Archives: Articles

IssueM Articles

Cetera, Allianz SE and Capital Group offer model retirement income portfolio tool

Cetera Financial Group, a network of broker-dealers, along with Allianz Life, Allianz Global Investors, PIMCO, and the Capital Group asset management firm have introduced SetIncome, a tool that “enables retirees to generate a reliable source of retirement income to last the rest of their lives,” the companies said in press release.

“These firms have come together to bring leading asset management and annuities solutions within a powerful technology platform to create better retirement outcomes and fill a critical gap in the marketplace, effectively disrupting the retirement income landscape,” Jacqueline Hunt, member of the board of Allianz SE, said in the release.

“Clients working with a Cetera-affiliated financial advisor can use SetIncome to create a retirement income plan with guaranteed fixed annuity and asset management models, which includes American Funds by Capital Group,” the release said.

SetIncome combines annuities and traditional asset management strategies, allowing financial advisors to “create an optimized income strategy for their clients in just five clicks of a button.”

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC.

 

Athene offers ‘Amplify,’ its first structured index annuity

The latest entry into the fast-growing, highly concentrated, $12.3 billion-a-year structured index annuity market is “Amplify,” a new registered index-linked annuity contract (RILA, as structured index annuity are now called) from Athene. Amplify is the first RILA from Athene, which is the second-biggest seller of fixed index annuities (FIAs) after Allianz Life.

The commission-based insurance contract features terms (“segments”) of one year, two years, and six years. For downside protection, it offers either a 10% “floor,” where the owner absorbs the first 10% in index decline, or a 10% “buffer,” where the owner absorbs the net index decline beyond 10%, over each of those terms.

Amplify’s yields are linked to the performance of three popular index options (S&P500, Russell 2000 and MSCI-EAFE), or to a blend of those three. No hybrid (stock/bond) or exotic volatility-managed indices, which allow a narrower range of gain or loss than traditional all-equity indexes, are offered so far.

Amplify’s current caps on one-year credited interest range from 15.25% to 17% (for the buffer option) and from 13.5% to 15.5% (for the floor option), depending on the index chosen. In each case, the participation rate (the investor’s share of the gain up to the cap) is 100%. That’s more than double the upside potential offered by the typical FIA.

Two-year caps for the floor option range from 23% to 29%, depending on the index chosen. Caps do not apply to the two-year buffer option, which includes a participation rate of 115% on both the two-year MSCI EAFE index option and the six-year blended index option. All other participation rates are 100%.

For up-to-date rates, click here.

The annual expense ratio is 95 basis points (0.95%). Athene said it chose to make the expense ratio explicit rather than factoring it into its crediting rates. Implicit expenses would have reduced the crediting rates, and the products in this category compete largely by having the highest potential returns.

Athene said the same motivation drove its decision to offer the same 10% floor or buffer over the one-year, two-year, and six-year segments, even though a client’s downside risk exposure changes as the segments grow longer.

The RILA category—at least one broker-dealer executive strongly objects to the use of this opaque acronym—is aimed mainly at advisors of investors who want a tax-deferred accumulation vehicle with more upside potential than an FIA but more downside protection than a variable annuity.

Though RILAs are technically annuities (offered only by life insurers and convertible to a lifetime income), investors aren’t using them as such. RILAs rarely offer a guaranteed lifetime income rider; the expense of such a rider would add about another 1% of drag to the performance of RILAs and make them less competitive.

Asked if its new RILA might “cannibalize” Athene’s FIA sales, an Athene spokesperson said, “We feel that the products are complementary rather than overlapping. When you look at the sales trends, the momentum in RILAs isn’t happening at the expense of FIAs. The RILA might appeal to people with different risk appetites, or who are at different times in their lifecycle. It’s part of a continuum of products.”

Because this product is both commission-based and registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission, it will be distributed through the independent broker-dealer channel, which the SEC regulates through FINRA. Athene will also distribute the product through banks.

Insurance agents without securities licenses or broker-dealer affiliations (who traditionally sell the most FIAs) can’t sell it. Representatives of registered investment advisors (RIAs) who don’t take commissions (and charge asset-based fees) won’t be able to sell it either.

Different RILA issuers dominate in different distribution channels. AXA is the top-seller in the independent broker-dealer channel, where two-thirds of all RILA sales take place. It also sells its product through the 5,000 or so members of its career sales force, AXA Advisors. Its products are also sold in the bank channel and in the independent broker-dealer channel.

Overall the top five issuers of RILAs—AXA, Brighthouse, Allianz Life, Lincoln Financial, and CUNA Mutual—accounted for all but a smattering of sales in the first quarter of 2019, according to Wink’s Sales and Market Report.

Brighthouse’s Life Shield Level Select 6-Year product was the top-selling RILA overall in the first quarter of this year, and the top-seller in both the bank and independent broker-dealer channel. In the wirehouse channel, it had two of the three top-selling products—the Level Select 6-Year and the Level 10 contract.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

T. Rowe Price Launches Retirement Payout Vehicle

T. Rowe Price, one of the “big three” target date fund (TDF) providers, has introduced a payout vehicle that aims to deliver a non-guaranteed, 5% per year income stream to retirees from retirement plans that the Baltimore-based financial services firm administers.

The new product is the “Retirement 2020 Trust–Income,” a collective investment trust (CIT) that resembles T. Rowe Price’s Retirement 2020 TDF, but with an income feature for retirees.

“We had a plan sponsor come to us looking for a way to take a participant’s savings balance and create an income process,” said Michael Oler, vice president and Retirement Income Product Manager at T. Rowe Price. “They wanted to provide a solution that was liquid, that was easy to communicate to participants, and simple to monitor. The payout strategy checked a number of those boxes.”

T. Rowe Price did not disclose the name of the plan sponsor who requested the service. Generally speaking, a managed payout fund could be attractive for a defined contribution plan sponsor that has discontinued its defined benefit plan and whose employees are accustomed to having an income solution at retirement.

Oler

The money in the trust would still remain in the defined contribution plan. Some plan sponsors are said to want to keep large 401(k) accounts in the plan because they help maintain the size of the plan and the economies of scale that help keep overall plan costs down. Conserving small-balance clients would be counterproductive, given that they can cost more to maintain than they earn.

The Retirement 2020 Trust – Income was set up as a CIT because the client that requested it was a trust investor, a T. Rowe Price spokesperson said. But it will have the same “glide path,” or asset allocation that becomes more conservative over an investor’s lifetime, as its mutual fund twin. That glide path starts at about 90% stocks, starts falling 25 years prior to retirement and reaches about 55% stocks at the retirement date (presumably age 65). The stock allocation levels off at 20% of the portfolio 30 years after retirement.

The payout version of Retirement 2020, either as a CIT or a mutual fund, won’t be available to active participants in T. Rowe Price-administered retirement plans, only to former plan participants who have separated from service and are over age 59½ (the date from which there’s no federal tax penalty for withdrawals from qualified retirement accounts).

“We start communicating the availability of the payout option at age 55. It’s available to them but they can’t vest in it until they’re terminated. This gives them a few years to use the income calculator to determine how much income their savings can generate. Then we’ll have communications that go out to people who have been terminated and over 59 ½ reminding them of the service. Our call center staff will be trained on the product,” Oler said.

Through a web portal, T. Rowe Price will provide “an overview of the strategy, along with modeling capabilities to show how much monthly income could be generated by transferring a certain amount into the strategy, or conversely, how much they would need to transfer to receive a certain amount of monthly income. Product information will also be added to termination kits to remind participants about the availability of the strategy.”

Every September 30, the managers of the Retirement 2020 Trust will calculate the following year’s payout based on the trust’s average monthly net asset value over the previous 60 months. The 5% will be paid out in 12 monthly installments by direct deposit or check. If the recipients are over age 70½, the distributions will count toward their required minimum distributions. This distinguishes the product from a systematic withdrawal plan of a certain amount or certain percentage from a 401(k) account.

“It’s important to point out that Retirement 2020’s managed payout program is not a 5% withdrawal annually; rather, it pays 5% of the rolling 60-month NAV (net asset value),” T. Rowe Price said. “The significant difference is that the participant maintains the same number of shares as distributions are paid, where a withdrawal is the continuously reducing number of shares that will eventually deplete.”

As for the expense ratio, “Pricing for the Retirement Trusts vary depending on multiple factors, including, but not limited to, a plan’s eligibility to invest in the Retirement Trusts as well as total assets invested. Our pricing for plans eligible to invest in the Retirement Trusts begins at 46 basis points and decreases as a plan’s invested assets increase,” a T. Rowe Price spokesman told RIJ. There is no additional fee for the managed payout feature.

The investment is entirely liquid. Investors can buy or sell additional units in the trust at any time. According to the prospectus for the mutual fund TDF for 2020, “At the target date, the fund’s allocation to stocks is anticipated to be approximately 55% of its assets. The fund’s overall exposure to stocks will continue to decline until approximately 30 years after its target date, when its allocation to stocks will remain fixed at approximately 20% of its assets and the remainder will be invested in bonds.”

“It has the same glide path and the same fees as our other TDFs. Just as there are five-year vintages in the TDF, we expect to have five-year vintages in the managed payout funds,” Oler told RIJ.

“About 40% of the assets in our TDFs are in shorter-dated vintages, up to 2030, if you translate that to the overall TDF market, it’s about $1.8 trillion,” said Joe Martel, a T. Rowe Price target date fund portfolio specialist. “In terms of assets, that’s a meaningful market. The retirees who retire in the next 10 years are people who will have spent more years in defined contribution plans than current retirees. They’re used to the defined contribution model and to TDF investments.”

Vanguard introduced a managed payout mutual fund-of-funds about 10 years ago, and continues to offer such a fund. Its target payout is 4% per year. It has an expense ratio of 32 basis points per year (0.32%) and has an asset allocation of 53% stocks (including 24% Vanguard international stock index), 22.5% fixed income and 24% alternatives (including about 7% commodities). With a 4% payout, the fund runs a low risk of running to zero before the client dies (assuming a 30-year retirement).

Fidelity’s managed payout fund for people retiring in 2020 has evolved into a Fidelity Simplicity RMD 2020 Fund. It’s intended to be used in conjunction with the firm’s systematic withdrawal plan. The two can work together to ensure that clients distribute enough money from retirement accounts each year to fulfill their required minimum distributions. The expense ratio for that fund is 61 basis points (0.61%) per year.

