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Post-Election Overhang

How will Donald Trump’s defeat of Kamala Harris last month affect the retirement security of Americans? We may not know the answer until we hear about it on Truth Social or X, neither of which I follow.

Prior to his victory, the president-elect promised to make Social Security benefits exempt from federal income tax, as they were before the 1983 tax reform, when the genial old Gipper was in the White House.

Re-exempting benefits would deprive the Social Security trust fund of about $50.7 billion in tax revenue, the agency estimates. That money would stay in the pockets of the 50% or so Social Security recipients who currently pay federal income tax their benefits. So a tax cut on benefits would help wealthier retirees most.

There’s no telling which promises Trump will pursue to fulfillment. During the campaign, he promised to eliminate all future presidential elections. He uses policy suspense as a form of entertainment. Like my own father during my boyhood, the president-elect likes to say, “We’ll have to see what happens.”

Trump saves a lot of bureaucratic shoe leather by tossing out policy ideas. Members of the media chase after every conceptual stick or tennis ball that he throws out, and retrieve it soaked in expert analysis and saliva. A federal agency could take months to do similar research. A.I. will eventually do that job in seconds.

Our next president has nominated a surprisingly pro-labor ex-congresswoman from Oregon to be his Secretary of Labor. Given her background, Lori Chavez-DeRemer might decide to pick up where the Biden administration left off by pushing for a strong “fiduciary rule.”

That wouldn’t make much political sense, however. Her department have to double down on the very “bureaucratic overreach” that Trump-appointed (or consistently business-friendly) judges in the Texas federal judiciary have repeatedly rejected.

The next Securities and Exchange Commission chair will surely be kinder to advisers than Gary Gensler has been. If it hasn’t done so yet, the SEC will probably drop the Jeffrey Cutter case in Massachusetts, where an RIA was faulted for neglecting his fiduciary duty by not disclosing conflicts of interest when recommending commission-paying annuities.

Social Security is the keystone of my retirement income, so I’m nervously watching its painfully slow progress toward a long-term policy fix. By 2034, politicians and lobbyists will have to decide how to amend the program. Trump’s successor in 2029—perhaps J.D. Vance, perhaps a Democrat—will be in a position to steer the debate.

There’s a danger that Social Security’s future might hinge on well-financed falsehoods and attack-ads. (The prospect of “Social Security Advantage” plans haunts my dreams.) In a future column, I’ll explain why I think the OASI program’s public “social insurance” model, old and bruised as it may be, does more good for more Americans than the private investment approach would.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

 

 

Bermuda Shorts

Corebridge loses $1.2 billion on Fortitude Re derivative

Corebridge Financial Inc. posted a net loss of $1.18 billion, attributable to common shareholders for the third quarter, compared to a net income of $2.10 billion for the same period a year earlier, the former AIG unit reported.

The change was due to higher realized losses driven by the Fortitude Re “funds/withheld” embedded derivative, according to the company’s earnings announcement. This also impacted Corebridge in the fourth-quarter of 2023, when it reported a $1.3 billion loss. The company had swung back to profitability for the first two quarters of the year before reporting its third-quarter loss.

The company also saw a pre-tax loss of $1.59 billion compared to pre-tax income of $2.46 billion for the same period a year earlier. The company conducted its annual actuarial assumption review during the quarter, which decreased pre-tax income by $79 million in the current year compared to a $22 million increase in the prior year.

Premiums and deposits increased 5% year-over-year to $9.6 billion in the third quarter. Excluding transactional activity—such as pension risk transfer, guaranteed investment contracts and group retirement plan acquisitions—premiums and deposits grew 20% over the same period, primarily driven by an increase in fixed annuity deposits, the company said.

The increases came because the company capitalized on market dynamics and its “broad product suite and distribution network,” Corebridge Financial President and Chief Executive Officer Kevin Hogan said in a statement. “Last month we initiated the largest product launch in our company’s history, expanding on what is already one of the broadest annuity platforms in the industry with our first registered index-linked annuity, or RILA.”

Brighthouse turns to reinsurance for capital support

Brighthouse Financial Inc. is working on “multiple reinsurance transactions and is considering revising how it hedges annuities to boost its risk-based capital (RBC) ratio,” president and CEO Eric Steigerwalt said, according to a report from AM Best.

“We are working on multiple reinsurance opportunities, both in-force and flow reinsurance,” Steigerwalt said. “We have been working on one particular agreement with a third-party to reinsure a legacy block of fixed and pay-out annuities. We’re in the final stages and expect to enter into this reinsurance before the end of the year.”

So far, one reinsurance transaction had received approval, Steigerwalt said, without disclosing specifics. The transaction would result in an RBC ratio within Brighthouse’s target range of 400% to 450%, he said—up from the 365% to 385%, which is below the target.

Brighthouse, formerly MetLife’s individual annuity business, posted net income available to shareholders of $150 million in the third quarter, compared with net income of $453 million in the same period a year earlier.

Brighthouse’s “risk-based capital ratio was pressured in the second quarter by variable annuity sales,” according to AM Best. The company reported a net income of $9 million in the second quarter, compared with a net loss of $200 million a year earlier, according to an earnings statement.

In 3Q2024, Brighthouse posted annuity sales of $2.53 billion, down slightly from $2.6 billion a year earlier. Life insurance sales increased to $30 million in the quarter from $25 million in 2023.

Chief Financial Officer Ed Spehar said the company might split its Shield products and variable annuities into two categories, new business and in-force blocks, in order to hedge each one on a standalone basis. The goal is to see better protection in an “extreme bear market scenario,” Spehar said in the relese.

“For the legacy block, we are developing a new hedge strategy and expect this work to continue into 2025,” he said. “Normalized statutory results reflect the continuation of a negative impact from new business strain which we anticipate will be lessened in future quarters as a result of hedging all of our Shield new business on a standalone basis.”

Rated entities of Brighthouse Financial Inc. have current Best’s Financial Strength Ratings of A (Excellent). Shares of Brighthouse Financial (NASDAQ: BHF) traded at $50.92 on the afternoon of Nov. 8, down 0.33% from the previous close.

Kuvare-owned life insurer enhances FIA

Guaranty Income Life Insurance Company (GILICO), a Kuvare company, has launched new crediting options for its WealthChoice Fixed Indexed Annuity (FIA), available starting November 18th.

There are two crediting strategies with rates guaranteed through the surrender charge period by GILICO:

    • S&P 500® Dynamic Intraday TCA Index Cap targets a 15% volatility level and combines the S&P 500 with cash, adjusting dynamically throughout the day to manage market fluctuations. This strategy provides more stability compared to traditional equity indexes, while also offering the potential for higher crediting rates, making it attractive for clients seeking risk-managed performance in uncertain markets.
    • Barclays Global Quality Index focuses on global diversification with a high-quality selection of stocks across a wide range of sectors. This index aims to balance risk and return by focusing on quality companies that are well positioned for long-term growth.
  • There are also two S&P 500® Price Return Index crediting strategies:
  • Performance Trigger that offers transparent returns.
  • Bailout option that provides clients with penalty-free access to funds under certain conditions, strengthening financial peace of mind.

Kuvare offers life insurance, annuities, reinsurance, advisory, and asset management solutions. Founded in 2015 and headquartered in the Chicago area, Kuvare manages $42 billion in assets. Its companies include  Lincoln Benefit Life, Guaranty Income Life, United Life, and other Kuvare companies.

RGA sidecar raises $480 million in capital

Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (NYSE: RGA) announced that Ruby Reinsurance Company (Ruby Re), its Missouri-domiciled third-party life reinsurance company, has successfully closed a second round of funding, raising a total of $480 million in capital.

The second round includes capital commitments from AllianceBernstein L.P. , EnTrust Global, and Enstar Group, among others, with AB appointing a member to the Ruby Re board of directors. Combined with the initial investments from Golub Capital, Hudson Structured Capital Management Ltd. (doing its reinsurance business as HSCM Bermuda), and Sammons Financial Group, Ruby Re’s total capital raised of $480 million is near the upper limit of the $400 million-$500 million target range for the vehicle.

“Ruby Re’s successful second capital raise, closing at the top of our targeted range, marks a major milestone for this innovative insurance sidecar platform. With significant committed capital now in place, Ruby Re is primed to scale its asset-intensive capabilities and capacity,” said Leslie Barbi, Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, RGA, in a November 13 release. “The continued backing and support from our investment partners validates our strategy and our strong track record in asset-intensive reinsurance.”

“Our investment in Ruby Re affirms AB’s continued strategic focus on the insurance market and in growing our investment management business. We are thrilled to partner with RGA on this differentiated platform and to participate in the asset-intensive reinsurance market,” said Onur Erzan, Head of Global Client Group and Head of Bernstein Private Wealth.

Jefferies acted as financial advisor and Oliver Wyman provided actuarial support. Latham & Watkins LLP acted as legal advisors to RGA and Ruby Re. Additional terms are not being disclosed at this time.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC.

‘Reinsurance Sidecars’: A Capital Idea

The word sidecar evokes mental images of passenger-carrying attachments to motorcycles or of the sweet cocktail made from cognac, Grand Marnier, and lemon juice that was popular in London and Paris during the 1920s.

In the complex global reinsurance game, sidecar has a different meaning. It refers to off-balance-sheet special purpose vehicles (SPVs) that reinsurers set up, often in Bermuda or the Cayman Islands, to raise capital from, or share risk with, outside investors.

Property/casualty insurers have used sidecars for years to pay for the tsunamis of claims that hurricanes, wildfires and earthquakes can suddenly spawn. Starting in 2019,  reinsurers affiliated with major life/annuity companies began creating them to share the cost and risk of selling fixed deferred annuities.

Athene Holding, parent of Athene Life & Annuity, set up the first big life/annuity sidecar in Bermuda in 2019. The vehicle was called ACRA (Athene Co-Invest Reinsurance Affiliate). It has raised billions of dollars from third-party investors for Athene to use as deal capital or capital relief and for Athene’s affiliate, Apollo Global Investors, to manage. A small herd of others (see chart below) fast-followed.

Sidecars are a logical next step for the private equity/alternative asset managers that have steadily grown their footprint in the annuity business over the past decade. They are latest twist to the Bermuda Triangle strategy that RIJ has documented since 2020.

That strategy involves a private equity company with expertise in originating high-yield loans to risky borrowers; a life insurer that taps into the trillions in Boomer retirement savings by issuing fixed deferred annuities, and an (usually affiliated) reinsurer domiciled in Bermuda, with its flexible regulations and interface with international money. A sidecar makes the triangle a foursome.

Here’s roughly how the story has unfolded:

  • After the Great Financial Crisis, private equity companies, led by Apollo, infused ailing life/annuity companies with capital, buying their underfinanced blocks of annuities or showing them how to add high-yield private credit to their general asset mix.
  • The private equity firms then began acquiring, starting, or reviving dormant life insurers to issue fixed indexed annuities and (since 2022’s interest-rate rise made them so attractive) fixed rate deferred annuities.
  • The private equity-led insurers set up their own affiliated reinsurers in Bermuda to move liabilities off their own balance sheets and reduce required capital. “Modified co-insurance” and “funds withheld reinsurance” allowed them to maintain control of the assets backing the liabilities.
  • The reinsurers set up sidecar/SPVs to raise “just-in-time” capital to increase their annuity sales capacity, reduce their own capital burdens, or seize opportunities to buy pension funds or blocks of annuity business.
  • Sidecars enabled hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, and limited partnerships of private equity firms, and other asset managers to add stable, non-correlated, tailored diversifiers to their portfolios—for a few years or much longer.

Look for sidecars to proliferate. Traditional life insurers like MassMutual and Prudential have set up their own reinsurers or sidecars. In early 2023, upstart Kuvare Holdings set up Kindley Re, a sidecar that gave it access to $400 million in fresh capital. In December 2023, the traditional reinsurer RGA set up the Ruby Re sidecar, and expressed its “expectation that a number of life insurers will explore the use of sidecars in the coming years.”

Sidecars defined

“‘Sidecar’ reinsurers are typically formed by a sponsoring insurance group with the support of third-party investors, the latter of which may provide capital in exchange  for a portion of the sidecar’s excess returns [i.e. profits],” according to ALIRT Insurance Research. “Third-party investors may also enter into agreements to manage a portion of the assets that support the sidecar’s assumed policy reserves.”

In the property/casualty realm, FINRA has described reinsurance sidecars as “special purpose vehicles that issue debt or equity and invest the proceeds in low-risk securities, which serve as collateral.” Investors in the sidecar earn a variable yield from the securities, as well as a reinsurance premium. But the original insurance writer can tap that collateral—all of it, if necessary—to meet a catastrophic wave of claims or surrenders.

“Like traditional reinsurers, the sidecar reinsurer assumes a portion”—a “quota share”—of the ceding company’s underwriting risk (including losses and expenses) in exchange for a like-percentage premium (hence the term ‘sidecar’),” according to a report published by International Risk Management Institute.

“Sidecars are usually set up by an affiliated insurer or reinsurer and capitalized by equity and debt financing. The capital is invested and used to pay claims. Funds are also returned to the affiliated company to pay debt interest and shareholder dividends.”

Sidecars are related to but differ from traditional reinsurers and also from captive insurers, although there may be some overlap in how the three balance sheet management tools are used. Since a reinsurer can set up a sidecar, or a primary insurer can “sponsor” a “reinsurance sidecar,” the terminology can be confusing. MassMutual’s Martello Re reinsurer is not, it has been said, a sidecar.

Source: Milliman.

Drivers of sidecars

Athene’s asset management arm, Apollo Global Management, was the first big private equity firm to start buying U.S. life/annuity companies insurers, and the first to set up a sidecar. After ACRA in 2019, which attracted a reported $6 billion in outside capital, Athene created the “Athene Dedicated Investment Program” (ADIP) in 2022. ACRA II and ADIP II soon followed.

Competing annuity issuers (and their asset manager-owners) quickly joined in. So far they include Global Atlantic (KKR), Security Benefit (Eldridge), MassMutual (Barings, Centerbridge) American Equity Investment Life/(Brookfield Asset Management), and Kuvare Holdings (Blue Owl).

Their goals are similar to Athene’s. “ACRA I provided Athene with access to on-demand capital to support its growth strategies and capital deployment opportunities,” according to Athene’s latest 10-K. “Similar to ACRA I, ACRA II was funded in December 2022… These strategic capital solutions allow Athene the flexibility to simultaneously deploy capital across multiple accretive avenues, while maintaining a strong financial position.”

The sponsoring insurer can use the capital that others invest in the sidecars for either offensive or defensive purposes. For instance, it can serve as a second line of defense if and when a life/annuity company suffers losses on its own investments that threaten its ability to pay annuity contract benefits or surrenders.

A sidecar can also serve as an offensive weapon; as “on demand” capital, as noted above by Athene, or “just-in-time” capital, as described by AM Best, to be tapped when an opportunity to underwrite new risks or to buy an attractive block of existing business. Accessing capital on a “just-in-time” basis allows the insurer to practice the “capital-light” business strategy that private equity-led life/annuity companies aspire to. [An insurance company is more profitable, but weaker and more leveraged, when its owners tie up less of their own capital in the business.]

ACRA and ADIP have paid off for Athene Holding. “Third-capital enables Athene to grow in a highly capital-efficient manner and supported 35% of Athene’s gross new business” in the second quarter of 2024, according to a report in the Bermuda-focused insurance magazine at Artemis.com.

“At the mid-point of 2024, ADIP program invested assets reported by Apollo stood at more than $69.25 billion, with some $9.26bn of inflows via the ADIP sidecar program just in the first-half of this year. Apollo also reported a gross IRR of 24% for ADIP I investments, as of the middle of this year.”

Sidecar passengers

On the other side of the deal are the third-party investors in the sidecars. These institutional investors want exposure to the life/annuity industry (and, through it, to the profits associated with managing the vast pool of retirement savings in the U.S.) but don’t want to buy shares in a life/annuity insurer.

