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Social Security Started from Scratch–and That’s Its Biggest Problem

As retirement mavens well know, Social Security is projected to be unable to pay more than about 75% of its promised benefits after 2034. Yet there’s been little productive public discussion about how–via a combination of higher taxes and/or lower benefits–the financial health of the national pension might be restored.

A new report from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College should help establish a factual foundation on which to have that debate. It asserts that the only thing wrong with the financing of the system is its $20-odd trillion “legacy debt,” which is responsible for the OASI’s “missing trust fund.”

These are notional numbers that quantify the simple fact that the government sent out Social Security checks—starting with one for $22.54 that Vermont legal secretary Ida May Fuller received in January 1940—well before it had amassed a pension fund to pay for them.

Analysts at the CRR say Social Security would be healthy today if it had been prefunded, and if it had built up an interest-bearing trust fund. “If there had not initially been this period of time when no trust fund was yet developed, there would be enough money” today for Social Security to pay its promised benefits in full, the Center’s associate director of research, Geoffrey T. Sanzenbacher, told RIJ this week.

“The fact that we don’t have as many workers per retiree now as we used to wouldn’t be a problem,” Sanzenbacher said. “And the people who are retiring now, the people born around 1950, actually paid their fair share. They aren’t getting more than they contributed.” He’s the co-author, with CRR director Alicia H. Munnell and senior research advisor Wenliang Hou, of “How To Pay for Social Security’s Missing Trust Fund.”

This is a revolutionary idea that could clear the air and allow enough oxygen into the room for a healthy debate. Evidently, Social Security isn’t a “Ponzi scheme,” as many people glibly say. Nor should it necessarily be ammunition for “generational warfare” between the Boomers and their kids.

Sanzenbacher also questioned the idea that Americans don’t get a fair return on their payroll contributions to Social Security. “The program has a lot of insurance value,” he said. Because the benefit is protected from market volatility, is inflation-adjusted and has a survivor benefit, and that the system doesn’t create winners and losers (as a market-based retirement program would) it has a value, relative to a defined contribution savings, that often goes unappreciated.

Now that most of those early free riders on the system have passed on, who should bear the burden of “paying back” the phantom trust fund and/or the interest on it? There are “a “a variety of ways to structure a revenue increase,” the paper’s authors say, “ranging from an increase in the payroll tax without an expansion of its base, to a smaller increase in the payroll tax with an expansion of its base, to an increase in the income tax.”

“Increasing the payroll tax tends to place a disproportionate burden on middle class working households, whether that burden is measured by reduced household income or by reduced utility,” the paper says.

“Getting rid of the payroll tax cap distributes some of that burden onto the top quartile, but the effect on middle class workers is still fairly substantial. Increasing the income tax, on the other hand, places more of the burden on the top quartile.

“Taxing the society more widely – through an income tax increase – could make sense given that society as a whole benefitted from having a generation of people receive benefits who did not fully contribute to the system. Any of these taxes could be raised permanently by a moderate amount, effectively paying the missing interest from the Missing Trust Fund, or by a larger amount, ultimately replacing the Missing Trust Fund before returning taxes to their current level.”

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Allies pay for our nukes by holding US bonds, economists suggest

If other nations believe that President Trump intends to break America’s international defense agreements, interest rates on U.S. Treasury debt could rise as a result, according to a new article by economists Barry Eichengreen, Arnaud J. Mehl, and Livia Chitu.

In their paper,  “Mars or Mercury? The Geopolitics of International Currency Choice” (NBER Working Paper No. 24145), the authors claim that certain nations indirectly pay to be under the U.S. nuclear umbrella by holding a large percentage of their foreign reserves as U.S. Treasury debt.

Military alliances as well as financial considerations influence the composition of a nation’s foreign currency reserves, they write, and suggest that if the U.S. were to withdraw from global geopolitical affairs, foreign demand for dollars might decline. This could ultimately lead to higher long-term interest rates in the U.S.
America’s vast global security umbrella, in place since the end of World War II, protects the dollar’s status as the leading international currency (established by the Bretton-Woods Agreement of 1944). As a consequence, a high percentage of global trade is conducted in dollars, which makes U.S. debt more marketable overseas.

This “exorbitant privilege,” as the dollar’s status has been called, allows Americans for instance to pay for Chinese goods in dollars, for instance, instead of paying in renminbi, which we would have to earn by exporting goods or services to China. The dollar’s status allows us to run a big trade deficit without dire consequences.

If the United States is no longer seen as a predictable guarantor of the security of its allies, then countries that are currently dependent on the U.S. for military protection could reduce the share of their reserves held in dollars by as much as 30 percentage points, while increasing the shares of such other currencies as the euro, yen, and renminbi, the researchers proposed.

The researchers estimate this would raise the long-term U.S. interest rate by 80 basis points, raising interest payments by the U.S. Treasury by roughly $115 billion each year given the level of public debt in late 2016. They note that this is more than many estimates of the cost of maintaining the American military’s overseas presence.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

‘Excessive fee’ case against Yale to continue

A U.S. District Court judge in Connecticut has denied most of Yale University’s motions to dismiss a suit, filed against it in August 2016, that accused the Ivy League school of running its 401(k) plan in a way that cost participants too much. The case was among several similar “excessive fee” cases filed by the St. Louis law firm, Schlichter Bogard & Denton against large 401(k) plan sponsors.

According to a report by NAPA Net, the suit alleged that Yale breached its fiduciary duties to plan participants (Yale employees) by “selecting and imprudently retaining funds which the plaintiffs claim have historically underperformed for years” and had high fees. The complaint also questioned the plan’s decision to use multiple recordkeepers instead of single recordkeeper.

