told them to get out of it.’ On literally every review with an advisor, I hear, ‘I didn’t understand these provisions.’ Imagine how much de facto de-risking is happening because fee-only advisors have that as their default recommendation?” Cortazzo told RIJ.

Some people, of course, might be better off letting the contract lapse and putting their money somewhere else. But if the living benefit on that contract was deep in the money—that is, if the account value was far below the guaranteed benefit base—or if it had a big death benefit, then the client may have been tossing away something of great financial value. Cortazzo hopes to prevent that tragedy with Annuity Review.

“The insurance companies have two great risk mitigators: ignorance and inertia,” he said. But he added that a client who works with Annuity Review may actually end up costing the insurers less money than someone who kept their contract and invested too conservatively.

 “We have a client whose guaranteed benefit base was higher than his account value, and all his money was in an intermediate-term bond fund. With interest rates where they are today, there’s no chance that his portfolio [will ever grow fast enough to cover the cost of the guarantee]. By putting him in a 70/30 stock/bond mix, we’re increasing the probability that the account will grow and the insurer will never pay him anything.”

Although Cortazzo doesn’t find the value propositions of today’s de-risked variable annuity contracts as alluring as earlier contracts, he still thinks VA living benefits are worthwhile from a behavioral finance point of view. They provide peace-of-mind for older investors who would otherwise pull their money out of equities at the first sign of a downturn.  

Cortazzo was asked if any VA issuers have complained about Annuity Review.

“We haven’t had any negative responses from insurance companies,” he said. “One insurer reached out to us to see what we thought about their product, and to ask if we could work with them on new product development. But our approach has been to focus on the RIA community.”

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

NEST will lose its restrictions in 2017, not 2014

Putting to rest some uncertainty within the British retirement plan industry, the U.K. government announced that NEST, the publicly-backed, nationwide voluntary defined contribution plan designed for low- and mid-income workers, will shed its restrictions in 2017.

Until then, the restrictions will remain. Contributions to NEST will be capped and consolidation of other retirement accounts into NEST accounts will not be permitted. The news was issued by the Department for Work & Pensions—the English counterpart to our Labor Department—and reported by IPE.com this week.

NEST is a “public option” workplace retirement plan. It is Britain’s solution to a problem that the U.S. also faces: insufficient access to employer-sponsored retirement savings plans, especially among people who work at small companies, have modest incomes and belong to ethnic minority groups.

As in the U.S., where only about half of full-time private sector workers have access to a workplace retirement plans, Britain’s private plan providers have difficulty offering plan services at prices that small employers can afford. (Lack of adequate economies of scale is often the reason given.) NEST was created so that small employers could give their workers a viable, low-cost retirement savings option.

When NEST was launched, restrictions on contributions and transfers were placed on it for two reasons: to ensure that it remained focused on its target market, and to allay concerns among private-sector plan providers that NEST might be robust enough to attract business away from them. The government had intended to review the restrictions in 2017 and possibly remove them then. The administrators and supporters of NEST had hoped that the restrictions might be lifted by as early as 2014.

The restrictions make NEST a kind of second-class plan, at least temporarily. There was some concern among retirement policymakers here that the restrictions on NEST might inhibit small employers from choosing it for their employees, and that private providers might not be able to give small employers a low-cost option. Both factors could make Britain’s goal of getting the maximum number of workers auto-enrolled in some kind of plan by next year harder to achieve.

NEST officials claim not to be disappointed about waiting until 2017 for the removal of the restrictions. “The perception that our restrictions were a barrier in the early years of automatic enrolment haven’t actually been borne out by reality,” a NEST spokesperson said privately. “From our point of view we are very happy with the Government’s decision and we welcome the certainty this announcement brings to employers and members.

“Our UK reforms are built on developing and maintaining a strong consensus across the full range of stakeholder groups, representing different interests and communities and this decision has been warmly welcomed by all of them. This consensus has got us to where we are today and we all work hard to maintain it.

“There had been concerns expressed from some other providers that once the restrictions on NEST are lifted it could monopolize the market. But over time we have developed very good relationships with other providers who generally do now accept that NEST is performing an important, specific role within the UK market.”

According to a recent U.K. government report:

Less than one in three private sector workers are saving into a pension, and around 11 million people are not saving enough to achieve the retirement income they would like. Without action, this would increase pensioner poverty, place unsustainable pressure on the state, or both.

The UK is tackling this through:

  • Reforms to the State Pension – equalization of and increases in State Pension age and simplification of the State Pension system to provide a solid foundation for individual saving; and
  • A duty on all employers to automatically enroll eligible workers into a workplace pension with the incentive to save reinforced by a mandatory employer contribution.

Automatic enrolment commenced in July 2012 with the very largest employers and ends – with the very smallest employers – in April 2017.  Around 11 million people will be eligible, with six to nine million people newly saving or saving more.

Reform on this scale will transform the UK’s long-term savings culture, delivering social change on an unprecedented scale. Even under pessimistic assumptions about the number of people who might opt out of pension saving, automatic enrolment should lead to much higher participation in all workplace pensions than without the reforms. This will result in an extra £8 to 12 billion invested in pension saving each year once implementation is complete.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Sen. Hatch hatches a retirement overhaul proposal

A new proposal that if enacted could lead to vast changes in the current retirement plan system in the U.S., was described by Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT), the ranking member of the Senate Finance Committee, in a speech on the Senate floor Tuesday.

The “Secure Annuities for Employee (SAFE) Retirement Act of 2013,” as Hatch described it, would have deep implications for the public and private retirement systems. So far, Hatch hasn’t introduced a bill, even at the committee level. An informal document released by Sen. Hatch’s office said the bill would:

  • Allow state and local governments to privatize their pensions by buying annuities from insurance companie.
  • Allow small employers without retirement plans to sponsor “Starter 401(k)s” with simplified operating requirements.
  • Stop the Department of Labor from creating a fiduciary standard for plan advisors by consolidating all fiduciary rulemaking for 401(k) plans and IRAs at the Treasury Department.

A July 9 report by the Wall Street Journal’s Washington Wire said, “MetLife Inc. and other insurers, which could gain significant business, and major business groups including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce have written letters endorsing Mr. Hatch’s concept. It’s less clear if the bill will catch on with unions or their allies in a Democratic-controlled Senate. Mr. Hatch plans to introduce the bill and then work to gather congressional supporters.”

No Senate co-sponsors have been named. A spokesperson at the Employee Benefit Research Institute said he had not heard anything about the bill until he read a press report on Tuesday. In a press release, the American Society of Pension Professionals and Actuaries said that the bill reflects many of ASPPA’s positions, as described in this document.

Support for the bill, according to a release by Sen. Hatch’s office, has come from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Americans for Tax Reform (ATR), MetLife, the Small Business Council of America (SBCA), American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI), National Association for Fixed Annuities (NAFA), National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), and the National Organization of Life & Health Insurance Guaranty Associations (NOLHGA), among others.