Investors in these sidecars are said to be hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, the limited partnerships of other private equity funds, and asset managers who might invest in the sidecar and take part in managing the sidecars’ overall investments or a portion of them.

For those entities, “Life/annuity sidecars should be considered as another investment opportunity, like investing in a public life insurer’s stock or buying an ILS [insurance-linked security; a type of high-yield debt],” Milliman’s Prannoy Chaudhury told RIJ recently.

A sidecar’s ability to offer customized investment opportunities is part of their appeal to third-party investors. “The sidecar is ring-fenced from a broader set of activities that, for example, a large insurer may enter into. A sidecar usually has a tailored set of activities with oversight from a board that consists of representatives from investors,” Chaudhury said. Well-defined time periods, as well as well-defined risks, can be targeted for entry and exit from a deal. Or participation may be open-ended.

Third-party investors also use sidecars to diversify the risks of their own portfolios. Exposure to the U.S. life/annuity industry can give them a source of uncorrelated risk that reduces portfolio volatility when the stock and bond markets are shaky. “Diversification is a key aspect” of sidecars for those investors, Chaudhury said.

“But not only diversification from other investments, such as corporate bonds,” he added. “A sidecar can be tailored to focus on a type of liability and/or married with an asset strategy, which in total an investor might want exposure to.”

Reinsurance sidecars give birth, in a sense, to new platforms for private equity/private credit dealmaking—replications of the strategy that motivated the Apollos and KKRs to get into insurance in the first place. Even if the big asset managers are committed to the life/annuity business for the long-term, “the sidecars to which they retrocede a small share of the business typically follow a traditional private equity model, in which the limited partners commit to a three- to seven-year investment horizon,” according to a March 2024 report by Michael Porcelli of AM Best.

These life/annuity sidecars are best for investors with an appetite for the risks associated with investment-like annuities (deferred fixed indexed and fixed rate annuities) that private equity-led life insurers prefer to sell—as opposed to the “biometric risks” associated with annuities that guarantee “income for life.”

To use a fancy term, the investors are engaging in “asset-intensive” reinsurance. They’re taking the financial risk that the sponsoring life insurers’ assets will fail to generate enough income to pay all the benefits promised on deferred fixed annuities as they come due. They’re not buying the risk that the insurers’ liabilities will spike—as they could if the insurers’ actuaries underestimate the lifespans of owners of annuities that guarantee “income for life.”

The road ahead

Life/annuity industry analysts think the sidecar phenomenon is just getting started.

“There is little expectation of a near-term slowdown” in this trend, AM Best analysts wrote last March, “as owners maintain a large amount of committed capital to provide to these operating entities once further deals are identified and executed.”

Milliman’s Chaudhury wrote, “As the spate of transactions underpinned by strategic shifts continue in the L&A [life and annuity] space, combined with the growing interest from various third-party investors and asset managers looking to enter or enhance their exposure to the L&A space, the topic of sidecars is expected to be a key consideration as part of the U.S. L&A landscape and will likely widen its influence as a topic across the global L&A insurance industry.”

“Although U.S. life sidecars are in an early stage of development, they are growing fast and they are transforming,” analysts at S&P Global predicted in 2023. “With the evolving competitive landscape of the U.S. life insurance sector, we expect more and more companies to assess if a sidecar fits with their core strategy. As such, we expect this growing side of the industry to garner a lot of attention in the next few years.”

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Index-linked annuities lead sales surge: LIMRA

Sales of fixed indexed annuities (FIAs) and registered index-linked annuities (RILAs) combined for 45% of near-record U.S. annuity sales in the third quarter of 2024, according to the LIMRA U.S. Individual Annuity Sales Survey.

At $114.7 billion, third-quarter annuity sales were up 30% from the same quarter in 2023, according to the survey, which represents 92% of the total U.S. annuity market. Annuity sales reached $332 billion in the first nine months of 2024, up 23% year-over-year.

The overall sales leader was Athene Annuity & Life, with sales of $27.98 billion, followed by Corebridge, MassMutual, Allianz Life of U.S. and Equitable. Athene led in fixed annuities (including both fixed indexed and fixed rate contracts) while Equitable led in variable annuities (traditional and RILA).

New York Life was the leader in sales of payout annuities (single premium immediate annuities and deferred income annuities). With combined FIA and RILA sales of about $16.9 billion, Allianz Life was the overall leader in index-linked annuities.

“All product lines posted double-digit increases, and overall sales were less than 1% lower than the record-high sales set in fourth quarter 2023,” said Bryan Hodgens, senior vice president and head of LIMRA research, in a release.

“While interest rates have declined, heightened market uncertainty will likely continue to draw investors seeking principal protection and guaranteed growth. LIMRA expects annuity sales to set a new record in 2024.”

Different types of life/annuity dominate different segments of the annuity market, depending on their business models. Mutual life insurance companies are supreme in payout annuities. The former sellers of traditional VAs now rule the roost in RILAs. Private equity-led (PE) annuity issuers reign in the FIA space. This rule has exceptions, however. Mutuals and PE companies both are leaders in fixed rate deferred annuity sales. MassMutual, a mutual life insurer, has had strong FIA sales since acquiring Great American in 2021.

Fixed indexed annuities

At $35.2 billion, FIA sales set a new record the third consecutive quarter, up 56% from 3Q2023. Year-to-date (YTD) FIA sales increased 34% to $95.1 billion. “Strong equity market performance and a desire for principal protection continue to attract investor interest in FIA products,” said Hodgens. “To remain competitive, carriers are refining their indices and introducing more lucrative crediting options.”

The top-five issuers were Athene, Allianz Life, Sammons Financial Companies (including Midland National Life and North American Company for Life and Health Insurance), Corebridge Financial and American Equity Investment Life. [Note: High sales commissions are a perennial driver of FIA sales. Long-dated FIA liabilities are also the primary raw material of the “Bermuda Triangle” strategy, as described in RIJ reporting since 2020.]

Registered index-linked annuities

At $17 billion, RILAs enjoyed record sales for the sixth consecutive quarter, up 35% from the prior year. In the first nine months of 2024, RILA sales were $47.9 billion, up 39% from 2023.

“In the first nine months of 2024, RILA sales surpassed the total RILA sales collected in 2023 ($47.9 billion vs. $47.4 billion), Hodgens said. “LIMRA expects RILA sales to remain strong through 2025.” The top-five RILA issuers were Equitable, Allianz Life, Prudential, Brighthouse Financial and Jackson National Life.

Fixed-rate deferred annuities

Fixed-rate deferred (FRD) annuity sales were $40.3 billion in the third quarter, up 17% from 3Q2023. In the first nine months of 2024, FRD sales totaled $124 billion, up 17% from the prior year. The top-five issuers were Athene, MassMutual, Corebridge Financial, New York Life and Global Atlantic Financial.

“Our October preliminary figures suggest sales are beginning to soften in the face of repeated interest rate cuts (in September and November),” the release said. “That said, FRD contracts still offer higher yields when compared with other short-term investments. If market volatility increases, LIMRA expects increased demand for FRDs with clients seeking principal protection.”

Payout annuities

Single premium immediate annuity (SPIA) sales were $3.5 billion in the third quarter, up 20% from the prior year. In the first nine months of 2024, SPIA sales rose 8% to $10.5 billion.

Third-quarter deferred income annuity (DIA) sales were $1.3 billion, up 41% jump from 3Q2023. In the first nine months of the year, DIA sales grew 33% to $3.8 billion.

The top-five issuers of payout annuities were New York Life, MetLife, USAA Life, Pacific Life, and MassMutual.

Traditional variable annuities

Traditional VA sales were $15.1 billion in 3Q2024, up 16% from 3Q2023. It was the third consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth for VAs. For the first nine months of 2024, traditional VA sales totaled $44.2 billion, up 13% gain YoY. The top five issuers were Jackson National Life, Equitable, TIAA (group annuities), Nationwide, and Lincoln Financial.

For more details on the sales results, go to Annuity Estimates (2024 Third Quarter) in LIMRA’s Fact Tank.

The Past and Possible Future of ERISA Regulation of Advice

The Trump election is bound to have some obvious, fundamental and high-profile consequences for various federal agencies. One particular potential area of impact relates to the recently adopted Retirement Security Rule under ERISA (i.e., the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974).

In this regard, some in the market have been wondering if and when financial institutions will move to dismantle ERISA-related compliance efforts regarding rollover solicitations in response to years of ebbing and flowing regulatory activity that has been undertaken by the U.S. Department of Labor (often referred to as the “DOL”) with respect to the definition of “investment advice” under ERISA’s fiduciary rules.

The 1975 rule

To understand where we might now be in this saga, it’s important to know how we got here. One place to start is shortly after ERISA’s enactment in 1974.

ERISA was enacted against a backdrop of significant concerns about the integrity of the private-sector retirement system, together with a desire for national uniformity in the area. The regulatory balances that have been struck over the years in pursuit of these goals have sometimes overshot the mark and have sometimes undershot the mark.

In 1975, the DOL promulgated a seminal regulation that contained a five-part test under which the provision of non-discretionary advice would rise to the level of “investment advice” such that the provider would be a fiduciary under ERISA. The test struck a balance between bringing advisors under ERISA’s fiduciary tent, on the one hand, and leaving advisors outside the tent, on the other.

Arguably, the regulation could have been motivated, at least in part, by a concern that over-inclusiveness could have caused any number of desirable providers not to want to service ERISA plans, or to provide those services at increased costs.

Over the years, however, the DOL may have become frustrated that fiduciary status under the five-part test was too easy to avoid, particularly given the migration of American retirement policy from being centered on defined benefit plans to being centered on defined contributions plans.

Eventually, back in 2010, the DOL made its first real attempt to revamp the 1975 rule. The controversy was so intense that the DOL withdrew that proposal. It started to look as if the tale of the DOL’s attempt to modernize the 1975 rule would be an extremely short story.

The 2016 rule

Fast forward to 2015. President Obama, in a speech to the AARP, focused on the question of what a fiduciary is when providing non-discretionary investment advice. An ERISA practitioner could well have taken some self-satisfaction in observing that the President of the United States himself had specifically addressed an ERISA defined term in a major policy speech.

A key aspect of the rulemaking that would follow was an attempted comprehensive modification of the 1975 rule to reflect the movement of American retirement policy from traditional defined benefit pension plans to participant-directed “401(k)” and other individual-account defined contribution plans.

But the effort to revise the 1975 rule went through controversial fits and starts, resulting in the withdrawal of a 2010 proposal together with a re-proposal in 2015 and then a finalized amended fiduciary rule in 2016. This initiative was a key one for the Obama administration.

One aspect of the stunningly expansive 2016 rule involved a recasting of the rule to reach solicitations by a financial professional to plan participants of rollovers of their retirement plan assets to IRAs managed or otherwise sponsored by the professional’s financial institution.

There are clear indications that the DOL has significant concerns about these solicitations in light of the financial incentives surrounding rollovers and the possibility that as a result professionals might not be sufficiently attentive to the best interests of plan participants.

In crafting the amended rule, the DOL rejected prior authority under the 1975 rule (often referred to as the “Deseret letter”) under which rollover solicitations generally would not be viewed as being fiduciary in nature. The DOL had concluded that the text of the rule itself had to be changed in order to reach rollover solicitations.

A feature of the DOL’s rulemaking was the issuance of related amended and new prohibited transaction class exemptions (often referred to as “PTCEs”). The approach could be characterized as one under which the DOL brought numerous providers newly under ERISA’s fiduciary tent, only to allow them out of the tent if they satisfied the new, unprecedented and quite extensive conditions of one of the exemptions.

In Chamber of Commerce of the United States of America v. U.S. Department of Labor, 885 F.3d 360 (2018), the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, following the lead of a Texas District Court, vacated the 2016 rule as an arbitrary and capricious overreach by the DOL.

One of the focuses of Chamber of Commerce was on the concept that the 2016 rule reached not only intuitively fiduciary relationships, but also extended to relationships that did not have the fiduciary-type characteristic of trust and confidence between the provider and the consumer. Among the casualties of Chamber of Commerce were the amended and new exemptions that were issued along with the 2016 rule.

In particular, the so-called “best interest contract” (or “BIC”) exemption was also vacated. The BIC exemption would have allowed a broad range of compensation arrangements for those who would be “investment advice” fiduciaries under the broadened 2016 amended fiduciary rule if, among other things, the institution satisfied certain “impartial conduct standards.” (While there were other new and amended exemptions, for the sake of convenience the applicable references herein will be only to the BIC exemption.)

The elimination of the BIC exemption had a somewhat perverse effect. The exemption was a positive thing for institutions that might be fiduciaries notwithstanding the vacating of the amended fiduciary rule. For example, maybe an institution believed that the DOL might pursue more aggressive interpretations of the 1975 rule; maybe institutions were concerned they’ve always been fiduciaries; maybe institutions affirmatively wanted to assert fiduciary status as a differentiator in an effort to get a market advantage over other providers.

Regardless of the reasons that an institution may have wanted to utilize the BIC exemption, the lack of an exemption like the BIC exemption could have caused providers to seek to avoid fiduciary status, a result the DOL would presumably not want.

Thus, in 2018, in the wake of Chamber of Commerce, the DOL issued Field Assistance Bulletin 2018-02 (May 7, 2018), which stated that, pending final regulatory action, the DOL at a transitional matter would not pursue prohibited transaction claims against “investment advice” fiduciaries if they were working “diligently and in good faith” to comply with the BIC exemption’s impartial conduct standards.

Reinterpretation of the 1975 rule

Eventually, in 2020, the DOL proposed a replacement for the BIC exemption, which was finalized later in the same year as PTCE 2020-02. While the exemption was proposed and finalized ostensibly to help those who might be “investment advice” fiduciaries, the preambles to the proposed and final exemptions set forth a major reinterpretation of the 1975 rule that (depending on the facts) could cause a range of otherwise non-fiduciary rollover solicitations essentially to be viewed as fiduciary advice under ERISA, thus subjecting a whole new class of solicitations and providers to ERISA’s fiduciary rules.

The basis of this reinterpretation was arguably suspect. While in 2016 the DOL indicated the need to change the 1975 rule in order to change the result in the Deseret letter, now faced with a return to the 1975 rule by virtue of Chamber of Commerce, the DOL reinterpreted the 1975 rule contrary to its prior interpretation in the Deseret letter and went so far as to withdraw the Deseret letter.

Interestingly, the DOL’s reinterpretation occurred under the Trump administration – the very same administration that allowed Chamber of Commerce to stand without appeal. The reinterpretation was not surprisingly embraced and even broadened by the Biden administration; and the preamble’s reinterpretation was later set forth in a DOL Frequently Asked Question (or “FAQ”).

The courts were hostile to the DOL’s reinterpretation, first in a still-ongoing TIAA case not involving the DOL (Carfora v. Teachers Insurance Annuity Association of America, 631 F. Supp. 3d 125 (S.D.N.Y. 2022)), and then in other cases, notably American Securities Association v. U.S. Department of Labor, No. 8:22-cv-330-VMC-CPT (M.D. Fla. Feb. 13, 2023), which did involve the DOL.

ASA invalidated the DOL’s FAQ; the DOL, after first indicating its desire to appeal, later abandoned its appeal and let ASA stand. Some viewed this abandonment of the appeal as an indication that the DOL might prefer to focus on making another actual amendment to the 1975 rule, rather than trying to pursue its agenda through sub-regulatory advice that would repeatedly come before hostile courts.

The Retirement Security Rule

And so DOL did amend the 1975 rule. Again to significant controversy, the DOL in 2023 proposed to amend the 1975 rule, and, in 2024, an amended rule, now christened the Retirement Security Rule, was finalized. While on the whole the effort was less ambitious than the 2016 rule, the Retirement Security Rule continued to be expansive in some ways, for example, regarding the expansion of the general application of the impartial conduct standards to the insurance industry.