These funds are useful in providing non-guaranteed income for retirees who are not “constrained;” that is, retirees who have adequate savings to last for a lifetime and who can afford to draw down an income from a liquid account that fluctuates with the market.

Retirees who need to squeeze the maximum income from a designated portion of their savings might be better off pooling their longevity risk with others in order to get a higher income yield.

For instance, a $300,000 purchase premium for an immediate annuity for a 70-year-old man would yield an income of $1,892 per month for life (with 10 years certain) or $1,747 per month for life (with cash refund). By contrast, the Vanguard fund would pay out about $1,000 per month and the T. Rowe Price Retirement 2020 Trust would pay out about $1,250. So keeping $300,000 liquid would cost a 70-year-old man at least $500 a month in income, or $60,000 over 10 years.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Honorable Mention

Fidelity, in pursuit of Vanguard, bolsters its index fund line-up

Fidelity Investments, which has followed the ongoing mass-investor trend toward passive investing and now manages more than $482 billion in index funds for clients, has launched five new index mutual funds (with ticker symbols and expense ratios):

Fidelity Mid Cap Growth Index Fund (FMDGX, 0.5%).

  • Fidelity Mid Cap Value Index Fund (FIMVX, 0.5%).

Fidelity Small Cap Growth Index Fund (FECGX, 0.5%).

Fidelity Small Cap Value Index Fund (FISVX, 0.5%).

Fidelity Municipal Bond Index Fund (FMBIX, 0.05%).

As with Fidelity’s 53 existing stock and bond index funds and 11 sector ETFs, “The new funds have lower expense ratios than their comparable funds at Vanguard,” said a Fidelity release, reflecting competition between the two prominent competitors in the retail and institutional investment markets. The five new funds are available to individual investors, third-party financial advisors and workplace retirement plans.

Fidelity’s launched a line of “ZERO” expense index funds last year, and its index funds feature expense ratios as low as 0.015%, or 1.5 basis points.

The index funds also carry no investment minimums for individual who invest directly with Fidelity or through a financial advisor. Fidelity is the financial industry’s second largest index mutual fund provider after Vanguard. The firm’s index mutual fund assets have increased 144% in the last three years and are now approaching $500 billion.

Subscription-based advice resonates with investors: Schwab

Since introducing new subscription-based pricing at the end of March 2019, Schwab Intelligent Portfolios Premium has added $1 billion in new assets under management, Charles Schwab reported this week.

The service has also seen a 25% increase in account opens, a 40% increase in average household assets enrolled, and a 37% rise in new-to-Schwab household enrollments. Overall client assets managed by Schwab’s digital advisory solutions total $41 billion, up 23% year-over-year, the company said in a release.

Schwab Intelligent Portfolios Premium offers unlimited one-on-one guidance from a Certified Financial Planner (CFP), access to the financial plan 24/7 via a comprehensive digital planning experience, and a diversified portfolio of low-cost exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that automatically rebalances over time.

In March, pricing for Schwab Intelligent Portfolios Premium was changed from an asset-based advisory fee to an initial one-time $300 fee for planning, and a $30 monthly subscription (advisory) fee ($90 billed quarterly) that does not change at higher asset levels.

Clients also pay the operating expenses on the ETFs in the portfolios, including Schwab ETFs. Based on a client’s risk profile, a portion of their portfolio is placed in an FDIC-insured deposit at Schwab Bank.

“Wealth” costs more than $1 million these days: Ameriprise

Only 13% of people who have one million dollars or more in investable assets consider themselves “wealthy,” according to Ameriprise Financial’s new Modern Money study, which surveyed more than 3,000 U.S. adults ages 30-69 with at least $100,000 in investable assets, including more than 700 millionaires.

About half (53%) of the investors surveyed know exactly how much they want or need to save or invest, while 43% have a detailed plan. Only four percent of respondents have no financial plan.

Millennials and Generation X investors focus on paying down debt. Baby Boomers cite protecting accumulated wealth as their second priority, reflecting the fact that many are in or nearing retirement. “They all cite saving for retirement as their top priority, regardless of where they fall on the age spectrum,” an Ameriprise release said.

About half (49%) of respondents believe their approach to making long-term investing decisions is different or very different from what they saw their parents do growing up, compared with 42% who say it’s similar or very similar.

With respect to how they make investment decisions: 46% say they do it themselves, 38% say they do it with someone else in their lives, and 9% say their spouses or partners do it. Half (51%) of respondents agree that aligning investments with personal values is more important today compared with 10 years ago.

Respondents commonly cite “the money a job pays” as the most important factor in choosing a career path. Flexibility and work-life balance rank second, followed by health and dental insurance and vacation time.

For more information about the study, go to Ameriprise.com/modernmoney.

Global Atlantic to educate advisors on income planning

To help retirees successfully transition from saving for retirement to dependable income they can rely on in retirement, Global Atlantic has launched a new “Income Ready” initiative. It features dedicated educational websites for financial advisors and consumers looking to learn more about developing a retirement income strategy.

GetIncomeReady.com, the consumer website, features educational resources for individuals who are planning for retirement. These features include videos, a retirement income needs calculator and sample stories to illustrate strategies.

The financial advisor website, IncomeReady.com, is designed to educate and prepare advisors to engage clients in income planning discussions. The website features educational materials including client income insight videos, an interactive experience that aims to dispel common annuity myths, and retirement case studies, as well as other resources advisors can use to support their client conversations. Advisors can also use the website to request a live Alliance for Lifetime Income workshop on the best ways to communicate with clients regarding retirement income needs.

No Need for Lower Rates, but Rate Cuts Likely Anyway

Many Fed officials are itching to cut rates.  They keep saying that they see the potential for substantially slower GDP growth later this year. But with each passing data release there is no evidence that is happening or is on the verge of happening. It is true that inflation is running below the Fed’s target and, while we expect it to climb almost to the 2.0% target level by yearend, the Fed could justify a rate cut by saying it wants to bring inflation back to or even slightly above, target quickly.

That would make sense, but to keep harping on some fear of future economic weakness seems implausible. If the economy were truly teetering on the brink of a significant slowdown, wouldn’t stock market investors be getting a case of the jitters? They are not. The stock market is at a record high level.

Wouldn’t small business owners be getting nervous? That is not happening either. Small business confidence has edged lower in the past six months, but it has backed off from a record high level in August of last year, which was the highest level of optimism since July 1983. Confidence remains at a lofty level.

Wouldn’t we begin to see smaller employment gains as business people become more reluctant to hire? Monthly employment gains have shrunk from the 200+ thousand gains last year to about 180 thousand. But what did you expect? Employers simply cannot find enough qualified workers. Labor shortages are widespread. Most firms would love to see more qualified workers show up on their doorstep.

The only economic weakness we can find is in the manufacturing sector. The purchasing managers index has slipped considerably despite the fact that it is still consistent with 2.6% GDP growth. But the problem is not the level of interest rates. If rate levels were truly too high, wouldn’t you expect to see both the manufacturing and service sectors showing signs of softening?

That is not happening. The manufacturing sector has weakened but the non-manufacturing sector has not. The non-manufacturing index remains at a relatively lofty level of 58.2 while service sector employment is robust and driving the economy.

We believe that manufacturing has been hit by the imposition of tariffs that began in the spring of last year and the ensuing trade war.  Foreign investors quickly recognized that in the event of a trade war the U.S. would fare better than any other country because trade is such a small part of the U.S. economy. As the year progressed foreign funds poured into the U.S.

That boosted the level of the dollar, which meant that U.S. exports became more expensive for foreigners to purchase and, as a result, exports growth slowed. The solution is not to lower interest rates but, rather, reach trade agreements with China, the E.U., the U.K., Mexico and Canada.  Once that happens the manufacturing sector will quickly heal.

The other piece that people focus on is the yield curve. With the funds rate at 2.38% and the 10-year at 2.12%, it is slightly inverted. While an inverted curve is typically a reliable indicator of an impending recession, it generally happens because the Fed has raised rates too quickly and Fed policy becomes “too tight.”

But with the funds rate today at 2.38% (by most estimates still below a “neutral” level), does anybody seriously believe that interest rates are too high and thereby impeding the pace of economic activity? Sorry, don’t buy it! The curve may be inverted, but for all the wrong reasons. Long rates have fallen below short rates, rather than short rates rising above long rates.

It is true that upon occasions in the past the Fed has cut rates to provide a little “insurance” in case something bad were to happen. But when it did so rate levels were much higher than they are today, and there was at least some hint that growth had begun to fade. The absence of any evidence that the pace of economic activity is slipping is what makes the Fed’s recent laser-like focus on lower interest rates so hard to comprehend.

It is true that the core personal consumption expenditures deflator is at 1.6% compared to the Fed’s 2.0% target. While we expect that rate to edge upwards as the year progresses and reach 1.9% by year-end, we could at least understand an argument by Fed officials that inflation has run below target for so long that it now wants it to climb above target for a while so that its average level for the cycle is 2.0%, and it needs lower rates now to make that happen quickly. That is, at least, a logical argument. This myth about slower growth ahead is not.

While we firmly believe lower rates are unnecessary, the reality is that Fed Chair Powell has done nothing to counter the widespread belief that it will cut rates at the end of this month. He certainly had ample opportunity when he presented his semi-annual report to Congress.

If the Fed does NOT lower rates at month end when such action is so widely anticipated, it can anticipate a sizable negative reaction in both the stock and bond markets. It does not want that to happen either. Thus, the best bet now is that the Fed will cut the funds rate by 0.25% at its July 30-31 meeting.

We have a hard time seeing how lower interest rates will boost the pace of economic activity. Clearly, lower rates will reduce the cost of corporate borrowing, which will, in turn, reduce costs and increase profits. Thus, the stock market will benefit. But even if firms have a desire to boost production, they will need more workers to make that happen and it will not be any easier to find qualified workers in the months ahead than it is today.

Thus, it is not clear to us that GDP growth will quicken in the quarters ahead even with lower interest rates. If the rate cuts stimulate demand, we could envision a slightly higher inflation rate as firms, perhaps, raise wages to attract additional workers, and then test the waters to see if they can get away with slightly higher prices.

But keep in mind that productivity gains thus far have countered all of the increase in wages so that unit labor costs are actually declining. Also, the Internet allows U.S. consumers to easily find the cheapest available price. That means that goods-producing firms will continue to have little pricing power and any increase in inflation is likely to be small.