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners, which Sen. Hatch’s office lists as a provider of support for the proposal, said that it has no position on it. A Treasury Department official said his group was about to begin studying it.

Impact on state and local governments and private insurers

Title I of the bill proposes to attack the public pension underfunding problem by allowing state and local governments to adopt “SAFE Retirement Plans.” The governments would buy life annuities from insurance companies. Using the plans would be optional.

The National Council on Public Employees Retirement Systems reacted negatively to Hatch’s bill. “Contracting out a non-profit enterprise to a for-profit insurance company makes absolutely no sense. Public pension plans are already in the business of providing their retirees with annuities. We self-annuitize – at a cost of 50 to 76 basis points, certainly a lower cost than a for-profit insurance company could offer,” said Hank Kim, executive director of NCPERS.   

Impact on small employers

Title II of the bill would expand access to workplace retirement savings plans by allowing small employers to create Starter 401(k)s that, according to Sen. Hatch’s website, allows employees to “save up to $8,000 per year, more than in an IRA, but does not involve the administrative burden or expense of a traditional 401(k) plan.” The release did not mention the Treasury Department’s proposed “Auto-IRA” for small employers, which also addresses lack of retirement plan access in the U.S.

Implications for the DoL’s fiduciary rule

Title III of the proposed bill would shift all authority over prohibited transaction rules to the Treasury Department and away from the Labor Department, where the Assistant Secretary of Labor and director of the Employee Benefit Security Administration, Phyllis Borzi, is preparing to re-issue a proposal for a fiduciary standard for plan advisors. Borzi’s first proposal, opposed by industry, could limit the ability of plan advisors to market retail services to participants in the plans they advise.

In an unsigned comment to the Washington Wire report cited above, a reader wrote that state and local government pensions would become much more expensive—or the benefits would shrink dramatically—if governments purchased annuities from private companies.

“The annuity writers will ‘price’ their products very conservatively to minimize the risk that they will be assuming,” the commenter wrote. “In other words, the cost to taxpayers to fund the same level of pensions currently promised will skyrocket. Essentially the 7%-8% assumptions for earnings growth currently used by all public-sector pension plans will drop to the 2.5%-4% level used by the annuity writers.”  

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.     

Planners fortify their position in favor of fiduciary standard

A fiduciary standard for advisors won’t limit access to advice for “mass market” clients, according to a study sponsored by the Financial Planning Coalition, conducted by the Aite Group and cited in a July 5 letter from the FPC to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The FPC is comprised of the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, the Financial Planning Association (FPA) and the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA), which together have about 75,000 members. Its recent letter responded to the SEC’s request for information (RFI) as it mulls a new standard of conduct for registered representatives. 

The battle is largely over the conflict of interest inherent in commissions. Fee-based advisors often don’t sell products or take commissions, receiving instead a percentage of the client assets they manage. Many registered reps are beholden to third parties, such as broker-dealers or product manufacturers, who pay them commissions to sell specific products. (Some intermediaries use both models.)

A strict fiduciary standard, one that relied on more than a mere disclosure of the intermediary’s relationships with the third parties and the conflict of interest it implies, could delegitimize the business model of that second group. It could interrupt distribution relationships for product manufacturers and deprive many reps of their main revenue source. Planners are much less likely to be hurt.

FPC cited the Aite Group’s finding that “broker-dealers working under a client-first standard experience greater success compared to those operating under a suitability standard and without a significant increase in their costs.”

“The standard contemplated in the RFI is little more than the existing broker-dealer suitability standard supplemented by some conflict of interest disclosures” and the current assumptions made by the SEC would “significantly weaken the fiduciary standard for SEC-registered investment advisers while adding few meaningful new protections for retail customers,” the FPC letter said.

The FPC letter also said:

  • The RFI’s focus on enhanced disclosure suggests that such disclosure is sufficient for fiduciary standard. While disclosure of conflicts of interests is a beneficial and important step, disclosure alone is not sufficient to discharge an adviser’s fiduciary duty.
  • The Coalition letter identifies specific issues with the RFI’s assumptions and proposes an alternative set of assumptions for a uniform fiduciary standard consistent with Dodd-Frank and the Advisers Act.
  • The alternative standards of conduct and approaches discussed in the RFI are inconsistent with Section 913(g) of the Dodd-Frank Act.
  • The SEC should address harmonization of investment adviser/broker-dealer rules after it adopts a uniform fiduciary standard of care: the two issues are conceptually distinct and should not be linked.

 

Registered Reps Landscape (as surveyed by the Aite Group for the Financial Planning Coalition)

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Based on consumption gains, poverty in America has fallen

The belief that efforts to reduce poverty in the United States have flopped over the last half century isn’t justified, according to a new research paper by Bruce Meyer of the University of Chicago and James Sullivan of Notre Dame.

According to their article, “Winning the War: Poverty from the Great Society to the Great Recession (NBER Working Paper No. 18718),” the poverty rate declined by 26.4 percentage points between 1960 and 2010, with 8.5 percentage points of that decline occurring since 1980. They arrived at that conclusion by moving from “traditional income-based measures of poverty to a consumption-based measure and adjusting for bias in price indexes.”  

Figuring out who has benefitted from economic growth or redistributive policies and who would benefit from additional targeted policies depends critically on whether one examines consumption or income, the authors said. The consumption-based poverty results suggest much greater improvement for single parent families and the aged than do the income-based poverty measures. However, overall changes in consumption- and income-based measures are more similar for married two-parent families.

Despite repeated claims of a failed war on poverty,” Meyer and Sullivan write, “our results show that the combination of targeted economic policies and policies that support growth has had a significant impact on poverty…There have been noticeable improvements in the last decade, though they are not as big as the improvements in some prior decades… We may not have won the war on poverty, but we are certainly winning.”

The researchers considered vehicle ownership, housing, and other expenditures, using data from the Annual Social and Economic Supplement to the Current Population Survey and the Consumer Expenditure Survey. They also factor in inflation, changes in tax and transfer policies and demographics.

They conclude that tax changes, particularly expansions of the earned income tax credit, have noticeably reduced poverty. Increases in Social Security have played a large role since 1960. Other transfers have not been as important, at least in the past three decades. Rising educational attainment also helps explain some of the decline in poverty.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Consensus? Not in Washington

There seemed to be few if any happy campers at the IRI Government, Legal and Regulatory Conference in Washington last month. To some extent, that’s to be expected. Unlike the IRI marketing conferences, where attendees tend to be agreeable, the legal conferences involve lawyers, who tend to contend.    

But this conference had to be a downer for anyone who still naively hoped that the various elements of the retirement industry and of the federal government might find constructive ways to solve the problems—inadequate saving, inefficient investing, lack of planning, insufficient retirement plan coverage, 401(k) “leakage,” product opacity, high fees, financial illiteracy, etc.—that bedevil Boomer retirement.