The plaintiffs had also charged Yale with failing to employ strategies that would lower recordkeeping fees, such as:

Installing a system to monitor and control fees

Periodically soliciting bids in order to compare cost and quality of recordkeeping services

Leveraging the plan’s “jumbo” size to negotiate for cheaper recordkeeping fees

Consolidating from two recordkeepers to one

Implementing a flat fee rather than a revenue-sharing structure

Yale argued that the plaintiffs failed to allege “that the fees were excessive relative to the services rendered.” The school’s plan trustees moved to dismiss all seven counts for failure to state a claim under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6) and for being time-barred.

Judge Alvin W. Thompson dismissed allegations that the Yale defendants acted disloyally in managing its retirement plan, and that participants were harmed by too many investment options.

Still active are claims that Yale was “locked-in” with recordkeeping services that kept the university from adequately monitoring the plan’s investments and fees, that the offering of retail class shares was a problem, and that there was a breach of fiduciary duty in failing to monitor the plan committee.

Yale is among more than a dozen universities to be sued over the past 30 months by 401(k) plan participants for not doing what the law requires to reduce the costs of the plans and the fees charged to participants.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Consumer debt undermines personal retirement savings: LIMRA

Just 31% of American workers with non-mortgage debt reported they were saving for retirement outside the workplace compared to 69% of workers without non-mortgage debt, according to a LIMRA survey. Non-mortgage debt includes car loans, student loans, credit card debt and home equity loans.

“Consumer debt is at an all-time high,” the life insurance industry organization reported. “As of the fourth quarter of 2017, the total household consumer debt reached $13.2 trillion.” About seven in 10 American workers currently hold non-mortgage debt and it is negatively affecting their confidence and ability to save for retirement.

Millennials with non-mortgage debt are the least likely to be saving for retirement outside of the workplace. Only 20% of Millennials and 34% of Generation X that have non-mortgage debt save for retirement outside of where they work. That percentage increases to 55% for Baby Boomers.

Millennials and Generation X workers might feel less motivated to save outside the workplace because of their non-mortgage debts. Non-mortgage debt not only increases negative feelings towards saving for retirement, but it also impacts American workers’ sentiment about debt. LIMRA finds that six in 10 American workers with non-mortgage debt say paying down debt negatively impacts their efforts to save for retirement and half feel they are spending too much of their annual income paying down debt. This is especially true for Millennials with non-mortgage debt.

Fifty-nine percent of Millennials believe they are spending too much of their income paying down their non-mortgage debt. This percentage decreases as the generations age as only 46% of Generation X and 39% of Baby Boomers felt the same.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Investors keeping selling US equity funds

Though the performances of U.S. equity funds and global equity funds were almost identical, their flows diverged widely in the first quarter. Even U.S.-focused funds suffered near record outflows, while funds focused outside the U.S. attracted plenty of fresh cash, according to TrimTabs research.

U.S. equity mutual funds and exchange-traded funds lost $63.3 billion last quarter, the second-highest quarterly outflow on record. U.S. equity ETFs issued just $11.3 billion, the second-lowest inflow in the past eight quarters, while U.S. equity mutual fund outflows remained relentless, totaling $74.6 billion.

Global equity funds had strong inflows for a fourth consecutive quarter–a three-quarter high of $63.9 billion–even though they didn’t significantly outperform their U.S.-focused counterparts. Global equity funds were down 0.5% on average, while U.S. equity funds declined 0.7%.

Demand for bond funds was heavy despite continuing losses. Retail investors dominated the buying. Bond MFs received $61.8 billion, commensurate with recent quarters, but bond ETF inflows dropped to $13.5 billion, the lowest level in five quarters.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

 

Alcoa transfers DB risk to Sun Life and others

Alcoa Corporation has signed group annuity contracts to transfer approximately $555 million in obligations, and related assets, of defined benefit pension plans in Canada, the giant producer of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products announced this week. The transfer will be completed later this month.

The group annuity contracts with three Canadian insurers will cover about 2,100 retirees or beneficiaries. Sun Life Financial, Desjardins Financial Security Life Assurance Company, and Industrial Alliance Insurance and Financial Services Inc. (IAFS) will begin making benefit payments to the affected plan participants by July 2018. The timing and amounts of retirees’ current monthly benefit payments will not change.

In the second quarter of 2018, Alcoa expects to record a non-cash settlement charge of approximately $175 million ($128 million after-tax, or $0.68 per share) due to these annuity transactions.

Alcoa will contribute approximately $95 million in mid-April 2018 to facilitate the annuity transaction and maintain the funding level of the remaining plan obligations. This amount represents a portion of the $300 million in incremental contributions Alcoa expects to make in 2018 to the U.S. and Canadian defined benefit pension plans.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Ascensus to buy ASPERIA

Ascensus, a retirement plan service provider serving seven million participants, has agreed to acquire ASPERIA Retirement Plan Solutions, a third-party administrator (TPA) firm for defined benefit and defined contribution plans. ASPERIA will join Ascensus’ TPA Solutions division.

Based in Worcester, Massachusetts, ASPERIA (formerly Group Health & Benefit Administrators, Inc.), will become part of Ascensus’ TPA Solutions division, according to a release from Ascensus president David Musto, Brian K. Carroll, ASPERIA’s president and CEO and Raghav Nandagopal, Ascensus’ executive vice president of corporate development and M&A.

Based in Dresher, PA, Ascensus supports over 54,000 retirement plans, more than 4 million 529 education savings accounts, and a growing number of ABLE savings accounts. It also administers more than 1.5 million IRAs and health savings accounts. As of December 31, 2017, Ascensus had over $163 billion in total assets under administration.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

InsurMark receives infusion from Simplicity

InsurMark has sold an equity stake to Simplicity Financial Marketing Group Holdings, Inc., and thereby acquired the capital to complete its evolution from an insurance marketing organization to a “ “next-generation” independent distribution firm, InsurMark founder Steve Kerns announced this week in a release.

InsurMark now identifies as itself as ADO, or Advisor Development Organization. The repositioning is intended to reflect its emphasis on “helping advisor-clients optimize the value of their business and attain the lifestyle they desire,” the release said. Elite Advisor Group serves as a marketing consulting to InsurMark.