The 2024 attempt to revise the 1975 rule was once again broad, even if not as broad as the extremely comprehensive effort made in 2016. At a minimum, the Retirement Security Rule was by no means a laser-shot aimed only at rollover solicitations. Arguably, though, addressing rollover solicitations in a way that brought them within the ambit of ERISA remained at the forefront of the DOL’s efforts.

Not surprisingly, litigation ensued and yet again did not go well for the DOL. Back in the State (Country?) of Texas, one District Court (in Federation of Americans for Consumer Choice Inc. v. U.S. Department of Labor, No. 6:24-cv-163-JDK (E.D. Tex. July 25, 2024)) invalidated certain aspects of the 2024 rulemaking, and a second (in American Council of Life Insurers v. U.S. Department of Labor, No. 4:24-cv-00482-O (N.D. Tex. July 26, 2024)) finished the job with broader invalidation.

Now in 2024, in a striking replay of the 2020 situation, there is (i) a new version of the fiduciary rule, (ii) judicial invalidation of the amended rule, (iii) an impending change in administrations, including of the party in power (with the same individual, President-elect Trump, to lead the charge) and (iv) a decision that will have to be made about whether (A) to continue the appeal of the judicial decision-making that threatens the efficacy of the amended rule or (B) to allow the amended rule to die on the vine. It really does bring to mind the Yogi-ism of Déjà Vu All Over Again (although my own personal favorite is, in reference to some particular restaurant: “No one ever goes there anymore, it’s too crowded.”).

Neither a re-interpreter nor an amend-er be? (apologies to Mr. Shakespeare)

What are some of the dynamics surrounding the current state of play? We have a confluence of the judicial (but not final) rejection of the DOL’s reinterpretation of the 1975 rule, the judicial rejection of the Retirement Security Rule, and the re-ascension of former President (and now President-elect) Trump to the presidency.

This confluence of events could have important practical ramifications for the financial services industry. To use election-type vernacular, what now is the path to survival of the DOL’s efforts to regulate rollover solicitations as ERISA fiduciary advice?

So, with all that said, if in fact the second Trump DOL withdraws the DOL’s appeal of the Texas cases, it may well be worth asking the question: is it now time to consider dismantling any machines that have been built to effectuate PTCE 2020-02 compliance for rollover solicitations?

It wouldn’t be the first time in the world of ERISA that extensive compliance efforts were completely scuttled by the evolution of the underlying legal rules. For example, back in the late 1980s, an entire treatise was written about compliance by welfare plans with a new Section 89 of the federal tax code, and then – poof – no more Section 89 and no more need to comply therewith.

At the time of various of the setbacks experienced by the DOL over the course of this long and winding road, one could imagine (i) any given institution that has already ramped its rollover-related compliance efforts around PTCE 2020-02 asking whether the time has come to consider dismantling those efforts and (ii) any given institution that has not yet ramped up its compliance efforts (e.g., an insurance company) asking whether, given the uncertainty about the validity of the DOL’s regulatory efforts, it is time to start preparing to ramp up compliance efforts, just in case the rule changes survive.

Until the election, however, one could further imagine that (i) it might have been premature to start dismantling existing compliance procedures, for fear that the DOL’s rulemaking would ultimately be left in place, and (ii) for institutions that have not yet built out their compliance procedures, it might have been premature to expend the resources to construct compliance procedures, given all the surrounding uncertainty.

Paths forward

Now, though, after the elections, let’s surmise for the moment that the incoming Trump administration once again, as was the case in 2020, does not appeal the pending rejection of the DOL’s amended regulation by the Texas courts and lets the amended regulation die on the vine.

At that point, to use election vernacular, it may well become hard to see a continuing path forward for the initiative broadly to regulate rollover solicitations under ERISA. To wit, one would have (i) the 1975 rule in place, by hypothesis, (ii) no effective reinterpretation of the 1975 rule that would cause rollover solicitations to be subject to it, and (iii) presumably, no other obvious remnants in place of the DOL’s rollover-related initiative.

There is, however, still some room for caution. Even assuming that the pending Texas cases are not appealed, the final chapter will not necessarily have been written. For example:

  • One possible path is that the DOL indeed goes back to the well yet again, notwithstanding failure to get over the goal line in 2010, 2016 and 2024; maybe with a far more laser-shot effort to nuance the 1975 rule so as to reach rollover solicitations but without additional expansion of the underlying reach of the 1975 rule.
  • It should be emphasized that the Supreme Court has not yet spoken on the matter, so the DOL’s efforts have not definitively failed from an analytical perspective as a matter of law. In considering whether to be concerned that the DOL might continue to try to revise ERISA’s fiduciary rules, however, one might consider that we’re arguably entering a different legal, practical and political world. For example,
  • There’s the rejection by Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo,144 S. Ct. 2244 (2024), of the deference to administrative rulemaking previously established by Chevron U.S.A. Inc. v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc., 467 U. S. 837 (1984), presenting yet another potential impediment to the effectuation of anything the DOL might want to do.
  • The DOL would need to be willing to go back to the well after what might be considered Strike Three (or Four or Five).
  • With the resounding nature of the recent Trump victory, is this the fight that a later Democratic administration would really want to pick, even assuming some kind of political reversal in 2028 or thereafter?

When all is said and done, if and when it becomes clear that the DOL will neither continue to pursue reinterpretation of the 1975 rule nor appeal the elimination of the Retirement Security Rule, the time may at some point arrive for financial institutions to start considering the dismantling of efforts to shoehorn rollover solicitations into the construct of PTCE 2020-02.

However, a financial institution might not necessarily dismantle its compliance procedures just because it can. For example, a provider might, as indicated above, affirmatively use a fiduciary approach as a differentiator to others in the market, or could take such a fiduciary approach in order to harmonize its approaches under multiple sets of regulatory requirements (for example, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Regulation Best Interest, state-law fiduciary-type rules, etc.), or may otherwise view a “best interest” approach as the right approach whether or not it is legally required. Thus, the mere possibility that ERISA compliance may soon become unnecessary, even if that eventuality in fact comes to pass, would not necessarily be the final chapter in this NeverEnding Story.

Conclusion

Could this NeverEnding Story possibly be coming to an end? For the first time in a long time, it’s not impossible. We may be closer than ever to a final answer regarding the fate of efforts to revise ERISA’s fiduciary rules.

If all of the efforts to amend the rule are scuttled, along with efforts by the DOL to reinterpret the existing 1975 rule, we may in effect be back to the status quo ante of the Deseret letter. And maybe, just maybe, it will be time for financial institutions to consider whether to dismantle the compliance procedures they have constructed, if they have not done so already. We at The Wagner Law Group will be watching for continued developments, and stand ready to advise regarding the matters discussed in this Client Alert or any other matters arising under the fiduciary provisions of ERISA.

© 2024 The Wagner Law Group. Reprinted by permission.

Honorable Mention

$8.5 trillion U.S. insurance industry briefly covered in federal watchdog report

The Office of Financial Research, established after the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 by the “Dodd-Frank” Act and charged with detecting signs of instability in the vast U.S. financial system, has issued its 2024 annual report.

The report has only a brief section on the $8.5 trillion U.S. insurance industry (p. 53), which covers both life and property/casualty insurance. RIJ has reprinted the section on life insurance below.

RIJ readers may also be interested in the section on “securitization” (p. 21) that explains collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and the cash flows of special purpose vehicles (SPVs). The reinsurance “sidecars” that some U.S. life/annuity companies have established in Bermuda, which are the subject of the cover story in this issue of RIJ, are a type of SPV.

Overall the report finds moderate threats to financial system stability in these areas:

  • Equity valuations and investor sentiment are high relative to historical averages, which raises the risk of large, sudden price declines.
  • Exposures to some complex and opaque trading strategies are high overall. The use of leveraged trading strategies like the basis trade remains extensive. Issuance of some complex securitizations has risen.
  • In Treasury markets, the type of debt ceiling used in the United States remains a major vulnerability. It makes the risk the government will fail to meet all its obligations, although low, more likely.
  • At life insurers, leverage has remained fairly stable, while the credit and liquidity risk associated with their assets has grown.
  • New types of private lenders, particularly those associated with private equity funds, have grown rapidly. Assessing their vulnerabilities is limited by data gaps regarding their leverage and portfolio exposures.

Regarding life insurers specifically, the report says:

The most important current life insurer vulnerabilities are associated with credit and liquidity risk. Life insurance companies provide annuities and other products, such as long-term care and disability insurance, in addition to life insurance. A growing number also assume obligations from corporate pension plan sponsors.

Life insurers are vulnerable to interest rate and credit risk affecting their investment returns and to mortality, morbidity, longevity, and other risks associated with the policies they issue. Realized credit losses have been the cause of most life insurer failures historically.

Although most of their liabilities appear to be long-term, some life insurance company liabilities have surrender or borrowing provisions that require insurers to remit requested funds to policyholders or other liability holders. These features mean that life insurers can be subject to the risk of a rapid withdrawal of liabilities.

Moreover, most life insurance companies have cash and short-term assets that are a modest fraction of total assets. A sufficiently rapid and unexpected withdrawal during periods of stress at the institution or in financial markets could lead to a fire sale of assets, with an associated effect on market prices and volatility. Insurers utilize surrender charges and other withdrawal penalties to limit incentives to withdraw. These measures may be insufficient when concerns about an insurance company’s soundness are acute.

Life insurer leverage has changed little over time. Measured as the ratio of general account assets to policyholder surplus, leverage at life insurers remains consistently higher than that of property and casualty (P&C) or health insurers. Policyholder surplus is similar to insurer equity capital, and data on it are available for all insurers, including mutual insurance companies, which is not the case with some other measures of equity capital.

As at banks, insolvency risk depends both on the amount of equity capital relative to assets and on the risk embedded in portfolios. Portfolio risk has been increasing. The share of bonds in life insurers’ portfolios has been falling, and the shares of mortgages and alternative investments have been rising.

The mix within categories matters as well. Among bond holdings, the share of high-yield bonds decreased to 5%, but the share of ABS [asset-backed securities] and other structured securities grew to more than 13% at year-end 2023. The share of medium-quality and riskier commercial mortgages rose to 11%, more than doubling since 2018. Alternative investments are more opaque, and less is known about their risk.

Fidelity’s annuity platform adds rare Fidelity annuity

Fidelity is introducing a Fidelity Fixed Deferred Retirement Annuity (FDRA) product, the first proprietary annuity product launched by Fidelity Investments Life Insurance Company (FILI) in over 15 years.

FDRA is available through the Fidelity Insurance Network® (FIN), which provides a one-stop planning experience for comparing rates and products across a preferred group of reputable insurance providers.
FIN offers access to select annuity and insurance products from a total of eight third-party carriers: FILI, Guardian, MassMutual, Nationwide, New York Life, Pacific Life, USAA, and Western & Southern Financial Group.
Key product details:

  • 3-year and 5-year terms available, including a death benefit for beneficiaries.
  • The simplified renewal process allows clients to select multi-year terms with reduced surrender charges, without needing a new application.
  • Partial or full withdrawals are available for terminal illness, nursing home care, and hospital stays (subject to meeting specific qualifications).
High surrender rates accompany high annuity sales: AM Best

The value of surrendered annuity policies among U.S. life/annuity (L/A) writers increased 19% through the first half of 2024, compared with the same prior-year period, according to a new AM Best report.

However, premium growth held steady at 21% through the same timeframe, with individual annuity premium notching its 14th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

In a newly released Best’s Special Report, AM Best notes that while the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by half a point in September 2024, they remain nearly twice the level of five years earlier. The higher interest rates are an issue not experienced in the L/A industry in decades.

This creates the potential for disintermediation risk— the possibility that a policyholder may surrender a policy in favor of another one or an asset yielding a higher interest rate. The report notes that competition has remained generally rational, with no significant widespread race to undercut competition to spur growth.

Surrender benefits topped $100 billion for the fifth straight quarter and sixth in the last seven quarters, compared with an average of $86 billion prior to that dating back to 2019. Additionally, annualized surrenders as a share of reserves for the past three quarters are higher than at any other time going back to 2019.

“Surrender benefits as a percentage of premium, including individual and group annuity and individual life, are at their lowest levels since at least 2019, which reflects strong premium growth,” said Kaitlin Piasecki, industry research analyst, AM Best.

Companies unable to replace surrendered business are most likely to see a shrinking asset base, as maturing bonds may be used to cover additional surrenders instead of being reinvested.

The annuity market is highly competitive, with the higher interest rate environment leading to many new entrants, some without the burden of needing legacy system upgrades, as well as companies backed by private-equity and investment management firms that can leverage sophisticated investment expertise.

On a cash flow basis, companies in AM Best’s individual annuity composite have observed a downward trend much steeper in the ratio of premium cash flow in to benefits and surrenders cash flow out than reported at individual life and diversified companies in multiple lines.

When the individual annuity composite is viewed by premium scale, those smaller companies have seen the greatest deterioration in the cash flow ratio, with incoming premiums not covering benefits and surrenders flowing out.

The percentage of smaller companies with negative cash flow from operations has been trending up to a greater degree than for medium size and larger organizations, indicating possible shifts in market share. “Negative cash flows could lead to the selling of assets at unrealized loss positions, as higher interest rates have depressed bond values,” said Jason Hopper, associate director, AM Best.

Lindberg pleads guilty to $2 billion fraud

Former insurance executive Greg Lindberg admitted guilt in a $2 billion scheme to defraud regulators, insurers and policyholders, as well as related money laundering charges, according to the U.S. Department of Justice.

Lindberg pleaded guilty to one court of conspiracy to commit offense against the United States, including crimes in connection with the insurance business, investment adviser fraud and wire fraud, as well as one count of money laundering conspiracy.

The admission of guilt is something of a reversal as Lindberg’s counsel requested more time in August to review documents in the case as it prepared for trial. The government didn’t oppose the extension.

From 2016 though at least 2019, Lindberg defrauded various insurance companies, third parties and thousands of policyholders, the Justice Department said. As part of the scheme, the former executive and co-conspirators invested more than $2 billion in loans and other securities with Lindberg-affiliated companies.

While processing these circular transactions, Lindberg and his associates made misleading statements and omitted materials from regulators, rating agencies, insurance companies, policyholders and others involved in the transactions.

The Justice Department said Lindberg also “forgave” $125 million in loans to himself from insurance companies he controlled.

Lindberg and his co-conspirators then deceived regulators, including the North Carolina Department of Insurance, in an attempt to evade requirements meant to protect policyholders, conceal the true financial condition of his companies and cover up improper use of company funds, the Justice Department said.

“Lindberg created a complex web of insurance companies, investment businesses, and other business entities and exploited them to engage in millions of dollars of circular transactions. Lindberg’s actions harmed thousands of policyholders, deceived regulators and caused tremendous risk for the insurance industry,” U.S. Attorney Dena J. King for the Western District of North Carolina said in a release.

A sentencing date has not been set. Lindberg faces a five-year maximum sentence on the charge for conspiracy to commit offenses against the United States and a maximum 10-year sentence on the money laundering conspiracy charge.

This is a separate case from charges Lindberg and a business associate face for allegedly offering North Carolina Insurance Commissioner Mike Causey millions in campaign contributions in exchange for putting a different regulator in charge of overseeing the executive’s companies.

Retirement got tougher for more people in 2024: EBRI

Financially, the happiest retirees are those who had the longest work tenures at the fewest employers, the longest participation in retirement plans, and the most sources of guaranteed income in retirement, a survey from the Employee Benefit Research Institute suggests.

Results from EBRI’s 2024 Spending in Retirement study also showed “dampened spending expectations due to lack of sufficient savings, inflationary pressures and rising credit card debt,” especially among those with household incomes under $50,000.