Time is passing quickly and most of the industry’s lobbyists, lawyers, regulators and legislators (represented at the IRI conference by their aides) still appear to be talking past each other and following their own narrow agendas.

A few specifics are in order:

The regulatory agency view

A panel of Securities and Exchange Commission officials sounded oddly ineffectual as the panelists voiced their displeasure with some of the variable annuity industry’s product de-risking efforts since the financial crisis. Industry lawyers like to say that lower risk for issuers means lower risk for contract owners. (“That’s our story,” one lawyer told me.) But the SEC doesn’t seem to buy it.

De-risking is perhaps the biggest trend in the variable annuity industry, and one of its manifestations has been the emergence of “buffered” strategies. These structured products resemble fixed indexed annuities, but the index crediting caps are higher than in FIAs because the contract owners accept more downside risk.

One SEC official suggested that these products—so far AXA Equitable and MetLife have introduced them and Allianz Life plans to—should not be allowed to have names that suggest protection against risk because, even though the insurer might absorb the first 10% or 20% in market losses, the client is on the hook for any further loss.    

“Aspects of these products raise challenging disclosure issues,” said William J. Kotapish, the assistant director of the SEC’s Division of Investment Management Office of Insurance Products and Regulation. He called the product’s structure a “trap door effect” that would require “crystal clear” explanations to prospects. He also described the market-value adjustment on mid-term withdrawals from the products as “very complicated.”  

The executive branch view

It wasn’t exactly a melding of the minds, either, when IRI CEO Cathy Weatherford met on stage for a chat with two executive branch officials, Phyllis Borzi, the Assistant Labor Secretary who runs the Employee Benefits Security Administration and Deputy Assistant Treasury Secretary Mark Iwry, a senior advisor to the Treasury Secretary on retirement issues.

Iwry is a champion of retirement income innovation, but not necessarily of the innovations that the industry is looking for. A few years ago, Iwry’s idea for a federal retirement bond default investment option for participants in compulsory automatic-IRAs in small companies without 401(k) plans was defamed in the right-wing blogosphere as a federal asset grab.

Borzi is also not a natural industry ally. Her initial proposal for a fiduciary rule that would essentially bar plan sponsor advisors from taking advantage of their positions—synergies would be redefined as conflicts of interest—drew substantial industry resistance and was withdrawn.

When Weatherford asked Borzi for a hint about the timing and contents of her long-awaited re-proposal, the latter was noncommittal. But her comments showed how different her values are from those in the private sector.

For instance, she rued the fact that intermediaries who portray themselves as objective advisors are likely to sell what third parties incentivized them to sell, and put the clients’ interests second. But one could also almost hear the third parties muttering, “I certainly hope so. Otherwise we’re wasting our money.” 

Borzi’s point was no doubt deeply felt; she wants advisors to advocate solely for the client, as ERISA requires. But her version of a fiduciary rule would destroy the retirement plan business in its current form. In any case, it’s hard to see how anyone who isn’t self-employed can be a fiduciary, and not all of the people who sell plans or advise plan sponsors are self-employed.   

The legislative branch view

The most perplexing of the panels at the IRI conference may have been the legislative one. Statements by aides to two congressmen and a senator convinced me that they don’t listen closely to or even respect the public policy initiatives of the folks in the executive branch.

During the Q&A period, I tried to find out who drives the retirement policy bus in Washington. “Which end of the worm”—i.e., which agency or branch—should members of the retirement industry talk to in order to get their points across? I asked. Legislators like Iowa’s Tom Harkin, regulators like Borzi and executive branch officials like Iwry all had their own initiatives; were their efforts coordinated?  

An aide to a Democratic congressman offered a polite reply that suggested his boss doesn’t pay much attention to what the executive branch thinks when crafting legislation. An aide to a Republican congressman used my question as an opportunity to disparage the administration’s alleged lack of leadership in general.

A third aide offered good news to the IRI audience. She foresaw no likelihood that Congress might reduce its long-range fiscal exposures by curtailing any of the tax expenditures that the retirement industry and people who are saving for retirement currently enjoy.

Aside from that encouragement, however, the aides’ statements didn’t inspire confidence. They didn’t seem to know much about retirement issues. To be more precise, the retirement industry seemed to be just one of the countless special interests that came to beg favors from them. They used the word “annuities” in a generic sense, as people do when they don’t understand the crucial differences between the products. Two of the aides also seemed to believe that a $100,000 single-premium income annuity premium bought a $200-a-month lifetime payout at current rates. That type of error suggested that they don’t know much about the $8 trillion retirement industry.   

The legislative branch, and especially the Republican House membership, is nonetheless where the IRI finds the most sympathetic and responsive ears. During the conference, even as Weatherford was asking Borzi for news about the fiduciary rule for retirement plan advisors, the announcement came that the House Financial Services Committee had voted 44-13 to approve Missouri Republican Rep. Ann Wagner’s “Retail Investor Protection Act.”

This Orwellian-named bill is based on the fantasy that a fiduciary rule for advisors would hurt low- or moderate-income investors. (That argument is probably only true if you think that low- and moderate-income investors benefit from sales presentations, or that sales presentations constitute advice or that fiduciary advisors never charge by the hour.)

[On July 9, Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) announced a sweeping piece of legislative vaporware, not yet introduced, that would help privatize state and local public pensions, create low-maintenance “Starter 401k(s)” for small companies. Its content appeared lifted from an April 2013 white paper issued by the ASPPA (American Society of Pension Professionals and Actuaries)].

Both bills appear intended to frustrate Borzi. The first one prohibits her from issuing new fiduciary rules until 60 days after the Securities and Exchange Commission finalizes a new fiduciary rule. Hatch’s bill moves all authority to determine standards of conduct for intermediaries to the Treasury Department. Tactics like these, regardless of their merit, could help keep the DoL’s quixotic fiduciary crusade bottled up for the rest of the Obama presidency, if not longer.

Where there’s a will, there’s a way. But in Washington, the ways are all leading in different directions and they don’t add up to much.  

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

RetiremEntrepreneur: Mark Cortazzo

This article is the first installment of RIJ’s new occasional feature, RetiremEntrepreneursTM, about people who profit from the Boomer aging and retirement wave in novel, creative or socially-useful ways. For more information about Annuity Review, see this week’s cover story, “Where to Get Your Old VAs Appraised.”

RIJ: Annuity Review mainly serves owners of pre-2008 variable annuity contracts with rich living benefit riders, as well as the financial advisors of those people. Exactly what service do you provide?

CORTAZZO: What we’re trying to do for the client is look at, big picture, what does their overall situation look like…

RIJ: Annuity Review intends to help these contract owners “maximize” the value of their VA contracts… Won’t that hurt the insurance companies that issued the contracts?  