InsurMark, established in 1983 and headquartered in Houston, TX, specializes in distributing annuities and life insurance through financial professionals. Simplicity Group Holdings owns nine insurance distribution businesses and is one of the nation’s largest financial marketing organizations.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

A Pre-ICO Lunch at Gibraltar

The crypto-currency entrepreneur Dean McClelland met me for lunch in a swank restaurant near the foot of the legendary white rock of Gibraltar on a February day when the wind from the Mediterranean blew strong enough to topple the scaffolding on one of the tiny British tax haven’s half-finished high-rises.

After renting a Fiat 500 in Seville, I drove two hours south past olive orchards and down the corrugated length of Parque Natural Los Alcornocales to Gibraltar, where McClelland’s company, TontineTrust, is based. He aims to build a global retirement income fund based on a proprietary crypto-currency and a tontine.

We sat down to a white-tablecloth meal in a near-deserted restaurant. McClelland ordered beer and I ordered red wine. He’s a ruddy-faced Irishman of 47 with a chinstrap beard. He wore a dark pinstripe suit. I cannot say that I peered into his soul and took his measure. Only presidents can claim to do that.

We had already spoken via Skype for a recent RIJ article. But there were two questions I wanted to explore further. The first question: Didn’t it seem quixotic to try to launch a product based on two strange ideas that most people don’t understand?

McClelland looked at me just long enough for the tacit message of “You don’t really get it yet” to appear in a word bubble above his head. He explained, and I began to catch on. Trapped in my retirement income perspective, I had wrongly imagined that the crypto-currency piece might be a drag on the tontine part.

In fact, it’s the hook. Crypto-currencies are, of course, today’s hottest investment category outside of cannabis, especially among the young, those with loose cash, and people who don’t trust the value of “fiat” currency, like euros and dollars.

McClelland’s tontine is denominated in a crypto-currency called TON$. To invest in tontine shares, or even to distribute it (as an advisor), you must buy and hold TON$. A retiree would be betting not only on the chance for an attractive payout from the tontine, but also on the chance that the market value of the TON$ will soar. Where an income annuity offers retirees a dead-stick landing (no way to regain altitude), a crypto-currency tontine has no ceiling. At the very least, it’s a diversification play.

So, are lots of people taking a flyer on TontineTrust? No and yes. McClelland said that the board members of a famous company that owns an insurance company was recently interested in investing in Tontine until the chairman—a famous person, but I won’t indulge in hearsay—shot it down.

Nonetheless, he said, accredited investors ($1 million+) have been sending chunks of money to TontineTrust in response to its call for pre-ICO (initial coin offering; in this case, McClelland’s TON$) financing. That call was sweetened by the promise of 200% bonuses to early investors.

Risk-averse investors would never go near such a thing. As one person emailed me, “I love the tontine idea but this product seems to be negligent or purposely fraudulent.” But it’s catnip to those with a big appetite for risk. (Or those who believe that, if you get into something early enough, you’re not paying much for the risk.)

My second question, a difficult one to craft politely, was, in effect: Who is Dean McClelland (at left, beardless), and why should people invest in his company, or, as mere participants in the tontine, trust him with their retirement savings? He’s not, for instance, the kind of recent Ivy League (or Stanford) graduate that private equity firms seem to love tossing money at. He had no special answer, except to shrug almost imperceptibly and say that he’d been an investment banker.

That question (a version of the “Who sent you?” challenge that speakeasy owners classically threw at new patrons) has been answered, in part, by the people who have decided to go to work with or for TontineTrust. I know of two. Richard Fullmer, the asset allocation expert, confirmed in a recent email that he had left T. Rowe Price to become chief investment officer at TontineTrust. Fullmer, who created a novel retirement income strategy when he was at Russell Investments (described in the 2011 book, Someday Rich) and designed target-date fund strategies for T. Rowe Price, is respected in the academic and professional money management realms.

Also working with McClelland is Brian Bossler. A former chief operating officer at RetireUp (the robo-advice platform for small 401(k) plans), Bossler now holds that position at TontineTrust. McClelland had been looking for someone who had brought a product to market in the US. Bossler had done that with RetireUp.

The rest of the story is yet to be written. McClelland and I shook hands and parted. On my way back to the parking garage where I’d left the rental car, I walked as close as could to the famous Rock. It meets the ground the way a skyscraper in Manhattan meets the sidewalk: at a right angle. I gazed straight up at the soaring limestone wall, almost expecting see the logo, Prudential.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

It’s Hot Around the ‘Collar’

With the equities boom showing signs of fatigue, and with so many investors near retirement, it’s no wonder that collar-type products, which insulate investors from various levels of downside risk, have become a fertile area of innovation for both life insurer actuaries and the financial engineers on Wall Street.

A number of insurance-based and investment-based versions of these accumulation-oriented products are now available. Starting with AXA in 2010, a half-dozen life insurers have developed structured or indexed variable annuities with collar-like capabilities. And a Wheaton, Illinois-based ETF firm is awaiting SEC approval for what it calls the first options-based ETF with such features.

In February, Great-West Financial introduced its first indexed variable annuity (IVA), Capital Choice. In a departure from previous IVA designs, it offers contract owners a choice of four indexes and either a buffer or a floor. That is, investors can choose to absorb either all loss down to a 10% floor or all net loss beyond a 10% buffer.

On the investment side, Innovator Capital Management (ICM) has plans to introduce four “Innovator Defined Outcome ETFs,” each holding a select basket of puts and calls on the S&P 500 Index. Each fund delivers returns within a different range of upside caps and downside buffers. Milliman Financial Risk Management, a subsidiary of Milliman, Inc., is the product’s subadvisor. It, along with Cboe and S&P Dow Jones, designed the options-based methodology.