As in prior iterations of the survey, EBRI’s analysis showed a high proportion of current retirees retiring earlier than expected due to reasons beyond their control. Key highlights in the new survey report include:

  • On a scale of one to 10, retirees rated their satisfaction with life in retirement at 6.9 in 2024, down slightly from 7.0 in 2022 and 7.4 in 2020.
  • Retirees on average rated the “alignment” between their current retirement lifestyle and their pre-retirement expectations at 5.7 on a scale of one to 10 in 2024. That was down from 6.4 in 2022 and 6.8 in 2020.
  • 31% of retirees said they were spending more than they could afford in 2024 (up from 27% in 2022 and 17% in 2020).
  • 68% of retirees reported outstanding credit card debt in 2024, up from 40% in 2022 and 43% in 2020.
  • Half of the retirees said they hadn’t saved enough for retirement. One in three said they saved the right amount and 17% said they saved more than what was needed.
  • 58% had retired earlier than expected, because of a health problem or disability (38%) or because of a downsizing, closure, or reorganization at their companies (23%).
  • Eight in 10 retirees receive Social Security and say it represents about half of their current income.
  • Aside from Social Security, 39% of retirees said they currently receive guaranteed income through a workplace pension or annuity.
  • Among their current sources of income, 20% of retirees cited an individual retirement account (IRA) and 17% cited a defined contribution plan. They drew a median 10% and 15% of their incomes from these accounts, respectively.
  • 38% of retirees said they have a “savings mindset” in retirement, 11% have a “spending mindset,” and 51% were somewhere in the middle.
  • 59% of retirees said they have three months of emergency savings, down from 69% in 2022.
  • 36% of retirees have experienced unexpected spending needs since their retirement.

“A lack of sufficient savings and retirement preparation negatively influences retirees’ spending outlook, particularly among those with total annual household incomes below $50,000. Compared with 2020, fewer retirees indicated that they would spend down all or a significant portion of their financial assets over the course of their retirement,” said Bridget Bearden, Ph.D., research and development strategist, EBRI, in a release.

“These spending constraints contribute to declining levels of well-being in retirement, with retirees rating two out of three well-being measures lower in 2024 than they did in 2020 and 2022. Longer tenure, fewer employers over a career, more years participating in a retirement plan, and the presence of guaranteed income in retirement are correlated with more positive outlooks on spending and well-being.”

A total of 3,661 American self-identified retirees between the ages of 62 and 75 years old were surveyed during summer 2024 for EBRI’s third “Spending in Retirement” study. Capital Group/American Funds, Empower, Mercer, Principal Financial Group, Transamerica, BlackRock, J.P. Morgan, PGIM and SS&C Technologies provided financial support for the survey.

To review a summary of the 2024 Spending in Retirement report, visit www.ebri.org/publications/research-publications/issue-briefs/content/2024-spending-in-retirement-survey.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC.

‘Asset-intensive’ annuity reinsurance has NAIC’s attention

In the six years from 2018 through 2023, U.S. life/annuity companies ceded over $600 billion in reinsurance—essentially reducing their liabilities by a similar amount and potentially reducing their capital requirements by billions of dollars, according to AM Best.

An unknown amount of those liabilities are now covered by reinsurers in Bermuda, where U.S. regulators can’t necessarily see all the assets backing them. What does that mean? Does the reinsurance make a life/annuity issuer stronger or weaker? How should insurance regulators respond?

Since last winter, the Life Actuarial Task Force (LATF) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) has been working on a response. It has produced a draft for a new “guideline” that “establishes additional safeguards… to ensure that the assets supporting reserves continue to be adequate.”

On October 24, the LATF met again to talk about the guideline, hosting a public Zoom meeting. Interest was high: 239 people were on the call. No conclusions were reached, but the task force expects to have a guideline in hand in 2025.

The LATF produced a detailed, 56-page backgrounder for the call, including input from the American Council of Life Insurers, the American Academy of Actuaries, and members of the public.

Many reinsurance transactions are unremarkable. Life/annuity and property/casualty insurers routinely use it to share or off-load risks to specialized reinsurers in order to re-deploy scarce capital to different ventures—or to underwrite more annuity business.

But reinsurance—in the view of economists at the Bank for International Settlements, the Federal Reserve, and others with financial fragility concerns —has been increasingly manipulated since 2013 to reduce the cost of writing annuity business—in ways that were once frowned upon. Large asset managers have bought life insurers, gathered revenue through the sale of fixed deferred annuities, set up their own reinsurers in Bermuda or the Cayman Islands, and moved liabilities to them, freeing up capital.

It’s not clear how much of the $600 billion in reinsurance (see below) was involved in this “Bermuda Triangle” strategy, as RIJ has dubbed it.

Source: AM Best.

When reinsurers are offshore, however, U.S. regulators have a harder time seeing, analyzing, and evaluating the assets. When the annuities are “asset-intensive”—more like investments than insurance—ensuring the safety and performance of the underlying assets becomes more urgent for regulators.

Here’s how the LATF laid out the issue in preparation for its October 24, 2024 meeting:

“State insurance regulators have identified the need to better understand the amount of reserves and type of assets supporting long duration insurance business that relies substantially on asset returns. In particular, there is risk that domestic life insurers may enter into reinsurance transactions that materially lower the amount of reserves and thereby facilitate releases of reserves that prejudice the interests of their policyholders.”

The LATF has been enhancing its regulations to detect under-reserving with weak assets by offshore affiliated reinsurers. The task force is considering:

From https://www.theactuarymagazine.org/thinking-beyond-price/

“Enhancements to reserve adequacy requirements for life insurance companies by requiring that asset adequacy testing use a cash flow testing methodology that evaluates ceded reinsurance as an integral component of asset-intensive business (emphasis added; see sidebar).”

Morgan Stanley, whose equity analyst, Bob Jian Huang, covers publicly-traded life/annuity companies, issued a research brief on offshore reinsurance on October 23. “Regulators likely want to have better line of sight into the reinsurance agreements for offshore entities. Further ability to have comfort around these reinsurance relationships is also critical,” the brief said.

According to Morgan Stanley, “The use of reinsurance to derisk and free up capital has become increasingly popular in recent years. Reserve credits taken at an industry level are up 65% over the last five years, and modified coinsurance reserves are up 76% for the same period. Specifically, credits ceded to non-US reinsurers have more than tripled since 2018, while credits taken to US-based reinsurers are up 31%, comparatively. Favorable reserve requirements, investment flexibility and tax efficiencies are among a few reasons driving this trend towards offshore reinsurance.”

“Regulators hope to have a guideline by the end of 2025, and the Life Actuarial (A) Task Force, the task force which put forth this proposal, is on the preliminary agenda for the National NAIC Fall meeting, taking place on November 16-19,” Morgan Stanley said.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Honorable Mention

Gainbridge, RetireOne to offer non-tax-deferred MYGA for RIAs

Gainbridge Life has issued the annuity industry’s first non-tax-deferred annuity product and is partnering with RetireOne, the no-commission annuity sales platform for registered investment advisors (RIAs), to distribute it, according to a release.

That will make RetireOne the first outsourced insurance desk with a non-tax-deferred annuity product among its offerings to clients, the release said. FastBreak allows clients to withdraw funds prior to retirement without the early withdrawal tax penalty associated with traditional MYGAs. Owners are taxed annually on interest earned.

RetireOne will distribute two Gainbridge MYGA contracts: FastBreak, which is not tax-deferred, and SteadyPace, which is tax-deferred. Both offer fixed rates as high as 5.50% annual percentage yield (APY) for the longest terms, according to the release.

Gainbridge, which offers fixed annuities for RIAs, is owned by Group 1001, which also owns Delaware Life. Serving the commission-paying annuity market, Delaware Life issued $2.73 billion worth of MYGAs and $970 million worth of deferred fixed indexed annuities in the first half of 2024.

Started in 2011, RetireOne offers no-commission annuities from multiple “A” rated companies to more than 1,200 RIAs, who access the fiduciary platform at no additional cost to them or their clients. RetireOne said it currently services over $1.8 billion of retirement savings and income investments.

Because FastBreak earnings are not tax-deferred, owners will not owe a 10% tax penalty if they withdraw interest before age 59½. If they make withdrawals from or surrender their contract before their investment term, a withdrawal charge and a market value adjustment will apply to an amount over the 10% annual free withdrawal amount.

The FastBreak multi-year guaranteed annuity product with form number ICC23-D-NTDMYGA-BASE, and SteadyPace™ multi-year guarantee annuity product with form number ICC22-D-MYGA-BASE, or variations of such, are issued by Gainbridge Life, a Delaware-domiciled insurer headquartered in Zionsville, Indiana.

Income Lab launches new income planning tool

Income Laboratory, Inc. (Income Lab), maker of retirement income planning software, has launched a tool with annuity modeling, comparison, and stress-testing capabilities for financial advisers and their clients, the company said in a release.

The new offering will help “illustrate how annuities work, to compare annuity options, and to evaluate how annuities affect how much clients can spend in retirement and the security of that spending,” the release said. Income Lab’s CEO is Johnny Poulsen. [You can read a past article in RIJ about Income Lab here.]

The new tool integrates with Income Lab’s existing suite of retirement planning tools, will allow advisers to:

  • Create personalized retirement income scenarios that incorporate annuity income alongside other sources of retirement income, such as Social Security and investment portfolios, to see if an annuity is right for the client.
  • Assess the impact of annuities on overall retirement risk by stress testing how an annuity would impact a plan during some of the worst times in history.
  • Evaluate different annuity options head-to-head to see which performs better in which environments.
  • Help clients identify what type of annuity may (or may not) fit their retirement goals and risk tolerance.

Income Lab software was named “Best in Show” at the 2022 & 2023 XYPN Advisor Tech Expos, was the “Highest-Rated Retirement Distribution Planning Tool” in the 2023 T3/Inside Information Advisor Software Survey, was named a “Stand-Out in Retirement Distribution Planning,” and was rated highest in satisfaction and value by the “Kitces.com Report: The Technology that Independent Financial Advisors Actually Use (And Like).”

For more information about the new annuity features or to explore Income Lab’s full suite of retirement planning solutions, visit IncomeLab.io.

Schroders polls plan participants on appetite for private assets

More than one-third (36%) of participants in a 401(k), 403(b) or 457 workplace retirement savings plan would invest in private equity and private debt investments if their plans offered them, according to the Schroders 2024 U.S. Retirement Survey.

Of participants surveyed, 80% of these participants said access to private investments would lead them to contribute more to the plan. Of those interested in private investments:

  • 52% said they would invest less than 10% of workplace retirement assets in private assets.
  • 34% would invest between 10-15%.
  • 8% would invest more than 15%.
  • 6% are unsure how much they would invest in private assets

“Alternative investments such as private equity and private debt have long served as important portfolio diversifiers in defined benefit plans. Given the evolution of the asset class in recent years, it’s a matter of when, not if, these investments will become more common in defined contribution plans,” said Deb Boyden, Head of US Defined Contribution, Schroders, in a release.

Half of all plan participants (51%) surveyed said they don’t understand the benefits of adding alternatives to their retirement portfolio, and 64% said alternative investments sounded risky to them. More than half of participants (52%) said they don’t know how to manage risk in their retirement portfolio and 59% want more investment guidance from their employers.

The Schroders 2024 US Retirement Survey was conducted by 8 Acre Perspective among 2,000 US investors nationwide ages 28-79, including 780 Americans who currently participate in a workplace retirement plan (e.g. 401k, 403b, or 457 plan). The survey was conducted from March 15 to April 5 in 2024.

Protective enhances its flagship variable annuity

Protective Life Corporation, a subsidiary of Dai-ichi Life Holdings, Inc., has enhanced its Protective Aspirations variable annuity, which has been issued by its principal subsidiary, Protective Life Insurance Company, since 2022.

Product enhancements include:

  • New advance payout options added to the SecurePay Protector benefit: In addition to SecurePay Protector’s standard, guaranteed lifetime income payout option, 3-, 5-, 8- and 10-year advance payout options are now offered to provide more choice and control to when customers can begin receiving income.
  • SecurePay NH withdrawal rate cap increased to 15%: The SecurePay NH benefit, a nursing home enhancement available with both income benefits in Protective Aspirations variable annuity, has been improved from 10%, now providing up to a 15% withdrawal rate.
  • New maximum daily value death benefit: Available up to age 77, the new death benefit provides the greater of contract value, premiums less withdrawals, or the greatest daily value up to the deceased owner’s 83rd birthday.

Protective Aspirations variable annuity is issued by Protective Life Insurance Company (Nashville, TN) in all states except New York under policy form series VDA-P-2006. SecurePay Investor benefits issued under rider form number VDA-P-6063. SecurePay Protector benefits issued under rider form number VDA-P-6061. SecurePay Nursing Home benefits issued under form number IPV-2159. Policy form numbers, product availability and product features may vary by state.

Variable annuities are offered by Investment Distributors, Inc. (IDI), the principal underwriter and distributor for registered products issued by Protective Life Insurance Company, its affiliate.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Bermuda Shorts

Private credit sector growing fast: Financial Times

A headline in the Financial Times from October 7 read, “Why private credit’s gung-ho growth needs proper monitoring.”
Citing projections by Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), an FT reporter wrote:
“Whether you take the IMF’s view that this is a $2tn-a-year industry, or JPMorgan’s that it tops $3tn, experts seem to agree on one thing: the growth pattern of recent years is only going to accelerate.

“After expanding by 50% over the past four years…, the [private credit] sector is set to balloon by 90% over the next four. Private capital giant Apollo said last week that it aimed to double its assets under management to $1.5tn by 2029, powered by an annual $275bn of private credit.”

The collaboration between banks and private equity companies on lending to companies was demonstrated by the recent announcement that “Apollo and Citigroup would collaborate on $25bn of lending. Earlier deals involved Oaktree and Lloyds; Brookfield and Société Générale; AGL and Barclays; Centerbridge and Wells Fargo; the list goes on.”

The article added, “The recent push by big asset managers, including BlackRock, State Street and Invesco, into the private capital space, making easy-access private credit exchange traded funds available to retail investors, adds another layer of systemic concern.”

Addressing the possibility of greater financial instability, FT wrote, “the positive view is that the shift of loans away from banks is exactly what regulators sought with their post-2008 rules to make banks safer.” But “ever since regulators began chasing risk out of the banking system a decade and a half ago, they have acknowledged a need to monitor where it is going, without properly doing so.”

Venerable launches its own line-up of variable annuity insurance trusts

Venerable Investment Advisers, LLC, an investment adviser and wholly-owned subsidiary of Venerable Holdings, Inc., has launched “an initial line-up of mutual funds comprised of approximately $9.9 billion in assets under management,” according to a release.

The mutual funds in the launch, and subsequent funds, serve as investment options for insurance company separate accounts and bring the management of the mutual funds underlying Venerable Insurance and Annuity Company’s variable annuity business in-house.

Venerable Advisers engaged investment advisory subsidiaries of Russell Investments and Franklin Resources, Inc. (“Franklin Templeton”) to provide sub-advisory services with respect to Venerable Variable Insurance Trust (“VVIT”).

Venerable is a privately held company with business operations based in West Chester, Pennsylvania; Des Moines, Iowa; and New York, NY. Venerable owns and manages legacy variable annuity business acquired from other entities.

Venerable was created by an investor group led by affiliates of Apollo Global Management, Inc., Crestview Partners, Reverence Capital Partners, and Athene Holdings, Ltd. Venerable Investment Advisers, LLC, was established in 2023 and manages the mutual funds underlying Venerable Insurance and Annuity Company’s variable annuity business.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

How ‘Demutualization’ Changed Everything, Part II

The “demutualization wave” of the late 1990s was a watershed for the U.S. life/annuity business. It was the outcome of forces building up for two decades. It would have profound effects, simultaneously good and bad, on the life/annuity business in the new millennium.

While demutualization was happening, the controversy surrounding it focused on insurance policyholders and whether they would be paid fairly for surrendering their ownership interests in mutual insurance companies. But the companies that went public experienced much bigger changes.

Demutualization gave U.S. life insurers new strengths and new vulnerabilities. They could gobble up other insurers, but they could also be gobbled up. They escaped the tyranny of interest-rate risk but became victims of equity-market volatility. Instead of quiet policyholders, they got noisy, impatient shareholders.