CORTAZZO: I think there’s a misconception of what we’re trying to do…

RIJ: Are you saying that the people who own them and even the people who sold them in don’t know their value, and could surrender them without knowing what they’re giving up?

CORTAZZO: We’ve had wholesalers and regional directors from companies come in and we’ve asked them, How does this work and what happens in this situation. A very common answer we’ve gotten is, ‘I’m not sure, no one’s ever asked me that question…’

RIJ:  You were a big fan of variable annuities when they were underpriced and had rich benefits. What’s your feeling about today’s “de-risked” contracts? 

CORTAZZO: We have annuity contracts that, from ’02 to ’07, with lifetime income guarantees on them, net of fees, nearly quadrupled in five years because we were in high octane investments. That was wonderful. We don’t have anything that’s going to be able to do that today…

RIJ:  You’re still using VAs, how are you using the new ones differently from the old ones?

CORTAZZO: The majority of someone’s portfolio went into income guarantees before ’08…

RIJ:  So, if variable annuities have a diminished role for your clients, why own them at all?

CORTAZZO: The one value that is not quantifiable is: We have clients who owned these through ’08, and they did not get scared out of the market…

RIJ: How would you describe the type of person who should own a variable annuity with living benefits today?

CORTAZZO: At the end of the day, if you have a client, a couple who’s 65 years old, and they’re sitting in a money market account…

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

TIAA-CREF responds to last week’s RIJ lead article

TIAA-CREF has issued a response to the June 27 article in Retirement Income Journal (“Measuring You for an ERISA Suit”).

The article referenced sentiments expressed by Alicia Munnell, director of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, that the lowering of certain mutual fund fees in TIAA-CREF’s 403(b) plans was a sign that even the most prudent retirement plan sponsors and providers are moving to protect themselves against suggestions or accusations of charging high fees to participants.

A TIAA-CREF spokesperson said:

“TIAA-CREF works closely with plan sponsors and consultants to determine the most economical mutual fund share class for institutional clients. In line with industry standards, TIAA-CREF offers lower-priced mutual fund share classes when plan economics allow.”

10-year Treasuries could yield 5% in three years: BNY Mellon

The “normal cyclical rise” in interest rates is now emerging after a long delay caused by the financial crisis, the recession and the Fed’s yield suppression campaign, said BNY Mellon chief economist Richard Hoey in a recent Economic Update

“The aftermath of the three-decade-long decline in interest rates is likely to be labeled a secular bond bear market, but we prefer to view it in the context of the cyclical normalization of interest rates that we expect over a half-decade period,” Hoey said in a BNY Mellon release.

“If we are correct to expect real GDP growth of 3% or more for the next three years, 10-year Treasury bond yields are likely to eventually normalize at about 5% at the end of a half-decade-long process of interest rate normalization,” he said.

The economic impact of an interest rate rise is very sensitive to the cyclical stage of monetary policy, which ranges from “aggressively stimulative” to “aggressively restrictive,” he added, noting that the Fed plans a gradual move from aggressively stimulative to merely stimulative.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Is non-fundamental, second-hand investing killing capitalism?

Momentum investing had become dominant over fundamental investing, both for short-term gain and short-term risk reduction, and it is the main cause of bubbles and crashes, according to Paul Wooley, chairman of the Paul Wooley Centre for the Study of Capital Market Dysfunctionality at the London School of Economics. 

“The choice between these two strategies, rather than the length of holding period, is the key to understanding short-termism,” he said at an event at St. James Palace in London. “Principal-agent problems and a flawed theory and understanding of finance are bringing capitalism to its knees,” he added. His comments were reported in a recent issue of IPE.com.

A team at the Wooley Centre has developed a model of finance that tries to explain mispricing, momentum, bubbles and crashes. While savers fuel the finance sector, institutions such as pension funds determine how that capital is allocated, Wooley said.  

“Immediately, there is a problem,” he said. “Astonishingly, the bulk of investing by pension funds and other savings institutions is now conducted without reference to fundamental value.”

Pension funds use academic finance theory to select benchmarks, control risk, choose strategies and write contracts with managers, Wooley said, but that theory assumes investors invested directly in securities. Instead, they delegate. But delegation creates principal-agent problems, he said, with the agents having better information and different objectives, and the principals being unsure about the competence and diligence of the agents.

“The new theory explains mispricing, momentum, bubbles and crashes and other long-standing puzzles, such as value and growth, under- and over-reaction and why, perversely, high-risk stocks offer a lower return than low-risk stocks,” he said.

The model showed that momentum could only be justified for investors with short horizons, and that fundamental investing won out in both the medium and long run.

“It shows that almost everything practitioners and policymakers are currently doing is diametrically wrong and both privately and socially damaging,” he said. Funds adopting these strategies will be rewarded with higher medium- and long-run returns, irrespective of what other funds are doing, he claimed.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Boomers may be two generations in one: IRI

The youngest Boomers will face added challenges and will be less prepared financially to overcome them than older Boomers, largely because of their different “workplace experiences” and “employee benefit histories,” according to new research from the Insured Retirement Institute.       

“We need to start segmenting the Boomer cohort,” said Cathy Weatherford, IRI President and CEO in a release. “Those on the back end of the generation have worked most their careers during the defined contribution plan era. As a result they will be more self-responsible for their retirement income security. At the same time, late Boomers have less saved for retirement.”

Forty-two percent of Boomers between ages 61 and 66 believe they have enough savings to live comfortably throughout retirement, but only 25% of Boomers between ages 50 and 55 believe they have enough. According to the latest IRI research:

  • 47% of late Boomers report less than $100,000 in retirement savings, compared to 32% of early Boomers.
  • 43% of late Boomers cite a defined contribution plan as a major source of retirement income, compared to 36% of early Boomers.
  • Insufficient savings is the most common reason late Boomers are uncertain as to when they retire, as stated by 27%. The most common reason for the uncertainty among early Boomers, as stated by 20%, is that they enjoy working.
  • 31% of late Boomers say they struggle to pay their rent or mortgage and 34% percent are financially supporting an adult child, while only 20% and 21% of early Boomers, respectively, say so.
  • 80% of late Boomers remain in the labor force, compared to 43% of early Boomers. 

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Greater Yield through Closed-End Funds?

For some, it’s a necessity. For others, it’s driven by a fond remembrance of yields past. Whichever. A desperate search for yield has gripped older investors. And that in large part explains the recent surge in closed-end funds.

Both the number of new closed-end funds (CEFs) launched and the money going into closed-end funds are at record highs. In one month (March) alone there were four launches. “The CEF industry market size has increased to $288 billion, dispersed among 583 funds that are managed by 103 different asset managers,” according to a June report from Cerulli Associates.

Of course, we all know that finding yield, even in today’s low-interest environment, is not really very hard. If you want a 12% return right now, you can buy 10-year bonds from the government of Greece. But there’s a catch. With high return comes high risk. Do CEFs, some of which offer yields similar to Greek bonds, offer any lesser risk?