For advisors who might use either an investment or an insurance product to protect their near-retirement and newly retired clients from market volatility (i.e., sequence risk) during the risky “retirement red zone,” we thought it would be useful to look at these two somewhat similar products side by side.

Great-West Capital Choice

This product is a single-premium indexed variable annuity with a one-year point-to-point crediting method and exposure to four different equity indices: S&P 500, Russell 2000, NASDAQ-100 and MSCI-EAFE. The protection strategy costs 1.20% per year and the six-year surrender period starts with a 7% penalty.

“We’ve taken the best elements of the three or four competing products and said, ‘Here’s what we think has resonated with advisors and clients,’” said Lance Carlson (right), national sales director for individual annuities at Great-West. “We put it all together and now have a product with three or four distinct characteristics that we think will make it sellable.

“For instance, there are other products that charge no explicit fee for the benefit. We charge 120 basis points. Because of the fee we have a larger risk budget, which means we be more competitive in the cap rate environment. We say, ‘This is what you’ll get and this is what it will cost you.’”

As noted above, Capital Choice has both floors and buffers. A client can choose a floor of zero (comparable to a fixed indexed annuity), -2.5%, -5%, -7.5% or -10%. This means the client absorbs any losses up to those percentages but nothing worse. Alternately, a client can choose a 10% downside buffer. If the S&P500 goes down 9%, the client loses nothing for the year. If the index drops 17%, the client loses 7% of his investment.

“We have both a buffer and a floor, and the floor has a lot of intermediate levels,” Carlson told RIJ. “When we were talking to home offices, they said they wanted a minus-five percent floor option. The broker-dealers told us that if they wanted to a minus-five floor, they had to combine a zero floor with a minus-10 percent floor.

“Let’s say the cap rate for a zero-loss floor is 3.85%, while the cap rate for minus-10% floor is 8%. So, on average, they can get an effective cap of about 6%. Our cap for the minus-five floor version is 7.15%. Our return of premium death benefit is also part of the chassis, and we’re writing it up to age 90. So if you’re 82 and you have money to pass on, and you can’t qualify for life insurance, this product can protect that money and give you a chance for growth.

“Also, there are a lot of financial advisors with a huge legacy book of VAs whose owners bought them for income but don’t need the income. Instead of paying 3.5% or 4% fees for that product, they can exchange it for our product, which costs only 1.20%. That will be a differentiator for us.”

Innovator Defined Outcome ETF Series

ICM needed a special SEC ruling to be able to offer their basket of puts and calls on the S&P 500 as an ETF. There are four versions of the ETF, each with a difference risk/reward trade-off and each with a “defined outcome” (within a specific range) based on specific one-year periods. The expense ratio is expected to be 79 basis points.

“It’s a simple, transparent investment in a basket of six to eight options contracts. We’re essentially using options to replicate structured note-like payoffs inside an ETF,” said Bruce Bond, co-founder of ICM, in an interview. “This product gives you performance up to a cap, and a defined downside protection level over the course of approximately one year. You don’t know exactly what you’ll get. But you know it will be between certain parameters.”

The four versions of the ETF are the Innovator S&P 500 Buffer, the Innovator S&P 500 Enhance and Buffer, the Innovator S&P 500 Power Buffer, and the Innovator S&P 500 Ultra. The caps on upside potential haven’t been declared, and won’t be until the start of one of the funds’ one-year “outcome periods.” Here’s a brief description of each ETF:

  • The Innovator Buffer insulates investors against the first 15% of S&P 500 Price Index losses during the “Outcome Period.” Investors bear all S&P 500 Price Index losses exceeding 15% on a one-to-one basis.
  • The Enhance & Buffer Fund insulates investors against the first 10% of S&P 500 Price Index losses during the Outcome Period. Investors bear all S&P 500 Price Index losses exceeding 10% on a one-to-one basis.
  • The Power Buffer Fund provides a buffer against S&P 500 Price Index losses of between -5% to -35% during the Outcome Period. Investors bear the first 5% of S&P 500 Price Index losses and all S&P 500 Price Index losses exceeding 35% on a one-to-one basis.
  • The Ultra Fund provides no downside protection, and aims instead to maximize upside.

These are open-ended, fully liquid funds, and investors can buy or sell at any time. As noted in the Innovator prospectus, the caps and buffers apply only to money that comes into the funds at the beginning of each designated one-year period. Bond said that there will be up-to-date information on the Innovator website to show new investors where the funds are in their one-year trips through the market. People who buy and hold will already be in the fund when it starts a new cycle of option purchases.

“If we launched the Innovator Defined Outcome ETFs today, and you bought, for example, the Innovator S&P 500 Power Buffer, which is designed to provide upside exposure to the S&P 500 Price Index, up to a cap, and a downside protection level between -5% and -35%, you’d be able to earn up to an 8% or 9% cap, if the product were struck today, and you’d have a downside buffer of 30%, beginning at -5%,” Bond said.

“But if you bought it 100 days after the launch, the S&P 500 might already be down 15%—and there would be less ‘protection’ left. Or, on the flip side, the index might be up 4%, in which case you may only get five more percentage points of growth before hitting the cap.”

It’s not clear whether these timing implications pose any greater hazard to an investor in the Innovator ETF than in an indexed variable annuity like Capital Choice, as long as the investor knows what he has and hasn’t purchased. With a product like Capital Choice, the insurance company can change the caps in response to market developments, so that people who buy at different times will see different risk/protection combinations.

Sales potential

Both ICM and Great-West see lots of potential for this type of semi-protected product when millions are investors are either holding cash or sitting nervously on a pile of unrealized capital gains. Matt Kaufman, a principal at Milliman, expects a ready market among advisors who may  not use structured notes or insurance products.

“When we talk to financial advisors, they often ask, ‘How else can I access a defined outcome strategy?’ For the portion of their clients who are looking for alternatives notes to structured notes or structured annuites, this gives them similar opportunities, through a low-cost, efficient vehicle like the ETF,” Kaufman told RIJ.