Could lower rates actually make things worse? Probably not. Our biggest argument against a rate cut is that it provides the Fed with less ammo to use when the next downturn arrives—whenever that may be. While the end of the expansion has never been in sight for us, a rate cut—if it actually occurs—would push rates to levels that are even farther below a level that could bite and, therefore, extend the life of the expansion even farther.

The Fed’s story is confusing to us. Not only do we think lower rates are unnecessary, they are unlikely to help the Fed achieve its goals. Instead, Trump should focus on trade agreements around the world. Nonetheless, the Fed seems to have widely advertised its intention to lower rate. Let’s see what it does at the July 30-31 meeting and re-evaluate afterwards.

© 2019 Numbernomics.

Honorable Mention

At AIG, Solash and Scheinerman move up as Greer retires

AIG Life & Retirement announced this week that Todd Solash, president, Individual Retirement, and Rob Scheinerman, president, AIG Retirement Services (AIG’s Group Retirement business), have been named CEOs of their respective businesses following Jana Greer’s retirement as president and CEO, Retirement.

Ms. Greer built AIG into the broadest annuity provider in the United States, according to a release. She announced her retirement earlier this year and has partnered with Mr. Solash and Mr. Scheinerman to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Solash and Mr. Scheinerman have assumed their new roles, reporting directly to Kevin Hogan, executive vice president and CEO, AIG Life & Retirement.

Solash joined AIG in 2017 as President of Individual Retirement, a provider of investment and lifetime income solutions. He has overseen product innovations across fixed, index and variable annuities and led enhancements to the AIG experience for customers and distribution partners. Mr. Solash is based in Woodland Hills, California, where the Individual Retirement business is headquartered.

Scheinerman joined AIG in 2003 and has led AIG Retirement Services since 2017. AIG Retirement Services is a leading retirement plan provider for healthcare, K-12, higher education, government, religious, charitable and other not-for-profit organizations. Under his leadership AIG Retirement Services has improved the participant and plan sponsor experience, improved digital capabilities and strengthened customer relationships. He is based in Houston, where the business is headquartered.

Beth Wood named to top marketing role at Principal

Beth Wood has joined the Principal Financial Group as senior vice president and chief marketing officer (CMO), effective July 22, 2019. She will run Principal’s Global Center for Brand and Insights, which includes brand, market research, analytics and business intelligence, global firm relations and external communications.

Wood will report to Dan Houston, Principal’s chairman, president and CEO. She will be based in Des Moines, Iowa.

Most recently, Wood served as vice president and chief marketing officer of the individual businesses at Guardian Life Insurance, where she led Guardian’s digital marketing transformation across the life, disability, annuity and wealth management businesses.

Prior to her roles at Guardian Life, Wood was second vice president, marketing, at MassMutual. She’s also held marketing management positions in the consumer-packaged goods and healthcare industries, with Frito-Lay and Johnson & Johnson.

Wood earned a bachelor of science in marketing and communications from Babson College in Wellesley, Mass, and a digital marketing certification from Cornell University and digital transformation certification from University of California Berkeley, Haas School of Business.

Barnabas Capital to distribute Great American annuities

The Index Frontier 5 and Index Summit 6 variable-indexed annuities, issued by Great American Life, are now available through Barnabas Capital, according to a release this week by Great American. The two annuities “are designed for investors who are dissatisfied with low fixed income yields and seeking more protection than offered by equities,” the release said.

Owners of Index Frontier annuities can allocate money to indexed strategies that let them participate in market growth while receiving a set level of protection from loss. The Index Summit 6, launched in May 2019, is the only annuity on the market to offer indexed strategies with both upside and downside participation rates, Great American said. Losses are capped at 0% or 10% each term.

Strategies feature a 50% downside participation rate and current upside participation rates of up to 120% for the first term.

Great American Life Insurance Company is a member of Great American Insurance Group and is rated “A+” by Standard & Poor’s and “A” (Excellent) by A.M. Best for financial strength and operating performance.

Prudential explains its “four building blocks” of success

Prudential Financial, Inc., has released its 2018 sustainability report, detailing how the company supports its four building blocks of long-term vitality: Financial sustainability, customer focus, investing in people and responsible impact.

The report, Building for Financial Resilience, covers calendar 2018. Highlights include:

Financial sustainability

In 2018, Prudential generated earnings per share (EPS) of $11.69 on an after-tax adjusted operating income basis. These financial results reflect a balanced mix of businesses and risk profile, an understanding of customers’ needs and risks, and efficient deployment of capital.

Customer focus

Fortune magazine’s “2018 Change the World” list recognized Prudential for pioneering the modern pension risk transfer through which the company takes on responsibility for increasingly expensive pension obligations.

Investing in people

Long-term diversity improvement among senior management now affects performance share and unit awards for executives at the senior vice president level and above.

Responsible impact

In 2018, Prudential produced over 5.5 million kilowatt hours of renewable energy through initiatives such as two solar panel installations and installment of LED lightbulbs during office renovations.

Prudential’s 2018 Sustainability Report was prepared in accordance with the Global Reporting Initiative Standards Core option, aligned with the International Integrated Reporting Coalition’s framework, in support of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and in accordance with the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board’s provisional guidelines for insurance companies.

View Prudential Financial’s 2018 Sustainability Report here.

Merrill Lynch to use Envestnet | Tamarac solutions

Envestnet | Tamarac today announced that it will provide more than 200 Merrill Private Wealth Management teams with access to its portfolio management and reporting solution, which offers aggregated performance reporting to clients with complex needs.

In addition to aggregated performance reporting, Merrill private wealth advisors will also receive portfolio analyses, including interactive reports on performance metrics and a dashboard that includes information held at other financial institutions, if the client prefers. Tamarac and Merrill have begun onboarding and setting up servicing for an initial group of up to 1,000 Merrill Private Wealth Management clients.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

 

Hazards may lie ahead for life/annuity industry: AM Best

A new special report from AM Best, the insurance ratings specialist, evaluates the readiness of the life insurance and annuity (L/A) industry to weather an economic storm like that of 2008-2009. Firms are “more resilient” than a decade ago, but some of the pre-conditions of the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) have reemerged, the report said.

Looking back over the past decade, the report (“Are Life/Annuity Insurers Prepared to Weather Another Economic Downturn?”) notes that the L/A industry adjusted to the GFC in part by shifting its product mix toward fixed annuities from variable annuities.

Between 2007 and 2018, for instance, the percentage of total annuity premiums going to variable annuities dropped to about 40% from about 60%. Fixed products have fewer options for owners, owner behavior is more predictable, and the market risks associated with general account products are more manageable.

As part of their re-stabilization process, insurers also raised their holdings of investment grade quality bonds to pre-crisis levels. Many L/A insurers maintained liquidity by reducing holdings of collateralized mortgage obligations and increasing holdings of cash, cash equivalents, and U.S. government securities. Corporate bond holdings also rose.

But new risks have emerged. Within the investment grade category, insurers have steadily increased their allocations to Class 2 bonds, with BBB rated bonds having the highest exposure. Allocations to untested assets such as collateralized loan obligations and holdings in mortgage and alternative assets have also increased.

The L/A industry also will face several accounting and regulatory changes over the next few years, the report said. Term products likely will see relief from less redundant reserves, and variable annuity reserves and capital requirements will change to better reflect the economic benefits of hedging and eliminate non-economic volatility.

Companies were already identifying the need to improve legacy technology and upgrade systems before the financial crisis. AM Best expects that pace of such changes will quicken as technological advances create more opportunities to accomplish these goals.

The new report also reviews the chain of events that led to the 2008-2009 crisis. In 2006, after the industry had enjoyed several years of tailwinds, economists begin warning about global economic volatility, credit cycle downturns, and possible corrections in equity markets. An inverted yield curve, which may presage a recession, also appeared in 2006.

Macroeconomic conditions in the United States deteriorated as the effects of the subprime crisis emerged. Loan securitizations flooded the financial system at a time when new loans, and the securities derived from them, began to challenge market stability and diminish companies’ ability to manage risk effectively.

The same thing could happen again, AM Best warned. The current geopolitical, interest rate, and equity market environment resemble those of 2007 in some ways, possibly leading to higher economic volatility. Available capital also has grown steadily since the financial crisis; however, as economic conditions change, so may risk charges.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

The Case for Lower Rates is Vanishing

The markets continue to look for a 0.5% cut in the federal funds rate by yearend. No doubt some members of the Fed’s Open Market Committee continue to lean in that direction. While there remains an expectation that the economy is going to soften noticeably between now and yearend, there is virtually no evidence that a slowdown is underway.

Having said that, a number of Fed officials suggest that the Fed could lower rates in a determined effort to nudge inflation to or above its 2.0% target rate. Our sense is that the economy is continuing to chug along at about a 2.5% pace, and that by year-end the inflation rate will rise on its own close to the 2.0% pace the Fed would like to see. Thus, we anticipate no need for a rate reduction any time soon.

Two weeks ago we outlined half a dozen events/economic indicators that would influence Fed policy makers at their July 30-31 gathering. Thus far, four of those six pieces of information have become available and the odds of a rate cut at the July meeting seem remote.

One of the primary reasons for expecting slower GDP growth in the second half of the year would be an escalation of the trade conflict with China. But at the conclusion of the recent G-20 meeting Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to restart trade talks between the two countries. This clearly represents a truce in the trade war.

While serious obstacles remain, we remain convinced that an agreement of some sort will be reached in the second half of this year. It is in the interest of both countries to make that happen. If it does, the need for lower rates to support GDP growth that some argue is teetering on the brink of recession would largely disappear.

At the end of last month we received May data on the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures deflator excluding the volatile food and energy components. It rose 0.2% in May after a similar increase in April. While the year-over-year increase remains below target at 1.6%, this inflation measure has risen at a 2.0% pace in the past three months.

We expect monthly increases in the second half of the year to continue at a 0.2% pace which would lift the increase for 2019 as a whole to 1.9% and imply a 2.4% increase in 2020. If so, there is no reason for the Fed to cut rates to bring inflation back to its 2.0% target. It will get there on its own without any assistance from the Fed.

The Institute for Supply Management’s index of conditions in the manufacturing sector continued to slide in June. It edged lower by 0.4 point to 51.7. After reaching a peak of 60.8 in August of last year, this series has been steadily falling. However, the ISM indicates that at its current level the index is consistent with 2.6% GDP growth, a pace that should not generate cause for alarm. The index levels of roughly 60.0 late last year were the highest in a decade and were consistent with GDP growth of between 4.0-4.5%.