Unlikely. Markets tend to be efficient. But that’s not to say that closed-end funds are bad. Just move in with eyes wide open. The risk of buying Greek sovereign bonds is readily apparent (huge government deficits, riots in the streets, the potential for default). There’s no free gyro lunch.

And there’s no free lunch in closed-end funds, either, although the risks are not always so visible. As with any fund, open or closed, you assume whatever risks are inherent in the asset class. So if you buy a high-yield bond CEF, for example, you risk that the underlying high-yield bonds may default en masse or, alternately, plummet in value should interest rates rise. You are also subject to managerial risk, as CEFs tend to be quite actively managed. And your account value is subject to the management fees of CEFs, which tend to be significantly higher than those of open-end funds.

Then there are the subtler dangers:

The discount factor. Because CEFs issue a fixed number of shares, demand may drive the share price higher than the net asset value (NAV) of the underlying holdings. That’s called a premium. Conversely, if the fund owners throw an IPO party and no one comes, the share price may dip below street level. That’s called a discount.

If you buy shares at a premium, or even at a modest discount, you risk seeing those share values fall, regardless of how the underlying holdings perform. According to my Morningstar Principia software, about 120 CEFs currently sell at a premium, and many others are near par. Beware.

Leverage. Many CEFs (about two-thirds, or 400, per Morningstar) borrow money to create leveraged positions. That’s often how certain funds deliver great yields. But, of course, leverage magnifies losses as well as yield and performance. Many of the leveraged high-yield CEF bond funds now selling at a premium, largely for their juicy 10% to 12% yields, took enormous hits in 2008. In some cases, those hits exceeded the 40% or so loss that stocks suffered.

Cannibalism. Consuming capital to raise yield is something that rarely happens in the mutual-fund world, and when it does, it is clearly brought to investors’ attention. Vanguard, for example, has three funds with the words “managed payout” in the name. In the world of CEFs, “managed payouts” are not trumpeted. Check carefully to see whether the “distribution rate” includes a return of capital. If it does, your cherished yield may be little more than smoke and mirrors.

Russell Wild, MBA, is the author of Bond Investing for Dummies and Exchange-Traded Funds for Dummies. He recently bought shares of The Central Fund of Canada Limited (ticker CEF), a closed-end fund that invests in precious metals. The management fees are low. He bought it at a discount. The fund is not leveraged. There is no return of capital. And the yield is negligible.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Mitigating Behavioral Risk

People face many risks with respect to their retirement planning, and the industry has spent a considerable amount of time trying to quantify and explain them to consumers. Most of us are familiar with the perils of longevity, inflation, and investment risk. Much has been done to raise awareness and design solutions that address these risks. But there is another risk that is not as well recognized and is particularly difficult to plan for: behavioral risk. This risk relates to how people make financial decisions and the biases that can handicap their decision-making.

Behavioral finance is a field of research that combines psychology and economics to try to understand how and why people make decisions that are not always economically “rational.” It looks at our natural biases — including the tendencies toward inertia in decision-making, discounting the future, and the aversion to loss — all in an effort to see how they affect our financial decisions. It is important to consider these propensities when designing and marketing retirement income products to ensure they are as effective as possible.

Behavioral finance has already provided insights that changed the way many people currently save for retirement. For example, by recognizing an individual’s tendency toward inertia in retirement planning, researchers identified an opportunity: retirement plan automation. Automatically enrolling employees in a retirement plan and automatically increasing their savings rate annually make inertia work for people instead of against them. They only need to take action if they want to opt out and stop saving. The fact that very few people actually do opt out makes a tangible difference in the retirement outcome of millions of retirement plan participants.

Much behavioral research has focused on understanding how people can save adequately and invest appropriately for retirement. While decisions made during the accumulation phase are certainly critical, they are no less crucial than the decisions that occur at and after retirement — including defining a retirement income strategy. Decisions made at this stage are particularly important; if people make bad economic decisions, they have less time and ability to make up any financial losses. This may, in part, explain why retirees are particularly loss averse. Carriers and producers can better meet the needs of this group by recognizing that their loss aversion has an emotional component, as well as a financial one.

Most people are loss averse. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) were the first to point out that losses hurt us more than gains please us. Emotionally, it’s estimated that the pain of a loss has twice the impact as a win; it takes a $1,000 win to have the same emotional resonance as a $500 loss. This propensity influences many investment decisions. Sensitivity to loss often leads people to opt for a smaller certain gain over a potentially higher gain. This helps explain why, at a time of market volatility when the potential for extreme gains and losses is higher, people who adjust their portfolio tend to seek safety in fixed income investments. Investors will “sell low,” but then likely “buy high” later on.

More recent research has found that loss aversion is even stronger among retirees. In fact, they seem to weigh losses about 10 times more heavily than gains. This “hyper loss aversion” seems to apply beyond economic loss as well. According to Eric Johnson of Columbia University, perception of loss of control over assets can be another facet of loss aversion. It was initially assumed that loss aversion would, in fact, predispose retirees to prefer products that provide guaranteed income. Interestingly, Johnson’s research found the opposite. Retirees averse to loss did not favor products with additional protection and guarantees.

This may seem irrational or counterintuitive, but this type of irrationality is endemic to human nature.  Johnson’s research suggests that there is an emotional component to loss aversion; in this case, it takes the form of the loss of control. Product manufacturers and distributors need to take these inconsistencies into account when explaining and marketing guaranteed products. This is where framing, or how the issue is presented, can be helpful. If retirees see guaranteed products in terms of gains and control (the gain of certainty and control over income), then it may help overcome some of their discomfort.

Framing also affects the perceived attractiveness of income solutions. Consider that most people seem comfortable with the idea that they can live on 70 or 80% of their pre-retirement income. People seem a lot less comfortable, however, when asked about their planned spending reduction of 20 or 30%. Framing can also affect income choices. While LIMRA found that using the term “annuity” to describe an annuity (versus calling it a “financial product”) doesn’t seem to affect their appeal, how it is described does matter. Annuities are perceived as more attractive when they are viewed from a “consumption” frame; more people viewed an annuity favorably when it was presented as a specific monthly paycheck for life. When it was presented as an investment paying a certain return for life, it was less popular. Clearly, context matters here.

Consumers can be irrational. This means that they do not always act in ways that are consistent with their self- interest, which poses a risk to their retirement security. However, people tend to be irrational in some common, predictable ways. This “predictable irrationality” lets us better identify where people go wrong and help steer them toward better retirement decisions. Mitigating “behavioral risk” is every bit as important as mitigating the other types of retirement risk. Those who can successfully address it, along with the traditional retirement risks, will have stronger, more productive relationships with their customers.

© 2013 LIMRA. Reprinted from LIMRA’s Market Facts Quarterly, No. 2, 2013, with permission.