Milliman, which serves as a sub-advisor to variable annuity subaccounts, uses a managed risk strategy in many of those portfolios. But for this product it chose an options-based approach. “Many managed risk strategies focus on providing investors with stable volatility and downside risk management,” Kaufman said. “Innovator Defined Outcome ETFs are different. Like many structured notes and annuities, they are less focused on volatility and more on the outcome parameters they can provide.”

For Great-West’s Carlson, the Capital Choice product is part of a long-term strategy to expand Great-West’s individual product offerings in the broker-dealer channel and in the US generally. “Most of our $3 billion in profits comes from Canada or the UK. Only 10% of our profits are currently in the US,” said Carlson, who came to Great-West from a similar third-party distribution job at MetLife.

“We have not been in the retirement space for individuals, except through our relationships with Schwab and TD Ameritrade. It was a nice little business, but we did not have a big broker-dealer distribution. That’s what we have been building over the last two years.

“Instead of 10 broker-dealer relationships we now have 100. We now have 28 wholesalers focused on third party distribution, but to be a top five player we’ll need 60 or 70. A couple years ago, we did zero third-party variable annuity distribution; this year we’ll do a billion through Schwab and TD Ameritrade. We’d like to get $4 or $5 billion in annuity sales.”

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

No surrender penalty on Jackson National’s new advisory FIA

Jackson National Life, the 2017 leader in overall annuity sales ($18.39 billion) and variable annuity sales ($17.46 billion), has launched a new fixed indexed annuity (FIA) with an income benefit in both commission-based versions.

The two versions of the product are MarketProtector, for use by commissioned agents and brokers, and MarketProtector Advisory, for investment advisor representatives at Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs). The no-commission version of the contract has no surrender charge period, which should appeal to RIAs.

There are two all-equity index options: the S&P500, which contains domestic large-cap stocks, and the MSCI-EAFE, which includes European and Asian stocks. The crediting options are annual reset point-to-point and annual reset point-to-point performance trigger (which performs best in flat, but not negative, one-year periods).

The product’s lifetime income rider, IncomeAccelerator, might be its most interesting feature. Most living benefit riders incentivize contract owners to delay withdrawals by raising the value of the notional “benefit base.” IncomeAccelerator ratchets up the client’s annual withdrawal percentage each year until the client turns on the guaranteed income stream (for up to 15 years or to the client’s 85th birthday, whichever comes first).

Historically, owners of living benefit riders have struggled to understand how they work. They often confuse their account values and their notional benefit bases. Many mistakenly believe—and are sometimes encouraged to believe—that an annual increase (“roll-up”) in their benefit base means an increase in their available balance.

Income Accelerator can be added after purchase or dropped after purchase, allowing clients to change their minds about how they’ll use the product. If they bought the benefit and don’t plan to use it, they can stop paying for it.

“The way we’ve designed it, a client and advisor can add or subtract the living benefit rider at any time,” said Marilynn Scherer, vice president, fixed product management, at Jackson. Clients also have the flexibility to take withdrawals during the deferral period and not lose their deferral bonus. The income rider, which currently costs 1.05% a year for the single life version and 1.20% for the joint life version, is available only on the seven-year and 10-year versions of the product.

“In other products, or in earlier versions of other products, withdrawing even an incidental amount would lock you into a payout rate,” Scherer said. “But with this product, you can take an incidental withdrawal, and in future years your payout percentage could go up again.”

In 2009, Jackson was among the top five sellers of FIAs according to Sheryl Moore, publisher of Wink’s Sales & Markets Report, which includes FIA sales. Between 1998 and the end of 2016, it was the eighth largest seller of FIAs, with cumulative sales during that period of $18.9 billion. In 2017, it ranked 20th, with FIA sales of $584.7 million.

“Unlike some of our competitors, we haven’t jumped onto certain product features—like the hybrid indices,” Scherer told RIJ. “We’ve stayed with conventional FIA products. That’s why we dropped in the rankings in the last few years.

“Early on, we decided to file our FIA materials with FINRA, and we abide by FINRA rules,” she added. “So we couldn’t illustrate any product that didn’t have a sufficient number of years of performance. We also heard from some of our broker-dealers that they wanted to use indices that people could look up in their newspapers.”

Moore believes that eliminating the surrender charge from the advisor version of the product could spark demand for FIAs in the RIA channel. “The first fee-based indexed annuity launched less than 25 months ago and already there are 20 different products available from 10 different companies. I consistently receive feedback [from RIAs] that they are disappointed in the offerings because of the surrender charges on the annuities,” she told RIJ. All of the commission-based versions (5, 7 and 10-year terms) have a first-year surrender charge of 9%.

“If that is [the RIAs’] only hangup [about FIAs], MarketProtector Advisory may be a game changer,” she said. “Fee-based indexed annuity sales accounted for just 0.42% of 4Q2017 sales, but this could open that up in a big way.”

Getting rid of the surrender charge was part of Jackson’s strategy. “The first few carriers who offered advisory FIAs had traditional descending surrender periods. It look like they had been built on a commissioned product chassis. The more recent ones have a flat 2% surrender fee. We wondered if we should follow suit,” Scherer said.

“But our actuarial team said we might not need a withdrawal charge at all. They were comfortable that the market value adjustment would cover [the risk of disintermediation]. Also, since this is advisory money, it’s likely to be sticky anyway. Nobody would jump from advisor to advisor to chase performance.

“I could imagine a number of way to use the product. Sheryl Moore’s data shows that the average FIA purchase age is 63. Some people might buy the product at that age and turn on income immediately. It would be easy for them to calculate what their income stream is going to be.

“But if you use the deferral credits and get maximum value out of the product, I could see people deferring for five or seven years. They might buy it at age 60 and defer until age 65. Or buy it at 65 and defer until it’s time to take required minimum distributions. That’s when most people start thinking about taking income.”

