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Michael Jackson Windfall for Dutch Pension Fund

The spike in broadcasts and sales of Michael Jackson’s recordings following the troubled celebrity’s recent unexpected death has been a boon to ABP, the vast Dutch pension fund that bought rights to the entertainer’s songs in 2008.  

Jackson died in Los Angeles on June 25, as he prepared for a series of comeback concerts in London. 

“The rights are being honored for all types of use: on radio and television broadcasts, downloads, CD and DVD sales, etc.,” said Andre Raaff, executive of Imagem Music Group, which manages ABP’s property rights stock.

ABP, the world’s third largest pension fund, bought a music catalog from Universal Music Group (UMG) for 120 million euros last year. The catalogue includes 14 songs by Jackson, including “Remember the Time”, “You Are Not Alone” and “In the Closet”.

“We only invest in hits that will bring in money every year,” said Raaff. He declined to give a figure but said, “We aim for a minimum return of eight percent a year.”

Counting its recent purchase of Boosey & Hawkes and Rodgers & Hammerstein music catalogues, Imagem owns about 250,000 works of music ranging in genre from pop to classical music to musicals with an estimated value of 500 million euros, he added.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Angst Over Supreme Court’s Re-Opening of Xerox Pension Case

The Supreme Court’s recent assent to review a lower court’s decision in Conkright et al. v. Frommert et al., in which pensioners won a $20 million judgment against the Xerox Corporation, has alarmed the original plaintiff’s attorneys.     

Peter K. Stris of Stris & Maher LLP, the attorney who has represented most of the Xerox pensioners, objects to Xerox’s continued efforts to seek a new decision allowing it to modify its pension payouts, charging that it could set a worrisome precedent for pension plan participants.

“Xerox wrongfully under-calculated the pensions of hundreds of individuals,” noted Stris in a press release. “About that there is no dispute. The fight is over the remedy. Xerox argues that it should decide how much money the plaintiffs get, and that its determination must receive deference from the courts.”

“There is no language in ERISA that supports Xerox-which is not surprising. The explicit purpose of the law is to protect pensioners. Xerox’s argument has no natural end: employers with vast resources could insist on endless attempts to re-calculate pensions,” the release said.

“And because ERISA does not permit the recovery of punitive damages, these employers could effectively tie up retirees everywhere in litigation forever,” the statement continued. “This litigation, which has continued for a decade, illustrates the very point. If the Supreme Court accepts the position urged by Xerox, no one’s pension will be safe.”

The Supreme Court will hear arguments in December or January.

An action against Xerox was filed in 1999 on behalf of former employees seeking to protect their pension payouts. Xerox, whose name remains a synonym for “photocopy,” faced dire financial troubles in 1999 and 2000, when it was beset by layoffs, a falling stock price, and near-bankruptcy.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Proposed Watchdog Agency May Cross State, Federal Jurisdictions

State-regulated investment advisers would be subject to federal jurisdiction under a legislative proposal introduced last week in the House Financial Services Committee, chaired by Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., Investment News reported.

Under the proposed Consumer Financial Protection Agency Act of 2009, the new agency would regulate the 14,000 investment advisory firms overseen by state securities regulators, but not the 11,000 advisory firms regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The SEC regulates investment advisory firms that manage $25 million or more, while the states regulate smaller firms.

Under the terms of the legislation, the consumer protection agency would also oversee any person who sold or recommended such consumer-oriented financial products as mortgages, credit cards and tax refund loans.

Investment advisers registered with states would be monitored by the proposed agency “to the extent that the person provides investment [advice] to consumers or engages in other financial activities in connection with providing other consumer financial products or services,” Eric Stein, deputy assistant Treasury secretary for consumer protection, told Investment News.

But “the proposed act contemplates that a state-registered investment adviser would remain primarily regulated by the state securities regulator with respect to those activities,” he said.

Approval of the Consumer Financial Protection Agency Act of 2009 could come as soon as August 1.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Feds Weigh Need for More Oversight of Stable Value Funds

The Department of Labor’s ERISA Advisory Council is studying the need for closer supervision of stable value funds, a core defined contribution investment option that has been shaken by recent market turmoil, Pensions and Investments magazine reported.

The council will examine stable value funds on the second day of its July 21-23 meeting and then advise the DOL’s Employee Benefits Security Administration on the need for additional guidelines for the design and marketing of stable value funds to plan sponsors and retirement services providers.

In addition, the council will recommend whether additional guidance is needed to help plan sponsors and their consultants choose, value and monitor stable value funds. Individuals had about $642 billion in stable value funds through 167,000 defined contribution plans as of year-end 2008.

The recent movement into stable value funds, often from target-date funds is driving the recent discussion, said Trisha Brambley, a council member and president of RESOURCES for Retirement in Newtown, Pa.