Anatomy of AXA’s New VA Buy-Back Offer

Its generous variable annuity living and death benefits made AXA Equitable Life the top seller of VA contracts for 2007, when the so-called VA arms race was near its height. Now the unit of France’s AXA Group wants to buy some of those rich guarantees back from their owners.

On July 1, AXA Equitable filed an N-4 registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Administration describing the terms of an exchange of cash for the surrender of GMIB (guaranteed minimum income benefit) rider on in-force Accumulator VA contracts, including the Plus, Elite and Select versions of the product.

The offer is voluntary, according to the statement. It is aimed at contract owners with GMIB riders that are “in the money.” These would be in-force riders where the amount of money that can be used to buy a life annuity (known as the “benefit base”) is larger than the current cash value of the contract. 

Judging by the hypothetical examples provided in AXA Equitable’s SEC filing, contract owners who accept the buyout could receive up to roughly half the difference between the benefit base and the account value in cash. For instance, if the contract’s benefit base is $150,000 and the account value is only $90,000, the owner could exchange the guarantee for a payment of about $30,000 (for a new account value of $120,000).

The riders on VA assets generate fees; the fees apparently do not, in the view of AXA Equitable management, justify the level of reserves the riders require or the cost of the derivatives—options, futures, swaps and swaptions—required to hedge the equity and interest rate risks implicit in the guarantees. Today’s low interest rates make hedging more expensive and they reduce the insurers’ revenue on their fixed income investments.

Hence the logic of at least trying to buy back some of the benefits—benefits that the company wouldn’t be trying to buy back unless they were valuable to the contract owner. It’s difficult for a VA issuer to estimate its exact exposure on such riders, since no one knows exactly how the contract owners might allocate their assets or exercise their rider options in the future, or how the equity and fixed income markets might behave in the future. It’s unknown if, 30 years from now, VA riders will turn out to be a net gain or net loss for an insurer. In the meantime, however, the carrying costs can be onerous.

The July 1 filing is only the latest move by AXA Equitable to trim some of the risk off its VA book. In 2012, the Company suspended the acceptance of contributions into certain Accumulator contracts issued prior to June 2009 and initiated a limited program to offer to buy back from certain policyholders the guaranteed minimum death benefit (“GMDB”) rider in their Accumulator contracts. The Company also took steps to limit and/or suspend the acceptance of contributions to other annuity products.

This morning, an AXA Equitable spokesperson sent RIJ this statement: “Following on the strong contractholder interest in our previous offer, we have decided to make our voluntary program available to a broader customer base. This voluntary, opt-in, no-fee program allows contractholders the option to cancel certain features of their contracts in exchange for an increase in their account value. Our commitment to meeting our promises to policy- and contractholders is unchanged. We will continue to offer and develop variable annuity products that provide retirement savings and financial protection solutions for our customers.”

Framed as a ‘win-win’

So far, AXA Equitable, Transamerica/Aegon and The Hartford have made VA rider buy-back offers. (Both Transamerica/Aegon and AXA Equitable have European-domiciled parents, and U.S. life insurers with foreign parents have been under special pressure to de-risk or even abandon the VA business in the wake of global financial crisis that began in 2008.)  

Although the fine print in the contracts is designed to give the insurers the flexibility to reduce the generosity of their products and to make buy-back offers, such moves have been controversial. A buy-back offer can suggest quiet desperation on the part of the insurer—not what a guarantee provider wants to suggest—and could put the advisor who sold it in the complicated, potentially conflicted position of reversing a previous recommendation to a client. It raises questions about the safety of the guarantee and the insurer’s ability to price its guarantees. It could potentially harm the insurer’s brand.    

AXA Equitable is framing the buy back offer as a potential win-win, especially for people who planned to surrender their contracts or drop the rider anyway. “You would benefit because you would receive an increase in your contract’s account value and your Guaranteed Benefit charges would cease,” says the N-4 filing. “We would gain a financial benefit because past market conditions and the ongoing low interest rate environment make continuing to provide these Guaranteed Benefits costly to us. Providing the lump sum payments will be less costly to us than the amounts we are currently setting aside to guarantee the benefits.”

The insurer is treading carefully. It may be mindful of the negative publicity triggered by The Hartford’s May 1 announcement of its intention to allow current VA contract owners to keep their living benefit riders only if they accepted new reductions in their range of investment options and to cancel the living benefits if the contract owners didn’t respond to the announcement within a certain period of time. The “negative option” tactic was seen as a heavy-handed move that The Hartford couldn’t have risked had it not already sold its de novo annuity business to Forethought. 

Irresistible riders

Back in 2007, some of the riders on the Accumulator VAs were virtually irresistible. Starting in May 2007, a 6.5% “roll-up”—an annual increase in the benefit base—was offered on the GMIB and the GMDB. The roll-up lasted until age 85. What’s more, a contract owner could withdraw an income of up to 6.5% of the benefit base from the contract each year without reducing his or her right to annuitize an amount no less than the initial purchase premium. 

These features helped AXA Equitable—at whose predecessor firm, Equitable Life, a group led by Jerry Golden had originated the GMIB in 1996—attract about $15.5 billion in VA premia in 2007. But then the crash and the long interest rate drought converted those VA contracts from a mother lode to a millstone.

AXA Equitable had $96.7 billion in VA assets at the end of the first quarter of 2013, according to Morningstar. As of last 2013, the total account value and net amount at risk of the hedged VA contracts were $39.583 billion and $5.966 billion, respectively, with the GMDB feature and $22.689 billion and $2.099 billion, respectively, with the GMIB feature, according to AXA Equitable’s latest 10-Q filing.  Because these programs don’t qualify for hedge accounting treatment, their losses are recognized in net investment income and can hurt earnings.

And they have. According to the 10-Q, “changes in free-standing derivatives, in the fair value of GMIB reinsurance contracts, and changes in VA rider reserves” reduced AXA Equitable earnings by $1.924 billion in the first quarter of 2013. The same factors created a loss of $2.724 billion for the first quarter of 2012 and a loss of $826 million for all of 2012.

Stock analysts, of course, keep a close eye on such things. AXA ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), valued in U.S. dollars, were traded on the New York Stock Exchange from June 25, 1996 to March 25, 2010, when AXA delisted. Since March 26, 2010, AXA ADRs have been traded in the U.S. over-the-counter (OTC) market and are quoted on OTCQX. AXA Equitable has an A+ rating from Standard & Poors’, an Aa3 rating from Moody’s and an AA- rating from Fitch.