While the murky trade situation has softened the manufacturing sector it has not pushed it over a cliff. Furthermore, the solution is not lower interest rates but a solution to the trade difficulties with China in particular.

The market jumped on the minuscule 75,000 increase in payroll employment for May as clear evidence that a slowdown was underway. Unfortunately for the lower rates crowd, June produced a solid increase of 224,000. The three-month moving average increase in payroll employment now stands at 171,000. While clearly less than the 235,000 average increase last year, with the economy at full employment it is exactly what one would expect. There simply are not enough workers for employers to hire. It is not a sign of weakness. Rather, it is a sign of strength that the economy is growing as quickly as it possibly can. Lower rates will not help.

Looking ahead we should see an increase in the core CPI index for June of 0.2%. The year-over-year increase should remain at 2.0%. With somewhat larger increases in recent months we expect the core CPI to rise 2.2% this year and 2.4% in 2020.

Finally, on Friday, July 26, we will get our first look at second quarter GDP growth. We expect to see a growth rate of 1.5% following a 3.1% increase in the first quarter. While second quarter growth did slip, that is hardly a surprise given the steamier-than-expected first-quarter pace. In the first-half of the year as a whole the economy will have risen 2.3%, which is roughly in line with what economists had anticipated and presumably faster than potential growth.

While many FOMC members believe that rates will be 0.5% lower by year-end, there is a slightly larger number of members who believe that no rate cuts are required. The jury remains out, but what we have seen in the past month suggests that the no-rate-cut crowd may be supported in July by one or more of their previously dovish colleagues.

© Numbernomics, July 2019.

Where’s the Nuance in News about Annuities?

BlackRock will be incorporating an annuity into its institutional target date funds (TDFs) for 401(k) plans, and the $6.5 trillion asset manager has been among the financial services companies that have lobbied for the passage of the SECURE (Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement) Act, according to a recent report in the Wall Street Journal.

“While BlackRock isn’t currently in the annuity business, the firm is now in talks with insurers to provide such instruments as a part of retirement offerings it wants to launch. The firm joins financial companies from State Street Corp. to TIAA that are competing to reshape 401(k)-type plans,” the Journal reporter wrote.

The SECURE Act is intended, in part, to encourage employers to include guaranteed lifetime income options in the 401(k) plans they sponsor by reducing their risk of getting sued if the annuity partner they choose ever fails to fulfill its promises to participants. The Act passed the House of Representatives by an almost unanimous vote in late May. But the Senate version of the legislation has faced sustained resistance from Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), as PlanAdviser.com reported this week.

BlackRock has tried to identify itself with retirement income before by promoting an index and calculator called CoRI, which helped investors figure out how much they’d have to hold in bonds to generate a desired income in retirement, based on their current age and current bond yields. But no insurance company partner was involved in that. Last December, as RIJ reported, BlackRock announced a retirement-related partnership with Microsoft.

Asset managers that distribute TDFs through 401(k) plans have to be concerned about the strong tendency among recent retirees to “roll over” their plan accounts to individual IRAs at brokerages and fund firms like Vanguard. If asset managers could incorporate annuities into the final stages of their TDFs, more money might stay in 401(k) plans.

BlackRock wouldn’t tell me what kind of annuity it might attach to its TDF. But the logical choice would be an institutionally-priced variable annuity with a guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefit. That could give BlackRock a chance, if not an exclusive right, to manage the money in the variable annuity sub-accounts, which are similar to mutual funds. Prudential has tried to do this for years with its IncomeFlex TDF product for 401(k) plans, but plan sponsor anxiety about the legal and financial liability that might stem from designating the wrong annuity provider has slowed the development of that type of business.

“State Street Global Advisors plans to roll out in 2020 its first workplace retirement offering with a lifetime income feature for a multibillion-dollar U.S. client. When a participant in the target-date-like offering turns 65, he or she can choose to move a portion of funds out into a group-deferred annuity,” the Journal also reported.

*           *           *

Speaking of the SECURE Act, here’s an instance of misinformation about annuities in the popular press. On July 9, Phil DeMuth wrote on the Wall Street Journal‘s opinion page, “The insurance industry loves the SECURE Act’s mandate that annuities be offered as a payout option in all retirement plans.” (If you don’t recognize the name, DeMuth has co-written a couple of financial books for consumers with celebrity economist and comic actor Ben Stein.)

Does the SECURE Act require all defined contribution plan sponsors to offer annuities? I don’t think so. To make sure you didn’t miss the point, a cartoon illustration above the article depicts a fox with a briefcase labeled, “Annuities,” guarding a chicken house full of nest eggs.

What’s most scary about this op-ed piece, aside from its distortions: It was the Journal readers’ most popular online “read” for the past three days. Dozens of commenters condemned annuities and warned of a government conspiracy to confiscate 401(k) savings. Confirmation bias is real.

  • *           *            *

In a similar vein, whenever I read an article in the popular press that refers generally to “annuities,” I wince inside. The overall message of my 2008 book, Annuities for Dummies, was that the five or six financial products called “annuities” are more different than alike, often sharing only the owner’s option, rarely exercised, to convert the underlying value to an irrevocable lifetime income stream.

Today I received a note from the ever-vigilant National Association for Fixed Annuities, which mainly advocates for index annuities. The blast e-mail protested a July 2 Forbes article that chided the septuagenarian members of the Rolling Stones for letting the annuity advocacy group, Alliance for Lifetime Income, sponsor their 2019 tour.

The writer also used the occasion to smack down “traditional commercial annuities,” whatever they are, for the usual reasons. He must have meant retail index annuities, because he referred to commissions as high as 8%. But the Alliance leans at least as much toward variable annuities. Where’s the nuance?

I once worked for Prevention, a quaint, bygone, but once widely read magazine that championed vitamin and mineral supplements. Vitamins and annuities both seem to inspire cult followings—and disproportionate outrage. I’m still trying to understand why.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

 

Envestnet’s Big Annuities Play

The new Envestnet Insurance Exchange (Envestnet Ix) now lets advisors analyze, illustrate, compare, select, purchase and integrate almost any type of annuity into a client’s financial plan without leaving the digital comfort zone of Envestnet’s wealth management platform.

That might not impress 20-somethings who grew up playing with “widgets” and Application Program Interfaces, or APIs. But it’s a milestone for retail annuity issuers who have struggled for years to eliminate the technical impediments to blending annuities and investments in the same plans.

Ultimately, it took Envestnet, the cloud-based turnkey asset management platform that now serves more than 3,500 companies, including 16 of the 20 largest U.S. banks, 43 of the 50 largest wealth management and brokerage firms, and over 500 of the largest Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs), to get this done. Back in 2006, when members of a variable annuity trade group tried to tackle it, the whole idea was premature.

Bruckenstein

“This development did need to wait for all the technologies to align properly,” said Joel Bruckenstein, organizer of the annual “T3” fintech conferences for advisors. “There are still some impediments to RIAs embracing annuities. But I think Envestnet Insurance Exchange has great potential.”

Nobody has higher hopes for the ability of the Envestnet Ix platform to encourage advisors, both fee-based and fee-only, to embrace annuities than the major annuity issuers. Six of them—Allianz Life, Brighthouse Financial, Global Atlantic Financial, Jackson National, Nationwide, and Prudential—helped Envestnet pilot the Exchange and now offer their products on it. More are expected to follow. Insurers will be supporting the service with ongoing fees.

But the question, “If you build it, will they come?” still hangs over the project. Annuity issuers certainly want more attention from RIA advisors, but it remains to be seen if those advisors will make room in their clients’ portfolios for annuities. Technology like the Envestnet Ix is necessary for that to happen, but no one knows yet if it will be sufficient.

The seamless ideal

To appreciate the significance of Envestnet Ix, you have to go back 10 or 15 years. Amazon, eBay and PayPal had begun using APIs to tie together unrelated blocks of software into seamless user experiences. Life insurers were still isolated in “legacy” IT systems, unable to communicate easily with the outside world or even among their own product silos.

In the mid-2000s, the National Association for Variable Annuities trade group (now the Insured Retirement Institute advocacy group) created an initiative to achieve “straight through processing” for variable annuities. NAVA hoped to make processing a variable annuity (VA) application “as easy as dropping a mutual fund ticket” for a broker-dealer rep.

The challenge was daunting, the effort heroic. Software startups came forward with product illustration tools, order-entry systems, and secure electronic signature gizmos. Common languages and protocols (XML, PPfA) were invented. The Depositary Trust & Clearing Corporation, based in New York, had to be involved so that money could move from brokerage accounts to VA subaccounts.

That project made headway with broker-dealers but didn’t reach completion. The Great Financial Crisis didn’t help. Later, the controversy over the Department of Labor fiduciary rule slowed things down. Then, in November 2017, Envestnet, having snowballed since 1999 into a giant technology hub for advisors, created a company called Fiduciary Exchange (FIDx) to begin building out a series of “exchanges” that would add insurance products and credit products to Envestnet’s investment products platform. The first in the series is Envestnet Ix, which launched last month.

Consultants regard Envestnet Ix, or something like it, as a must-have for annuities. “This service pulls annuities into the asset allocation process. Annuities are no longer an afterthought for the advisor who has already built an asset allocation,” said Dennis Gallant of Aite Group, a Boston-based financial services consulting firm.

Romano

“For instance, a client might have a million dollar investment portfolio,” Rich Romano, the FIDx chief technology officer, told RIJ. “Today, if they have a $250,000 annuity, it is off-platform. In the Exchange, you can see those things side by side. They appear in one document. Now the annuity is inside of the account as its own investment. That’s revolutionary.”

A big part of the project involved the incorporation of FireLight into the Envestnet asset management platform. FireLight is a creation of Insurance Technologies, the veteran annuity software designer based in Colorado Springs, CO. The annuity issuers load their product data into FireLight, which then facilitates the entire electronic annuity purchase process, from data collection to application to pricing to illustration to compliance review to e-signature.

Massey

“FireLight is a very powerful e-App solution, used by nearly 50 carriers, but it’s always been a separate platform from investments,” said Doug Massey, executive vice president at Insurance Technologies. “So we created FireLight Embedded, a sophisticated set of APIs that allows FireLight to run seamlessly inside of third-party systems like Envestnet Ix.” Broker-dealers who currently use FireLight competitors, like iPipeline and Ebix-AnnuityNet, will be able to use them with Envestnet Ix, but not as seamlessly.