Stable value has gone in and out of favor with defined contribution plans. The investment option accounted for 16.9% of the top 200 DC plans’ average portfolio for the year ended Sept. 30, 2002, according to Pensions & Investments data. That percentage dropped to 12.6% in 2007, as many participants took on more investment risk and diversified into equities. Last year, however, stable value accounted for 29.4% of DC plans’ average portfolio, as investors sought safety in turbulent markets.

The funds invest in a bond portfolio protected from wild swings in interest rates through contracts, or wraps, provided by insurers or banks. These wraps guarantee participants will receive the fund’s book value even if the market value falls.

The market value of the underlying securities has been falling in many funds, reducing returns and pressuring wrap providers to make up the difference. Many wrap providers are limiting new business or are looking to exit the business, said Philip Seuss, a Chicago-based principal at Mercer Human Resource Consulting.

The typical wrap fee also has ballooned to as much as 20 basis points, from just six to eight basis points a year ago, he said.

The 15-member ERISA Advisory Council also will look into the adequacy of disclosures to participants about stable value funds, and weigh the possible designation of stable value as qualified default investment alternatives in 401(k) plans. The council plans to report its findings to the Department of Labor in October. 

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

AIG Reported in Talks to Sell Alico to MetLife

AIG is in negotiations to sell its American Life Insurance Co (Alico) to MetLife, which offered AIG  $11bn for the unit earlier this year, the New York Times’ Breaking Views column reported Monday.

Alico had statutory revenues of $32 billion and post-tax earnings of $1.3 billion before capital losses in 2008. About two-thirds of the company’s business is in Japan.

MetLife had $38 billion of cash and short-term investments at the end of the first quarter. And cash has continued to pour in as risk-averse customers flee to insurers with the best balance sheets. MetLife’s annuity sales in the first quarter were $7.4bn, more than double the amount in the same period last year. MetLife estimates it has excess capital of around $5bn, which is far greater than most of its rivals. Since mid-May, insurers have raised about $15 billion in capital, according to JPMorgan research. 

Insurers currently trade at about book value-compared with about 1.5 times book value before the financial crisis. Prices are likely to remain suppressed in the short run because financial companies must now keep more capital on their books and further hits to their commercial real estate holdings look likely. Valuing these businesses at replacement cost seems too conservative over the long run.

MetLife wants to expand its international business. It currently represents about 15% of the company’s earnings and has been expanding steadily. Overseas margins are higher, and unlike the mature US market, life insurance in places such as India and China is growing quickly.

The sticking point in previous talks between AIG and MetLife was price. Alico earned $1.3bn in 2008 before capital losses. AIG reportedly demanded $20 billion, which was more than MetLife was willing to pay. 

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Feeling TIPSy

The prices of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) zigged up and down in 2008, causing some people to wonder if this form of government-sponsored inflation insurance is predictable enough for retirement savers.

In late February of last year, for instance, investors bid TIPS prices up and drove yields below zero for the first time ever. In November, investors sold TIPS, and their yield jumped to 2.57%, implying an expectation of negative inflation. 

Not to worry, Yale’s Robert Shiller and others argue in a recent paper. TIPS’ tipsiness last year was an anomaly, they said, as investors fled to TIPS because they feared inflation, and then, late in the year, abandoned everything but conventional Treasuries.

A lot of people are talking about TIPS these days. These specialized Treasury securities, whose principal is indexed to the inflation rate, have been touted since their introduction in 1997 as a way for fixed income investors to transfer inflation risk to their Uncle Sam.  

The Relationship Between Inflation and Schiller PE Ratio Since 1960

And reasonable people now believe that inflation risk is growing. Although the recent commodity price bubble has eased, many now believe that the vast federal borrowing and spending in response to the financial crisis can’t help but bring significant inflation.

“We’ve had this massive fiscal stimulus, massive monetary stimulus, and it’s hard to see how that doesn’t translate into pretty substantial inflation, or at least pretty substantial risk of inflation,” David Swensen, Yale University’s investment chief, said in an television interview in May. Therefore TIPS, he said, “should be in every investor’s portfolio.”

Plan participants unaware

But there’s a problem: Most retirement savers don’t know much understand the basics of fixed income investing, let alone the finer points of buying TIPS. And far from every 401(k) plan offers a TIPS fund among its low-risk investment options.

While academics maintain that TIPS are the most sensible foundation of a retirement savings portfolio, 410(k) plan participants tend to put less money into TIPS-only about four percent of total assets-than into any other investment option, according to a 2007 survey by Vanguard.

“They’re the smallest holding because DC plans are largely developed ‘in the rear view mirror,’” said Stacy Schaus, defined contribution plan leader at PIMCO, whose Real Return fund invests in TIPS. “The typical plan will have about ten equity investment options and maybe two other options, such as a core bond fund and a stable value fund. Also, we’ve been in a bull market since the 401(k) era began, and we tend to buy what was attractive yesterday.”  In other words, the average returns-chasing investor is bound to overlook TIPs even when they’re offered.   