AXA Equitable is still very much in the VA business. But over the past two years it has shifted its product focus to the Structured Capital Strategies variable annuity. This so-called “buffered” product works much like an indexed annuity but is registered as a security product with the SEC. At last month’s IRI Government, Legal and Regulatory Conference, SEC staff members mildly criticized the issuers of buffered products (MetLife also offers one) for presenting them as risk-mitigating products when in fact the contract owners have potentially large risk exposure during deep market downturns. The SCS product has garnered well over $1 billion in sales.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

A.M. Best issues life/annuity M&A trend report

From a new A.M. Best report on M&A in the life/annuity industry:

For many companies considering M&A, product mix has shifted to those that are less capital intensive as well as product designs with less generous benefits. Lines of business such as traditional fixed annuities, long-term care, banking, group medical and Medicare supplement have been de-emphasized by some industry players in favor of international expansion (largely through acquisition), fixed indexed annuities, indexed life, employer stop-loss and voluntary benefits sold through the worksite.

A.M. Best continues to see industry managers focused on core product lines, leading to decisions to exit product lines, which may lead to legal entity dispositions or reinsurance of certain business segments. For those transactions that include products such as level premium term insurance or universal life with secondary guarantees, disentangling from the often complex reserve financing that is in place presents unique challenges and require new solutions to be in place for successful execution. Systems integrations also represent a challenge.

Uncertainty in regulation continues to be a key challenge for the industry. Many of the regulatory issues that were on the horizon entering 2012 continue to be unresolved or yet to be implemented. This includes IFRS accounting, principles-based reserving, the NAIC Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA), Solvency II and the potential effects of the non-bank SIFI designation. Consequently, A.M. Best believes that life/ annuity companies will face significant costs of compliance, accounting volatility and likely greater capital requirements in the near to medium term.

Specifically, regulatory challenges, perceived or actual, are clearly driving dispositions of assets by international players and presenting opportunities for acquirers that were not previously present. This concern was certainly a driving factor for insurers looking to shed their banking assets. Some European-based organizations are feeling pressure to divest operations, largely driven by the impending capital requirements of Solvency II. Similarly, Canadian companies have also exited U.S. operations/business lines, largely driven by stringent domestic capital requirements.

The economy is also a factor driving recent activity. The prolonged low interest rate environment makes market/interest sensitive lines unattractive as margins are squeezed and capital costs rise. Into this arena have entered private equity asset management specialists who believe margins can be improved through perceived superior income generation and credit analysis skills.

These asset aggregators have grown rapidly and have caused some critics to question the long term value proposition and commitment offered to consumers and to the industry. Historically, plans included an exit strategy of five to seven years, either through an IPO, sale or run-off.

A strategy focused on investment acumen and to some extent, exploiting market inefficiencies, will need to be time tested to prove its effectiveness as an appropriate long-term strategy for the life insurance and annuity sector. A.M. Best remains cautious about the ability to fully integrate and extract long-term value from these blocks of business given the size and complexity of some of these recent transactions. A.M. Best will also evaluate the ability of private equity asset managers to effectively integrate management teams.

Potential for higher earnings and revenue growth is leading some domestic carriers to expand internationally through acquisition. Targets have included asset managers, distributors as well as insurance companies. However, foreign regulation may limit full ownership/control and necessitate accepting a minority ownership position instead. Not having full control of a foreign operation can present operational and managerial challenges. On the other hand, some U.S. carriers have abandoned certain international markets in favor of domestic opportunities focused more on mortality and morbidity risks, which generally exclude embedded guarantees.

Traditional factors also continue to drive M&A activity. In some of the cases cited above, geographic expansion was the main driver of an acquisition. In this case, a simple shell purchase can suffice if a company already has a built in distribution network in place or is looking to open up into a new market and only needs state licenses to broaden its strategy. In other cases, adding scale to an existing product platform or the opportunity to gain greater product diversification offer a compelling reason for a transaction. Finally, for smaller companies, divestitures were used to facilitate succession planning, unlock shareholder value, or as part of overall tax strategies, especially in 2012.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

The Bucket

Genworth launches online training for producers on indexed products

Genworth has launched The Index Institute, a virtual community for producers.  The Index Institute contains index life insurance and index annuity training, market insights, presentations, product information and sales ideas. 

According to a Genworth release:

  • Index Universal Life (Index UL) insurance has grown to a $1.5 billion market in 2012 from $330 million in 2006. Sales rose 42% in Q4 and improved 36% for the year, representing 30% of total UL premiums and 12% of all individual life insurance premia.
  • Fixed index annuities (FIAs) have turned in five consecutive record-breaking years of growth, finishing 2012 with $33.9 billion in sales.  

The Asset Builder Index UL, a flexible life insurance solution that offers a death benefit, cash accumulation and an optional accelerated benefit rider for long term care services (ABR), is Genworth’s latest index UL product. The ABR, which is available at an additional cost, allows the policy owner to access the death benefit to pay for covered long term care services.

Among Genworth’s FIAs are the SecureLiving® Index 5, Index 7 and Index 10 Plus products.

Retirement needs vary more widely than thought: DFA   

Conventional thinking on retirement savings is overly simplistic and is limited in its usefulness for most investors.  Many standard savings plans fail to take into account personal circumstances, changing income levels and assets accumulated over time, according to new research from Dimensional Fund Advisors. The study modeled realistic income patterns based on data from thousands of households.  

For example, a single saving rate recommendation fails to recognize that it may be easier for households with income of $50,000 per year to maintain their current lifestyles in retirement than households making over $100,000 per year. The reason lies with a variety of factors, including the amount of income that needs to be replaced during retirement, the increased revenue contributed by social security in lower income groups and the larger impact of employee 401(k) matches on savings.

The new study, “How Much Should I Save for Retirement?,” is a companion to 2012 research by Dimensional, “How Much Retirement Income Is Enough?” which examined the level of income that people need in retirement. That study challenged the conventional wisdom that investors need to replace 75% to 85% of their income to live comfortably in retirement. Dimensional found that the range was broader, varied greatly based on individual circumstances and using one common number was an overly simplistic approach.

American General launches Lifestyle Income Solution for GUL policies

American General Life Companies has announced the Lifestyle Income Rider, which can be teamed with AG Secure Lifetime GUL (Guaranteed Universal Life Insurance) policies to create the Lifestyle Income Solution.

 “This new rider can effectively turn an American General life insurance product into a guaranteed stream of retirement income,” said James A. Mallon, president and CEO, Life Insurance, AIG Life and Retirement, in a release.

“It is… for those who need the option to purchasing life insurance to help meet their family’s financial needs if the worst should happen, while guaranteeing another source of retirement income if the best should happen,” he said.

Tim Heslin, vice president, product strategy and implementation for American General, said, “Our Lifestyle Income Solution features guaranteed monthly withdrawal benefits after as few as 15 years, regardless of the cash surrender value within the policy.

“Further, clients have the flexibility to transform a portion of their life insurance benefit while they are still living to help supplement their retirement income. Customers can choose this living benefit and then stop it during payout if they decide they no longer need it and want to maintain a life insurance benefit. If they stop the living benefit, they can restart it at a later date.”

The Lifestyle Income Solution on AG Secure Lifetime GUL is available for issue ages 18-70 in specified amounts of $100,000 to $10,000,000 (conditions and limitations apply; see your agent for details). The Lifestyle Income Solution, which has its own premium, must be issued in conjunction with the Terminal Illness Rider on AG Secure Lifetime GUL.