RIJ asked Romano what he considered the most difficult part of the project. “The lion’s share of work was around positioning annuities to a client’s needs,” he said after a pause. “We said, ‘Let’s get away from that transactional view, and look at it from the customer’s point of view. Where does the annuity work in a retirement saving strategy, or an estate planning strategy, or an income planning strategy.’”

Envestnet Ix aims to be a big tent. It is designed to accommodate all types of insurance products, all types of compensation models, and advisors from the bank, broker-dealer and RIA channels. For advisors who want to buy annuities but don’t have insurance licenses, Envestnet Ix will offer a Guidance Desk where an insurance-licensed intermediary can bridge the gap.

If you build it, will they come?

But even if RIAs have the ability to use annuities through Envestnet Ix and other platforms like those operated by RetireOne and DPL Financial, will they actually start recommending them to their clients? And will annuity manufacturers begin tailoring products more toward RIAs? The jury is still out.

“There are still some impediments to RIAs embracing annuities,” Joel Bruckenstein told RIJ. It is not just the processing. Product design is also important, and I think the insurance firms are at work designing products that will resonate better with RIA’s. Furthermore, I do not think the Exchange is just about annuities. I see other types of insurance being distributed through the exchange as well.”

Gallant

“It would be great if this can bring in advisors who don’t use annuities, but it will still take time,” said Gallant of Aite. “Just because the process is more convenient, it doesn’t make the products less complex. One thing that might change the tide: As broker-dealers and RIAs take discretion away from individual advisors and move toward model portfolios, you might see them installing annuities in asset allocation plans at the broker-dealer level.”

In his recent report, “What Advisors Want from Annuity and Insurance Providers–2019,” researcher Howard Schneider of Practical Perspectives, found that of the 24% of advisors who are annuity “enthusiasts,” only 12% are RIAs and only 7% are under age 40.

“RIAs have particularly distinct attitudes and behaviors towards annuities and insurance,” Schneider wrote. “Many RIAs do not fully integrate these solutions into their practices, lacking the licensing, experience, orientation, and comfort in using annuities and insurance with clients, especially as an investment substitute or supplement.”

“The advisors may not be using annuities yet, but these new tools will allow them to start looking and comparing,” said Massey, who has been working on this problem for more than a decade.

“With so many Boomers retiring, we’ll see more advisors looking at these products,” he added. “Advisors will start to say, ‘Oh, that’s how it works,’ or ‘Now it makes sense.’ Integration was so expensive to do in past, and the risk of coming up short was so high, that nobody was willing to try. Now they can try it.”

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

MMT Isn’t a Joke

There’s a lot of misinformation about Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) going around. I keep hearing that MMT is about “printing up a lot of money” to pay for social services. It’s not. I also hear Democratic politicians talking about taxing the rich to pay for middle-class benefits. They need to read up on MMT.

Here’s an example of what I’m talking about. A news story last week described Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s plan to “raise” $2.75 trillion to finance universal daycare by taxing the very rich. That kind of talk annoys people. With the help of MMT, it wouldn’t be necessary.

MMT says that the federal government doesn’t have to shake down rich people to pay for daycare. It can gradually spend new money (not taken from anywhere) on daycare and then gradually tax enough of it out of circulation to prevent inflation. [Money vanishes when you pay your income taxes; we’ll save that discussion for another day.] The wealthy might find that more palatable than the Robin Hood scenario.

It’s not about “printing the money.” It means that, in reality, Uncle Sam spends and taxes; he doesn’t tax and spend. The distinction may sound trivial, but it’s fundamental, as Alexander Hamilton recognized. (The big problem of whom to tax and by how much doesn’t go away.)

As long as Warren and other Democrats believe (and say) that soaking the rich is the only way to “pay for” stuff, their plans won’t make sense to most of the country. A few politicians seem to get it. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) has a glimmer of MMT. When Anderson Cooper asked her “how you’ll pay for” the Green New Deal, she replied, “The same way we pay for the military or the Space Force.” Through appropriations.

MMT says the government should exercise its power of direct money creation instead of pretending to borrow, which only creates (or enables the creation, via the banks) of towering balance sheets and Himalayas of debt. [A topic for another day: The federal debt isn’t a tax on grandchildren, because the Fed’s IOUs (cash or bonds) are money. The federal government’s liabilities sit in your wallet, your bank account and your retirement account. If that weren’t true, the whole system would have collapsed long ago. Instead, it has lifted billions out of poverty—and financed lots of wars.]

But MMT, if acted on, would be wildly disruptive to the status quo, so a lot of people hate it. It would dis-intermediate much of the private financial system. MMT proponents would break up the big banks, reinstate Glass-Steagall, raise reserve requirements, strengthen the consumer financial protection bureau, forgive most student loans, drive down fees, reinstate anti-usury laws, etc. They would shrink the financial sector to its pre-1980 dimensions.

So far, MMT’s enemies have been trying to discredit it either by equating it with something stupid (printing money willy-nilly) or by making jokes about it. Some, for instance, have mocked and tried to diminish MMT by calling it a “political idea masquerading as an economic idea.”

That’s meant as an insult, but it only acknowledges MMT’s essence: It reunites economics and politics as political-economy (a once respected discipline). Ultimately MMT represents the idea that the federal government has as much responsibility to protect its citizens’ human (political) rights as it does to protect their property (economic) rights. You may disagree, but MMT isn’t a joke. It’s really not.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

FIAs for Retirement Income (Why Not?)

To equip a 55-year-old with a fixed index annuity (FIA) so he can flip on an income stream in 10 years isn’t so different from advising him to buy 10-year bonds today and swap them for a life annuity in 10 years.

The FIA is merely built for another kind of customer, another kind of agent or advisor, another financial environment: In short, for today’s near-retiree who is frustrated by low interest rates, nervous about equities, and agreeable to an all-in-one packaged product sold in a vendor-financed transaction.

In this final segment of RIJ’s four-part series on FIAs, we look at the role they can play in a retiree’s financial plan. We can report the obvious: An FIA that produces pension-like income starting 10 years after purchase and lasting for life can reduce both sequence risk and longevity risk.

But for certain people more than others. FIA-loving advisors or agents say that FIAs are the only solution to the retirement puzzle that many clients will accept. Their job, they say—like the job of any retailer who wants satisfied, repeat customers—is to match product with prospect by listening carefully.

“When you have all the facts and client preferences, the puzzle solves itself,” said Bill Borton, a veteran insurance agent and managing principal of W.R. Borton & Associates. Jim Fahey, an Ameriprise counselor in Center Valley, PA, told RIJ, “I could call the FIA a can of beans instead of an annuity and my client would still have said yes. Because it did the job he needed done.”

If that makes sense, this statistic may not: Steadily, since the third quarter of 2014—even as the Boomer retirement wave is peaking—the percentage of FIAs sold with income-generating riders has dropped by 40%. But there’s a reason for that, as we’ll see.

Where FIAs fit

The guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefit rider (GLWB), which about 40% of today’s FIA contracts carry, isn’t usually the academic’s first choice as an income-generator—it’s too complex for their tastes—but it is effective. And people accept it because it produces lifetime income without depriving them of access to their money in an emergency.

Adding a GLWB to a retiree’s portfolio always reduces a retiree’s risk of running out of money: it’s built to do that. For those who need proof, papers by Wade Pfau of The American College and David Blanchett of Morningstar have shown that a retirement income portfolio with almost any kind of income-producing annuity will last longer than one composed solely of stocks and bonds.

One catch with FIAs is that, to maximize the income from a GLWB rider, you generally have to buy the rider several years before you need the income it will provide. In 2018, CANNEX, the annuity data aggregation and analysis shop, ran a study (click on chart below) comparing the minimum amount of income that FIAs, deferred variable annuities with GLWBs and DIAs (deferred income annuities) could produce starting either immediately, five years or 10 years after purchase.

Looking at the top five products in each category, the CANNEX analysts found that the top FIAs can generate more annual income than the top deferred income annuities or variable annuities with income riders, assuming that all three types of products are tapped for income after a ten-year holding period.

“On the basis of the guarantee alone, the income annuities tend to provide the greatest income for scenarios with immediate income and can also be more valuable for a man. With a delay in income, FIAs often perform best,” the study said.

The five top income-producing product in the CANNEX study, in each category, delivered these guaranteed minimum levels of annual income for a single person at age 65, ten years post-purchase: FIA/GLWB ($14,313), DIA for a man ($12,960), DIA for a woman ($11,721) and VA/GLWB ($10,819). (GLWB pricing is not gender-specific.)

Comparative Product Payout Rates. Source: “Guaranteed Income Across Annuity Products,” Cannex, October 2018.

How can FIA issuers promise to pay out more? Since FIA contracts are not irrevocable and DIA contracts are, FIAs experience higher “lapse rates.” That is, owners frequently—the rate varies from carrier to carrier and product to product, and is not made public—surrender the contracts or, more likely, are persuaded by new advisors to exchange them for something else. Issuers can advertise richer guarantees because they won’t have to make good on as many of them. The high lapse rate also suggests that this product is often hawked to people who later regret the purchase. Asked if this were true, a wirehouse annuity manager told RIJ, “100%.”

What advisors say

One of the advisors we talked to for this story, Bill Borton, specializes in retirement risk management and income planning and hosts a weekly Internet TV show, ‘Live Better, Longer,’” about retirement. “I’ve sold dozens of FIAs and plan to sell a lot more,” he told RIJ. He has a system: he assesses each prospect, uses off-the-shelf software to structure an income plan, and then runs his specs through a product selection tool available through his annuity wholesaler. The tool identifies the best products for the task he describes to it.

Bill Borton

“If somebody wants to put $300,000 into an FIA with an income rider, for example, I may sell three contracts, with the idea that we’ll turn some income on in five years, then seven years, then 10 years, depending on the ages they plan to retire and the years they want to take Social Security,” Borton told RIJ. “You can model all these things and provide income when the client needs it.”

“The income rider is something that Boomers like. They don’t have to give up control of principal. That’s an objection I hear all the time. Rational or not, if the illiquidity of a SPIA stops the income planning conversation entirely, then what good is it? Would you rather be right or happy? The right product is the one that does the job and that the client will buy,” he said.