As for 401(k) plan sponsors, they don’t necessarily offer TIPS. But that may be changing.  According to PIMCO’s 2009 Defined Contribution Consulting Support and Trends survey, 48% of U.S. investment consulting firms surveyed said that plan sponsors are adding or considering adding TIPS or inflation-adjusted annuities as investment options within their defined contribution plans.

The Relationship Between Inflation and Risk Free Interest Rates Since 1960Not everyone believes that inflation risk is necessarily rising. The Congressional Budget Office projected low inflation between now and 2019 in its “Preliminary Analysis of the President’s Budget and an Update of the CBO’s Budget and Economic Outlook,” published last March. While the change in the Consumer Price Index in 2008 was about 4%, the CBO forecast a drop in the CPI of 0.7% in 2010 and an inflation rate of less than 2.0% every year for the next 10 years.  

But Eric Petroff of Wurts Associates, an advisor to institutional investors with offices in Seattle and El Segundo, Calif., thinks inflation has become all but inevitable-and much too large a risk to ignore. “A number of people are saying that there’s going to be inflation, but the argument is over how quickly it will happen,” he told RIJ.

“Everyone’s talking different time periods,” he added. “I don’t think it will happen in the next six to 12 months but, undeniably, it has to happen. The Fed has printed all this money. Government spending will exceed half of all personal disposable income. And inflation after all is a tried and true way to replace debt.”  Wurts’ June 2009 Quarterly Research Report contains a wealth of charts mapping recent economy activity.

Buy now or wait?

“Sometime in the next five to 10 years, the next asset class bubble will be TIPs,” Petroff told RIJ. “If inflation reaches four or five percent, a retire will say, ‘Forget it, I’ll take zero percent real return.’ If you’re a retiree, inflation is a risk that you want to deal with or at least worry about. I wouldn’t want to make a mistake on inflation and find myself at 70 working at Wal-Mart.”

Retirement savers might consider investing in TIPS sooner, before their prices fully reflect inflation expectations, said PIMCO’s Schaus. “You do hear a lot of people saying, ‘Yields are low, I’ll wait until inflation really kicks in.’ But I wouldn’t wait,” she said.  “I’d put money in TIPS now, so they can start working for you as soon as inflation starts to rise. I think they might be cheap today, relative to what they could cost later if we have serious inflation.”

The Relationship Between Inflation and Credit Spreads Since 1973Not that you need to try and time the TIPS market. “TIPS are safe if you match their maturity to your needs,” says Zvi Bodie, the Boston University pension expert who believes in funding a retirement income base entirely with TIPS. “If you do cash flow matching then what you’re counting on the price at some intermediate stage, but the amount you will receive for certain on the date that a coupon or principal is paid.”

But “volatility can be problem if you’re investing in TIPSs mutual fund,” Bodie added. “That’s because when you commingle tips of various maturities, you can’t do cash-flow matching. I have some money in a Vanguard TIPS fund through my 403(b), because that’s the only way they’re available in the plan. But in my Keogh plan, I’ve essentially matched maturities to what my needs will be.”

It’s interesting—though not necessarily instructive—to note that, from mid-2000 to June 2009, $10,000 in the Vanguard TIPS fund would have grown to over $18,000, while a $10,000 investment in an S&P 500 Index fund would have lost at least $200 over the past ten years.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Top-Yielding Certificate-Type Fixed Annuities

Top Yielding Certificate Type Fixed Annuities* as of 7/6/2009
Company Name Product Name Rate Term (yrs) Min Gtd Rate Base Rate Bonus Rate Bonus Length (yrs) Effect Yield**
Liberty Bankers Life Bankers 1 1 1.00% 2.25% 0.00% N/A 2.250%
West Coast Life Sure Advantage 2 1.50% 1.50% 0.50% 1 1.750%
Protective Life FutureSaver II 2 1.50% 1.50% 0.50% 1 1.750%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 2 0.00% 1.75% 0.00% N/A 1.750%
ING USA Annuity and Life Guarantee Choice Annuity 3 1.50% 3.00% 1.00% 1 3.333%
United Life SPDA 4 1.05% 3.50% 0.00% N/A 3.500%
Security Benefit Life Choice Annuity 5 1.50% 4.80% 0.00% N/A 4.800%
Security Benefit Life Choice Annuity 6 1.50% 4.60% 0.00% N/A 4.600%
Security Benefit Life Choice Annuity 7 1.50% 4.80% 0.00% N/A 4.800%
Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Multi-Year Guarantee Series 8 1.50% 4.30% 1.00% 1 4.425%
American General Life HorizonChoice 9 2%/3% 4.65% 0.00% N/A 4.650%
Greek Catholic Union of the U.S.A. Flex Annuity 10 3.00% 5.25% 0.00% N/A 5.250%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 15 0.00% 4.80% 0.00% N/A 4.800%

*Certificate type contracts are products that have interest rate terms that equal or exceed the surrender charge or that waive the surrender charge at the end of the selected rate term (window waiver).