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

 

 

 

 

Another buffered index annuity, from Great American

Great American Life has introduced a variable-indexed annuity, the Index Frontier 7. The contract links investor returns to the performance of several indices, including the S&P 500 Index, iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF or the SPDR Gold Shares ETF.

“The potential for stock market corrections could mean it is time for consumers to rebalance their financial portfolios,” said Joe Maringer, national sales vice president, Great American Life, in a release. The product will be sold by commission but a no-commission version is planned, Maringer told RIJ.

Variable-indexed annuities were introduced in 2014, sales in the category were less than $500 million. Sales of these products exceeded $9 billion in 2017, the Great American release said.

The current version of Index Frontier 7 offers a -10% floor, which prevents any loss beyond 10%. It doesn’t offer a buffer; a -10% buffer would protect investors only from the first 10% loss; any further loss is borne by the investor.

The caps for the “growth” versions of the index strategies are 11.5% for the S&P 500, 14.0% for the SPDR Gold Shares and 20% for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF. The caps for the “conserve” versions of the index strategies are 4.50%, 5.25%, and 6.5%, respectively.

“We have a zero floor ‘conserve’ version—you can think of it a traditional FIA strategy. Then we have the “growth” -10% option. If you only wanted 5% exposure on the downside you could allocate 50/50 into each of the strategies,” Maringer said.

“Or, if you captured a gain in one year, say up to the 20% cap on real estate, you could then move the principal and the gains into the zero floor option to protect from losses and still participate should there be growth. It offers a true insurance component on what is a registered product.”

According to a product brochure, the caps for Index Frontier 7 do not have annual administrative fees, mortality and expense charges, or 12b-1 fees.

The product offers tax-deferred growth, lifetime income options and a seven-year early withdrawal charge period. There’s a $25,000 minimum initial contribution requirement and a $10,000 minimum for subsequent contributions.

Great American Life Insurance Company is rated “A+” by Standard & Poor’s and “A” (Excellent) by A.M. Best for financial strength and operating performance. It is a subsidiary of American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG), a Fortune 500 company with assets of $60 billion as of December 31, 2017.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

RIAs will continue to resist indexed annuities: Cerulli

Assets in mutual funds fell sharply in February, reduced by 3.3% to $14.8 trillion, down from $15.3 trillion in January, according to the March 2018 issue of The Cerulli Edge, US Monthly Product Trends Edition for February.

Net flows dipped into negative territory during the month (-$2.1 billion), but they remain positive for 2018 YTD ($50.9 billion). February 2018 was the first month since January 2016 when ETFs collectively suffered net negative flows, losing $4.2 billion. Like mutual funds, ETF assets also decreased, dropping 3.9% for the month.

The Product Trends Edition for February covers registered investment advisor (RIA) distribution strategies and managed account services offered by 401(k) plan sponsors.

It will be an “uphill battle” to convince RIAs to sell more fixed indexed annuities, given RIA’s “proven lack of adoption of variable annuities.”

Cerulli’s report said that RIA distribution strategies must be consultative and convey how annuities can be implemented within the firms’ established investment process. To sell FIAs, firms may need to add portfolio and/or product specialists, as asset managers have done.

In a 4Q 2017 Cerulli survey of 401(k) plan sponsors, 60% of respondents indicated they offer a managed account service to participants. Nearly 45% of 401(k) plan sponsors surveyed said they believe “managed accounts help participants with retirement income.”

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

In UK, Prudential makes risk transfer easier for small pensions

Prudential Financial and the Pension Insurance Corporation (PIC) have announced a new approach for expediting longevity reinsurance transactions for smaller pension buy-ins and buy-outs.

“This new approach combines an advance commitment of capital, known pricing and the bundling of multiple transactions into a single closing to enable PIC to more nimbly and efficiently address the risk transfer needs of small pensions and their retirees,” according to a joint release.

The approach, called a “flow reinsurance structure,” is designed to increase the insurer’s capital efficiency while reducing the administrative burden of the primary insurer and the reinsurer, the release said.

The process streamlines the reinsurance transaction process for PIC’s smaller pension buy-in and buy-out transactions that meet pre-agreed criteria. These blocks will be reinsured by Prudential at the model-determined price.

Historically, the longevity reinsurance market for smaller pension buy-ins and buy-outs has been difficult to serve because of the complexity and administrative burden of pricing and executing contracts for each small transaction.

Prudential and PIC, having worked together for years on multiple risk transfer transactions, started collaborating on this project almost two years ago as part of a joint effort to find better, more efficient ways to serve these smaller pension schemes.

At year-end 2017, PIC had insured 151,600 pension scheme members and had £25.7 billion in financial investments, accumulated through the provision of tailored pension insurance buy-outs and buy-ins to the trustees and sponsors of U.K. defined benefit pension schemes.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Weatherford announces retirement, IRI looks for new CEO

The Insured Retirement Institute (IRI) is looking for a new president and CEO.

IRI formally announced this week that its president and CEO, Cathy Weatherford, would retire effective December 31, 2018 after serving for 10 years.

IRI members, including most variable annuity manufacturers and distributors, have been aware of the planned retirement for some time.

Weatherford, a former state insurance commissioner in Oklahoma, has been the only person to lead the organization since it changed its name from the National Association of Variable Annuities in 2008 and began full-time advocacy for retirement industry interests in Washington, D.C.

Recently, the IRI was part of the fight against the Department of Labor fiduciary rule and in favor of the Retirement Enhancement and Savings Act.

The IRI board of directors is conducting a search to recruit her replacement. In 2015, the job paid a total compensation of $790,278, including a base salary of $554,518, bonus compensation of $215,000, $8,760 in deferred compensation and $22,000 in nontaxable benefits, according to the most recently available Form 990, which non-profit firms must file.

The job description, search strategy and the list of search committee members are available here. The financial services recruiting firm Wilbanks Partners will assist the search committee. It intends to identify potential prospects and interview candidates through the spring, identify finalists by mid-year, and have a new CEO employed this fall, the release said.