Another advisor we talked to, Jim Fahey, is a fee-based (paid a percentage of assets under management or by commission) Ameriprise advisor who has increasingly recommended FIAs to clients. In a recent transaction that Fahey described to RIJ, the client didn’t need current income as much as a safe haven from the market. The prospect of receiving a high rate of guaranteed income in extreme old age sealed the deal.

James Fahey

In this case the client was a 67-year-old, who used $200,000 in profits from the market to buy a RiverSource FIA whose rider had a deferral bonus that would double the minimum income benefit base, to $400,000, after 12 years without withdrawals. At age 79, he’d start receiving $26,000 a year for life—income that he could use as a hedge against assisted living expenses, if necessary. (The client can access the benefit base only at the rate of $26,000 a year; only his account value, which may be much lower after years of fees, withdrawals and market volatility, would be accessible as a lump sum.)

Selling that type of FIA, with a rich guarantee of income after a long deferral, to someone with short-term needs would be an embarrassment or worse for a national broker-dealer wealth manager like Fahey. “If I put someone into a long-term index annuity with an income rider and three years after purchase he says, ‘Oh, I need to withdraw 10% of my money,’ I would turn ten shades of crimson,” he said. “But I don’t do that.”

So why aren’t they selling?

But, while overall sales of FIAs are up, fewer Americans every year intend to use them for retirement income and many of those who employ them for income use them inefficiently, according to data that Wink, Inc. shared with RIJ for this report.

In the third quarter of 2014, GLWB riders were elected on 71.6% of the FIAs purchased. A year later, the election rate was down to 50%. In 4Q2018, only 39.6% of FIA contracts sold had an income rider, of which 32.3% had a built-in or mandatory rider and the rest had an optional rider.

When people do buy the rider, they’re probably not maximizing the potential income, Wink data also suggested. The average age for the purchase of an FIA with a GLWB was 64.1 years in 4Q2018, and they started income 2.6 years after purchase, on average. To get the most out of deferral bonuses, they should buy earlier and take income later.

The simple explanation is that FIAs aren’t being marketed for income at present. They’re being marketed for yields that are higher than bonds, fixed-rate annuities or certificates of deposit (CDs). High-volume FIA agents have found that they can attract many more people to a luncheon seminar by advertising high yields. The cost of income riders puts drag on FIA yields. The income story doesn’t just have less sizzle than the yield story; the cost of the income rider undercuts the yield story.

The accumulation focus is tied to the increased use of volatility-controlled “hybrid” indices. Many FIA issuers now offer crediting methods linked to these indices “because they can promote higher participation rates and lower spread rates on them than on crediting methods linked to the S&P500 Index,” said Sheryl Moore, president and CEO at Wink, Inc. “The focus on hybrid indices, and the ‘accumulation sale,’ has reduced GLWB election rates.”

The potential returns on hybrid indices—like the potential payouts on long-shot horses—are higher because their caps are less likely to be reached; their internal volatility controls make sure of that. But the high caps fill seminar seats nonetheless.

What’s always troubled purists is the apparent tendency to emphasize quantity of FIA sales over quality of sales. That tendency is almost certainly strengthened by the fact that the average manufacturer-paid commission on FIA sales is over 6%, or more than double the commission on sales of plain-vanilla income annuities. FIA advocates insist that the compensation is reasonable and fair in the long run, and that the product sells on its merits. FIA avoiders maintain that generous compensation will always be a temptation to predatory sales. Caveat emptor.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Hueler income annuity platform now open to all

Income Solutions, the Hueler Companies’ income annuity distribution platform available for the past decade mainly to Vanguard’s institutional 401(k) and retail participants, is now available to the broad public. No longer mediated through Vanguard for Vanguard shareholders, the service is now open to all.

“Hueler’s new retail site allows individuals and advisors to register directly at incomesolutions.com and access the popular institutional offering known for providing low-cost standardized quotes, choice of features, and real time competition across multiple insurance companies,” a Hueler press release said this week.

“Income Solutions has been successfully delivering Hueler’s unique value proposition to individuals through large institutions for over 15 years,” said CEO Kelli Hueler in the release.

“We’ve earned the trust of many and become the go-to source for income annuities. Today the need is deep, and the time is right for Hueler to bring its unique value proposition directly to individual investors and discerning advisors seeking to act in the best interests of their clients,” the release said.

Individuals or their advisors can go to the Income Solutions website and describe the type of immediate or deferred income annuity they want to buy. In response, they will receive competing bids from participating life insurance companies. The auction process is intended to put consumers more in control of the annuity-buying process when shopping for income annuities and to help them get the lowest available price at any given time.

The news follows an announcement last week by Vanguard “to transition the client service and account administration for the Vanguard Variable Annuity to Transamerica within the next 12 to 18 months… [the company] will discontinue Vanguard Annuity Access, an online platform that enables individuals to compare income annuities from leading insurance companies.”

Similarly, Vanguard clients who want income annuities will no longer go through Vanguard’s portal, 401(k) or annuity desk, but instead go to Income Solutions. The mutual fund and 401(k) plan giant said it will “continue to have a relationship with Hueler Investment Services, Inc. to make Income Solutions available for defined contribution plan participants seeking an annuity.”

It will also maintain service to existing clients. “Vanguard will support any retail clients currently in the process of buying an annuity through the completion of the purchase. Clients who previously purchased annuities through the platform will still be served by their existing contract provider,” the release said.

Hueler’s release this week said, “We’ve worked… under a private label arrangement and now have an opportunity to bring that experience to the table under the highly valued Income Solutions brand.”

Hueler Companies, located in Minneapolis, Minnesota, was founded in 1987. Hueler provides the Hueler Analytics Stable Value Fund Comparative Universe and the Hueler Income Solutions Lifetime Income Annuity Platform. The independent data, technology and research firm offers resources for the analysis, selection, and implementation of stable value and lifetime income annuity products.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Honorable Mention

RIJ returns from vacation with July 11 issue

We will be off next week, observing the Independence Day holiday.

Jackson feeds demand for MYGAs

In response to the public’s evident hunger for the highest possible safe returns—an appetite stemming perhaps from a record S&P500 Index level—Jackson National Life has launched RateProtector, a multi-year guaranteed annuity, or MYGA. First-quarter 2019 MYGA sales were up almost 80% from 1Q2018, according to Winkintel.com.

Jackson RateProtector’s features include:

  • A three-year, five-year, or seven-year crediting period during which the initial rate is guaranteed not to fall.
  • A $10,000 minimum single premium.
  • Tax-deferred growth of after-tax deposits, a death benefit, accelerated withdrawals in case of terminal illness or confinement in a hospital or extended care center.
  • The company can change the crediting rate at the end of the guaranteed rate period, and the “renewal rate” might be lower than the initial rate.
  • For each crediting term, there’s an annual surrender charge, starting at 8% (of withdrawals in excess of 10%) in the first year and dropping by a percentage point each year during the term.

Current crediting rates

  • 3-Year Guaranteed Option Period: 2.60%
  • 5-Year Guaranteed Option Period: 2.70%
  • 7-Year Guaranteed Option Period: 2.75%
  • Current Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate (GMIR): 1.75%

After the crediting term ends, market value adjustments (which protect the company from loss that may incur if a client takes out more than 10% of premium (during the first year) or account value (in the remainder of the term) do not apply after the end of the crediting term (which is also the length of the surrender charge period.

Changes in AXA Equitable’s top VA and IVA announced

AXA Equitable Life this week announced updates or enhancements to its popular Retirement Cornerstone multi-stage deferred variable annuity and its top-selling Structured Capital Strategies index variable annuity.

Kevin Kennedy, Head of Individual Retirement, AXA Equitable Life.

Retirement Cornerstone 19, as the new variable annuity iteration is called, has a 5% guaranteed “rollup” (annual increase in the benefit base, an amount used to calculate future income payments) with the opportunity for up to 8% growth if Treasury rates rise.

New features in certain versions of Structured Capital Strategies include the ability to invest on only a one-year basis with tax deferral and interest credit up to a cap, instead of committing to a longer term.

Retirement Cornerstone is a single tax-deferred variable annuity comprised of an Investment Account with over 100 investment options and a Protected Benefit Account which funds the Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit (GMIB). This optional rider, available for an additional fee, provides a lifetime income stream.

Structured Capital Strategies allows investors earn annual interest based on the performance of the S&P 500, Russell 2000 or MSCI EAFE market indexes, up to a cap, with AXA Equitable absorbing up to the first 30% in market losses in a contract year.

What comes first: wellness or a corporate wellness program?

A new report from Prudential Financial, “The Interplay Between Health & Financial Wellness Benefits,” shows that employees who participate in corporate health and financial wellness programs report lower levels of stress as well as better physical and mental health.

The findings, revealed at the “Aspen Ideas: Health 2019” festival this week, come from a survey of 2,000 Americans employed by organizations that offer wellness benefits like gym memberships, fitness and diet advice, and smoking cessation programs.

Prudential has staked out a thought-leadership role in the field of financial wellness programs, which are considered a must-have capability for full-service retirement plan providers at a time when employees have financial needs—help with student loans and personal money management, etc.—beyond the need to save for retirement.

Financial wellness is a relative of corporate wellness programs of the 1980s, which fought soaring medical costs by encouraging healthy habits with on-site gyms, showers and salad bars. Those programs, which gave rise to corporate track teams among other things, mainly improved the health of those already healthy, it was found.

Among the survey’s key findings:

Users of workplace health wellness benefits are more likely to be healthy than non-users; 45% of users report themselves to be in good physical health, versus 37% of non-users.

59% of workers who use health wellness programs consider their overall mental health “good,” as do 59% of those using financial wellness programs.

Those numbers fall to 53% for those who don’t use health wellness programs and 55% for those who don’t use financial wellness programs.

Non-users of financial wellness programs report feeling highly stressed compared to users. Just 13% of workers using financial wellness programs say they have high overall levels of stress, versus 17% of non-users.

Almost a third of workers expressed a desire for financial education classes, online financial management tools, digital financial advice and planning, accrued wage advances, low interest loans, and debt consolidation/payment programs.

In land of plenty, FINRA finds troubling gaps

New research from the FINRA Investor Education Foundation claims that “despite economic growth and declining unemployment,” Americans are “failing to save money, struggling with student loan debt and facing decreasing financial literacy.”

The study, “The State of U.S. Financial Capability,” finds that key indicators of financial capability are no longer improving in step with the economy.