**Effective yield prorates the bonus rate equally over the surrender charge period.

Source: www.AnnuityNexus.com, Beacon Research, Evanston, Illinois

Top Yielding Certificate Type Fixed Annuities

Top Yielding Certificate Type Fixed Annuities* as of 6/29/2009
Company Name Product Name Rate Term (yrs) Min Gtd Rate Base Rate Bonus Rate Bonus Length (yrs) Effect Yield**
Liberty Bankers Life Bankers 1 1 1.00% 2.75% 0.00% N/A 2.75%
West Coast Life Sure Advantage 2 1.50% 1.50% 0.50% 1 1.75%
Protective Life Future Saver II 2 1.50% 1.50% 0.50% 1 1.75%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 2 0.00% 1.75% 0.00% N/A 1.75%
Liberty Bankers Life Bankers 3 3 1.00% 3.55% 0.00% N/A 3.55%
United Life SPDA 4 1.05% 3.50% 0.00% N/A 3.50%
Security Benefit Life Choice Annuity 5 1.50% 4.80% 0.00% N/A 4.80%
Security Benefit Life Choice Annuity 6 1.50% 4.60% 0.00% N/A 4.60%
Security Benefit Life Choice Annuity 7 1.50% 4.80% 0.00% N/A 4.80%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 8 0.00% 4.55% 0.00% N/A 4.55%
American General Life Horizon Choice 8 2%/3% 4.55% 0.00% N/A 4.55%
American General Life Horizon Choice 9 2%/3% 4.90% 0.00% N/A 4.90%
Greek Catholic Union of the U.S.A. GCU Flex Annuity 10 3.00% 5.25% 0.00% N/A 5.25%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 15 0.00% 5.25% 0.00% N/A 5.25%
*Certificate type contracts are products that have interest rate terms that equal or exceed the surrender charge or that waive the surrender charge at the end of the selected rate term (window waiver).
**Effective yield prorates the bonus rate equally over the surrender charge period.

Source: www.AnnuityNexus.com, Beacon Research, Evanston, Illinois

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Future of VAs a ‘Wildcard,’ Conning Says

In a new report entitled “Life-Annuity Forecast and Analysis 2009-2011,” Conning Research and Consulting cast doubt on the future of variable annuity sales, saying that “it is a wildcard whether they will ever regain [the] dominance” they enjoyed in the middle part of the decade.

The report from the Hartford, Conn.-based firm attributed the cloudy outlook to a “combination of changes in consumer product preference, increased concern about the financial risk associated with variable annuities, clarification of indexed annuities, and the lack of any new types of guaranteed benefits.”

“The weakened financial condition of some insurers could lead them to exit the individual annuity line, seek additional capital, or merge with other insurers,” the report cautioned. 

“We’ll have to see how this market plays out,” said Terence Martin, vice president of insurance research at Conning and the report’s author. “The GLWB [guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefit] seemed to be what [carriers] were going to capture the retirement market with, because there was a long-standing reluctance by consumers to exercise the annuity option, and this was a way to have your cake and eat it too.”

“I wouldn’t say that the product will disappear,” he added, “but it has certainly hit a bump in the road. It all depends on how the product will adapt to this new environment. We don’t know how consumers will react to the changes that insurers are putting out there. Some are re-pricing, were looking at restructuring this benefit. Will consumers find that product as attractive as they did before?”

The report noted that the life insurance industry as a whole posted a statutory net operating loss of $1 billion in 2008, compared to a gain of $34 billion in 2007. Realized capital losses were $50 billion, bringing the statutory net loss to $51 billion. 

The current recession has been unprecedented in some ways, the report said. In prior recessions, the impact was largely limited to stock price declines to which the life insurance companies, with over 80% of its assets in bonds and 10% in mortgages, were largely immune. “In contrast, this recession is having a significant effect on credit markets, and has hit insurance companies hard,” the report said.

In addition, variable annuity issuers have had to make huge contributions to general account reserves to cover the many “in the money” guarantees that followed the equity market decline.  In 2007, companies added only $17 billion of general account reserves. In contrast, companies—primarily variable annuity specialists—added $129 billion during 2008. 

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Got Anger? ShareOwners.Org Cites Investor Indignation

More than three out of four American investors (79%) want to “see strong action taken to correct the problems that exist today” in the financial markets, including over a third (34%) who are “angry” about the debacle on Wall Street and the related failure of regulatory oversight.

Those were among the results, released June 25, of a survey of 1,256 U.S. retail investors conducted by Opinion Research Corporation (ORC) on behalf of ShareOwners.org, a new nonprofit, nonpartisan group formed to organize grassroots support for financial market reforms.

ShareOwners.org’s uses “Ning-based social networking” technology akin to the method used successfully by the Obama campaign during the 2008 presidential election process. The group received its initial funding from a court settlement and the Lens Foundation for Corporate Governance.