With demutualization, a life insurer goes from being a cooperative aimed at providing its owner-customers with insurance “at cost,” to being a diversified financial corporation aimed at maximizing value for its shareholder-owners. That’s a fundamental change. Demutualization changed the products that stock life/annuity companies sold, how they dealt with financial or biometric risk, their management “styles,” their distribution partners, the regulators they faced, and the accounting regimes they used.

There are infinite numbers of ways to connect historical dots. Causation and correlation can be hard to tell apart. It’s difficult to identify the tipping point that starts a trend until the trend is under way or even over. Today, blessed (or perhaps cursed) with hindsight, we can get a clearer look at the drivers of demutualization (covered in RIJ’s October issue) and its consequences.

The consequences of demutualization

The changes that insurance companies underwent when they demutualized were too subtle for the casual observer to recognize. That was true in part because the changes were already underway at the time of conversion. It was also true because few people had ever understood what happened behind the scenes at life insurers.

Let’s look at a few of the major consequences of demutualization.

From insurance to investments

Coincident with demutualization, the late 1990s saw a “historic shift in life insurers’ overall product mix toward annuities” and away from life insurance sales. (Obersteadt) Although still called life insurance companies, non-mutual insurers and private equity–led life insurers were now primarily annuity companies. (In the U.S., only life insurers can sell annuities.)

After becoming stock companies, life/annuity companies increasingly focused on selling annuities that resembled investments more than insurance and whose returns were correlated more with the stock indices than with interest rates. From 1997 to 2009, non-mutuals focused on sales of variable annuities. Later, their sales focus shifted to index-linked annuities.

Variable annuities are diversified bundles of mutual fund–like investments whose gains aren’t taxed until withdrawn. Fixed indexed annuities (FIAs) and registered index-linked annuities deliver gains only when equity (or hybrid) indexes go up. All are “deferred” annuities; despite their optional income riders, they are used more to generate “protected growth” before retirement rather than to produce lifelong income during retirement.

By contrast, mutual life insurers prefer to sell life insurance, deferred fixed rate annuities—whose yields are determined mainly by prevailing interest rates—and either immediate or deferred “income annuities,” whose sole purpose is to provide guaranteed income for life.

“Inflation caused the development of a series of investment products lodged within life insurance companies’ variable life and annuity products. The converting [demutualizing] life insurers are more active in the separate accounts market than the non-converting insurers” and “increase their separate accounts activity significantly after conversion, indicating the possibility that they are able to expand their separate accounts activity once they have access to capital markets.” (Erhemjamts and Leverty)

Annuity sales in the U.S. have exceeded life insurance sales every year for at least the past 20 years, according to LIMRA. In 2004, U.S. life insurers sold $183 billion worth of the annuities and $121 billion in life insurance. In 2021, sales tallied $237 billion and $164 billion, respectively. In 2023, according to iii.org, life insurance premiums were roughly one-third of annuity premiums ($121.5 billion vs. $360.7 billion).

Focus on fees rather than “spreads”

Anecdotally, stock analysts prefer financial companies whose income is steady from quarter-to-quarter and throughout the years. Analysts are hesitant to recommend the shares of stock life insurers whose earnings are sensitive to movements in interest rates—which haven’t been steady for decades.

Traditionally, life insurers earned their profits from the spread—the difference between what they earned on their bond portfolios and the interest rate (internal or explicit) return promised to policyholders or contract owners. But deferred variable annuities are long-term products that generate steady asset management fees for fund companies and income rider fees for the life insurer.

When a mutual insurer’s own internal investment management team managed the company’s bond investments and held bonds to maturity, the company enjoyed little or no opportunity to earn asset management fees or trading profits. But large, aggressive, alternative asset managers like Apollo, KKR, Blackstone and Ares now own annuity-issuing life insurers. They can earn high-fee revenues from managing their life insurers’ assets. The asset managers, formerly known as buyout firms, also create customized high-yield debt, bundle and securitize it, and sell tranches of the bundles to various clients around the world—including their own insurers.

From buying “biometric” risk to dealing in investment risk

Life insurers are called life insurers because they employ actuaries who specialize in estimating the life expectancies of individuals and groups. Traditionally they sell protection against dying too soon (i.e., sell life insurance) or against living too long (sell income annuities or annuity riders). Through risk-pooling, asset-liability matching, and buying-and-holding the safest corporate bonds to maturity, they can afford to provide protection from a cluster of investment and biometric risks much more cheaply than the average person’s cost of  “self-insuring” against them.

Publicly-traded life/annuity companies have steadily de-emphasized the purchase of biometric risk. Over the years, in fact, they have pulled back from the purchases of any risk. Owners of variable annuities bear virtually all of the volatility risk of their contracts’ account values. Owners of fixed-rate annuities pay surrender fees and market value adjustment fees that eliminate much of the insurers’ interest rate risk. Owners of FIAs bear the opportunity cost of receiving zero yield when the equity indices their contracts are tracking go down during specific crediting periods. They “pass on to the customer the risks and the benefits of the investment management process.” (Friedman)

Traditional mutual insurers focus on managing the risk of their liabilities—i.e., the risks of paying large, unanticipated claims—and sometimes buy reinsurance to protect themselves from extreme claims. Publicly-traded life insurers and private equity–controlled life insurers increasingly focus on managing the risks of their assets—i.e., investment risk—and use reinsurance structures to sell their investment risk to institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments.

From buying public-market bonds to buying securitized private credit

 The trillion-dollar asset management firms—also known as private equity firms, buyout firms, and loan originators or alternative asset managers—began creating large numbers of “leveraged loans” for high-risk small and mid-sized companies. Banking regulations (Dodd-Frank) after the Great Financial Crisis made it more costly for bank syndicates to lend to such firms. Wall Street firms filled the vacuum with this private credit.

Highly-rated corporate bonds still account for most of the assets in life insurers’ general accounts, but life insurers, led by the private equity–led insurers, hold increasing amounts of private credit in the form of tranches of bundled and securitized leveraged loans.

These tranches typically have slightly higher yields than corporate bonds with similar credit ratings. Although life insurers do not buy leveraged loans directly—individually they’re too risky—insurers help finance the private credit business when they buy tranches of bundled loans.

Some observers have been worried by the resemblance between these securitizations, known as collateralized loan obligations and the collateralized debt obligations that fueled the over-creation of credit that preceded the Great Financial Crisis.

From career (“captive”) sales forces to independent agents

A mutual life insurance company relies on a different type of sales force to sell its products than a stock life insurance company. Mutual insurers traditionally employ their own dedicated salespeople—known as career or captive agents—who sell only their employer’s products. Captive agents were the sales people who typically sat down with young married couples at their kitchen tables and coaxed them into buying life, home, and retirement products from the same mutual insurance company.

But the process of hiring, training, and retaining such a force—a standing army of salesmen, in a sense—was expensive. When mutual companies became stock companies, many cut costs by either shrinking or eliminating their captive forces. Instead, they engaged individual insurance agents (for fixed annuities) and brokers (for variable annuities) indirectly, through insurance marketing organizations or brokerage firms, respectively.

These wholesaling organizations contracted with, trained, and supervised the people who actually sold the product. They also selected the menu of products that the agents and brokers could sell. The life/annuity companies paid commissions on the sales, with the lion’s share of the commission going to the agent or broker and a smaller portion going to the intermediary organization. Thus they turned a fixed cost into a variable cost that could be built directly into the sale of the product.

“Third-party distribution now represents 52% of sales in life and 81% in annuities. As the competition among insurers in third-party distribution continues to intensify, strategic distribution relationships are becoming closely intertwined with insurers’ success,” according to McKinsey’s January 2024 report, Redefining the Future of Life Insurance and Annuities Distribution.

In handing over the responsibility for managing salespeople, however, life insurers also hand over some of the control. Their reliance on distributors for sales inevitably gives distributors power over them—power to make the annuity manufacturers compete against each other for the agents’ and brokers’ loyalty, which they may once have been able to count on more easily, if not taken for granted.

As a result, “Distributors are demanding more from insurers in the form of personalized bonuses, proprietary products, API integration capabilities, and more. Distribution partnerships also increasingly require insurers to make significant investments in product differentiation, sales incentives, servicing, and technology. These investments can be quite costly to insurers.”

More complex regulation

Demutualization brought more life insurers into clashes with federal regulators. Under the McCarran-Ferguson Act of 1945, life insurers, their products, and the sellers of their products, are regulated by state insurance commissions. But publicly-traded life insurers, like other publicly-traded companies, must report to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and submit new variable annuity products, which include securities, to the agency for approval. Reporting to the SEC is no small burden or expense for life insurers.

As publicly-traded life insurers create more annuities whose performance is tied to the rise or fall of equity indexes (like the S&P 500 Index), there’s ambiguity as to whether these products should be regulated as securities or as insurance products.

Index-linked products with variable returns (RILAs) are regulated by the SEC and sold by brokers, but index-linked products with fixed returns (FIAs) are regulated by 50 different state insurance commissions. In 2007, the SEC tried to regulate FIAs as securities, but failed because the courts ruled that FIA’s no-loss guarantee made them insurance products.

Multiple conflicts of interest

The most subtle but perhaps most significant effect of demutualization may be that it created a conflict of interest between the companies’ shareholders and their customers—the policyholders and contract owners. No one can serve two masters equally at all times.

Insurers are not alone in this. All publicly-traded companies face conflicts of interest to varying degrees. But in the case of mutual life insurers, the fact that policyholders were also dividend-earning owners—they owned “a piece of the Rock,” as Prudential used to boast—created an imperfect but powerful network of loyalty and trust. Shares are much easier to trade away than insurance policies, annuities, jobs, and policyholder rights.

When publicly-traded life insurers became more reliant on commissioned, independent agents and brokers to sell their annuities, the conflict between the clients’ interest and the brokers’ or agents’ interests was added to the mix, creating room for another layer of mistrust between the public and insurance companies.

Bottom line

In the early 2000s, professors at UMass-Boston and Northeastern University studied 11 major U.S. life insurers that fully demutualized (bought out their policyholders with cash or stock) between 1997 and 2001. They found that “demutualization promotes efficiency in the life insurance industry as well as in the capital markets and hence can be viewed as socially desirable.” (Chugh and Meador, 2006)

“Management in these companies has successfully implemented a strategy that is based on higher growth, greater profitability, improved cost efficiency, and innovations in product offerings. These firms take more risk in managing their portfolio assets. The stock form of organization increases transparency in reporting and governance, and provides opportunities for firms to engage in mergers and acquisitions. In addition, the demutualized firms offer new securities for investors and unlock the value lying dormant in the mutual policyholders’ surplus. For these reasons, the long-run market returns of demutualized companies have outperformed various market indexes, including the NASDAQ Insurance Company Index, creating economic value.” (Ibid.)

There’s a case to be made that demutualization has led to a split between life insurers and some of the academics who do retirement research. Academics have written countless books and papers on the benefits to retirees of owning immediate income annuities—the type of annuities that publicly-traded life insurers are least likely to sell. This contributes to confusion in the public’s mind about the value of annuities.

A quarter-century after the stampede, one could argue that demutualization backfired, even as it achieved several of its tactical goals. Though, as stock companies, life insurance companies could use shares as mergers & acquisition currency to acquire other life insurers. They also made themselves into acquisition targets. In that sense, demutualization may have hastened the consolidation of the industry. As stock companies, they also could accept billion-dollar infusions of equity capital from European firms like ING and AXA, only to see that capital take flight after the Great Financial Crisis.

Demutualization clearly made life insurers more vulnerable to financial turbulence. The U.S. stock market crash in 2008 reduced the value of the investments backing the lifetime income guarantees of variable annuities by tens of billions of dollars. It did variable annuity issuers little good that the investments were in separate accounts, under the contract owners’ control, or that the investments were likely to (and did) recover their value long before the issuers would need to pay most of the claims on those guarantees. (Obersteadt)

The market crash created the equivalent of a margin call for life insurers, like The Hartford, which had written those lifetime income guarantees and under-hedged the market risks associated with them. The Hartford, for instance, needed an emergency $15 billion loan from Allianz Life of North America. It later sold its retail annuity business to Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, insurers that remained mutual, such as New York Life, Guardian, Northwestern Mutual, experienced stress during the 2009–2022 low interest-rate famine but survived.

In retrospect, some life insurers appear to have followed the herd into demutualization without fully understanding the exposures, hazards, shareholder demands, and bad press they would face in the sharp-elbowed world of stocks. It’s not that they weren’t warned.

“Many of the companies that are becoming public are doing so with a general lack of the necessary years of experience that it takes to manage a company optimally on a GAAP basis as a public company”:

    • “Your financials are open to public scrutiny, and, depending on the situation, they could be scoured and challenged. [The public will be] digging into the numbers and comparing your company to other companies.
    • Quarterly financials are required…for a public entity and will be subject to the same level of scrutiny as year-end financials.
    • Another consideration is the pressure to maintain growth and profit patterns… When dealing with insurance products, we are dealing with long-tailed liabilities. Many companies with a mutual company perspective have been used to very long-term management time frames. But now, if you are a public company with a publicly traded stock, your income statement has to be very solid and predictable in current periods as well as in long-term trends.
    • You should be able to forecast earnings accurately, and you don’t want volatility or negative trends, even if you believe that long-term gains will result. Anything like that would tend to have an adverse effect on your stock price.” (SOA 1999)

Demutualization radically changed the character of many life insurance companies. The differences between stock and mutual companies aren’t just “inside baseball” topics, with relevance to only to quantitative analysts (“quants”), actuaries, securities analysts, and academics.

Consumers of financial products—such as retirees who might be exploring annuities as supplements to their Social Security income—need to understand these distinctions.

Potential purchasers of annuity products should understand the behind-the-scenes sorting process that, depending largely on the business model of the insurer, determines which products they see or don’t see, which type of agent or adviser deals in a particular set of products, which products certain agents or advisers will never show them, and how well they will be served by the insurer, agent or adviser after buying—or not buying—the product.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Sources

Balasubramanian, Ramnath, et al. “Redefining the Future of Life Insurance and Annuities Distribution,” McKinsey & Co., January 2024.

Chugh, Lal, and Meador, Joseph. “Demutualization in the Life Insurance Industry: A Study of Effect.” Financial Services Forum Publications. Fall 11-2006.

Erhemjamts, Otgontsetseg and Leverty, J. Tyler, The Demise of the Mutual Organizational Form: An Investigation of the Life Insurance Industry, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, February 24, 2010. ( https://ssrn.com/abstract=1558536 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1558536)

Friedman, Stephen J. “The U.S. Life Insurance Industry: The Next Five Years,” Pace Law Faculty Publications, January 1990.

“Generally Accepted Accounting Principles: Implications for Mutual Insurance Holding Companies and Demutualizations,” Society of Actuaries, Record, Vol. 25, No. 1, Atlanta Spring Meeting, May 24-25, 1999.

“Mutual Insurance Holding Company Conversions: Lessons Learned,” Society of Actuaries, Record, Vol. 24, No. 1, Maui I Spring Meeting, June 15-17, 1998.

Obersteadt, Anne, et al. “State of the Life Insurance Industry: Implications of Industry Trends,” National Association of Insurance Commissioners and Center for Insurance Policy and Research. August, 2013.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

An Odd Couple: Trump Visits My Half-Latino Town

Donald Trump came to Allentown, PA—my home for many years—last Tuesday night. He delivered his 85-minute, invective-filled, vainglorious and by now familiar stump speech to a capacity crowd in a 10,000-seat hockey arena/concert venue built with a public bond issue.

A few days earlier, at a Trump rally in Madison Square Garden, an insult-comic called Puerto Rico “a floating island of garbage.” Allentown’s population is 54% Latino, including many Puerto Ricans.