The search committee, with the IRI board’s executive committee, will look among “senior professionals in national leadership roles in both legislative branches and regulatory agencies, as well as C-suite executives (and alumni) at financial services firms who have strong thought leadership and advocacy track records,” IRI said.

In a statement, Weatherford said, “2018 will be my tenth year at IRI and I am looking forward to setting IRI on the track for another twenty five years of being the first-call association for the retirement income industry.

“Over the course of my career, my objective has always been to implement forward-thinking policies that benefit the constituents, consumers, employees, members, men, and women whom I have served.”

In its Form 990 for 2015, IRI reported revenue of $6,342,844, including $3.45 million from membership dues, $1.48 million from conference services, $1.1 million from its Premier Alliance Program and $295,000 from industry-wide training programs. Expenses were $6.49 million, of which about $3.9 million were salaries.

As of the end of 2015, the IRI reported $1.43 million in non-interest-bearing cash and $2.04 million in savings and temporary cash investments. It reported $4.9 million in total assets and $3.48 million in total liabilities.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Fund flows turn negative in February: Morningstar

Overall, this February seems to have been a record of lows, with investors shaken by the wild swings in the market and keeping their distance. January’s flows across all category groups totaled $128.1 billion. In contrast, February’s total amounted to a negative $7.7 billion.

If one still had any lingering doubt about how bad last month actually was in terms of flows, one only had to look at Vanguard: almost $33 billion in January, barely $12 billion in February. If the reigning provider saw such a drop, just imagine what everyone else must have endured.

February was a roller-coaster month for the U.S. stock market, with all major indexes plummeting, then floating back up, then dropping again to end the month in negative territory. This volatility was reflected in the flows, with investors running away from U.S. equity—not only from active funds but from passive ones as well.

Redemptions of $8.4 billion from passive U.S. equity marked the first monthly outflow for the category since April 2015.

Although international markets suffered in tandem with the U.S. market last month, the international-equity category group didn’t stop growing in February. Instead, it dethroned taxable bond, which had enjoyed the largest flows for quite a while, and led with a $22.8 billion inflow overall, most of it to passive funds.

Inflation and interest-rate concerns caused taxable-bond flows to diminish last month to only $5.2 billion. It was the smallest inflow for taxable bond since November 2016.

Large blend landed on the bottom-flowing list last month, after having been among the top-flowing Morningstar Categories despite outflows on the active side. The category is usually the beneficiary of passive flows because investors who index tend to prefer large-blend (as opposed to growth- or value-specialized) funds. With overall passive flows into U.S. equity taking a dive in February, large blend was the hardest hit.

Foreign large blend and diversified emerging markets remained in the top five as investors continued to focus on international equity. Intermediate-term bond continued to be the most popular option in the taxable-bond category.

Interestingly, the flows driven by February’s market shock didn’t seem to discriminate as much between active and passive. All top five categories experienced inflows on both the active and passive side, and all categories with the largest outflows (except large growth) experienced the same pattern.

It seems investors are much more meticulous about active versus passive when it comes to depositing their money than withdrawing it. Susceptible categories experienced redemptions on both sides, and for one month it seems the “outflows from active, inflows to passive” pattern was, if not broken, at least disrupted.

High-yield bond experienced outflows for the fifth consecutive month. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act may have prompted some of the outflows, because it is limiting the tax-deductible amount of interest expenses. High-yield debt companies will be negatively affected by this new provision because their interest expenses are now much higher, and not being able to write them off will adversely affect profitability.

On the active side, American Funds managed to stay positive with a $2.2 billion inflow (all its funds are active). The two funds with the largest inflows were American Funds EuroPacific Growth AEPGX and American Funds American Balanced ABALX.

On the other hand, Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, and Franklin Templeton continued to suffer outflows from their active funds. After two months of double-digit billion-dollar flows, State Street experienced an extreme $25.3 billion outflow driven by its flagship exchange-traded fund, SPDR S&P 500 SPY.

© 2018 Morningstar Inc. All rights reserved.

Float shrink: US firms continue to buy stock

New stock buybacks have already totaled $226.6 billion in 2018, according to a TrimTabs Research release this week. The average daily volume of announced corporate buying (new cash takeovers plus new stock buybacks) has been $5.4 billion, not far below the record $5.8 billion daily in 2015.

New cash takeovers have totaled $48.1 billion, and they have would have been $136.9 billion had Broadcom’s bid for Qualcomm succeeded.

The $5.4 billion daily in announced corporate buying this year amounts to $1.35 trillion on an annualized basis. The latter amount equals 15% of the $8.99 trillion in pre-tax wages and salaries earned by all U.S. workers subject to income tax withholding in 2017 (assuming a blended tax rate of 27%).

“We doubt companies will be using anywhere near $1.35 trillion to hire or boost compensation this year. Like the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, the federal government’s tax policy has become a major driver of inequality,” the release said.

“If corporate actions early this year are any indication, far more of the savings from the corporate tax cut is likely to find its way into mergers and stock buybacks than into new jobs and fatter worker paychecks.”

© 2017 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Less debt for near-elderly households: EBRI

The debt levels of households with a “near-elderly” head of household—i.e., someone 55 to 64 years old—have improved since the Great Recession, according to a review of the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI).

But this group still carries more debt, on average, than families headed by people 65 or older, the EBRI said in a new issue brief.

“As with many of the families with elderly heads (those ages 65 or older) examined in the SCF, the families with a near-elderly head show a pattern of stubbornly higher indebtedness than in past generations—specifically those in the 1990s,” the EBRI said. The non-partisan research group found that:

  • More than three-quarters of families with a near-elderly head held debt in 2016 (77.1%). While this level represents a downward trend from 81.7% in 2007, it remains higher than the proportion in 1992 (71.4%). The family head age cohort with the next highest percentage with debt were families with heads ages 65-74, where the percentage with debt ranged from 51.5% in 1992 to 70.1% in 2016.
  •  As with families with elderly heads, the families with near-elderly heads have seen their debt levels decline as a percent of their assets since 2010—from 10.7% to 8.4% in 2016.
  •  Total debt payments as a percentage of income of families with near-elderly heads has been trending down since 2007. It is at its lowest level since 1992, at 9.1% in 2016. However, this level is still higher than that of families with older heads, which range from 6.0% to 7.9%.