According to the survey:

  • About three out of five investors (58%) are “less confident in the fairness of the financial markets” today than they were one year ago.
  • More than half of American investors (52%) say “more information and online education about your rights and duties as a shareholder” would make them more confident about the fairness of the financial markets.  
  • Nearly one in five investors (17%) would “consider becoming involved in a group to protect the rights and interests of shareholders or investors like you.”
  • About one-third of investors (34%) said they would use a term as strong as ‘angry’ to describe their views about the need for reform.
  • Nearly half of other investors (45%) said they want to see strong clean-up action taken.
  • Nearly six out of 10 investors (57%) said that strong federal action would help “restore their lost confidence in the fairness of the markets.”

ShareOwners.org said it plans to send citizen comments in support of the group’s agenda to their members of Congress. The agenda includes four goals: stronger regulation (including a beefed-up SEC), increased accountability of corporate boards and chief executives, greater financial transparency and protection of the legal rights of investors. 

The group’s chairman is Richard Ferlauto, director of corporate governance and pension investment, American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME). Advisors include Lynn E. Turner, former chief accountant at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission; John Wilcox, chairman, Sodali Ltd., and former senior vice president of corporate governance, TIAA-CREF; and economist Dr. Teresa Ghilarducci of The New School for Social Research.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Fitch Downgrades Nationwide Mutual to “A”

Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company’s strength rating has been downgraded to ‘A’ from ‘A+’ by Fitch Ratings. The rating also affects the company’s affiliates and Nationwide Life Insurance Company and Nationwide Life Insurance Company of America.

Fitch also downgraded the ratings on Nationwide Mutual’s outstanding surplus notes to ‘BBB+’ from ‘A-‘, and the rating on the senior unsecured debt of Nationwide Financial Services, Inc. to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB+’. The rating outlook remained negative.

The rating action primarily reflects a consolidated risk-adjusted capital position, as estimated by Fitch as of March 31, 2009, that falls below prior ratings expectations. The decline in capital in part reflects the privatization of the life insurance subsidiaries early this year, which was previously reflected in Fitch’s ratings.

Among other explanations for the downgrade, Fitch said that Nationwide Financial Services “will continue to experience pressure on operating earnings in 2009, driven by lower investment income and lower asset-based fee income.

“Further, variable annuity writers such as Nationwide Life Insurance and Nationwide Life Insurance Company of America continue to be under considerable pressure as the decline in equity market values over the past year has required additional general account reserves to cover guarantees attached to the variable annuities the companies have sold.

“While Fitch acknowledges that the organization has economic hedging programs in place to reduce its exposure to these policy guarantees, some exposure remains.”

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Eight Join Advisory Board at American College’s New York Life Center for Retirement Income

The American College, a prominent educator of financial services professionals in Bryn Mawr, Pa., announced the appointment of eight senior industry and academic leaders to the Advisory Board of the New York Life Center for Retirement Income. They are:

  • John Ameriks, Ph.D., principal and head of the Investment Counseling & Research Group, Vanguard.
  • Andy Barksdale, executive vice president of Marketing and Relationship Management, LPL Financial Institution Services.
  • Garth A. Bernard, President and CEO, Sharper Financial Group L.L.C.
  • Paul Horrocks, Corporate Vice President, Individual Annuity Department, New York Life Insurance Company.
  • Michael Lackey, CLU, ChFC, Vice President, Agency Department, New York Life Insurance Company.
  • David A. Littell, JD, ChFC, CFP, Joseph E. Boettner Chair in Research, Professor of Taxation, The American College.
  • R. Morris Sims, MSM, CLU, ChFC, Vice President and Chief Learning Officer, Agency, New York Life Insurance Company.
  • Walt Woerheide, PhD, CFP, Vice President of Academic Affairs, Dean, Frank M. Engle Distinguished Chair in Economic Security Research, Professor of Investments, The American College.

The New York Life Center for Retirement Income at The American College, funded in 2007 by a gift from New York Life Insurance Company, provides financial service professionals with advanced knowledge concerning retirement concepts and strategies. It produces an annual guide for retirement planners and a series of videos featuring insights from industry thought leaders. 

The Center also partners with leading organizations that serve seniors, within and outside the life insurance industry. It also offers technical knowledge to financial advisors and agents in matters related to the retirement decisions facing clients. Its director is Kenn Beam Tacchino, JD.

“Today, we are in the midst of the greatest financial crisis since the Great Depression,” said Larry Barton, Ph.D., president and chief executive officer of The American College. “But thanks to the in-depth scholarship, research and information provided by the New York Life Center for Retirement Income, financial advisors, consumers and key economic decision-makers have access to the critical information they need to better understand the financial implications of their retirement options.”

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Employers Not Responsible for Retiree Income, Most Plan Advisers Say

Only 30% of advisers to employer-sponsored retirement plans believe that plan sponsors should manage retirement income distributions for retired participants, according to a survey of PlanAdviser magazine readers conducted in April and May.

But about two-thirds of respondents recommend offering retirement income investments within the plan, and over 70% of those polled said they currently manage retirement plan distributions for plan participants.