Otherwise, Tuesday was a sunny, peaceful day here, interrupted by a small counter-demonstration by neighborhood Hispanic groups. The local newspaper’s feature writer described the scene on Tuesday afternoon in Allentown—famous for Billy Joel’s 1982 lament—with his usual eye for vivid detail:

“The center of Allentown was awash in red Tuesday, loud with pop and country music and the cries of merchandise hawkers whose wares bore the likeness of Donald Trump in any number of guises: gun-toting Rambo, knight in armor, bird-flipping tough guy taunting would-be assassins that he has proven to be bulletproof.”

Although the crowd at the arena, called the PP&L Center, appeared to be majority-white, the city’s population of 125,000 is only 38% white, according to the U.S. Census bureau. The city’s households have a median income under $50,000, or about two-thirds the average median income of the surrounding Lehigh Valley.

The region has always been populated by migrants, in waves dictated by the economy. The Pennsylvania German population—farmers and tradesmen with formidable names like Lichtenwalner, Fenstermacher and Diefenderfer—of the 18th century were joined in the 19th century by Central and Eastern European coal miners and iron workers, who raised families (as I did) in dense but tidy “rowhouse” neighborhoods. With the decline of the economy in the 1990s, thousands of low-income Hispanic parents arrived from New York City, searching for cheap housing and a safer environment for their children (including a future Philadelphia Eagles running back named Saquon Barkley).

Middle- and upper-middle class migrants have streamed out of the city and into the surrounding suburbs. Priced out of the market for single-family homes in New Jersey, these families been drawn by an expanding regional economy epitomized by McMansion subdivisions in former cornfields and million-square-foot white warehouses clustered at the nexus of interstate highways I-78 and I-476.

I’ve lived in this area for more than half my life. I’ve seen Bethlehem Steel corrode, watched most of Mack Truck’s jobs drained away, and observed four-story knitting mills converted to apartments. Hess’s, the city’s anchor department store and symbolic heart, was razed. Once nicknamed the Little Apple, Allentown, despite its “revitalized” core, is no longer a mini-Manhattan.

Poor people are concentrated in Allentown because they can afford to live here. A disquieting 63% of family households are headed by only one parent. Sixty-two percent of the population identifies as either Hispanic, African-American or mixed race, according to the U.S. Census. Half of the population speaks a language other than English at home. Almost 20% of the population is identified as having disabilities.

At the PP&L Center (Pennsylvania Power & Light owns the arena’s naming rights), Trump clearly wasn’t speaking to that audience. His red-capped audience almost surely came from outside the city. In his speech, he showed little familiarity with the local economy, other than to reference the petroleum industry that was born in 1859, when Col. Edwin Drake’s wooden derrick struck a gusher in Titusville, Pa. “Frack, frack, frack,” Trump promised the crowd. “Drill, drill, drill.”

But Titusville is 300 miles from Allentown, in the woodsy northwestern corner of the state. Shell Oil owns the old Quaker State and Pennzoil brands. The anthracite coal mines, integrated steel mills, textile factories, cement plants, zinc smelters, and railroads that once employed tens of thousands of blue-collar workers are mostly gone. The word “Pennsylvania” means Penn’s Woods, but nearly the entire state was deforested, temporarily, by the end of the 19th century. The wood became furniture, construction materials, and fuel.

Mining and logging employed only 23,100 out of the 6.56 million workers in the state in September 2024, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The most worker-intensive industries in the state are now education; health care; trade; transportation; utilities; professional services; and government. One of the more geriatric states, Pennsylvania ranks 35th in economic activity. The Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton area—the “Lehigh Valley”—is the third largest metropolitan area in Pennsylvania, after Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes, the most of any of the states that are in play for the election. It’s been reported that a few thousand voters in Pennsylvania—about half as many as were in the PP&L Center (for Pennsylvania Power & Light, which bought the naming rights) to see Trump—will decide who controls the White House and therefore, to a degree, who controls the Earth.

This part of Pennsylvania has voted a blue streak in recent years. The local congresswoman, Rep. Susan Wild, both U.S. Senators, Bob Casey and John Fetterman, and the governor, Josh Shapiro, are all Democrats. But much of Pennsylvania is rural. Beyond the near suburbs, Trump signs line the country roads and cornfields.

Ryan Mackenzie, the Republican state representative hoping to unseat Wild, warmed up the crowd for Trump last Tuesday. To check the appropriate local demographic boxes, and to flesh out the dais, the Trump campaign had to go farther afield. Zoraida Buxo, a female Republican “shadow senator” from distant Puerto Rico, and Wesley Hunt, an African-American U.S. Representative from Houston, made brief appearances. The crowd saw a glimpse of Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL). The man once dismissed as “Little Marco” and a “lightweight” by Trump, rushed up to the podium to announce that Joe Biden had called Trump supporters, “Garbage.”

What goes around comes around.

I don’t understand the magnetism of the-former-guy or the appeal of his agenda to many of my neighbors—or to my readers. Annuity sales will top $400 billion this year, an all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at an all-time high. The Fed performed a neat trick by raising interest rates without sinking equities. What’s not to like? The evergreen sore points—the “issues”—in this election cycle are inflation, immigration, taxes, government regulations. But, with gasoline prices down, so is the annualized CPI.

If Trump gets his chance to deport hundreds of thousands of undocumented migrants, many will no doubt be arrested in Allentown. But it will be wildly expensive, time-consuming, divisive, and unproductive to deport masses of people, on either a local or national scale. Such a move will be challenged by human rights advocacy groups in courts throughout the land. Our southern border is under siege because parts of Latin America have become unlivable for families and because low-wage agricultural and “hospitality” jobs in the U.S. go begging.

As for taxes and regulations, I see no glaring reason for the retirement industry to complain. Even though most of the products that life/annuity companies sell today are more investment-like than insurance-like, and though only a handful of large life insurers remain policyholder-owned, the insurance industry retains government blessings. It still enjoys the tax-deferred or tax-free buildup inside its products and, on the retirement side of the business, the massive tax expenditure that incentivizes long-term saving. Are those subsidies taken for granted?

Yes, Trump’s return would end Gary Gensler’s aggressive enforcement policies at SEC. It would pull the plug (again) on the DOL fiduciary rule. But regulations cut both ways. Without a sense of regulatory protection, the public’s faith in the financial system, already low, will slip farther away.

As a member of the media, I stand ashamed of it. It has largely abandoned its post in this election cycle. It has given Trump a nearly free pass on the low-character question, which has always been hiding in plain sight (where the truth usually hides).

Despite the felony convictions, the coziness with dictators, the flagrant lies, the ignorance of law, economics and history, the stiffing of creditors, the two impeachment trials, the overt threats of violence, the self-enrichment, the appointment of family members to critical policy positions and, above all, the encouragement of the deadly riot and busted coup at the Capitol in January 2021, the media have said remarkably little about Trump’s many self-disqualifications for public office.

Why write this? Why take an unnecessary, perhaps foolish, professional risk? Silence is just not an option anymore.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Middleware is Central to In-Plan Annuities

People talk about software and hardware. They talk about firmware. But they haven’t talked as much about “middleware.” Yet, if or when the integration of annuities into 401(k) plans makes the leap from novelty to normal, we’ll thank the middleware providers for it.

Middleware is a type of software. It bridges the gaps between the databases where plan recordkeepers, insurance companies, and investment companies store confidential participant or policyholder information. It lets those databases communicate in “the Cloud” using APIs (application programming interfaces).

When annuities were common only in 403(b) plans, a plan recordkeeper and an annuity issuer might arrange an exclusive, bilateral exchange of information. But middleware is a hub-and-spoke operation. It lets plan sponsors switch life insurers easily and inexpensively, if needed. It furnishes the annuity “portability” that most 401(k) plan sponsors will insist upon before they add annuities to the investment menus of their plans.

The three most prominent middleware providers in the DC space today are said to be Toronto-based Micruity (about whom RIJ has written), SS&C Technologies, a global tech company with some $2 trillion under administration, and the Investment Provider Xchange, or IPX Retirement, a former 403(b) recordkeeper based in Centennial, CO.

iJoin provides the UI and UX

Recently, RIJ had a chance to talk with Bill Mueller, CEO of IPX, and Steve McCoy, CEO of iJoin, a managed account provider that gives plan sponsors a turnkey interface for messaging and educating participants about converting part of their savings to guaranteed income streams at retirement. income solutions.

The two firms are currently partnering with Allianz Life of North America on Allianz Lifetime Income+, Allianz Life’s in-plan solution for 401(k) plan participants. When auto-enrolled participants get close to retirement age, the solution starts funding an Allianz fixed indexed annuity with an option, income-providing guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefit.

Steve McCoy

“Our technology spans the full plan-size spectrum, from startup plans to jumbo or mega-plans,” McCoy told RIJ. “Our direct customers are the plan providers, but the indirect customer are the plan advisors. A lot of our technology supports their objectives.

“Forward-thinking advisors don’t want to be boxed in. They want choice, optionality, and flexibility. Our strategy is to build out a marketplace of solutions for more personalized advice,” he said. In iJoin’s case, that means providing a managed account.

Like target date funds, managed accounts are “qualified default investment alternatives,” which means that under the Pension Protection Act of 2006 participants can be defaulted into them. Managed accounts, which compete with TDFs as vehicles for annuities within 401(k) accounts,  can incorporate a participant’s personal data—a spouse’s income, assets outside the plan, real estate—into its algorithms, or what McCoy calls iJoin’s “advice equation.”

“Our first carrier partner was Allianz. We’ve also partnered with Annexus, Athene and Nationwide. We’re working on TIAA’s Secure Income program for the defined contribution market. We’ll be announcing a relationship with Capital Group to provide a personalized target date fund. We have a relationship with T. Rowe Price through an insurer.”

IPX provides the ‘connectivity’

Where iJoin builds the online user-interface that determines the plan participants’ user-experience, it partners with IPX to tie the interface to the other plan service providers. IPX divested its 403(b) recordkeeping business last March in order to stake its future on the 401(k) annuity opportunity.

“We’ve developed a platform called Retirement Edge,” IPX CEO Bill Mueller told RIJ. “It provides connectivity between the recordkeeper, the custodian, and the insurance carriers.” The connections are product-agnostic. Retirement Edge currently accommodates fixed income annuities, collective investment trusts (CITs) with income riders, or qualified longevity annuity annuities.

Bill Mueller

“QLACs” are deferred income annuities whose assets, according to a 2014 Treasury Department action, can be excluded from retirees’ required minimum distribution calculations until age 85. Retirement Edge can execute the data exchanges for both “in-plan” annuities (which are funded during the accumulation stage) “out of plan” annuities (which aren’t funded until the participant leaves the plan).

“On the back end, we’re ‘cashiering’ the transaction,” Mueller said. “Cashiering” is one of the more complicated steps in the 401(k) annuity digital machinery. It occurs when a participant is either purchasing a small amount of future income benefits with each paycheck, or buying an annuity with a lump sum at retirement.

The middleware provider coordinates the liquidation of all or part of the participant’s account value and the purchase of an annuity contract with the recordkeeper, the custodian of the money, and the annuity provider. “IPX is the only middleware player that has cashiering capability for the client,” McCoy told RIJ.

Plans offer multiple income options

Each firm involved in these chains of transactions gets incremental shares of the compressed fees that 401(k) plan providers and their fiduciaries have been allowed to charge in the wake of several court rulings during the wave of “breach of fiduciary duty” class action lawsuits brought by participants and plaintiffs’ attorneys in the 2010s. Mueller nonetheless has faith in the future of the 401(k) annuity market.

“Since we divested our recordkeeping business, we are solely focused on DC,” Mueller said. He believes that there’s “no question” that the 401(k) annuity trend has legs. “Two years ago when we talked to recordkeepers, they’d say they weren’t sure about how they would approach this market. But now the conversation is, ‘We’ll do this. We’re just not sure when.’”

IPX is preparing for a future where 401(k) plans will offer not one but a choice of several lifetime income options to their participants. With that in mind, “we set out to create a marketplace,” he said. “In addition to providing portability, we think it will standard for plans to provide more than one flavor. That’s why we currently support a fixed income annuity and a QLAC. Our TDF-style annuity is a work-in-progress.”

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

How T. Rowe Price Approaches the ‘401(k) Income’ Market

Several of the major target-date fund (TDF) providers, in their quest to equip defined contribution (DC) plan participants with tools for “pension-izing” their savings (and to retain assets in the plan), have embedded deferred annuities into their popular funds-of-funds.

Their expectation is that plan sponsors will default auto-enrolled participants into the TDFs, that participants will automatically start contributing to the deferred annuity at about age 50, and that when participants retire, some will choose to switch on the annuity’s lifetime income rider.

  1. Rowe Price is taking a different approach with its retirement business. The $1.61 trillion asset manager, which record-keeps more than 8,400 retirement plans and manages about $464 billion in TDFs across those plans, isn’t defaulting participants into anything. It believes plan sponsors prefer it that way.

The Baltimore-based asset manager decided several years ago to focus on non-guaranteed “managed payouts” as an optional income solution for auto-enrolled participants. Starting this year, it is offering an enhanced managed payout program called “Managed Lifetime Income.” It includes a deferred income annuity that guarantees payouts until the annuitant dies.

In the jargon of 401(k) income solutions, MLI offers an “out-of-plan” annuity (funded at or after retirement) rather than “in-plan” annuity (notionally funded before the participant retires). T. Rowe Price will offer MLI initially to the DC plans that it administers.

Multiple income solutions needed

Last September, T. Rowe Price’s senior global retirement strategist, Jessica Sclafani, explained her company’s initiatives to the ERISA Advisory Council (EAC), a 15-person panel representing various stakeholder-groups in the retirement industry and the public at large.

Jessica Sclafani

The panel was hearing witnesses and gathering testimony for the Department of Labor about Qualified Default Investment Alternatives, of which TDFs are one, and whether regulations governing QDIAs should be tweaked to reflect their use as vehicles for annuities in 401(k) plans.

“There are several solutions in the marketplace today where contributions are allocated to an annuity-like asset class that would allow for the future purchase of guaranteed income,” Sclafani told RIJ in an interview after the EAC meeting.

Instead, she added, “We believe that ultimately retirement income will be implemented through an array of investment options. We don’t think that one solution will meet the majority of participants’ needs.”

In 2017, T. Rowe Price started offering participants in its plans a mutual fund with a managed payout program that’s offered to participants over age 59½ and retirees. In 2019, it introduced a collective investment trust (CIT) with the same feature. The target (but not guaranteed) payout rate was 5% of an amount based on the participant’s final TDF balance, subject to a “smoothing” mechanism that makes the income stream less volatile. In an email to RIJ, Sclafani described the payout calculation:

The total calendar-year distribution amount is determined each year by calculating 5% of the average net asset value (NAV) of the participant’s fund or CIT over the trailing five years. The fund/trust automatically makes 12 equal monthly dividend payments to investors each calendar year. The amount to be paid each year is reset annually as a means to balance these competing goals and risks.

The 5-year look-back serves to smooth potential volatility in the amount paid out. Also, the participant chooses how much to invest in the “Price Managed Payout Investment.” They could allocate their entire balance or just a portion. In this way they can influence the amount of the payout, even though it is set at 5%.

“That solution is currently available only on our recordkeeping platform,” Sclafani said. We’re looking to work with a middleware provider to launch it on third-party recordkeeping platforms.”

The company’s new Managed Lifetime Income (MLI) program bundles a managed payout process with a type of deferred income annuity called a Qualified Longevity Annuity Contract (QLAC).

[Established in 2014 by the U.S. Treasury Department, QLACs are deferred income annuities with a twist. Savings in a QLAC aren’t subject to the Required Minimum Distribution rules, which require withdrawals from IRAs, 401(k) and other qualified accounts starting at age 73.]

“We know that a certain cohort of participants will benefit from a QLAC, so we’ve paired QLAC and managed payouts,” Sclafani said. “You choose either at retirement or in retirement how much to put into Managed Lifetime Income.”