The proportion of families with a near-elderly head with debt payments that are greater than 40% of their income is also down substantially since 2007 (8.5% in 2016 vs. 12.5% in 2007). This cohort is more likely to have debt payments in excess of 40% of income than family cohorts with older heads, however.

  •  41% of families with heads ages 55-64 had credit card debt in 2016. That’s well below the peak level of 50% in 2007 but higher than in 1992, when it was 37%.
  •  The median credit debt for families with heads ages 55-64 decreased significantly in 2016 from $4,168 in 2007 to $2,800 in 2016. However, this is still higher than the 1992 level of $1,676, and higher than for families with heads ages 65 or older.

The EBRI report, “Debt of the Elderly and Near Elderly, 1992–2016” is published as the March 2018 EBRI Issue Brief, and is available online.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Need for annuities is strong but interest still weak: Survey

Almost three out four Americans (73%) consider guaranteed income “a highly valuable addition to Social Security,” according to a survey of 1,003 pre-retirees and retirees aged 55-75 with more than $100,000 in household assets was fielded in February 2018. A year ago, only 61% of those surveyed expressed that opinion.

That is among the conclusions reached in the fourth annual Guaranteed Lifetime Income Study from Greenwald & Associates and CANNEX.

More than half of those surveyed (54%) were worried about their ability to pay for long-term health care or nursing home expenses and 52% worried about losing some of their retirement savings in a market downturn. Slightly fewer (46%) are worried about outliving their savings.

“The less affluent and women, in particular, are concerned about their ability to meet their needs if they live beyond this. Other research has shown that more than half will wind up living longer than they expect,” said study director Doug Kincaid of Greenwald & Associates, in a release.

The survey showed that 43% of respondents with assets between $100,000-$249,000 are “highly concerned” about meeting their financial needs in retirement, compared to just 17% of those with more than $1,000,000 in assets.

More individuals without pension income (38% to 25%) are “highly concerned” about outliving their retirement savings than are individuals with pensions (a population that is declining). Women are more likely to be highly concerned about outliving their assets than men (37% to 22%).

The study showed, however, that almost 8 in 10 are confidence to some degree in their ability to maintain their lifestyle in retirement until age 85. About half of respondents (53%) expressed a high degree of confidence.

Those in the lower asset group ($100,000-$249,000) are much less likely to be highly confident about maintaining their lifestyles than those with more than $1 million, by 43% to 74%. But only 38% were highly confident that they could maintain their current lifestyle to age 90 and only 31% were highly confident that they could do so until age 95.

Respondents expected their income to decline when they retire, but many don’t expect their income to change much during their retirement. Around four in 10 pre-retirees said they expect to receive annual income of less than $50,000; 23% expect $50,000 to $75,000 and 16% expect $75,000 to $99,000. Less than 20% expect more than $100,000 in retirement income.

About four in 10 (38%) expect their expenses to be highest in late retirement and 25% expect their expenses to be higher in early retirement; 15% expect their expenses to be highest in the second 10 years of retirement.  Around one in five were not sure when expenses would be highest.

Many retirees have bullish expectations of asset growth during early retirement. More than half (53%) of respondents ages 65 to 69 believe the value of their assets will be higher in 10 years, as do 48% of those ages 70 to 75. Only 19% and 13%, respectively, believe their assets will be lower in value.

“Respondents are optimistic that market growth in their savings, along with a lower level of expenses, will enable them to maintain their quality of life in retirement,” said Gary Baker, president of CANNEX USA.

But, “given limited savings and rising costs, drawing down assets will be a necessity for most retirees, making the risk of running out of funds a question of time without lifetime income strategies,” he added.

In their evaluation of guaranteed lifetime income products, two thirds of respondents rated the benefit of protection against longevity risk, peace of mind, and making it easier to budget, as positives. Understandability, access and too many terms & conditions were the top negatives.  The evaluation of the positives of these products rose year-over-year, while negative evaluations remained the same.

Consistent with data from prior years, financial advisors are the most common source of information about annuities with 39% of respondents saying they heard about the product from advisors. Twenty-three percent of respondents said they heard about annuities from financial institutions.

Seventy percent of respondents said they believe that financial advisors should discuss guaranteed lifetime income to meet their retirement needs; if they do not, many would consider changing advisor relationships. Two-thirds of the advised said they are “highly satisfied” with the financial advice they receive, but satisfaction was even higher if retirement income strategies were discussed. Only half of those currently working with an advisor said they’d had a conversation about retirement income strategies, however.

Although clients have mostly heard positive commentary about guaranteed lifetime income products and annuities from advisors and financial institutions, the messages they receive are mixed. About 60% of advisors were reported to have been positive about annuities, but 37% were either neutral or negative. Respondents said that most of what they read or hear from the media about annuities is either neutral or negative.

When the word “annuity” was used instead of “guaranteed income product,” a third of respondents expressed lower interest in the same product. When guaranteed income products are framed in the context of covering essential expenses, their perceived importance rose, particularly among women.

“There are significant operational challenges the financial services industry still needs to overcome to broaden access to annuities, in addition to addressing negative perceptions around them,” Baker said.

Among those who report owning a guaranteed lifetime income product, 63% reported being highly satisfied with the purchase. “Peace of mind” was the most cited benefit. About three-quarters (73%) said the product is highly important to their financial security.

Those who purchased these products tend to be more risk averse than their counterparts, the survey showed. Women rate the importance of having guaranteed lifetime income significantly higher than men at all stages of retirement.

© 2018 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.