The survey also found:

  • “A mutual funds/fixed annuity combination” and “variable annuities with a guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit” were the “most attractive” types of investment options for use in retirement income planning/distribution.
  • Fixed income/stable value funds and dividend-paying mutual funds were the next most attractive.
  • The least attractive options, payout mutual funds and absolute return funds, were also the options with which advisers were least familiar.
  • The most common tactics observed among plan participants for making up a savings shortfall were changing/delaying retirement age and increasing savings rate.
  • Almost half of those polled said that less than 50% of their clients were on track to reach their retirement savings.
  • About 81% said that a person needed from 80% to 100% of their current gross income to live comfortably in retirement.

Of the 135 advisers who responded to a survey sent to 4,700 advisers in the magazine’s database and posted in e-newsletters, about two-thirds said they had five or more years’ experience as plan advisers, about 43% specialized in advising retirement plans, 45% had 41 or more plan clients, about 55% were affiliated with either an independent broker-dealers or national full-service wirehouse, and about 70% focused their practice on plans with assets of  $2 million to $75 million.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

A Short Cut to Long-Term Care Insurance

Madeline B. is a 78-year-old artist whose vibrant oil paintings sell for thousands of dollars each. But she’s just been admitted to a Newark, Ohio nursing home with Alzheimer’s disease.

That’s hard on her children, especially because Pete, their 82-year-old father, has Alzheimer’s too, and has been hospitalized for five years.   

The specter of dying in a nursing home after hollowing out their family’s financial and emotional resources scares people as much as the threat of outliving their savings. According to the Long-Term Care Financing Project at Georgetown University, two in five Americans turning 65 today will need more than two years of care at an average cost of $68,000 a year.       

Hence the huge potential audience that’s envisioned for long-term care (LTC)/annuity hybrids, a new class of products that many in the insurance business believe will make both annuities and LTC insurance much more marketable than either has ever been alone. 

So far, four companies—United of Omaha, Genworth Life, Bankers Life, and OneAmerica—have introduced LTC/annuity hybrids in the run-up to January 1, 2010. On that date, according to the Pension Protection Act of 2006, distributions from annuities to pay nursing home bills will be tax-free. 

A huge deductible

These first-wave hybrids differ in their details but share certain basic elements. They each consist of a fixed deferred annuity, funded with non-qualified money, wedded to an LTC rider that pays out two or three times the value of the initial premium, or for a specific number of years, or for life.

In essence, the annuity assets are there to serve as a huge deductible, to be tapped for LTC first.  If and when nursing home bills exhaust the annuity assets, the insurance coverage begins. In the interim, about one percent of the annuity is deducted each year to cover the LTC rider. Hybrids have the potential to significantly reduce the cost of LTC coverage.

“If you bought health-based long term care, you’d have to tap into your CDs to pay for it. For instance, if you held $90,000 in CDs that paid three percent a year, you’d earn $2,700 a year. That will get you less than $100 a day worth of coverage,” said Bruce Moon, vice president of marketing at OneAmerica, which manufactures an Annuity Care hybrid.

But if you put the $90,000 in a OneAmerica fixed deferred annuity with a LTC rider, Moon said, you’d get a six percent guaranteed interest rate for five years and an option to buy three years of LTC coverage, or even lifetime coverage. The fee depends on the age and health of the insured, and comes out of the annuity tax-free.

The fees for the rider are minimized and are invisible to the contract owner, thus eliminating a major obstacle to the purchase of LTC insurance: the fear that premiums will be a wasted, out-of-pocket expense. The monthly distributions from the annuity for rider fees don’t trigger a 1099 form.

“With stand-alone long-term care, depending on your age, you might pay $2,000 to $3,000 per year, but there’s always a sense, ‘What if I don’t need it?’” said Scott Goldberg, vice president, strategy/marketing at Bankers Life, whose LinkedSolution fixed annuity/LTC hybrid pays 2.5% a year and typically deducts less than one percent for the LTC rider.

“You purchase it just as you purchase a regular fixed annuity. On a monthly basis, the cost of the LTC insurance is deducted and the interest goes in. It’s seamless. There’s no monthly statement where the client sees money moving around,” said Beth M. Ludden, senior vice president at Genworth, which markets a Total Living Care Annuity.

United of Omaha launched its Living Care hybrid in mid-2008, staking out a first-to-market claim. The product offers LTC coverage equal to three times the account value of the fixed annuity. “That’s three times the account value, not three times the initial premium,” said Yuri Veomett, product performance director at the unit of Mutual of Omaha.