At retirement, participants who are invested in TDFs must decide whether to opt-into the MLI program or not. If they do, part of their money stays in a liquid managed payout account in the 401(k) plan. The rest is applied to irrevocable purchase of the QLAC.

For example, a 65-year-old might decide to receive a managed payout for 15 years, until age 80.

At that point, income from the QLAC would begin and would last for as long as the retiree lives.   (If retirees die before receiving all of their QLAC income, their beneficiaries receive the unpaid balance.)

Significantly, the QLAC could boost a retiree’s income by 50% a year relative to the annuity-less managed payout program, T. Rowe Price estimates. “There’s a roughly 7.5% payout of the managed payout portion over 15 years. The QLAC is sized to offer the same payment that the retiree had been receiving before.”

Although the money used to buy the QLACs would move over to the general account of the annuity provider from the retired participants’ 401(k)s, the present value of the annuity would still be visible on the retirees’ account statements.

“We made sure that participants would still have a holistic view into MLI as a solution,” she said. “Participants have worked hard to achieve a desired balance. It shouldn’t look like they’re giving up a chunk of it when they buy the annuity.” [T. Rowe Price has not yet identified the life insurer providing its QLAC.]

From “A Five-Dimensional Framework for Retirement Income Needs and Solutions,” T. Rowe Price. May, 2024.

The future of 401(k)s and annuities

Large plan sponsors now actively ask for information about income-generating tools rather than simply listen to pitches about it, Sclafani said. “More DC plan sponsors are taking meetings proactively. We’ve moved from the 10,000-foot level to the implementation stage.” A slight language barrier still impedes communication, however. “As an industry we lack a standard taxonomy for discussing retirement income,” she said. “That’s a barrier to future implementation.”

No one should expect the 401(k) income market, still in its infancy, to reach instant maturity, she said. “If you think you’ll see 20% of eligible participants use the solution, that’s a recipe for disappointment. We see 5% to 10% adoption rates among participants,” Sclafani told RIJ. Among T. Rowe Price’s 8,400 plans, the managed payout solution is offered to about 400. Of those, 60 currently use the managed payout solution.

  1. T. Rowe Price research foresees defined contribution plans offering not one but multiple income tools to their participants. “Our research suggests that it’s a fallacy that you should offer one [income] solution,” Sclafani said. “Participants have diverse needs, so you need more than one solution. We would like to see participants opt into a retirement solution, and then streamline the process by limiting the number of decisions they have to make.”

The solutions don’t have to be embedded in QDIAs. “Adding a retirement income solution to a DC plan is already a complex decision,” she added. “We’re not doing ourselves any favors by attaching it to a QDIA. The industry is conflating two decision points that are already monumental by themselves. That’s just making it harder for plan sponsors.”

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Sen. Warren Speaks Up for ‘Fiduciary Rule,’ Puts Down Annuity Sales Perks

U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) has just attacked the life/annuity industry at the most sensitive spot in its organizational anatomy—its reliance on flashy sales incentives for the marketing organizations and insurance agents who distribute and sell its bread-and-butter products.

Warren, a long-time, persistent scourge of the financial services industry recently published a white paper, “Cancun, Cruises and Cash: How the Department of Labor’s New Retirement Security Rule Would End Insurance Industry Kickbacks that Cost Savers Billions.”

While criticism of gifts, high commissions and hard sales tactics in certain parts of the annuity industry is old news, the whitepaper has a fresh peg. Warren timed it to appear on the date—September 23, 2024—when the Biden Department of Labor hoped that the latest iteration of its “best interest rule” would go into effect. A judge blocked its progress last July.

The “best interest rule” required that insurance agents, instead of trying to persuade clients to buy annuities (especially fixed indexed annuities) with rollover IRA money, adopt a more selfless “fiduciary” ethical standard and only recommend products to IRA owners that would be in their best interest.

Introduced at the end of the Obama administration, the first version of the fiduciary rule ran into a wall in 2018 when, in a 2-1 decision, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals reversed a lower court decision (overruling the dissent of its own chief judge) and vacated the rule on the grounds that the DOL had no authority to put special hurdles between insurance agents—whose activities are regulated by state insurance commissions, not the DOL—and the savings in IRA accounts.

(The DOL regulates the investments in 401(k) plans, but its jurisdiction has never been explicitly extended to include the rollover IRAs into which so many plan participants transfer their 401(k) savings when they change jobs. The Fifth Circuit judges ruled that only Congress could do that, and it hasn’t.)

The initial lawsuit against the rule was brought not by injured citizens—the rule appeared to be popular—but by the American Council of Life Insurers, whose members could lose sales as a result of it, with support from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The lead attorney, Eugene Scalia (son of the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia) had represented the industry before. The following year, President Donald Trump appointed Scalia to be U.S. Secretary of Labor.

When the Biden administration succeeded Trump, the DOL started work on a new and more challenge-proof version of the fiduciary rule.

Much of Warren’s white paper is devoted to documenting the many kinds of sales incentives that annuity issuers advertise to annuity wholesalers and insurance agents. Warren’s argument is that these incentives, rather than the clients’ best interests, drive the agents’ recommendations to older Americans.

Her white paper concludes, “The annuity industry’s efforts to obscure its pervasive use of kickbacks and perks reveal why the DOL’s Retirement Security Rule is needed—and how it will protect consumers. The industry’s secret kickbacks hurt consumers by incentivizing agents to sell certain products because they will earn a bigger cash bonus or fancier vacation, not because they are in their client’s best interest.”

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Test Your ‘401(k) Annuity’ Math Skills

Actuaries and math puzzle-solvers, here’s a question. Several novel target date funds (TDFs) have come to market in which deferred annuities are embedded as one of the investment sleeves. These TDFs are intended to be distributed through 401(k) plans as qualified default investment alternatives (QDIAs) for auto-enrolled participants.

Here’s how they work: When participants who are auto-invested in the TDFs reach age 45 or 50, increasing percentages of their contributions begin to spill over into the deferred annuity sleeve. At age ~65 or so, the participant must decide whether or not to convert the amount in the annuity sleeve to guaranteed lifetime income.

Like safe drivers’ car insurance?

The conundrum concerns the asset-based fee on the contents of the deferred annuity sleeve during accumulation. Starting at age 50, the participant might pay as much as 100 bps/year on the assets in the sleeve; in return, typically, the annuity issuer sets a floor under the sleeve’s accumulation. But the floor (as I understand it) is contingent on the participant’s decision at age 65 to convert the sleeve assets to guaranteed income.

If there’s no conversion, the floor vanishes and the participant has only the amount in the sleeve. Some people have worried that participants who have paid the annual 100 bps for 15 years but never opt into the annual lifetime income stream (~5% – 6% of an amount no less than the floor) may feel robbed of the fee (which may have eroded their accumulations along the way).

But one witness at a meeting of the ERISA Advisory Council this week suggested that those participants might be like people who buy car insurance but never have accidents: they shouldn’t feel robbed of their premium.

So, is the 100 bps drag on the TDF sleeve an unfair charge for participants who don’t opt into the annuity at retirement? Or does it have value either way? What if the participant could see that her account balance was higher than the floor, and so declined the income benefit because it wasn’t “in the money.” Did her 100 bps have insurance value? Was it like an call option that served its purpose and died?

Some actuarial wisdom is needed here, perhaps. Future plaintiffs’ attorneys may examine this question carefully. BTW, this is not a new problem. Living benefit riders on individual annuities have posed similar ambiguities. Now the 401(k) world is about to experience it.

Is the fee fixed or variable?

Here’s another question for those with high numeracy quotients. Suppose an insurance wrap fee during accumulation is fixed at 100 bps for the participant in the TDF. (Ignore whether the whole TDF or just a sleeve is wrapped, and the age when the billing starts.)

If the wrapper offers a floor, and resets the future minimum benefit every year, will the wrap provider (the annuity issuer) need to change the crediting rate in response to changing interest rates and the participant’s rising age? (In a multi-insurer lifetime income benefit auction system, each insurer’s appetite for a piece of the business may also affect its crediting rate bid.)

Is changing the crediting rate each year or month tantamount to changing the product fee? I don’t know. If it is, fiduciaries may need to justify that uncertainty. What might happen to crediting rates if the next financial crisis brings a new ZIRP?

Clearly, it is difficult to draw general conclusions about in-plan annuities, since features vary so much and the benefit can be variable.

Out-of-plan annuities are usually fixed, simpler, not linked to QDIAs, and provide less (or no) liquidity. They entail fewer fiduciary issues. But they’re much harder to get participants to use.  I review out-of-plan annuities (and in-plan QLACs) in this and future editions of Retirement Income Journal.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Private assets, reinsurance pose systemic risks, research warns

Even as the “Bermuda Triangle” strategy stokes this year’s sharp rise in U.S. fixed deferred annuity sales—by enabling life insurers to reduce capital requirements with reinsurance—the strategy keeps attracting criticism from financial governing bodies.

In mid-September, economists at the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) in Basel, Switzerland, following the Federal Reserve and the International Monetary Fund, warned about the systemic risk posed by private equity firms that “have funneled investment into private markets by acquiring insurance portfolios through affiliated reinsurers.”

In a paper entitled, “Shifting landscapes: life insurance and financial stability,” four BIS analysts show through data and commentary that:

  • Insurance risk is now backed by fewer, less liquid and riskier assets.
  • Cross-border risk-sharing arrangements among or within large (re)insurance companies and their connections with PE firms [has made] supervisory monitoring more complex.
  • The higher tail risk of PE-linked insurers, coupled with greater investment in less liquid assets, suggests that these firms could prove more vulnerable than peers in difficult market conditions.
  • Life insurers’ increased exposure to more risky and illiquid assets raises the risk of losses and vulnerability to sudden liquidity needs, while growing reliance on AIR [asset-intensive reinsurance] raises concerns about interconnectedness and complexity.
  • In sharp contrast to the diversification benefits derived from conventional life reinsurance by pooling mortality and longevity risk, returns on invested assets could prove highly correlated in the event of widespread market downturns.
  • PE-linked life insurers in the United States had ceded risk to affiliated insurers equivalent to almost half of their total assets (or nearly $400 billion) by the end of 2023, compared to less than 10% of total assets for other US life insurers.
  • About two thirds of the risks ceded by PE-linked life insurers were assumed by affiliate reinsurers with links to PE located in offshore centers.
  • In the U.S., major life insurers had ceded reserves of about $2.1 trillion at end-2023, no less one quarter of their total assets, and up from ~$500 billion in 2017. About 40% of ceded risks were assumed by reinsurers in offshore centers, nearly triple the 2017 share. reported in 2017.
  • In 2022, life insurers managed total assets of about $35 trillion, around 8% of global financial assets, up from $14 trillion two decades ago.

The global mission of the BIS, according to its website, is to “support central banks’ pursuit of monetary and financial stability through international cooperation, and to act as a bank for central banks.” Established in 1930, the BIS is owned by 63 central banks in countries that together account for about 95% of world GDP.

The new paper’s authors are Fabian Garavito, Ulf Lewrick, Tomas Stastny, and Karamfil Todorov. Like economists at the Federal Reserve, the BIS analysts offer the standard disclosure that their report doesn’t necessarily reflect an official position of the BIS or the International Association of Insurance Supervisors.

The analysts’ description of the life/annuity industry in the U.S. aligns closely with RIJ’s descriptions of what we call the “Bermuda Triangle.” This is the three-cornered partnership between fixed deferred annuity issuers (i.e., life insurers), private credit originators (i.e., private equity firms) and Bermuda- or Cayman-based reinsurer—all three of which are often affiliated in both synergistic and conflicted ways.

The BIS report diverges slightly from RIJ in leaving the impression that the Bermuda Triangle life insurers are still selling multiple-premium insurance products that offer protection against mortality risk and longevity risk.

RIJ’s reporting has shown that PE-controlled life insurers sell mainly single-premium products that offer protection against investment risk, and make their money mainly from asset-management fees rather from the difference between the yields they promise policyholders and what they earn on safe, hold-to-maturity bonds.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

The Feeling Was De-Mutual

Ironically, the bankruptcies of multi-billion dollar life insurers owned by publicly-held Baldwin-United (in 1983), First Executive (1991), and First Capital Holding (1991) didn’t scare major mutual life insurance companies away from changing into stock companies. On the contrary.

Starting with The Equitable in 1992, a wave of household-name mutuals would “demutualize” in the 1990s and early 2000s. From then on, they would be owned by investors and not, as they had been, by the people who bought their life insurance policies and annuities.

As stock companies, they could do what mutual insurers couldn’t: Hold an initial public offering, sell shares, and raise billions of dollars in fresh capital. In doing so, they hoped to compete in a rapidly consolidating financial services industry where scale would be the price of survival.

The watershed year was 2000 when, after Congress repealed the Glass-Steagall Act, a dozen large mutuals, including Prudential and MetLife, celebrated the end of the old millennium by becoming either stock insurance companies or “mutual holding companies” that owned stock insurance companies.

What few recognized, then or even today, is that stock life insurance companies are fundamentally different from mutual life insurance companies. To varying degrees, and with good as well as regrettable consequences, demutualization changed a company’s priorities, products, profit requirements, relationships with customers, and even their corporate cultures.

What is ‘demutualization’?

There are three types of life insurance companies: stock, mutual, and fraternal. We’re interested in the first two; fraternals tend to be small. Mutual life insurers play two important but narrow roles in the economy. Owned by their customers—the policyholders—they’re tasked with providing those owners (or “members”) with life insurance and annuities at the lowest possible cost.

All life insurers support the overall economy by lending to businesses. That is, they buy mostly corporate bonds and hold them to maturity. The profitability of mutuals depends mainly on the difference (the “spread”) between the yield on their bonds and the benefits they’ve promised to policyholders.

If a mutual earns more on its investments than it needs, it pays dividends to its policyholders, thus lowering their cost of insurance even more. Since mutuals are akin to non-profits, and provide a public good, all life insurers in the U.S. enjoy favorable tax treatment of their products and relatively light regulation by state insurance commissions.

The strength of mutuals is also their weakness. Gibraltar is impossible to move; for the same reason, it’s not very nimble. A mutual insurer can’t raise large amounts of fresh capital overnight or seize new opportunities in fast-changing times. But since they don’t have investors to cheer on that kind of behavior, they have no incentive to do so—unless or until their survival is at stake.

Stock companies are fundamentally different creatures. They are owned by their shareholders, who include individuals and institutions like pension funds and endowments, not by their customers.  Unlike policyholders, who seek relief from risk, investor-shareholders seek risk and its ability to deliver wealth. Where mutuals rely on the spread for their profits, stock life insurers prefer to rely on asset management fees.

From the Panic of 1837 to the turn of the 20th century, most U.S. life insurers had been stock companies. After the Armstrong Committee’s exposure of stock insurance company mischief in 1905, many became mutuals. But the 1970s would change the financial game. The abandonment of the gold standard and unprecedented inflation in 1971, which led to the soaring interest rates of the early 1980s, disrupted the entire U.S. financial services industry.

To compete in a rapidly diversifying and consolidating financial service industry, many mutual life insurers felt they needed more resources and flexibility. Conversion to the stock company model, in a legal process opaquely called “demutualization,” presented a path to growth, independence, and higher profits. Once a few large mutuals showed the way, the herd followed.

Between 1997 and 2001, five of the 15 largest U.S. life insurers demutualized. Ten other major life insurance companies, with total assets in 2003 of $775 billion, demutualized over the same time period [Meader and Chugh]. Of the 1,470 life insurance companies that were in business in the United States at the end of 1999, only 106 were still mutual companies, or 7% of the total. But they included giants like MassMutual, New York Life, and Northwestern Mutual Life. Mutuals accounted for 21% of the total industry assets, 17% of premium income, and 36% of life insurance in force. [Smallenberger].