The FINRA Foundation conducts nationwide survey of more than 27,000 respondents every three years. Originally developed in 2009, it measures key indicators of financial capability and evaluates how these indicators vary with underlying demographic, behavioral, attitudinal and financial literacy characteristics — both nationwide and state-by-state. Some of the key findings from the study include:

The divides between the Haves and Have-nots are persisting or widening. Younger Americans, those without a college degree, African-Americans and those with lower incomes are struggling financially.

Americans are not saving. Nearly half of Americans have not set aside money to cover expenses for three months. Moreover, Americans are stressed about money. More than half (53%) of those surveyed reported that just thinking about their finances makes them feel anxious.

A majority of Americans have not planned for retirement. More than half of Americans (54%) have not tried to determine what they need to save for retirement, and only 58% of Americans have a retirement account, based on the survey.

High education costs are causing buyer’s remorse for many. Among Americans with student loans, 47% wish they had chosen a less expensive college. Among those with student debt, a similar percentage (48%) is concerned they will not be able to pay off their loans, and many did not fully understand what they were getting into when they got their loans, the survey shows. Meanwhile, late loan payments are rising.

Financial literacy has declined. Only 34% of respondents could answer at least four of five basic financial literacy questions on topics such as mortgages, interest rates, inflation and risk, down from 42% in 2009. This drop in scores appeared most pronounced among Americans ages 18-34.

Financial education matters. Americans who have participated in a substantial amount of financial education are more likely to save and less likely to overdraw their checking accounts. Nearly half of Americans (49%) who have received more than 10 hours of financial education report spending less than they earn, compared with 36% of those people who received less than 10 hours of financial education.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Wide but shallow: the impact of auto-enrollment in the UK

Auto-enrollment has increased the number of pension savers in the UK but most are paying too little into their “pots,” according to a report this week at IPE.com.

Total retirement plan membership hit 45.6 million in 2018, up almost 11% year on year, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). But there’s a big gap in the amount of actual savings that’s going on in defined contribution (DC) versus defined benefit (DB) plans.

In DC plans, combined employer and employee contributions averages only 5.1% of salary per participant. By contrast, defined benefit (DB) plan members receive contributions totaling more than 25% on average.

“If this disparity is not addressed, we risk a lost generation of people who missed out on final salary pensions but are simply not putting enough into their new-style pension. Automatic enrollment was a great start, but this is simply the end of the beginning,” said Helen Morrissey, a pension specialist at Royal London.

Sponsors of final salary DB schemes contributed 19.2% of salary on average, while members paid 6.4%, the ONS’ data showed. DB plans based on career average salary benefits recorded average member contributions of 7.9% and employer payments of 17.7%.

Members of DC schemes paid 2.7% of salary on average, while employers contributed just 2.4%. Before auto-enrollment was introduced, average DC contributions totaled 11% of salary on average, according to consultancy firm Buck.

Minimum contributions for auto-enrollment schemes rose to 8% (5% from the member, 3% from the employer) from 6 April this year. DC experts advocated further increases to at least 12% of salary, however.

Even with that increase, “Many people will be massively under-saving for a comfortable retirement. At 12% [of salary] we would begin to see a contribution that will have a meaningful impact for employees’ retirement savings,” said Michael Ambery, senior DC consultant at Hymans Robertson.

© 2019 IPE.com.

Honorable Mention

Former Wells Fargo managers take posts at Principal

In a step toward the completion of Principal’s acquisition of the Wells Fargo Institutional Retirement & Trust (Wells Fargo IRT) business, a number of former Wells Fargo managers have moved into positions at Principal Retirement & Income Solutions, Principal reported this week.

Principal is expected to complete its purchase of Wells Fargo IRT in early third quarter 2019, pending regulatory approval. Principal announced its pursuit of the Wells Fargo IRT business in early April. A formal 12- to 18-month transition period will begin after the deal closes.

“The acquisition agreement allows a long transition period. During this time, product offerings and service teams will remain consistent for clients,” said Renee Schaff, president of Retirement & Income Solutions at Principal, in a release. Her existing team includes Jerry Patterson, SVP of Workplace Savings & Retirement Solutions, and Sri Reddy, SVP of Income Solutions.

The following Wells Fargo IRT leaders will assume roles within Principal at appropriate points throughout the integration process, following close:

Jon Graff, current director of participant services, will be responsible for administration and operations across Workplace Savings & Retirement Solutions.

Angie McDaniel, current lead for Business Solutions, will lead a new team at Principal, Business Planning and Solutions, for Workplace Savings & Retirement Solutions.

Brian Jirak, current director of Trust & Custody, will join the Income Solutions leader team and will have responsibility for trust, custody and pension services.

The following individuals will join the Customer Care group in Principal’s Workplace Savings and Retirement Solutions:

Mary Hollingsworth, current director of product strategy and positioning, will transition to the Customer Care leadership team.

Marcia Wepfer, current director of relationship management, will transition to the Field Service leadership team.

Bob Millikin, current head of institutional services for investment contact centers, will join the contact center leadership team.

The following individuals will join the Employer Services and Operations group in Principal’s Workplace Savings and Retirement Solutions:

Sheila Cox will be responsible for larger plan administration efforts.

James Rossini will lead operations across Workplace Savings & Retirement Solutions.

Joe Ready, current head of Wells Fargo IRT, will assume the new role of Head of Trust and chief fiduciary officer for Wells Fargo Wealth & Investment Management. Ready will remain connected to the integration of Principal and Wells Fargo IRT, supporting client and employee transitions.

More leadership appointments will be announced post-closing and throughout the transition process. Further details regarding the leadership structure and integration of the Wells Fargo deferred executive compensation and discretionary asset advisory businesses are yet to be released.

Frank ‘Chip’ Gillis, Athene Holding’s co-founder, will retire at year-end

Athene Holding Ltd. announced that Frank “Chip” Gillis, CEO of Athene Life Re Ltd. (ALRe) and co-founder of Athene Holding, will retire at the end of 2019. He will remain executive chairman of the ALRe board and will serve on the board of the newly announced Athene Co-Invest Reinsurance Affiliate (ACRA).

As co-founder of Athene, Mr. Gillis worked for two years to raise capital leading up to July 2009, when Athene was officially formed and licensed. He closed Athene’s first reinsurance deal and has since overseen completed agreements with nearly two dozen third-party cedents.

Over the coming months, Sean Brennan, SVP and Head of Pension Risk Transfer (PRT) at Athene, will begin to oversee the flow reinsurance business while continuing to lead the PRT channel. He will continue to report to Bill Wheeler, President, Athene.

Since Brennan joined Athene in October 2017, the company has closed more than $6 billion in pension risk transfer transactions. Prior to joining Athene, he was a partner in Mercer’s Financial Strategy Group, advising corporate clients on pension risk management strategies, and was Marsh & McLennan’s Global Pensions Director, overseeing $15 billion in global asset-liability management.

The products offered by Athene include:

  • Retail fixed and fixed indexed annuity products
  • Reinsurance arrangements with third-party annuity providers
  • Institutional products, such as funding agreements and group annuity contracts related to pension risk transfers

Athene had total assets of $132.9 billion as of March 31, 2019. Athene’s principal subsidiaries include Athene Annuity & Life Assurance Company, a Delaware-domiciled insurance company, Athene Annuity and Life Company, an Iowa-domiciled insurance company, Athene Annuity & Life Assurance Company of New York, a New York-domiciled insurance company and Athene Life Re Ltd., a Bermuda-domiciled reinsurer.

Vanguard offloads variable annuity administration to Transamerica

Vanguard this week announced plans to transition the client service and account administration for the Vanguard Variable Annuity to Transamerica within the next 12 to 18 months.

The Vanguard Variable Annuity contracts will continue to be guaranteed by the Transamerica Premier Life Insurance Company and, in New York State only, by Transamerica Financial Life Insurance Company.

Vanguard will continue to manage the Vanguard Variable Insurance Funds, which are the underlying investments in the Vanguard Variable Annuity. Vanguard will discontinue Vanguard Annuity Access, an online platform that enables individuals to compare income annuities from leading insurance companies.

Vanguard will continue to have a relationship with Hueler Investment Services, Inc. to make Income Solutions available for defined contribution plan participants seeking an annuity. Vanguard will support any retail clients currently in the process of buying an annuity through the completion of the purchase. Clients who previously purchased annuities through the platform will still be served by their existing contract provider.

In other initiatives:

Last summer, Vanguard reduced the cost of ETF ownership by eliminating commissions on about 1,800 ETFs. To broaden investor access to low-cost Admiral Shares, in November Vanguard lowered the account minimums for 38 index funds, delivering an estimated $71 million in aggregate savings to clients.

In November, Vanguard introduced Vanguard Global Credit Bond Fund to provide investors low-cost, diversified exposure to U.S. and international investment-grade credit markets. The actively managed Vanguard Global ESG Select Stock Fund launched in May, complementing two ESG ETFs added to the product roster in September.

Vanguard recently enhanced its Personal Advisor Services with a proprietary Health Care Cost Estimator Tool that forecasts a client’s estimated annual health care expenses and lifetime long-term care costs.

In January, Vanguard banned the purchase of inverse and leveraged funds from its brokerage platform after deeming that these highly speculative ETFs were incompatible with the firm’s long-standing buy-and-hold approach.

In February, the company closed the VanguardAdvantage account due to low adoption and usage. In March, Vanguard Convertible Securities Fund was liquidated after Vanguard determined that similar exposure and results could be achieved via a diversified, balanced portfolio of stocks and bonds.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

AIG and CUNA Mutual enhance variable annuities

AIG refreshes income benefits on Polaris variable annuities

AIG Life & Retirement, a division of American International Group, Inc., has enhanced some of its Polaris variable annuities to give “greater flexibility, personalization and control” to owners of these retirement accumulation and income-generating contracts.

The Polaris Income Plus Daily Flex and Polaris Income Plus Flex riders will have higher lifetime income rates. Contract owners will also be able to create their own combinations of features and investments more easily, an AIG release said.

Within a new Build Your Own Allocation open architecture option, contract owners and advisors can choose from 77 portfolios across 12 different asset classes to build a variable annuity investment portfolio. They will be able to:

  • Add money to the contract after the first contract year
  • Take early withdrawals if needed without locking in lifetime withdrawal rates
  • Make income benefit changes in response to changing life events (such as marriage, divorce or death of a spouse) and changing income needs or preferences at retirement.