In that product, which currently pays 3.35%, the contract continues to provide LTC coverage even if the owner reaches age 95 and the policy automatically converts to an income annuity. “We thought it was critical that the policyholder not lose their coverage involuntarily,” Veomett said. The product has a 10-year surrender period.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Range of Target Date Funds’ Stock/Fixed Income Allocations By Target Retirement Year

Range of Target Date Funds’ Stock/Fixed Income

Allocations By Target Retirement Year

Target Date Fixed Inc
Median Range Max Min
Ret Inc 60.4% 42.4% 81.9% 39.5%
2010 47.7% 44.3% 76.0% 31.7%
2015 37.3% 40.2% 57.1% 16.9%
2020 33.2% 28.2% 46.0% 17.8%
2025 21.1% 28.3% 33.4% 5.1%
2030 18.9% 17.6% 22.3% 4.6%
2035 10.0% 20.9% 21.1% 0.2%
2040 10.0% 16.3% 16.3% 0.0%
2045+ 9.0% 14.8% 14.8% 0.0%
Target Date Stocks
Median Range Max Min
Ret Inc 39.7% 41.5% 59.2% 17.7%
2010 52.1% 44.3% 68.3% 24.0%
2015 62.3% 40.2% 83.1% 42.9%
2020 66.8% 28.2% 82.2% 54.0%
2025 78.9% 28.3% 95.0% 66.7%
2030 81.0% 17.9% 95.4% 77.5%
2035 90.0% 19.8% 98.6% 78.9%
2040 89.4% 20.7% 100.0% 79.3%
2045+ 91.0% 14.8% 100.0% 85.2%

Source: Standard & Poor’s calculations using input from the EDGAR database.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Percentage of House Value That Could Be Borrowed Through Reverse Mortgage at Ages 65, 75, and 85, 1990-2005

Percentage of House Value That Could Be Borrowed
Through Reverse Mortgage at Ages 65, 75, and 85, 1990-2005

Year 65 75 85
1990 20.4% 34.1% 51.7%
1991 26.5% 40.2% 57.0%
1992 28.8% 42.6% 58.7%
1993 35.1% 48.2% 63.1%
1994 22.2% 36.0% 53.4%
1995 36.1% 49.1% 63.7%
1996 28.8% 42.6% 58.7%
1997 37.1% 50.0% 64.4%
1998 43.7% 55.4% 68.3%
1999 28.8% 42.6% 58.7%
2000 40.3% 52.6% 66.3%
2001 41.4% 53.6% 67.0%
2002 51.3% 61.4% 72.3%
2003 49.9% 60.4% 71.6%
2004 48.6% 59.3% 70.9%
2005 47.4% 58.4% 70.3%

Note: This figure assumes a $200,000 house, a 1.5 percent lender’s margin and the closing cost estimates used in AARP’s online reverse mortgage loan calculator.

Calculations based on: 1) Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. 2006. “Series: GS10, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate.”; 2) U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. 2006c. “Table of Principal Limit Factors.” News Release No.06-001. Washington, DC.; 3) AARP. 2006b. “Reverse Mortgage Calculator.”

Source: Center for Retirement Income at Boston College

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

Top Yielding Certificate Type Fixed Annuities

Top Yielding Certificate Type Fixed Annuities* as of 6/1/2009
Company Name Product Name Term
(Yrs)
Gtd
Rate
Effective
Yield**
Liberty Bankers Life Bankers 1 1 1.00% 2.75%
West Coast Life Sure Advantagea 2 1.50% 1.75%
Protective Life FutureSaver II* 2 1.50% 1.75%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 2 0.00% 1.75%
Liberty Bankers Life Bankers 3 3 1.00% 3.55%
United Life SPDA 4 1.05% 3.50%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 4 0.00% 3.50%
Security Benefit Life Choice 5 1.50% 5.10%
Security Benefit Life Choice 6 1.50% 4.60%
Security Benefit Life Choice 7 1.50% 5.10%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 8 0.00% 4.70%
American General Life AG Horizon Choice 9 2%/3% 4.90%
Greek Catholic Union GCU Flex Annuity 10 3.00% 5.25%
Protective Life ProSaver Platinum 15 0.00% 5.45%
*Certificate type contracts are products that have interest rate terms that equal or exceed the surrender charge or that waive the surrender charge at the end of the selected rate term (window waiver).
**Effective yield prorates the bonus rate equally over the surrender charge period.
a0.50% bonus, first year

Source: www.AnnuityNexus.com, Beacon Research, Evanston IL

 

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

In Washington State, a ‘State 401(k)’ Is Rejected

In Washington, D.C., the debate is just beginning over the merits of extending the option of a workplace retirement savings account to every private-sector worker who doesn’t have already have one. But in Washington State, the debate is already over—or at least tabled.

And in the process of researching their version of a universal workplace plan, Washington State retirement officials learned something: that the private 401(k) industry doesn’t welcome competition from the state.

Back in May 2007, the Department of Retirement Systems in the Evergreen State was assigned to design a retirement program to promote savings among private sector employees. The state came up with three options in its January 2009 report, called Washington Voluntary Accounts: Report to the Legislature.

The three were: a payroll-deduction plan with a single investment, like a Treasury Inflation-Protected bond fund; a similar program, but with a small allocation to stocks; and a state-run 401(k).

Private industry was open to the first two options but nixed the third.