Drivers of Demutualization

Many factors drove demutualization. As a business strategy, demutualization was seen as a company’s route to increase competitiveness and profits as a one-stop shop for all kinds financial services. But macroeconomic forces, like globalization, government spending, and the aging of the Boomer generation also contributed to the trend. Pressure to demutualize or not varied, of course, by company.

Insurers needed capital to compete

In the freewheeling financial industry of the late 1990s and early 2000s, before the reality check of 2008, mutual insurers looked over-specialized and under-financed relative to the competition. The industry landscape and outlook was described in 2000 by executive James Smallenberger of AmerUs Group (acquired by British insurer Aviva plc in 2006) in a 2000 Drake Law Review article.

Smallenberger predicted “continued consolidation within the life insurance industry and convergence of the life insurance industry with… banks, securities firms, and mutual fund companies. Many life insurance companies will need to gain significant economies of scale through acquisition or internal growth in order to cost-effectively invest in new products and technologies to meet changing insurance and investment needs and customer service expectations…”

“Mutual insurers do not have sufficient organizational flexibility to participate in the emerging integrated financial services market” [Butler, et al]. Smallenberger believed that “companies unable to achieve the necessary economies of scale will be gobbled up by larger competitors.” [Smallenberger].

Managerial self-interest

Consumer advocates, especially in New York, charged that executives at mutual insurers might use demutualization as an opportunity to appropriate the general account surplus—the owners’ equity—for themselves. This was a murky area, and, in the patchwork system of insurance regulation in the U.S., the rules varied by state.

In a mutual insurer, the surplus belongs to the policyholders. In a stock company, it belongs to the shareholders. To the extent that executives could choose to reward shareholders—of whom executives were likely to be among the largest—the path to self-enrichment was certainly there. In the collapse of First Executive Corp., parent of Executive Life, insiders did in fact engineer control of a large share of the failed company’s assets.

Few policyholders knew they had rights to a portion of the equity. Rules for securing, quantifying and transferring those rights varied by state, if they existed at all. Prudential’s demutualization in 2001 showed one way in which the pie could be sliced among its then-approximately 11,000,000 policyholders. [IRS, Demutualization-Revised]

“Management gave 454.6 million shares to the policyholders directly and in addition sold 110 million shares to the public at $27.50 per share. Part of the $3 billion in proceeds was paid to cash-out small policyholders and to other policyholders who chose not to receive shares of stock in the new company.” [Meador & Chugh]

Foreign firms’ interest the U.S. life/annuity market

Large European insurers were naturally eager to enter U.S. market. According to a May 1999 Bloomberg News report, the U.S. “accounts for more than half the world’s retirement savings market,” which Intersec Research of Stamford, Conn., predicted would grow 39% to $15.4 trillion by 2003. (That number reached $40 trillion in 2024, according to the Investment Company Institute.) To accept foreign investment, however insurers needed to be stock companies. The Equitable’s demutualization in 1991 was driven by the prospect of a $1 billion capital infusion from French insurance giant AXA [International Herald Tribune].

Banks’ desire to access insurance assets

Mutual insurers could see that financial conglomerates were encroaching on their turf. Banks, which sell fixed-rate annuities today, were as interested in diversifying into insurance as insurers were to diversify out of it. [Stephen Friedman, “The Next Five Years.”] “On the demutualization debate, the proposal for demutualization comes not from the life insurance companies, which are very happy being mutual companies, but from the banks, because the banks want to demutualize the life insurance companies and then buy them. That is more than a sidelight on this discussion, I think, because it reflects a worldwide trend. If I can coin a double cliche, I would call that trend the ‘globalization of the homogenization of financial institutions.’”

Financial Megatrends

The growth of the U.S. financial sector in the 1990s could not have occurred without a growing money supply. An increase in deficit spending by the U.S. government after 1980 provided that supply.

The national debt is the difference between what the federal government has spent into the economy since the founding of the country and what it has taxed out of the economy. In 1980, the accumulated  difference was $908 billion.

The Reagan Administration criticized the debt as a drag on the economy. But rather than reduce it by cutting spending and raising taxes, the administration cut taxes and increased military spending. Over the next decade, the debt rose to $3.23 trillion. Those new trillions cascaded through government contractors, banks, businesses, employers, the financial markets, and American households.

The national debt reached $5.67 trillion in 2000 and then more than doubled, to $13.56 trillion by 2010 as a result of the bailout of the financial system after 2008. Today, the debt stands at more than $33 trillion. The national debt troubles many people. They believe that U.S. taxpayers will have to pay down the debt someday, impoverishing themselves in the process. Reasonable economists disagree [Fiscaldata.treasury].

Evolution of life insurers into investment companies

Even before they converted to stock companies, mutuals were already creating “variable” or “indexed” life insurance and annuity products that offered potential for investment growth along with their usual insurance-related benefits. “The spike in interest rates at the beginning of the 1980s “caused the development of a series of investment products lodged within life insurance companies’ variable life and annuity products. These products pass on to the customer the risks and the benefits of the investment management process.” Also, “many large life insurance companies have bought large investment management firms. Alliance Capital, for example, with more than $40 billion under management, is a subsidiary of the Equitable… The life insurance business itself has become an investment management business.” [Friedman]

An unprecedented bull market

By demutualizing, life insurers were following the flow of the 1990s. The flow was into stocks. The deregulation of telecom industry, the mass ownership of personal computers, the Internet, and the dot-com boom gave investors plenty of opportunity to invest. It was the period of index funds and discount brokerages, when “Main Street met Wall Street.”

The technology-heavy NASDAQ was 458 at the start of 1990, and 4,798 in March 2000, before the inevitable shake-out of 2001. The S&P 500 was 813 in 1990 and 2,756 in March 2000. The DJIA was 2,560 at the beginning of 1990 and 11,390 at the beginning of 2000. If life insurers wanted to join this party, and hold onto customers, they would have to become part of the securities world.

Changing regulations

Changes in federal tax law helped shape the evolution of the life/annuity business in the 1980s and 1990s. The Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 (TEFRA) eliminated a loophole in the use of variable annuities, along with many other tax breaks. But despite TEFRA, the variable annuity allowed wealthy investors to delay taxes on the growth of their investments until they retired.

In 1984, the passage of the Deficit Reduction Act (DEFRA) limited the deductibility of policyholder dividends paid by mutuals as a way to “allocate taxes more equitably between mutual and stock life insurers” [McNamara and Rhee]. In 1988, a New York law ended a 66-year prohibition against demutualization and “served as a model for demutualization statutes in other states” [Battilani and Schröter].

The demutualization trend, already well under way, was eventually codified and sanctified by legislation at the end of the Clinton administration. “With the passage of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Financial Services Modernization Act in 1999, the Depression-era barriers that blocked cross-industry mergers and product sales among banks, securities firms, and insurance companies have been removed. This reform will clear the way for these firms to move increasingly into each other’s businesses, thereby forcing each firm to become more efficient, more creative, and more customer-focused than ever” [Smallenberger].

During the 1990s and early 2000s, 37 major life insurers demutualized. Of those, the estimated number of policyholders was reported for only 15 companies was available. They had an estimated 29,713,000. Of that total, Prudential and MetLife had combined 22,200,000 policyholders.

Boomer saving in tax-deferred 401(k) plans

The macro-trend arguably driving all of the financial micro-trends of our recent history is the maturation of the Baby Boomer Generation. By 1990, the entire Boomer generation (born 1946 to 1964) was old enough to be in the workforce. They had married, created families, set up households. They were beginning to save in large numbers in hundreds of thousands of relatively new 401(k) plans.

U.S. savings in tax-deferred defined contribution savings plans (e.g., 401(k)s and 403(b)s) was only $874 billion in 1990. By 2000, it was $2.958 trillion, According to the Investment Company Institute. In 1990, $636 billion was in individual IRAs.

By 2000, that figure was $2.629 (reflecting the growth of “rollover IRAs,” which contain money saved in defined contribution plans but later “rolled over” to individual IRAs). In 1997, when I went to work at The Vanguard Group (now “Vanguard”), a kind of cooperative, it managed about $250 billion worth of mutual funds. In 2024, Vanguard managed $7.2 trillion.

This is the first part of a two-part article on demutualization. The second and final part, covering the opposition to, the impact of, and the long-term implications of demutualization, will appear in the November issue of Retirement Income Journal.  

Sources

Battilani, Patrizia, and Harm G. Schröter. “Decumulation and Its Problems,” Quaderni – Working Paper DSE N° 762.

Butler, Richard J., Yijing Cui, and Andrew Whitman, “Insurers’ Demutualization Decisions,” Risk Management and Insurance Review, 2000, Vol. 3, No. 2, pages 135-154.

Friedman, Stephen J. “The U.S. Life Insurance Industry: The Next Five Years” (1990) Pace Law Faculty Publications. https://digitalcommons.pace.edu/lawfaculty/115

“Historical Debt Outstanding,” FiscalData.treasury.gov https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/historical-debt-outstanding/historical-debt-outstanding

Malkin, Lawrence, and Jacques Neher. “French Insurer to Put $1 billion into Equitable: AXA Buys Stake in U.S. firm,” International Herald Tribune, July 19, 1991.

McNamara, Michael J., and S. Ghon Rhee. “Ownership Structure and Performance: The Demutualization of Life Insurers.” The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Jun., 1992, Vol. 59, No. 2 (June, 1992).

Smallenberger, James A. “Restructuring Mutual Insurance Companies: A Practical Guide Through the Process,” Drake Law Review, Vol. 49, 2001.

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Lessons from Britain’s national ‘NEST’ egg program

Aimed at helping workers in low-pay, high-turnover jobs save for retirement, Britain’s national defined contribution plan, known as NEST, is barely a dozen years old. Most of its participants are young and have small accounts. It’s too soon to say how they’ll “draw down” their “pension pots” in retirement.

But Will Sandbrook, director of NEST Insight, the program’s in-house research group, expects that retired NEST participants will take systematic withdrawals from their accounts for the first 10 or 15 years of retirement, then switch to a late-life deferred income annuity.

Will Sandbrook

Sandbrook spoke at a September 18 webinar sponsored by the National Institute for Retirement Security (NIRS) in Washington and entitled “What the U.S. Can Learn from the U.K.’s National Employment Savings Trust.” (That’s NEST’s full name.) He was interviewed by Tyler Bond, research director of NIRS.

“In the future, we think the best default income process will be a hybrid approach, with ‘drawdown’ [systematic withdrawal] in the first part of retirement and a guaranteed solution in the later part,” Sandbrook said. Today, he added, “most of the people in NEST who are reaching retirement today have small pension pots [accumulations] that they take as cash.”

Annuities for ‘long-tail’ risks

While NEST faces no immediate pressure to design a decumulation strategy for its participants, corporate sponsors of large 401(k) plans in the U.S. are. Asset managers and life/annuity companies have begun dunning them with a variety of proprietary draw-down products.

Those products and processes come in a variety of shapes and sizes, with a few that fit the model that NEST imagines its members using in the future. Principal Financial currently offers a program that lets 401(k) participants lock-in credits toward a qualified longevity annuity contract (QLAC) during the accumulation period. They decide at retirement whether to commit to it or not. T. Rowe Price is preparing to roll out a strategy where the participants decide at retirement whether to allocate money to a QLAC or not.

NEST envisions its members waiting until age 75 or so before they move part of their NEST assets into a late-life annuity, Sandbrook said. Five or ten years later, they would start receiving annuity payments that will last as long as they (or their spouses) are living.

“Annuities were never designed to be 30-year products,” he said. “Better to have draw-down and then an annuity to deal with the larger long-tail risks.” Income annuities cost least, any actuary can tell you, when payouts start in advanced old age. That’s when you’re both least likely to be still alive and most likely to have run out of money. To make that strategy work, you just have  to make sure that your liquid savings don’t hit zero before your monthly annuity checks start arriving.

There’s also behavioral drawback to buying an “immediate” life annuity that starts producing income at the beginning of retirement, Sandbrook said. NEST may want to “put some conditionality in the draw-down”—that is, “encourage people to tighten their belts in some years” rather than, say, liquidate depressed assets during a market downturn and lock in a permanent loss. But with a “30-year immediate annuity you take away some of that discretion.”

Interestingly, the type of decumulation strategy favored by NEST, Principal, and T. Rowe Price resembles the one that Jason S. Scott of Financial Engines prophesied in a 2007 research paper.

Partly because interest rates were so low for so long, these late-life annuities, also known as deferred income annuities (DIAs), have not offered payout rates high enough to be popular. They accounted for only 1.2% of U.S. annuity sales in the first half of 2024, at $2.5 billion. But DIA sales were up 30% in first-half 2024 over first-half 2023, apparently benefiting from the higher bond yields that lifted sales of most fixed annuities.

Replacing pre-retirement income

Inaugurated in 2012 with start-up funding from the U.K. government, NEST now has about 13 million members. It was designed for people previously not well-served by the pensions sector, including those on low-to-moderate incomes, working for smaller employers, or with higher likelihood of job turnover. NEST also draws members from large employers in sectors with lower income levels and higher job turnover.

Sandbrook estimated that a stunning 25 million people in the U.K., or more than a third of the U.K.’s population of 67 million, live in households where at least one source of income is “volatile.”

The U.K. has a “flat-rate” state pension that equals about 30% of the average pre-retirement earnings of a median worker starting at age 66, Sandbrook said. NEST started out with the stated goal of enabling lifelong participants in the program to eventually replace an additional 15% of pre-retirement income, with retirees relying on personal savings for the rest of their retirement income.

NEST participants contribute a minimum of 8% of pay to their accounts—the current default minimum contribution rate for all employers/pension plans under the auto-enrollment regulations in Britain. Since 2012, U.K. law has required all employers in the U.K. to offer access to an auto-enrolled retirement savings plan. NEST makes it easy for small employers to fulfill that obligation.

The U.K. state pension contrasts with that of the U.S., where Social Security benefits are based on payroll tax contributions, up to a salary cap. Benefits in the U.S. are “progressive” rather than flat. As percentages of pre-retirement income, they’re higher for low-income workers than for high-income workers.

Financial whack-a-mole

Sandbrook’s job—his title is executive director of NEST Insight—gives the Oxford-educated social scientist a window into the financial lives of low- and middle-income couples. A survey of 50 families showed them constantly moving money between checking, savings, and credit accounts to try and pay bills on time and avoid penalties. One couple made 150 transfers in a single month. “They were just moving money from one account to another,” he said via Zoom from London.

Tyler Bond

This modern, smartphone-enabled game of financial whack-a-mole doesn’t leave much money for retirement saving or much time for retirement planning. “It creates a massive focus on today,” Sandbrook said. “Low-income people are capable money managers in the short-term. But it exhausts their capacity for long-term planning. Imagine the cognitive load that that uses.”

“People try to save. Some households belong to savings circles, where five households might contribute to a fund, and each household receives the whole pot every fifth month. The degree of innovation that people go through to make ends meet is amazing,” the NEST research director said.

That evidence was furnished by the Real Accounts project, a long-term study by NEST Insights of U.K. households’ financial lives. The project, according to its website, “uses first hand stories and digital transaction tracking to build an in-depth, in-the-moment understanding of households’ income, spending and money management strategies over time.”

The Real Accounts project was inspired by the U.S. Financial Diaries project, a joint venture of  the Financial Access Initiative at the NYU Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, The Center for Financial Services Innovation (now the Financial Health Network), and Bankable Frontier Associates.

One of the lingering questions about auto-enrolling low-income workers in retirement plans is whether or not nudging them to make salary deferrals every month might backfire and drive up their use of credit cards. NEST has gathered enough data on that issue to reach a tentative answer.

“We saw a small increase in debt for those auto-enrolled,” Sandbrook said. “We can hypothesize about the mechanism for this, that if you live day-to-day, and someone takes a bit of money out of your pay check, you just run out of money a bit sooner and adjust through credit.”

“It’s easy to see how pushing on one part of the household balance sheet affects another part, without them having any real choice. But they didn’t opt out of NEST. Those who design pension plans need to know this about people.”

© 2024 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.