AIG recently announced “Plan for 100,” a campaign to educate individuals, employers and financial advisors about using annuities to reduce the risk of running out of money in retirement. A new website (Planfor100.com) and a new podcast series are part of the campaign.

New CUNA Mutual Group contract has variable annuity and indexed variable annuity sleeves

CUNA Mutual Group has issued Horizon II, a new iteration of the MEMBERS Horizon Variable Annuity, with an enhanced death benefit that provides the greater of total purchase payments or current contract value. Policyholders can also invest in risk-control accounts to moderate account volatility.

Horizon II investors can allocate part of their retirement savings to a variable portfolio with equity, fixed income and specialty subaccount options. The rest can be allocated to risk control accounts linked to various market indexes, with a customized downside floor and upside cap. Each year, the owner can adjust their risk control limits.

A product illustration tool is available for appointed advisors. The tool shows how allocations to the risk control accounts and variable subaccounts could perform over a chosen time period and also illustrates the death benefit feature. The final printed output can be provided to clients.

Available in nearly all 50 states, Horizon II is sold by prospectus through registered representatives and is underwritten by MEMBERS Life Insurance Company, a subsidiary of CUNA Mutual Group.

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.

Facebook’s Libra Must Be Stopped

 

Facebook has just unveiled its latest bid for world domination: Libra, a cryptocurrency designed to function as private money anywhere on the planet. In preparing the venture, Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg has been in negotiations with central banks, regulators, and 27 partner companies, each of which will contribute at least $10 million. For fear of raising safety concerns, Facebook has avoided working directly with any commercial banks.

Zuckerberg seems to understand that technological innovation alone will not ensure Libra’s success. He also needs a commitment from governments to enforce the web of contractual relations underpinning the currency, and to endorse the use of their own currencies as collateral. Should Libra ever face a run, central banks would be obliged to provide liquidity.

The question is whether governments understand the risks to financial stability that such a system would entail. The idea of a private, frictionless payment system with 2.6 billion active users may sound attractive. But as every banker and monetary policymaker knows, payment systems require a level of liquidity backstopping that no private entity can provide.

Unlike states, private parties must operate within their means, and cannot unilaterally impose financial obligations on others as needed. That means they cannot rescue themselves; they must be bailed out by states, or be permitted to fail. Moreover, even when it comes to states, currency pegs offer only an illusion of safety. Plenty of countries have had to break such pegs, always while insisting that “this time is different.”

What sets Facebook apart from other issuers of “private money” is its size, global reach, and willingness to “move fast and break things.” It is easy to imagine a scenario in which rescuing Libra could require more liquidity than any one state could provide. Recall Ireland after the 2008 financial crisis. When the government announced that it would assume the private banking sector’s liabilities, the country plunged into a sovereign debt crisis. Next to a behemoth like Facebook, many nation- states could end up looking a lot like Ireland.

Facebook is barreling ahead as if Libra was just another private enterprise. But like many other financial intermediaries before it, the company is promising something that it cannot possibly deliver on its own: the protection of the currency’s value. Libra, we are told, will be pegged to a basket of currencies (fiat money issued by governments), and convertible on demand and at any cost. But this guarantee rests on an illusion, because neither Facebook nor any other private party involved will have access to unlimited stores of the pegged currencies.

To understand what happens when regulators sit on their hands while financial innovators create put options, consider the debacle with money market funds in September 2008. Investors in MMFs were promised that they could treat their holdings like a bank account, meaning they could withdraw as much money as they put in whenever they wanted. But when Lehman Brothers collapsed, MMF investors all tried to cash out at the same time, whereupon it became clear that many funds could not deliver. To forestall a widespread run on all MMFs and the banks that backed them, the US Federal Reserve stepped in to offer liquidity support. A run on Libra would require support on a much larger scale, as well as close coordination among all central banks affected by it.

Given these massive risks, governments must step in and stop Libra before it launches next year. Otherwise, as Maxine Waters, the Chairwoman of the US House Committee on Financial Services, has warned, governments may as well start drafting their own living wills.

In the parlance of finance and banking, a “living will” is a written plan that banks provide to regulators describing how they will unwind themselves in the event of insolvency. In the case of a government, a living will would have to explain how the relevant authorities would respond to Libra breaking its peg and triggering a global run.

Obviously, this raises a number of pertinent questions. Would governments vow, like former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke in September 2008, followed by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi in July 2012, to do “whatever it takes” to ensure the currency’s survival? Would they even have the capacity to do so, let alone coordinate their actions – and share losses – with all the other countries involved? Would governments be able to seize control of the system if it proves incapable of sustaining itself?

Silence in response to Facebook’s announcement this week is tantamount to endorsing its dangerous new venture. Governments must not allow private, profit-seeking parties to put the entire global financial system at risk. If banks are “too big to fail,” then states definitely are. If governments fail to protect us from Facebook’s latest act of hubris, we will all pay the price for it.

Katharina Pistor is Professor of Comparative Law at Columbia Law School. She is the author of The Code of Capital: How the Law Creates Wealth and Inequality.

© 2019 Project Syndicate.

Making a Case for the COLA-SPIA

People tend to hyperventilate about the inflation of the 1970s. But the decade was exuberant for me, especially after the economy started to recover from the 1974-75 bear market. My take-home pay tripled in the 70s (from a very low base). My bachelor expenses (basement apartment, 10-year-old Beetle) were trivial.

So I don’t have the inflation-related post-traumatic distress that someone who endured, for example, Israel’s triple-digit inflation in the early1980s. As I look ahead to retirement, inflation risk isn’t one of my primary sources of financial anxiety. Maybe it should be.

Recently I followed an email conversation between pension legend Zvi Bodie of Boston University, retirement blogger Dirk Cotton, Morningstar retirement researcher David Blanchett, and CFP/actuary Joe Tomlinson about inflation-adjusted income annuities, with the annual payout either indexed to inflation or increased each year by a fixed percentage (a cost-of-living-adjusted or COLA SPIA).

Bodie and Cotton felt strongly that buying an inflation-adjusted SPIA instead of a fixed SPIA (for those who buy SPIAs) is a no-brainer. No other contract provides stable purchasing power throughout retirement. And what good is declining purchasing power—as a fixed SPIA would deliver—over a 25-year or 30-year retirement?

Blanchett felt otherwise. If a retiree has other assets that can keep up with inflation—stocks, Social Security benefits—and if the SPIA represents only a fraction of the wealth on his or her household balance sheet, then perhaps the retiree could rely on those things to hedge against inflation. He may also have remarked that the Treasury yield curve doesn’t reflect much in the way of inflation fears.

As I read their exchange of messages, I remembered that Bodie long ago rejected the idea that stocks are certain to out-perform in the long run and keep pace with inflation. If stocks were always a sure long-run bet, put options on equities should get cheaper as they get longer-dated, he has pointed out. But they don’t. And what if inflation drives up interest rates and stocks collapse? That doesn’t sound like the recipe for a safe harbor from inflation.

If stocks in fact are not reliable inflation hedges, then the argument for an inflation-adjusted SPIA is obviously much stronger. The more I think about it, the more sense it makes. We demand inflation-indexed Social Security benefits, so why shouldn’t we insist on the same from our SPIAs?

Tomlinson agrees with Bodie. “I’m not a fan of the stock market, in particular, as providing an inflation hedge. I don’t think the history of stock market performance supports that,” Tomlinson told RIJ in an email this morning. “And why shouldn’t my goal be to have 100% (not 80%) of my money for retirement be in the retirement “currency,” i.e., spending power.”

But hardly anyone buys inflation-adjusted SPIAs because their first-year income is so dramatically lower than the income from a fixed SPIA. (Only company, Principal, offers a true inflation-indexed SPIA. About 15 companies offer SPIAs with various annual COLA adjustments.) The starting payout for a life-only COLA-SPIA for a $100,000 premium is currently about $4,200, according to CANNEX.

I couldn’t help noticing that a $4,200 fixed SPIA with a cash refund (according to immediateannuities.com) costs only about $68,000. That’s a big difference. It occurs to me that I might buy the fixed SPIA and stash the remaining $32,000 in a side fund (stocks or fixed-rate annuity or indexed annuities) and use the returns to top-up the purchasing power as needed. After all, inflation may turn out to be quite moderate in an aging America.

That’s too high-maintenance an approach, Tomlinson counters. “I think the liquidity need should be kept separate from meeting a basic level of living expenses (that will likely increase with inflation). Unfortunately, if one uses the basic living expense money to fix the car or fix the roof, that money is no longer available to buy food,” his email said.

But I can think of another reason not to buy COLA-SPIA: What if it doesn’t generate enough income at the start of retirement to cover my essential expenses?

What if I need $6,200 a year at age 65, and only have $100,000 to spend? Then maybe I need to buy the fixed SPIA and figure out another way to maintain my purchasing power. If I believe that my essential expenses won’t change much over the next 20 years (and some research shows that retirees spend less as they get older on everything but medical care) then maybe a fixed SPIA would fill the bill.

I started free-associating and considered the merits of spending $68,000 at age 65 on a fixed SPIA paying $4,200 and then applying $32,000 to the purchase of a fixed rate deferred income annuity paying $7,740 for life starting ten years later, at age 75. That would boost my income considerably, just when I’ll probably need a boost.

Tomlinson ran some Monte Carlo projections to compare that strategy to the $100,000 COLA-SPIA at age 65 and found something interesting. The fixed SPIA/fixed DIA strategy outperformed the COLA-SPIA strategy until age 82 or 83 (almost exactly the average age of death for a 65-year-old). From then until age 90, the COLA-SPIA paid out more per year. Clearly, the longer you expect to live, the more sense the COLA-SPIA will make.

Either way, Tomlinson favors maintaining purchasing power in the most straightforward way. Personally, I don’t believe in “best” solutions. There are only better and worse solutions for a particular retired household. Every retiree (or retired couple) will have idiosyncratic needs that demand flexibility and creativity from the advisor. The goal is—or I hope it would be, if I were the client—to create a custom collage of income-generating accounts, return-generating accounts and emergency spending accounts that mitigate the various risks in a way that prevents a financially stressful retirement.

“I’m for keeping things simple for people,” Tomlinson said. “First optimize Social Security. Then if that ‘paycheck’ isn’t enough, buy a SPIA. An attractively priced inflation-indexed SPIA would be ideal. But if markets don’t provide the ideal, the COLA-SPIA may be the next best alternative.”

© 2019 RIJ Publishing LLC. All rights reserved.