Northern Trust report offers details on DC plan asset flows

Participants in employer-sponsored defined contribution retirement plans reduced their U.S. equity holdings and increased their fixed income holdings in 2012, thus missing out on at least part of last year’s equity market gains, according to a report by the Defined Contribution Solutions group at Northern Trust.

On the other hand, plan participant diversified overall into international equities and increased their allocations to target date funds, two trends that Northern Trust found healthy. Northern Trust is a DC plan service provider.

Northern Trust’s Defined Contribution Tracker analyzes data on 1.5 participants in 85 U.S. retirement plans with $190 billion in market value. The tracker confirmed the contradictory state of affairs in 2012—equity values were rising even as many investors seemed to be the equity markets—that some explained by pointing to substantial corporate buyback programs during the year.

In 2012, the tracker showed, participants shed domestic equities even as the Russell 3000 Index of U.S. stocks gained 16.4% for the year. U.S. equities remained the largest asset class at 31.1% of holdings but fixed income saw net positive inflows of 9.2% for the year, despite low yields.   

Assets held by target retirement date funds in DC plans tracked by Northern Trust grew to 14.6% from 11.9% of participant allocations during 2012. International equity, meanwhile, grew from to 7.6% from 5.9% of allocations in the tracker universe.

“Target retirement date funds have benefited from the increased adoption of auto-enrollment and other automated features,” said Susan Czochara, senior product manager in Defined Contribution Solutions at Northern Trust.  

The Defined Contributions Tracker will be published annually using year-end data aggregated from DC retirement plans with daily valued assets under custody at Northern Trust.

Northern Trust has approximately $214 billion in DC assets under custody. Its global custody unit works closely with the asset management team to provide comprehensive integrated solutions for DC plans, including daily valuation, multi-manager unitization, Defined Benefit-DC integration, performance measurement and cross-border pooling.

Baucus/Hatch letter to Congressional colleagues

Next Steps on Tax Reform
Chairman Max Baucus and Ranking Member Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senate Committee on Finance
June 27, 2013

Dear Colleague,

We write today to ask you for your input as the Finance Committee moves forward with comprehensive tax reform. America’s tax code is broken.

The last major reform of the tax code was the Tax Reform Act of 1986, which is considered by many as the gold standard for tax reform. However, since then, the economy has changed dramatically and Congress has made more than 15,000 changes to the tax code. The result is a tax base riddled with exclusions, deductions and credits. In addition, each year, it costs individuals and businesses more than $160 billion to comply with the tax code. The complexity, inefficiency and unfairness of the tax code are acting as a brake on our economy. We cannot afford to be complacent.

Over the past three years, the Finance Committee has been working on tax reform on a bipartisan basis. We have held more than 30 hearings and have heard from hundreds of experts on reforming the code—how to make it simpler for families and businesses and spark a more prosperous and competitive economy. In addition, over the past three months, we have issued ten bipartisan options papers totaling more than 160 pages that detail reform proposals we are considering in every area of the tax code. The full Committee has met on a weekly basis to discuss these options papers and how to put plans into action. We are now entering the home stretch.

Colleagues, now it is your turn. We need your ideas and partnership to get tax reform over the finish line. In order to make sure that we end up with a simpler, more efficient and fairer tax code, we believe it is important to start with a “blank slate”—that is, a tax code without all of the special provisions in the form of exclusions, deductions and credits and other preferences that some refer to as “tax expenditures.”

This blank slate is not, of course, the end product, nor the end of the discussion. Some of the special provisions serve important objectives. Indeed, we both believe that some existing tax expenditures should be preserved in some form. A complete list of these special tax provisions as defined by the non-partisan Joint Committee on Taxation can be found at https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=select&id=5.

But the tax code is also littered with preferences for special interests. To make sure that we clear out all the unproductive provisions and simplify in tax reform, we plan to operate from an assumption that all special provisions are out unless there is clear evidence that they: (1) help grow the economy, (2) make the tax code fairer, or (3) effectively promote other important policy objectives.

Today, we write to ask you to formally submit legislative language or detailed proposals for what tax expenditures meet these tests and should be included in a reformed tax code, as well as other provisions that should be added, repealed or reformed as part of tax reform. In order to give your proposals full consideration as we work to craft a bill, we request these submissions by July 26, 2013. We will give special attention to proposals that are bipartisan.

To help inform your submissions, we asked the nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation and Finance Committee tax staff to estimate the relationship between tax expenditures and the current tax rates if the current level of progressivity is maintained. While Members of the Senate have different views on whether the revenue raised from eliminating tax expenditure or other reforms should be used to lower tax rates, reduce the deficit, or some combination of the two, we believe that everyone should understand the trade-offs involved when adding tax expenditures back to the tax code.

The blank slate approach would allow significant deficit reduction or rate reduction, while maintaining the current level of progressivity. The amount of rate reduction would of course depend on how much revenue was reserved for deficit reduction, if any, and from which income groups. However, as shown in the chart below, every $2 trillion of individual tax expenditures that are added back to the blank slate would, on average, raise each of the seven individual income tax brackets by between 1.3 and 2.2 percentage points from what they would be under the blank slate.

Likewise, every $200 billion of corporate tax expenditures that are added back to the blank slate would, on average, raise the top corporate income tax rate by 1.5 percentage points from what they would be under the blank slate. These estimates demonstrate that the more tax expenditures we allow in the tax code, the less we will be able to reduce tax rates or reduce the deficit. As we work to craft a tax reform bill, we will bear these trade-offs in mind.

While we believe that taking a hard look at every income tax expenditure is an essential part of tax reform, we also encourage you to examine other aspects of the tax code. For example, many provisions of the income tax that are not considered tax expenditures could be greatly simplified. In addition, almost half of federal tax revenues come from sources other than
income taxes. The tax reform process will therefore involve much more than just income tax expenditures.

Our tax code is bloated and outdated. The income tax was established a century ago, in 1913. And it has been a generation since our last tax reform in 1986. As Chairman and Ranking Member of the Finance Committee, we are determined to complete tax reform this Congress. We look forward to your ideas and to working together to accomplish this historic goal.
Average Effect on Tax Brackets of Adding Back Tax Expenditures, Maintaining the Current Level of Progressivity.

These estimates represent an average effect because the effect on tax rates of adding back, for example, $1 trillion in individual tax expenditures is not as large as the effect of adding back a second $1 trillion in tax expenditures. Put differently, it becomes increasingly costly to lower the tax rates as the tax rates go down through base broadening. The current level of progressivity means the level of progressivity in 2017. Certain tax expenditures are excluded from the analysis where doing so is necessary to maintain the current level of progressivity. The income ranges for the current tax brackets are for married taxpayers filing jointly.

© 2013 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.