“The people in industry I spoke with were receptive to the our version of an IRA, where the state would specify or create specifications for products but private sector would provide the products,” said Sandy Matheson, then the department’s director. “They’re less receptive to the idea of states competing directly with them by operating these plans.”

Aside from competition, any state-mandated plan was expected to create headaches for small business owners who haven’t computerized their businesses.  “The trouble for small employers is that they’re still on manual payroll,” she told RIJ. “If you’re not automated, that creates more challenges.”

Matheson, a CPA who has since become executive director of the Maine Public Employees Retirement System, also learned that a public-private workplace savings program isn’t likely to work unless it’s very simple.

“The simpler the program, and the easier it is to administer, then the more readily acceptable it tends to be,” she said. “When you build complexity into a program, it may not fit as many people as well. I kept being driven back to a very simple model.”

The state legislature has not acted yet on the recommendations in the January report—in part because the process was interrupted by the global financial crisis. Here are summaries of the options that were presented to them:

A private sector-administered payroll deduction or individual IRA offering a state-specified low-cost, low-cost, single choice, inflation-protected, simple investment. Any financial Institution or eligible broker can administer and offer this product using the state’s name if the product meets the Department’s specifications. The Department will conduct marketing, including Web site referrals to eligible vendors, to encourage low‐risk saving and reduce a market mismatch between the supply and demand for low-cost products.

A private sector-administered payroll deduction or individual IRA offering a state-specified low-risk, single choice inflation-protected and growth investment. This option achieves all of the same benefits as the simple investment option, but could offer a mixture of inflation-protected investments in combination with a smaller amount of stocks. For example, the investment could be a balanced portfolio that consists mostly of principal preservation type assets (e.g.,bonds) with a small amount of equities. The bonds guarantee that, at a minimum, an investor will receive every dollar invested back at its future value, and the stocks offer opportunity for some growth. This option is directed at longer‐term retirement investment.

A state-administered 401(k). The state could administer or partner with private sector providers to offer a 401(k) plan that would be available to private sector businesses. The plan design would be consistent with Internal Revenue Service Regulations and investments could be managed by the Washington State Investment Board. This option would require prior approval by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) before it could be implemented.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

More Portfolio Managers Say the Market Has Bottomed

Nearly 40% of 127 institutional investors who were surveyed by TheMarkets.com believe the stock market has already rebounded, bottoming earlier this year. In March only 17% of respondents to a similar poll said they expected the bottom to occur before July 1.

Of the less optimistic respondents who think the market has not reached bottom yet, 91% expect it to do so within the next twelve months. The survey reached investors in 24 countries. TheMarkets.com provides research, estimates and workflow solutions to institutional investors worldwide.

Over 80% of investors surveyed now expect the S&P 500 Index to reach 1200 by the end of 2011, and almost one-quarter expect it to return to 1500 by then. In March, just over 50% and 12%, respectively, reported the same expectation. Nearly 80% of investors now expect the S&P 500 to return to 1500 by the end of 2013, versus under 60% in March. 

“Portfolio managers continue to be more optimistic than analysts, with fully 50% of portfolio managers positing that we’ve already hit the bottom, versus 30% of analysts,” said David Eisner, CEO and president of TheMarkets.com. “We also continue to see a slightly more optimistic outlook outside the U.S., although we’re seeing less of a disparity there than we did in March.”

Surveyed investors expect that key sectors of focus over the next 12 months will be energy, financials, health care and basic materials.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.

P&A Group Targets Fee-Based Plan Advisors

P&A Retirement Plan Services, an open-architecture defined contribution recordkeeper and third-party administrator for employer sponsored retirement plans, is expanding its product line to appeal to the fee-based advisor channel.

The unit of Buffalo, NY-based P&A Group has partnered with the CIF Marketplace to supplement their traditional mutual fund and ETF product base with low-cost core and managed collective investment funds (CIFs).

By doing so, the firm hopes to “deliver the cost efficiencies of  ‘large plan’ products and services to the ‘small plan’ market.” The new program will be launched immediately in a national sales campaign.

The CIFs in question include both actively and passively managed investment options from major national trust companies and consulting firms.  All funds are non-proprietary in terms of the core holdings, so that individual investments “may be judged on the basis of merits rather than contribution to the parent company bottom-line,” P&A said in a release.

“While we continue to remain strongly committed to our national broker-dealer relationships and to offer the products and services [they need], neither can we deny the growing trends in the industry to fee-based advisors and their desire for low net cost investment product alternatives to mutual funds, which include ETFs and CIFs,” said Sean Zent, vice president, retirement plan sales for P&A.

By pooling qualified retirement assets, CIFs allow firms like P&A to offer asset allocation solutions to plan sponsors at fees lower than many mutual fund alternatives. Priced and traded each day, CIFs aren’t subject to many of the restrictions of mutual funds, such as early withdrawal penalties and can be combined with mutual funds and ETFs.

© 2009 RIJ Publishing. All rights reserved.